Tuesday, May 21, 2013

22/05

Switzerland
Servette - Sion

i already wrote about scandal in Sion ... http://www.aargauerzeitung.ch/sport/fussball/constantin-macht-reinen-tisch-126554163  --- http://cheguevarapicks.blogspot.com/2013/05/thursday.html
Dingsdag(df 29/1), Bühler(df 31/3), Sauthier(mf 14/0), Yoda(mf 5/1), Regazzoni(mf 8/0), Mrdja(att 5/0) und Adao(mf 12/0) are kicked out + now Lafferty(att 25/5) und Crettenand(mf 28/2) are kick out from squad.
http://www.nzz.ch/aktuell/sport/fussball/geliebte-schlagzeilenfabrik-1.18083363

Gatusso wont play, key player Margairaz(mf 18/5) have conflict with coach so probably he also wont play.
Servette must win if they want to avoid relegation.


Argentian Cup (03:00h 22/05)
Godoy Cruz - Olimpo Bahia

Godoy with reserves;
 Sebastián Moyano(second gk 0/0); José San Román(df 15/0), Leonardo Sigali(df 31/0), Juan Barrera(df 0/0), Washington Camacho(df 10/0); Fernando Zuqui(mf 7/0), Sergio Sánchez(mf 4/0), Fabrizio Angileri(mf 3/0), Lionel Ríos(mf 7/0); Armando Cooper(att 8/1), Rodrigo Salinas(att 7/1)

only Sigali is regular first team player.

Olimpo Bahia is team from 2nd division with high ambitions for 1st league. they will also play with weak team.
line up;
Capogrosso; E. Martínez, Villavicencio, Parnisari, García; Romero, Blanco, D. Vega, Recalde; González y Benítez.
you can check whole squad HERE




Poland Division 1
Swinoujscie - Sandecja Nowy S. x2 @2.15 (bet365) or 2 @5.25 (bet365)  - stake 5/10

Swinoujscie dont want promotion! They dont have stadium and money for promotion,that is the reason for poor results in 2nd half of season.
Sandecja is playing for nothing without some motivation but i think that they can win point or points here


Serbia
Radnicki 1923 - Vojvodina 

huge quality difference on away side..
odds are totaly unrealistic -- radnicki:1.68 - draw:3.52 - vojvodina:4.27 (average) ... but that is something normal in serbia.
Radnicki is from Kragujevac,such a big city cant be without football club in league ... many peoples are talking that Radnicki wont relegate! before few weeks they bring fat Bekvalac for coach.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dragoljub_Bekvalac
Bekvalac is ex Vojvodina's player
1980–1983Vojvodina65(6)
 also he is ex Vojvodina's coach
2000–2001Vojvodina
2004Vojvodina

2008Vojvodina

Radnicki have 4th best fans in Serbia. Radnicki's fans are in good relationships with Vojvodina's fans!
Vojvodina go with reserves in this match!!!

i guess that they are in good relationships my pick is home win @1.75 -- stake 4/10 but no value.

moldavia

Dacia - Zimbru 1 @1.4 ft 0-0
great relationships between this two clubs.
they are from same city (Chisinau),they use same stadium (Stadionul Zimbru) , offices on presidents are in same building,they know each other very good,players are good friends etc.

they make money together when both teams need on dirty way
http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2012/07/22/moldova/divizia-naional/fc-dacia-chisinau/fc-zimbru-chisinau/1314542/ many people in moldavia knew about this match before start of match ...

i think that Dacia will win this match to secure 2nd position.. next season Dacia will give points back to Zimbru.
2/1 is also possible because financial situation is bad in both clubs.



Sheriff Tiraspol - Costuleni
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/moldova/divizia-nationala-2012-2013/sheriff-tiraspol-costuleni-KQY3qeYO/#1X2;2
S.Tiraspol already won title,they can be relaxed now. In 2nd half of season Sheriff dont look good,they dont play on same level like in 1st half of season... in this match coach declared that he will use only reserves and youngsters so i see good chance for Costuleni here.
i was waiting for asian hendikeps but nothing from that so X2 @5.00 for small stakes
FT 2-1 lost ,i am fu**ing nervous because i didnt wait for asian hendikeps :@

Monday, May 20, 2013

strong info

Denmark
Nordsjaelland - Esbjerg 2 @2.24 (pinnacle) ; 2.20 (bet365)


last round,unimportant match for Nordsjaelland they are sure on 2nd table and can be relaxed now,while Esbjerg must win if they want to stay on 4th place and go in europe next season!
OverallMPWDLGoalsPts
1.FC Copenhagen321810461:3164
2.Nordsjaelland32169759:3757
3.Randers FC321561134:4051
4.Esbjerg321381138:3147
5.Aalborg321371249:4446
6.Midtjylland3211111048:4544
home team miss 11 players!

Nordsjelland without
key defender Mtiliga(df 26/2),Runje(df 28/0),key midifler Stockholm(mf 30/5 ,4th scorer),best midifler Christensen(mf 26/6 ,3rd scorer),Ticinovic(mf 18/2),Christiansen(mf 22/2),Nordstrand(att 23/7 ,2nd scorer),Bech(att 5/2),Sise(att 0/0),Lorentzen(att 20/4) and John(att 22/10 top scorer)

Nordjsaelland have scored total 57 goals , 40 of those goals were scored by John(10),Lorentzen(4),Bech(2),Nordstrand(7),Christiansen(2),Christensen(6),Ticinovic(2),Stockholm(5) and Mtiliga(2) who are unavailable for this match.


Esbjerg is full,no absences. They are highly motivated this is match of the season for them. Good form in last 10 matches 8w-2l ...

expect away win here.
GL


Sunday, May 19, 2013

for the end of weekend one crazy bet

Benfica - Moreirense 
1/2 @126.00 (bwin)
over 2,5 goals @1.4


very possible.

If Porto have sure lead on half time (0-2 or something like that) than everything will be finished and Benfica will let Moreirense to win and escape from relegation zone.

+ Jorge Jesus (benfica's coach) in 2005 was Moreirense's coach.

Saturday, May 18, 2013

strong info


Macedonia

Drita - Teteks
3 rounds till end of season Drita have good chance to won all 3 matches (teteks,shkendija and renova) and escape from relegation play off. at this moment Drita have only 4 points less than Napredok who have hard match today with Vardar (they will lose 99%),so if Drita win than difference will be just 1 point.

Drita is not so quality team but they have two experienced players Nuhiji(34 years) and Mustafi (36 years) who control the midfield ..

Teteks have cup final match for 3 days so coach decide to rest all key players and put reserves today,they are already relegated (fans are happy for that because mafia's owner will left club after this season). It is very important for owners (who are very powerfull and rich) to won cup and go in europe to get more money and than left club.

Drita want win today,Teteks with reserves.
pick; 1 @1.4 (betvictor)




Belgium
St.Liege - Lokeren DNB2 @4.33 (betvictor)
Lokeren +0ah @4.15 (bet365) , Lokeren +1ah @1.92 (188bet) or X2 @2.40 (bet365)


Standard squad;
 Moris(second gk 1/0), Hubert(third gk 0/0), Nego(df 0/0), Cissé(df 16/1), Fiore(df 0/0), Arslanagic(df 8/0), Ciman(df 36/1), Diabaté(df 7/0), Marquet(mf 0/0), Bulot(mf 34/3), Ono(att 6/0), Koc(att 3/0), Tucudean(att 9/0), Batshuayi(att 31/9), Reza, Nagai(att 10/0), Mbombo(mf 0/0), Lumanza(mf 1/0) en Delogu
http://www.standard.be/nouvelles-2/lire/~kern-voor-de-match-standard-lokeren-zondag-19-mei-om-14u30.htm?lng=nl

Standard will use B team today, only Ciban and Bulot are experienced and regular players all other are reserves and youngsters.

rested will be key players:
Kawashima(first gk 38/0),Kani(df 26/1),Van Damme(df 34/3),Buyens(mf 39/8),Ajdarevic(Mf 20/1),Buzaglo(mf 20/1),Vainqueur(mf 35/4) and Ezekiel(att 31/16)

odds will drop quickly,bookies and all other punters still dont have this info!
GL



Tottenham - Sunderland 1 @1.29 (bet365)
Tottenham have to win this match and wait for Arsenal to make mistake .. Kaboul(df 1/0),Gallas(df 19/1) and Sandro(mf 22/1) are unavailable for them
Sunderland avoid relegation so now they can be relaxed. Unavailable are Rose(df 27/1),Brown(df 0/0),Cattermole(mf 10/0),Gardner(mf 33/6 ,3rd scorer),best player Sessegnon(mf 35/7 ,2nd scorer) and best striker Fletcher(att 28/11 top scorer).


Newcastle - Arsenal 2 @1.6 (bet365)
Arsenal in must win situation.

Newcastle is safe in middle of table playing for nothing .. they have problems on gk position, Krul(first gk 24/0) is injured,while Elliot(second gk 10/0) is suspended. Taylor(df 1/0),Vuckic(mf 0/0),Sissoko(mf 12/3),Halidara(df 4/0) and Ameobi(att 21/1) are also injured. Marveaux(mf 21/1),Tiote(mf 23/0) and Santon(df 21/1) are questionable




Serbia
Vojvodina - Radnicki Nis 1 @1.45 (bwin)  FT 3-2 


Radnicki have huge problems. First like most of serbian teams they have financial problems,some of players refuse to go on this trip,whole staff left team because of financial problems.
for this match Radnicki also have problems with absences,unavailable are 7 players: Aleksandar Kesić(gk 11/0) ,Petar Škuletić(att 11/2),Predrag Stamenković(df 18/0),Bojan Đorđević(df 21/0), Nikola Lukić(df 14/0), Stefanović(att 14/0) and Vladan Binić(mf 18/3)

saturday

Bulgaria
Chernomorets - Loko Sofia
Loko Sofia in must win situation (if they want to stay in league).
Chernomorets in middle of table and without Исуф Уатара(mf 21/4 top scorer), Лорис Арно(att 6/2), Тихомир Трифонов(df 1/0) и Борислав Балджийски(mf 9/0).
http://www.focus-sport.net/?action=news&id=1148764463695

Cherno More - Lok.Plovdiv 1 @1.25  
FT 3-0 pick won

I wrote about Cherno More and their powerfull bosses. CHERNO MORE WITH STAY IN LEAGUE believe me.
Loko's boss Mareshki left club! http://www.sportni.bg/index.phtml?tid=40&oid=2753840
+ today Loko without Йордан Господинов(first gk 18/0),important midifler Даниел Георгиев(mf 25/2) ,Христо Стамов(df 1/0),Тодор Тимонов(mf 7/0), Георги Стефанов(att 26/3), Георги Мечечиев(df 1/0), Атанас Атанасов(df 7/0) и Йордан Юруков(mf 5/1).
only 14 players + 2 gk for this match click to see

 
Germany 3 Liga - LAST ROUND
Heidenheim - Offenbach 1 @1.33 (bet365)  
FT 1-1

very important match for Heidenheim,this is must win situation for them to secure promotion play off. Offenbach avoid relegation so now they can be relaxed, for this match unavailable are: key defenders  Kleineheismann(df 29/2),Stein(df 35/0), Husterer(df 19/3),Lamprecht(df 1/0), Bender(mf 18/1),Mehic(mf 23/2), Reinhardt(mf 35/3),Vogelsang(mf 5/0), Hesse(att 3/0),Vogler(att 30/3) and captain Fetsch(att 35/12 top scorer).
link1  & link 2
no important missings for hosts,good news is that Thurk(att 31/9 ,2nd scorer) is back in team.
probable line up; Sabanov - Malura, Göhlert, K. Kraus, Feistle - Wittek, F. Krebs - Strauß, Schnatterer, Bagceci - Niederlechner

Burghausen - A.Bielefeld
Burghausen without Omodiagbe(df 17/0), Y. Mokhtari(att 24/4), Kulabas(att 25/2), Senesie(att 30/4).
A.Bielefeld in must win situation. --- http://www.kicker.de/news/fussball/3liga/spieltag/3-liga/2012-13/38/1444123/spielvorschau_wacker-burghausen-87_arminia-bielefeld-10.html


Spain Segunda B Group 1 - LAST ROUND
Salamanca - Tenerife

last round,both teams playing for nothing.
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/spain/segunda-division-b-group-1/nextmatch.php?matchid=dxopTNOa h2h very suspecious,they have two ht/ft matches .. this season both teams have played two times ht/ft.
I think this will be match with many goals ,pick; over 2,5 goals @1.95 (sportingbet)


Turkey - LAST ROUND
Istanbull BB - Kasimpasa

no important missings in home team. today Istanbull BB must win if they want to stay in league!!
Kasimpasa without Sume(df 24/0),Eker(df 13/1),Seras(mf 24/0),Coulibaly(mf 1/0) and Sarmov(mf 22/0). Viudez(att 23/5) and Dereli(df 28/0) are questionable

Karabukspor - Fenerbahce

interesting odds here.. bookies maked Karabukspor favourites in this match,reason is that Fener is playing for nothing and Karabukspor need points ....
Fener without Demirel(first gk 28/0),Korkmaz(df 20/0),Kesimal(df 5/0),Sahin(mf 13/1),Meireles(mf 22/2),Krasic(mf 13/0) and Ozturk(mf 9/2).

Galatasaray - Trabzonspor

Galata without Ujfalusi9df 2/0),Birinci(df 1/0) and Sarioglu(df 16/0).
Trabzon without Kivrak(gk 30/0),Emerson(df 17/2),Bamba(df 18/0),Colman(mf 12/1),Sen(att 15/3) and Janko(att 14/1)


Germany Bundesliga - last round!
Dortmund - Hoffenheim

Dortmund without Gotze(mf 28/10).
Hoffenheim without Gomes(gk 9/0),Weis(mf 18/2),Vukcevic(mf 5/1),Grifo(mf 12/0) and Derdiyok(att 19/1).

Augsburg - Furth

hosts must win to avoid relegation,Furth already relegated.
Augsburg without Langkamp(df 11/0).
Furth without Schmidtgal(df 18/0),Tyralla(mf 1/0) and Saraer(mf 22/1).

Freiburg - Schalke

Freiburg without Krmas(df 17/2),Caliguri(mf 29/5) and Terrazino(att 6/1).
Schalke without Papadopoulos(df 10/1),Metzelder(df 4/0),Barnetta(mf 20/0),Afellay(mf 10/2) and Obasi(att 4/0)

Nurnberg - Werder

Nurnberg without Chandnler(df 30/1),Marcos(df 1/0),Ildiz(mf 5/0),Feulner(mf 23/4),Kiyotake(mf 31/4),Hlousek(mf 0/0),Gebhart(mf 18/2)
Werder without Wolf(gk 12/0),Fullkrug(df 12/1),Vander(gk 0/0),Ekici(mf 9/2),Tyrbull(mf 4/0),Sokratis(df 29/0),Yildirim(mf 8/0),Hunt(mf 28/11),Bargfrede(mf 12/0),Elia(att 24/0) and Arnautovic(att 26/5)


Spain Segunda
Xerez - Gijon

Xerez without Ruz(df 7/0),Camara(df 32/0),Barber(df 10/0),Herrero(mf 26/0),Porcar(mf 27/4),Ogbeche(att 8/1),Velez(att 7/1) and Mari(att 11/2).
Gijon without Pablo(first gk 20/0),Bustos(mf 16/0),Sergio(df 1/0),Landeira(df 5/0),Barrera(mf 10/0),Carbelo(mf 6/0),Ricardo(mf 7/0),Mendy(att 10/0) and Bilic(att 30/11)

Las Palmas - Huelva

Last Palmas without Aythami(df 1/0),Juanpe(df 2/0),Vega(mf 1/0),Deivid(df 32/0),Atouba(df 5/0) and Guerrero(att 26/6).
Huelva without Martinez(df 23/0),Vega(df 0/0) and Pardo(mf 8/0)



Poland Ekstraklasa
Polonia W without a licence for Polish Ekstraklasa -that means that they will play in Liga I next season.
Górnik Zabrze, Śląsk Wrocław, Wisła Kraków, Widzew Łódź, GKS Bełchatów, Pogoń Szczecin, Ruch Chorzów, Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała i Jagiellonia Białystok - have no permission to play in european-leagues / cups



Friday, May 17, 2013

friday

France Ligue 2
Angers - Tours

Angers without Zoro(df 20/1). doubtful are Keseru(att 32/17),Boyer(df 22/0),Riga(df 0/0) and Hafidi(att 1/0).
Tours without Fabre(df 14/0) and Blayac(att 21/6),doubtful are Berenguer(mf 27/3),Oniangue(mf 26/9),Dutournier(att 5/1) and Pacinda(att 1/0)

Niort - Nimes

Niort without Pallois(df 34/1),Courtot(df 0/0),Juan(mf 6/0) and Gastien(mf 33/4).
Nimes without Parpeix(Df 16/0),Picoelle(df 4/0),Sidibe(df 18/0),Polain(df 34/0),Fanchone(df 12/1),Benyahya(df 15/0),Ogunbiyi(mf 32/4),Thibalt(att 15/1),Correze(att 1/0) and Kone(att 26/6)

Nantes - Sedan

Nantes without Trabelsi(mf 1/0).
Sedan without Lembet(gk 0/0),Deblele(df 0/0),Dielna(df 25/2),Tchenkoua(mf 16/0),Diallo(att 24/5),Diaby(att 26/7) and Idir(mf 21/0)

Monaco - Le Mans

Monaco without Dumont(mf 6/0) and Kurzawa(df 9/0).
Le Mans without Adenon(df 2/0),Makaridze(gk 5/0),Buiallon(df 21/0),Belfort(att 16/0),Thomert(mf 15/2),Kassai(df 21/0),Kone(mf 23/0) and Cisse(att 21/5)

Lens - Istres

Lens miss two best players Touzghar(att 24/11 top scorer),Valdivia(mf 31/11 top scorer),Lemoigne(mf 28/1),Bergdich(df 23/1),Guillaume(mf 6/1),Toure(df 18/0) and Ducasse(mf 12/0).
Istres miss Petric(first gk 35/0),Chelle(df 23/0) and Akrour(att 30/3)