Thursday, February 27, 2014

01/03 free picks & infos

bookies dont give odds for macedonian league , are they scared ???

Spain Tercera
Tuilla - Praviano 2 @2.00 (bet365)
stake: 3/10

http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2014/03/01/spain/tercera-division/cd-tuilla/cd-praviano/1566924/
Tuilla is 10th on table with 40pts. Praviano is 1st on table with 57pts.
Praviano have high ambitions for promotion,they are in great form and they are better team then Tuilla.

Tuilla is just one average team... for this match Tuilla have only 11 players available + 2 keepers.
squad: Vilches y Miguel Camino, además de Dani Hevia, Borja Álvarez, Pablo, Jandro, Ginés, Miguel Suárez, Juan Cueva, Vázquez, Diego Arias, Pelayo Roces y Miguel López.
http://www.lne.es/deportes/2014/02/28/tuilla-mermado-piensa-victoria/1549680.html?utm_medium=rss


Serbia
Vojvodina - Vozdovac
pick: Vozdovac +0,75ah @1.74 (dafabet) ; 1.72 (sbobet)
stake: 4/10
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/serbia/super-liga/vojvodina-fk-vozdovac/QXCW3gpf/

Vojvodina changed a lot in their team this season. They have 3rd youngest team in league ... some important first team players like Vukovic(df 9/0), Vulicevic(df 15/0), Trajkovic(df 11/0), Lekovic(df 11/0), Vranjes(mf 15/2), Vukcevic(mf 10/0), Kosovic(mf 8/1), Tumbasevic(mf 10/0), Kaludjerovic(att 15/5) and Skuletic(att 14/4) left club (some other also left club but unimportant)
They only bring 5 senior players + 6 youngsters from other teams ... from those new signings imo Veselinovic(striker) and Puskovic(midifler) will be the only good ones.
And at the start they only draw vs Donji Srem (weak team) 1-1 , lucky Donji Srem missed a penalty for 2-0 so after that Vojvodina get a draw. also at result 1-1 Donji Srem missed great chance (from corner kick on empty goal) .... here higlights.
Vojvodina in last 4 home matches have 1w-2d-1l , even if they win today i dont expect to win with more than 1 goal difference in that case half bet lost.


Vozdovac bring some good players like Milos Mihajlov(CD , who will be great CD duo with Dragovic) , Dusko Dukic(very quality RB)  , Bozic(experienced CM) and striker Pavicevic. also they have Obradovic , Babovic , Milovanovic , Nikolic .... imo respectable squad.
At the start they won OFK Beograd 1-0 on home ground.


England Conference
Grimsby - Salisbury   DNB 2 @3.00 (bet365)

stake: 3/10http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/england/conference-premier/grimsby-salisbury/0fa2ncJJ/
Grimsby have defencive worries, Joe Colbeck(mf 23/1), Clayton McDonald(df 17/1), Aswad Thomas(df 23/0), Oumare Tounkara(att 3/0 new signing) and Paddy McLaughlin(df 21/2).
http://www.grimsbytelegraph.co.uk/INJURY-NEWS-Grimsby-Town-winger-Joe-Colbeck-month/story-20717803-detail/story.html
Salisbury main weapon is in attack , they have great strikers Fitchett(att 30/13),White(att 17/6) and Wright(att 20/5) , they should use missings in home defence. Salisbury have 3 players in England C squad this show their quality...

dnb2 , x2 , salisbury +0ah should be ok bets.



Serbia
Jagodina - Crvena Zvezda 2 @1.8 (betvictor)
stake: 5/10

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/serbia/super-liga/jagodina-crvena-zvezda/KzAO5FFs/
great relationships between clubs because of politic parties.
Jagodina become strong team in serbian football only because powerfull major Palma invest money , Zvezda was in big financial problems but Aleksandar Vucic(first deputy prime minister of serbia) helped them...
here read about Vucic and his big love Crvena Zvezda > link

the most important thing Vucic and Palma are in coalition. (they are bosses of politic parties and they are in coalition). Palma will 99% let Vucic's team to win this match becuase Zvezda after many years finally is on 1st position and need points to stay there.

on serbian portals and sites i read some interesting comments from zvezda's fans; "match is already agreed like last one in jagodina" it is not funny but very possible.
http://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/en/fk-jagodina-red-star-belgrade/vergleich/basics_2336645.html
take a look at transfers in last 3-4 seasons...

anyway quality is on Zvezda's side but i am only scared because one of best players Ninkovic(mf 14/3) is doubtfull.
Jagodina's coach: Zvezda is better team , stronger than last season...http://www.sportal.rs/news.php?news=120278
additional info , referee will be Majo Vujovic. he was referee on match > Zvezda 3-2 Radnicki (2/1)  and match Sloboda 1-2 Zvezda (1/2) in both matches goals in 90+ minutes ...

________________________________
Turkey
Karabukspor - Gaziantepspor

Karabuk miss Ozmert(mf 11/0). Mabiala(df 21/1) is doubtfull.
Gaziantep without Bulucu(df 1/0),Tokak(df 13/0) and Bruma(att 0/0).

Fenerbahce - Gencelbirligi
Fener without Alves(df 17/3),Kesimal(df 0/0),Cristian(mf 15/3) and Webo(att 18/7). Sow(att 18/9) is doubtfull.
Gencelbirligi without Smiljanic(mf 1/0),Kurtsuls(df 7/0) and Tomic(att 10/1). DElibalta(mf 14/1),Iller(mf 17/0) and Caliskan(mf 10/0) are doubtfull.

Eskehirspor - Kasimpasa
Eskisehirspor without Angelo(df 17/2) and Dede(df 2/0).
Kasimpasa withoutSam(df 5/0) and OZturk(mf 3/0).


Germany 2 Bundesliga
Sandhausen - Munchen 1860

Sandhausen without Zimmermann(df 9/0),Kister(df 12/0),Hubner(df 12/2) and Blum(mf 12/1).
Munchen without Stahl(mf 15/4).

Aue - Koln
Aue without Schlitte(df 3/0),Gonzales(df 6/0) and Muller(mf 14/0).
Koln without Nascimento(df 7/0) and Exslanger(att 7/0)


England Championship
QPR - Leeds

QPR without Simpson(df 26/0),BArton(mf 26/2),Philips(mf 21/3),Faurlin(mf 7/0) and Austin(att 25/14 top scorer).
Leeds without Kenny(first gk 30/0) and Ashdown(second gk 0/0).

Bournemouth - Doncaster
Bournemouth without Ward(df 21/0,Kane(mf 23/1) and Daniels(mf 21/0).
Doncaster without Sharp(att 4/1 key striker),Forrester(mf 6/0). Turnbull(first gk 27/0) and Robinson(att 22/5) are doubtfull.

Huddersfield - Barnsley
Huddersfield without Lynch(df 26/2) and Vaughan(att 20/10 one of top scorers).
Barnsley without Hassell(df 3/0)

Sheffield Wednesday - Middlesbrough
both teams with defencive worries.
Shef. Wednesday without Taylor(df 0/0),Zayatte(df 11/2),Buxton(df 10/0),Johnson(df 22/2),Lee(df 14/0) and Semede(mf 22/0).
Middlesbrough without Wiliams(df 22/0) and Ayala(df 16/3)

Nottingham Forrest - Wigan
Nottingham without Wilson(df 7/0),Vaughan(mf 6/0),Lansbury(mf 26/7),Cohen(mf 16/1),Blackstock(att 1/0),Reid(Att 30/9) and Hobbs(df 27/1)
Wigan without Garcia(df 1/0),Powell(mf 20/5 top scorer),Watson(mf 25/2),McManaman(att 22/1) and Maloney(att 5/3)


Greece SuperLeague
Aris - OFI

Aris without Bougaidis(df 5/0),Pulido(df 15/0),Triantafyllakos(mf 8/0),Kamionits(mf 4/0),Papadopoulos(mf 16/0),Bakaetas(att 6/3 new signing) and Aganzo(att 15/3).
OFI without Bourbos(df 24/0),Sisic(att 4/0),Gragoulakis9mf 8/1) and Lampropoulos(mf 13/1)
http://leaguespy.com/preview.php?id=28330&mylang=en

Veria - Apollon
Veria without Guille(mf 1/0).
Apollon without Tzorvas(first gk 25/0),Kanakoudis(df 14/0),Diamantis(mf 7/0),Mingas(mf 22/5) and Agryropoulos(df 19/1). Souza(df 1/0) is doubtful

algeria friday

Algeria
Eulma - Constantine
1 @2.0 (bet365) ; 2.4 (marathonbet)
stake: 4/10

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/algeria/division-1-2013-2014/eulma-constantine-xUgtMoiq/

Eulma is 9th on table with 29pts , typical home team they won most of points on home ground 6w-1d-2l. They bring Benyamina(experienced striker from 2 Bundesliga).

Constantine is 5th on table with 32pts. They play two matches in same day! One in CAF Confederation Cup and one in Algerian league. Club is angry on Algerian Federation because they didnt postpone the league match and if i understood good they will go on this match with reserves!
link with translation on english
https://twitter.com/CSConstantine_

first match
Constantine 0-0 Eulma

Wednesday, February 26, 2014

brazil

Corinthians - Comercial 1 @1.35 (188bet;pinnacle)good for combo.
Comercial's players didnt receive salaries. Julio Segio(first gk 5/0),Graffite(df 6/0) and Toscano(att 6/1) are injured.

strong info Poland Basket

Koszalin - Zielona Gora
zielona gora -8ah @1.83 (pinnacle)
stake: 5/10

http://www.betexplorer.com/basketball/poland/tauron-basket-liga/koszalin-zielona-gora/StJfCypg/

Koszalin 9th on table (8w-10l) ; Zielona Gora 1st on table with 34pts (16w-2l)
quality heavy on away side.

Koszalin in problems > Sykes(SF 23,4min - 12,4ppg) and Henry(SG 33,1min - 15,8ppg) are unavailable. dont forget that Dragan Labovic(PF 25,3min - 9,4ppg) left club.
3 key players!!!

first match Zielona Gora 105-76 Koszalin
i expect another easy win for Zielona Gora.

Albania Cup

Kukesi - Bylis over 2,5 goals @1.75 (188bet)
stake: 2/10

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/albania/albanian-cup-2013-2014/kukesi-bylis-bsVc65Ku/#over-under;2

kukesi 4th on table in league , bylis 9th. Quality on home side.
kukesi is looking chances for europe trough cup so this competition and this match is very important for them.
Bylis with reserves,for them more important is league.

i bet with low stakes because this league is very dirty.

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

montenegro tuesday 25/02

Decic - Buducnost
odds in asian bookies dropping a lot.
Decic bring 10 new players in team , they have good coach and they should stay in league now.

Sutjeska - Zeta 1 @1.44
good combo material. Sutjeska have support from the goverment.
great relationships between teams,Sutjeska helped to Zeta to stay in league in previous seasons...
sutjeska now fighting for title they should won.

Monday, February 24, 2014

01/03 ukraine

Metalist Kharkiv - Zorya 2 @5.00 (marathonbet) ; 4.40 (bah)
stake: 2/10

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/ukraine/premier-league-2013-2014/metalist-kharkiv-zorya-ITKgaw31/
(small stakes because of limits)


Metalist's players and staff 3 months without salaries!
coach (now ex coach) Markcevic finally spoke in media about the problems in club.
http://www.ua-football.com/ukrainian/high/530b33b8.html Because players are without salaries for 3 months next week they will become free agents and they will leave club. Coach and president already left the club,big problems.
All this is happening because of bad things which are happening in Ukraine (politic crisis).

Zorya is doing ok,no problems in their team. They are 7th on table and most important thing all key players stay in club.

2 @2.12 (betathome) ; dnb2 @5.00 (youwin) are also good bets.

Sunday, February 23, 2014

singapore,monday 13:45

Harimau Muda B - Tanjong Pagar 2 @2.10 (bwin)
stake: 2/10
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/singapore/s-league/harimau-muda-b-tanjong-pagar/GYcbqsSF/

Tanjong bring some new faces: Yusoff(df 17/0),Masturi(mf 25/3),Idros(mf 24/1) -all three from Home United , Zainal(mf 18/0 from Warriors),Mushadad(mf 23/0 from Balestier) and the biggest signing Etiemble(from France National league 35/0 , midifler)
while Nafiz Nor(mf 25/3) , Walid Lounis(df 19/0 , Benhamed(att 25/7) and Vikraman(mf 20/0) left club.
Latiff is injured,while Salleh(mf 16/0) is doubtfull.


Harimau Muda B is young team , only u21 players are playing in their team, 3 starters from last season (who can play this season also) Nashriq Yahya(df 14/0),Maxsius Musa(mf 20/4) and Azzizan Nordi(df 16/0) left club.
This will be 1st match this season so i think that Harimau's young players will have problems because they are unexperienced...

21:00 venezuela

Zulia - Aragua
pick: zulia +0ah @1.77 (bet365)
stake: 5/10

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/venezuela/primera-division/zulia-aragua/KrMUOwUi/

Zulia will use mixed team in this match, half first team players + half reserves. http://fczulia.com/wp/?p=900
Aragua travelled with u20 players, all youngsters in squad, situation is terrible players refuse to travel and play , excellent chance Zulia to win.
http://www.lavinotinto.com/22-02-2014/aragua-y-zulia-buscan-importante-victoria/

h2h is also very suspecious
Head-to-head: Zulia - Aragua
Primera Division 2013/2014     
AraguaZulia4:11.963.163.6326.09.2013
Primera Division 2012/2013     
ZuliaAragua2:02.263.042.9813.03.2013
AraguaZulia1:01.883.323.5615.10.2012
Primera Division 2011/2012     
ZuliaAragua1:32.053.123.2511.02.2012
AraguaZulia1:41.703.304.3919.09.2011
Primera Division 2010/2011     
ZuliaAragua0:42.223.202.7906.02.2011
AraguaZulia0:12.023.223.1829.08.201

Saturday, February 22, 2014

SUNDAY 23/02 picks and infos

https://www.facebook.com/Cheguevarapicks my fb page, here i post usefull infos and here we discuss about picks who are in playing :)


Latvia
FK Daugavpils - Metta/LU
fk daugavpils -2ah @1.85 (bet365)

stake: 7/10
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/latvia/league-cup-2014/fk-daugava-daugavpils-metta-lu-EZptiDSS/#ah;2

Daugavpils is better team, last season they finished on 3rd place with 52pts. Metta/LU is 2nd worst team in league (9th place with 19pts).
the main reason why i bet on this match with high stakes is the info that Metta/LU will play with youngsters and reserves from Metta B team!! Their first team and coach are on preparations.
I expect someting like 5-1 ; 6-1


Argentina
San Lorenzo - Quilmes
1/2 @120.00 (nordicbet)
stake: 0.5 / 10


2/1 @35.00 (188bet)
stake: 0.5 / 10

San Lorenzo and Quilmes are neighbours , both from Buenos Aires .. distance betweent them is just 29km.
there are good relationships between them , they have lot of free transfers and ht/ft strange matches.
Sat04/05/13PRDQuilmes1 - 2San LorenzoView eventsMore info
1 - 0
1 - 1
1 - 2
62' G. Verón

Sat27/10/12PRDSan Lorenzo2 - 2QuilmesView eventsMore info
0 - 1
A. Ruiz 26'
1 - 1
L. Aguiar 29'
2 - 1
2 - 2
90' C. Lema
16/06/2007 Quilmes 1-2 San Lorenzo (HT 1-0 ; FT 1-2)
another crazy match in 2006 (09/12) San lorenzo 2-4 Quilmes (3 penalty kicks in first half  and red card for hosts ....
Quilmes this season still didnt make 2/1 ; 1/2 , San Lorenzo too. so maybe it is time :P
(last season Quilmes made 2 times , San Lorenzo just once. )

referee today will be Echenique link
he was also referee on last match Quilmes 3-2 San Lorenzo.

San lorenzo without FontaninI(df 2/0),Valdes(df 2/0),Voboril(df 0/0),Cauteruccio(att 6/5 , best striker long term injured),Veron(att 7/1) and Blandi(att 2/1 new signing)Quilmes in big defensive problems. Peratta(first gk 22/0),Carli(df 9/0),Leyes(df 11/0),Alegre(df 9/1),Martinez(df 15/0) and Abecais(df 19/1) are all out. (4 central defenders are missings ...)


Hockey Norway
Lorenskog - Stavanger
stavanger -1,5ah @2.9 (betvictor)
stake: 3/10

http://www.betexplorer.com/hockey/norway/eliteserien/lorenskog-stavanger/tlgwKzWi/
big problems for Lorenskog.
Plante(first gk 17/0) and Svendsen(second gk 14/0) are injured , on goal will be youngster Furseth
http://www.lik.no/elite/nyheter/svendsen-ute-på-ubestemt-tid
they are not the only ones who are injured , there are much more. Sixsmith(fw 38/24), James Thygesen(fw 17/0), Tønseth(df 26/3), Carl Ylven(fw 17/3) have also some injuries ...

last match Stavanger 10-5 Lorenskog , today i expect easy win with 3-4 goals difference.


Greece
Panathinaikos - Ergotelis , Panathinaikos -1ah @1.75 (sbobet)
stake: 3/10

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/greece/super-league/panathinaikos-ergotelis/08IGKXKm/
Panathinaikso have best striker Berg and 3 other regular players back in team.

Ergotelis have problems with absences, central defender Sarris(df 22/0),defensive midifler Koroznis(mf 21/0),captain Diego Romano(mf 20/2),top scorer Diamantakos(att 19/6),key striker Bam Bam(att 5/2 long term injured) and veteran Anastasakos(att 18/4 ,3rd scorer) are unavailable. another veteran striker Verpakovskis(att 10/2) ended his career. key central midifler Pele(mf 13/3) left team.
they bring Ibrahim good central midifler and Adeleye(central defender from Anzhi), but with this missing today they are simply too weak.
this season Panathinaikos already beat them 3 times so i expect another win today..
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos - Ergotelis
Greek Cup 2013/2014
ErgotelisPanathinaikos0:12.813.032.4330.10.2013
Super League 2013/2014
ErgotelisPanathinaikos0:23.022.982.4026.10.2013
Greek Cup 2013/2014
PanathinaikosErgotelis2:11.573.456.0225.09.2013


Turkey
Trabzonspor - Kayserispor 1 @1.84 (sbobet)
stake: 3/10

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/turkey/superliga/trabzonspor-kayserispor/6eli1O7A/
Trabzon is home team, 7w-3d-1l on home ground. today will miss Zokora(mf),Malouda(winger) and Bamba Sol. but they arent very important , they have good replacements.

Kayserispor is worst team in league,last on table. They have problems with suspensions and injuries. key central defender Simic(df 7/0) and important right winger Yilmaz(att 16/3) are injured. other central defender Sereno(df 13/1),Uludag(mf 16/0) and Nobre(att 16/1) are suspended. another central defender Khizanishvili(df 17/0) is also suspended. So big worries in defence, 3 central defenders are missings , now young Gulen(df 1/0 ,19y old) is the only CD in team ... and most probably Gulen and Mijalovic(midifler , 20y old) will start as central defenders ...
players like Paulo Henrique(att 20/6),Olcan Aydin(winger 21/7) and Mierzejewski(mf) should use this missings and won easy.
imo value odds. I am only worried because Trabzon had match in Europe League and on Thursday they play again so smaller stakes.


______________________
Denmark
Brondby - Aalborg

big defensive problems for brondby 3 central defenders + left back are out; Falkesgaard(second gk 0/0),Almeback(df 13/0),Albrechtsen(df 16/0), Boulahrouz(df 5/0) and Durmisi(left back 18/1) are all unavailable.


Croatia
Rijeka - Osijek

lot of rain in rijeka.
Rijeka without Tomecak(mf 16/1),Zlomislic(mf 7/0),Kvrzic(mf 21/6),Pokrivac(mf 11/2),Krstanovic(att 11/1) and Pusic(mf 2/0)..
Osijek without Smoje(df 0/0),Perosevic(df 1/0),Simunec(df 8/0) ,Barisic(att 21/4) and Cesarec(att 2/1).


Handball Champions League
Kolding- Dunkerque

KIF must win to secure 2nd position! Missings are: long term injured Kim Anderssen , Irming Andersen and Schnuchel.
dunkerque travelled with only 11 players (2 of them youngsters) + 2 keepers in Denmark.. OUT ARE: Mokrani(pivot 14/10), Emonet(LW 2/4), Lamon(MB 15/24), Butto(LW 15/85), Nagy(LB 14/36)


Metalurg Skopje - Barcelona
Metalurg without long term injured Naumce Mojsovski
Barcelona without Sterbik(first gk) and Rutenka(LB 5/16)

Wacker Thun - Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo in big financial problems,club can go in bankrupt. situation is serious.


Argentina
San Lorenzo - Quilmes

San lorenzo without FontaninI(df 2/0),Valdes(df 2/0),Voboril(df 0/0),Cauteruccio(att 6/5 , best striker long term injured),Veron(att 7/1) and Blandi(att 2/1 new signing)
Quilmes in big defensive problems. Peratta(first gk 22/0),Carli(df 9/0),Leyes(df 11/0),Alegre(df 9/1),Martinez(df 15/0) and Abecais(df 19/1)

Colon - River Plate
Colon in financial problems.
River without Aguirre(mf 2/0),Maidana(df 15/0),Mercado(df 16/2) and Alvarez(df 18/0)


Turkey
Genclebirligi - Konyaspor

Genclebirligi without Gorgulu(df 3/0),Kaya(mf 15/0)<Delibalta9mf 14/1) and Kurtulus(df 7/0).
Konyaspor have 4 players questionable.

Kasimpasa - Sivasspor

Kasimpasa without Sam(df 5/0),Ozturk(mf 3/0),Seras(mf 19/1) and Buyuk(att 21/6).
Sivasspor without Celikay9gk 15/00,Taouuil(mf 20/0) and Eser(mf 21/8)


Greece
PAOK - Panthrakikos

PAOK without Vitor(Df 15/5),Georgiadis(att 6/0),Martens(att 2/0) and Athanasidis(Att 21/8).
Panthrakikos without Kousopoulos(gk 4/0),Bow(df 21/0) and Cases(mf 19/6).

Platanias - Aris
Platanias without Nazilidis(mf 7/4),Kasneferis(df 5/0,Mendrinos(mf 6/0) and Katai(mf 18/3). Georgallides(first gk 25/0) is doubtfull.
ARis without Pulido(df 15/0) and Trianfullakos(mf 8/0)


Spain Segunda
Cordoba - Jaen

Cordoba without Cruz(df 21/0),Pedro(mf 19/2) and Silva(att 25/1).
Jaen without Gaitan(df 10/0),Cruz(df 14/0),Sevando(df 24/0),Josel(mf 3/0) and Jona(att 25/12 top scorer).

Lugo - Tenerife
Lugo is full.
Tenerife without Aday(mf 11/0),Chechu(mf 16/0),Nano(att 3/0) and PErez(att 11/0)

Friday, February 21, 2014

saturday free picks and infos (22/02)

Indonesia
Persebaya - Bantul
over 2,75 goals @1.74 (dafabet;12bet)

stake: 6/10http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/indonesia/super-liga-2014/persebaya-persiba-bantul-0hO1wVft/#eh;2
Persebaya is new promoted team but they make lot of good transfers so it is expected to be high on table this season. Players who came in club: cameroon Kenmogne(att 16/14 from Persija , ex Ethnikos,Anwerp), nigerian Kughebe(mf 25/1 from Persiwa), Nwokolo(att 24/15 from Arema) , experienced Ilham(mf 17/4 from Persija) , Nzekou(mf 32/10 from Balikpapan) , Salampessy(df 26/2 from Persipura),experienced defender Ambrizal(df 16/1 from Gresik), Kipwu(mf 28/1 from Arema),Rasyid(mf 31/0 from Samarinda) and some other less quality players. .. VERY GOOD PLAYERS...

Bantul is worst team in league,last on table.
Bantul coach Sajuri said: " We will have trouble in the match" (if i translate it well :D ) http://www.tribunnews.com/superball/2014/02/21/persiba-bantul-bakal-bikin-kejutan-persebaya
SOME PLAYERS ARE ILL + BIG PROBLEMS IN DEFENCE!
Bantul have some players ill because of volcan eruption ... they have problems with injuries too Yohan Ibo(df 1/0), Eduardo Bizarro(df 1/0) and Hery Prasetyo(df 0/0) are injured. another defender Lestaluhu(df 3/0) have injury problems but will be forced to play.
coach Sajuri also say: Players are in poor condition , as a result of volcanic eruption they can train only 3 days. Sajuri expect poor result
http://www.merdeka.com/sepakbola/kalah-telak-dari-psm-ini-alasan-persiba-bantul.html

last match Persebaya 2-0 Bantul (on 12/01/2014)
now Bantul weakned a lot so i expect bigger win!


Israel
Yehuda - H.Arce

Arce +0,5ah @1.85 (bet365)
stake: 2/10

quality is imo on away side and this odds are unrealistic.

Yehuda is last on table with only 15pts,worst team in league. they start playing good in last few rounds 1w-4d but still they are too weak. attacking midifler Agaiev(mf 22/7 top scorer), key defensive midifler Zhairi(mf 18/2) and new signing from Elfsborg- Keene(att 5/1) are unavailable.

Hapoel Arce have some brazilians in squad and they should gain at least 1 point in this match. Now they bring Hamdi Salihi , good albanian striker who score 2 goals in first two matches!

I would play here with higher stakes but i am scared because of their relationships and history matches (they often fix 2/1 ; 1/2)
if match is clear this pick should be won without problems


England League One

Leyton Orient - Swindon 1 @1.91 (bet365 ; pinnacle)
stake: 5/10

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/england/league-one/leyton-orient-swindon/Qopzi9S1/
Leyton is one of the best teams in league , they are 2nd on table and must win matches like this if they want to get direct promotion. They have killing attacking duo Lisbie and Mooney (together 27g scored). They had problems with goalkeepers position but now everything is ok.
On home ground Leyton have 9w-2d-4l , i expect another win today.

Swindon have one of the youngest teams in league , very young and talented players who are in Swindon on loan. Club have financial problems from last year and they cant bring good players because lack of money.
big problems with absences. important central defender Grant Hall(df 26/0), best striker Nile Ranger(att 23/8 top scorer),key midifler Ryan Mason(mf 18/5),very important Alex Pritchard(mf 28/5) and Louis Thompson(mf 18/0) are all INJURED. very important winger N'Guessan(mf 20/8 top scorer) is doubtfull (he will make late fitness test). other two important defenders Nathan Thompson(df 29/1) and Jay McEveley(df 19/0) are suspended. also dont forget that top scorer in 1st half of season Nicky Ajose(att 16/6 ,2nd scorer) left club! http://www.teamtalk.com/match/preview/978/9177336
Swindon is tipical home team, on away ground they won only 13points (from total 45)

last match Swindon 1-3 Leyton ... now Swindon much weaker I expect home win. higher stakes.


Bulgaria
Loko Sofia - Neftokhimik
pick: loko -1eh @1.91 (paddypower)

stake: 3/10
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/bulgaria/a-pfg/lok-sofia-neftochimic-burgas/zZA90MvC/
Loko have some new signings Daniel Genov , Baseya and Taider

Nefto in financial problems,no money,no salaries,no home stadium... club left: Yuri Ivanov(mf 11/0),Deyan Hristov(att 17/2),Zhivko Petkov(att 21/1),Denchev(first gk 11/0),Patev(df 12/0),Yoshev(df 10/0),Chipev(mf 11/3 key midifler),Tsonkov(mf 12/1),Sechkov(df 7/0),Dimitrov(mf 17/4 best player)
in last match Nefto had only 16 players in squad ...

last match Nefto 0-2 Loko
(now Nefto much weaker)


Spain Segunda Division
Las Palmas - Girona 2 @4.45 (pinnacle)
stake: 1/10

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/spain/segunda-division/las-palmas-girona/fis52lDL/
h2h , time for away win?
Head-to-head: Las Palmas - Girona
Segunda Division 2013/2014
GironaLas Palmas0:22.053.303.4122.09.2013
Segunda Division 2012/2013
Las PalmasGirona5:21.843.463.9717.02.2013
GironaLas Palmas5:02.083.253.3316.09.2012
Segunda Division 2011/2012
Las PalmasGirona3:22.003.133.7503.03.2012
GironaLas Palmas4:22.063.163.5024.09.2011
Segunda Division 2010/2011
GironaLas Palmas1:12.023.133.5810.04.2011
Las PalmasGirona1:11.623.505.1913.11.2010
Segunda Division 2009/2010
Las PalmasGirona0:11.713.264.9905.06.2010
GironaLas Palmas0:22.233.013.1810.01.2010
Segunda Division 2008/2009
GironaLas Palmas2:22.192.903.3428.03.2009
Las PalmasGirona2:21.992.993.7225.10.2008
They also have three suspecious matches
Las Palmar 5-2 Girona  (over 6,5 goals)
Girona 4-2 Las Palmar (ht 1-2 ; ft 4-2) clear fixed 2/1 , guests with two red cards. link
Las Palmas 3-2 Girona (ht 0-1; ft 3-2) another imo fixed match 2/1.Hosts get red card in 72min and with player less they score 2 goals and won! link , video,goals.

only 2 transfers between them http://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/en/ud-las-palmas-girona-fc/vergleich/basics_2350734.html
last one was this season Tato(from Las Palmas to Girona for FREE!)

referee will be Pedro Sureda > http://int.soccerway.com/referees/pedro-sureda-cuenca/95621/ , very suspecious referee,he want to give red cards and penalty kicks.


_______________
Turkey
Galatasaray - Besiktas

big derby,full stadium , all tickets are sold.
Galata without Yilmaz(mf 6/0).
Besiktas without Sivok(df 12/2),Escude(df 10/2) and Gulum(df 15/0) - all three central defenders. Ozyakup(mf 13/3) and new signing Jones are doubtfull.


England Premier League
Arsenal - Sunderland

Arsenal without Diaby(mf 0/0),Kallstrom(mf 0/0),Ramsey(mf 19/8),Vermalen(df 7/0),Gibbs(df 22/0) and Walcott(att 13/5).
Sunderland without Westwood(first gk 10/0) and Brown(df 13/0)

Chelsea - Everton
Chelsea without Luiz(df 14/0).
Everton without Gibson(mf 1/0),Kone(att 5/0),Oviedo(mf 8/0) and Lukaku(att 18/8)

Cardiff - Hull
Cardiff without Hudson(df 2/0),Bellamy(att 14/1) and Medel(mf 25/0).
Hull without Dudgeon(df 0/0),McShane(df 9/0) and Brady(att 16/3).

Cristal Palace - Manchester United
Crystal Palace is full.
Man utd without Nani(att 8/0) and Welbeck(att 16/8). doubtfull are Evans and Jones both central defenders


Greece SuperLeague
OFI - Olympiakos

OFI without Bourbous(df 24/0),Milhazes(df 25/0),Fragoulakis(mf 8/1) and Lampropoulos(mf 13/1).
Olympiakos without Siovas(df 11/0),Torres(df 5/0) and new signing Valdez(att 2/1) all injured. while Dominguez(mf 19/5),Maniatis(mf 19/4),Marcano(df 3/1),N Dinga(mf 15/0) and Olaitan(att 15/8) will be rested,also Saviola(att 22/11) will be probably on bench, dont forget that they sell top scorer Mitroglou.

Levadiakos - Asteras
Levadiakos without Vukcevic(mf 0/0) and Lampropoulos(mf 16/1).
Asteras without Hernandez(first gk 18/0),Bartolini(df 0/0),Lisgaras(df 3/0),Sankare(df 6/1),Goian(df 23/1),Lluy(df 14/1),Navarro(att 15/1) and Delgado(att 17/4) are all unavailable.


Germany 3 Liga
Heidenheim - Saarbrucken
best team vs worst team.
heidenheim without imp missings.
Saarbrucken without Maek(mf 9/1),Eggert(mf 13/0),Kreuels(mf 8/0),Marque(df 7/0),Fa;lkenberg(df 19/),Korte(mf 22/3 ,4th top scorer),Hoffmann(mf 21/5 ,2nd top scorer) and Rathgeber(att 18/4 ,3rd top scorer)


Dortmund II - Duisburg

local derby
Dortmund II without Sarr(df 14/0),AminI(mf 15/1),BandowskI(df 17/1),Bajner(Att 23/3 ,3rd top scorer) and Ducksh(att 18/12 top scorer)
Duisburg without Gardawski(mf 17/1),Dum(mf 20/0) and Wolze(mf 22/4)


Portugal Liga de Hondra
Santa Clara - Portimonense

Santa Clara without important absences.
Portimonense without Mica(mf 26/3),best player Kanazaki(mf 23/6),new signing brazilian Diogo(mf 3/0), first gk and few other players.