Tuesday, October 29, 2013

30/10 (wedensday) interesting informations & some picks

Spain Segunda Divison B
Villareal B - Baleares
pick: Balaeres +0,25ah
odds: 1.93 (bet365) ; 1.90 (188bet)
FT 1-2 pick WON

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/spain/segunda-division-b-group-3/villarreal-b-baleares/44HEKUip/

Villareal without 9 players + 2 other are doubtful!!!
Pablo González(mf 8/1), Juanto(att 9/5 top scorer), Pepe Palau(mf 7/0), Galas(df 1/0), Felipe(df 1/0), Richi, Toño y Carlos Esteve are injred , Camara(mf 10/4 ,2nd scorer) is suspended. key defenders Diego Jiménez(df 9/0) y Fran García(df 8/0) missed last match and both are highly doubtful for today!
http://www.mundodeportivo.com/20131029/futbol/el-villarreal-b-pretende-destronar-al-lider-pese-a-las-bajas_54392541971.html
Baleares is 1st on table , play very good have good squad and ambitions for promotion. They should be favourite in this match.

totally wrong line by bookies.
GL



Holland Cup
Zwolle - Wilhelmina
pick: zwolle -2eh
odds: 1.75 (betsafe , betsson) ; 1.7 (sportingbet)
FT 4-0 pick WON

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/netherlands/knvb-beker-2013-2014/zwolle-wilhelmina-IqPOKfnP/#eh;2
Wilhemina is one amateur club from 7th division (maybe lower :D ) ... before 3 years in cup they lost 1-11 vs Katwijk (weak team from 3rd or 4th leage ...)
Wilhelmina's "players" are training just 3 times in a week !! (it is very hard for them because all of them have some other job like; delivery boy , mechanics , teachers ...)

now I expect Zwolle to crush them
about Zwolle I dont have to write , they are team from Eredivisie(best league in holland) , they are in very good shape currently on high 5th position!! doing great this season. Atmoshfere in team is on high level they want to make big win for their fans today.


Italy
Juventus - Catania

Juve without Lichtsteiner(df 5/1),Pepe(att 0/0),Quagliarella(att 5/1) and Vucinic(att 5/1)
Catania have problems with absences , out are; Spolli(df 5/0), Cabalceta(df 0/0), Peruzzi(df 0/0), Plašil(mf 7/1), Bellusci(df 6/0), Monzon(df 6/0), Boateng(att 2/0), Barrientos(mf 7/3)

Milan - Lazio

Milan without Bonera(df 0/0),Mexes(df 7/1),Silvestre(df 2/1),Pazzini(att 0/0) and El Shaarawy(att 2/0)
Lazio without Novaretti(df 3/0),Dias(df 3/1),Biava(df 1/0),Konko(df 2/0),Freitas(df 0/0),Lulic(mf 7/2) and Biglia(mf 6/0)


Russia Cup
SKA Energiya - V.Novogorod
odds for home win dropping reason is that guests will use mixed team in this match , half of squad is youngsters ...
http://www.fcvolgann.ru/volga-info/news/team/20227/


Macedonia First League
Makedonija GP - Rabotnicki
very suspecious match for me ... Makedonija in good relationships with champion Vardar and FFM's boss Ilco. In many matches they had help from referees , I expect in this one again help from referee.
Rabotnicki have good team with two excellent players in attack Krste Velkovski and Mancevski ...
this odds for away win and x2 are value but this smells me on some agreed match so no bet for me.
FT 2-3 ...


Shkendija - Bregalnica Stip

Shkendija in must win situation , they are in relegation zone now so powerfull and rich boss who invest a lot of money in club said if they dont win tomorrow there will be cleaning in squad and staff!!! so they must win.
Maznov(att 10/2) and Shabani(mf 6/0) are out for Shkendija
Bregalnica have problems with injuries. Bozhinovski(first gk 11/0) is injured, he will be replaced by Kolev ... two central defenders I.Stojanov(df 10/0) and D.Stojanov(df 8/2) are also navailable , Iliev(mf 6/1) and Gjoreski(df 5/0) are doubtfull (not fully recovered)
http://sportefe.com.mk/index.php/2012-03-30-02-55-37/2012-03-30-03-19-20/4969-2013-10-29-13-49-30


Croatia CUP
Cibalia - Zadar x2 @1.3
FT 0-2 won

2nd league team vs 1st league team.
Cibalia's coach in interview said that cup is not too much important competition for them so he will make rotations!

Novigrad - Inter Zapresic

Novigrad is outsider , today they will miss 3 standard players. Ugrina , Valenta and Mahmedagic are unavailable

Zagreb - Istra X2 @1.33 good for some combo bet
FT 0-0 won

Zagreb for weekend have important derby match in 2nd league vs Cibalia (candidate for promotion) so coach will make some rotations today to keep some players fresh. For this match Livaković(first gk 8/0), Dedić(mf 9/2), Medić(att 10/3), Mitrović(att 6/0), Ljubičić(mf 7/1) and Jurić are unavailable

Istra will play with strongest possible line up , unavailable are only Horvat(df 6/1) and Havojic(att 8/1), brazilian Jo(att 13/3) is doubtful.

Bosnia and Hercegovina
Gradacac - Travnik

last season Travnik was in big relegation problems , in last round they need to win to secure their status in 1st league and Gradacac let them to win (odds for home win were just 1.25  LOL), I think now it is time for payback.

Rudar - Vitez 1x @1.22 (bet365)
FT 2-1 won

both teams desperate needs this points.
Vitez without 5 important players - Brekalo(df 11/0), Šišić(mf 9/0), Kapetan(att 12/1), Dedić(mf 11/2), Jurčević(df 7/0)

Velez - Radnik 1x @1.22 (bet365)
FT 5-2 won

radnik without  Lučić(first gk 13/0),Jevtić(df 10/0), Kojić(df 10/0), Mašić(mf 7/0), Vučić(att 10/2).
velez want to win to make good atmosfhere in front of derby match next weekend .. they are very strong on home ground

02/10 early bet !!!

Croatia 1 NHL
Lok.Zagreb - Din.Zagreb

pick: Dinamo -0,5ah
odds: 1.68 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/croatia/1-hnl/lok-zagreb-d-zagreb/U5HlOnVR/

two teams which are in very very good relationships!!!!

you all know that Mamic is owner of this two team (he is not owner on Lokomotiva on paper but he is main person there!). Mamic is big croatian football boss , many people hate him but there are also many who love him. He have big connections in UEFA and FIFA , also he is very powerfull in HNS (croatian football federation) ...


now let me tell you about owner of Lokomotiva (person who is on paper) and Mamic.
Lokomotiva's owner is Bozidar Sikic , he is Mamic's best friend!
Sikic first was coach in young categories in Dinamo! he make lot of money for Mamic (
-Sikic bring Mateo Kovacic from Linz in Dinamo Zagreb , Dinamo sell him in Inter for 15 million euros.
-he also bring Sime Vrsaljko who later was sold for 4 millions euros in Genoa.
-he saw talent in Dejan Lovren , who later was sold for 7 millions euros in Lyon!
- Corluka - 11milions euros!!
- Sikic was the man who bring Luka Modric in Dinamo when he was 15 years old ... than after some time Modric was sold for 18 millions!!!
http://www.jutarnji.hr/bozidar-sikic-bio-je-izbacivac-iz-saloona--a-onda-je-mamicu-donio-bar-50-milijuna-eura/1114922/

before 3-4 years when Mamic decide to make Lokomotiva their brother's team Mamic send there Sikic who is his best friend he is main person in club after Mamic.


take a look at transfers between Lokomotiva and Zagreb ... all transfers for free of course.
http://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/en/nk-lokomotiva-zagreb-gnk-dinamo-zagreb/vergleich/basics_2326197.html

Lokomotiva now have 7 ex Dinamo's players. Lokomotiva's coach is Tomislav Ivkovic , he is ex Dinamo's football player , he start his football carrer in Dinamo!

last season they played for first time in their history 1/2
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/croatia/1-hnl-2012-2013/matchdetails.php?matchid=Yq31RTLN

same city,same stadium,same boss,lot of transfers,great relationships ... Dinamo need points , clear away win!

Thursday, October 24, 2013

26/10 free early pick

Today I will go in Skopje and I will come back in sunday , so no picks till sunday. this is one early bet with good info , good luck and hear you soon.

Croatia 1 NHL
Zadar - RNK Split

pick: 2
odds: 2.20 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/croatia/1-hnl/zadar-rnk-split/YJXo4Rwd/
FT 0-1 pick WON


value odds

RNK Split make very good team this season but they started season very bad and that is the reason why now they have 8 points less than leading teams...
RNK Split in last round won champion Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 , before that they draw vs strong Hajduk on away ground 0-0 , vs strong Rijeka they played 1-1 ... so when you see this results you will understand that RNK Split is really good this season

Zadar is just one average team who will fight to stay in league this season.

for those who believe in 3for3 matches here is something interesting ---
I see one good cooperation between this two teams.
h2h
Head-to-head: Zadar - RNK Split
1. HNL 2013/2014
RNK SplitZadar1:31.314.529.1009.08.2013
1. HNL 2012/2013
ZadarRNK Split2:22.343.192.7426.05.2013
ZadarRNK Split1:02.583.072.5508.12.2012
RNK SplitZadar3:11.433.986.5615.09.2012
1. HNL 2011/2012
ZadarRNK Split2:12.133.093.2207.04.2012
RNK SplitZadar3:11.463.766.6901.10.2011
1. HNL 2010/2011
RNK SplitZadar3:21.573.635.0607.05.2011
ZadarRNK Split1:02.183.152.9830.10.2010

SEASON 2010/11 
first match Zadar 1-0 Split
(before that match Split was high on 3rd place while Zadar need points to escape from relegation zone , Zadar win with funny penalty in 93min)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBN54vBZVl8 watch here :D


second match Split 3-2 Zadar
(so many funny mistakes from both defences ... in that match Split with win secure europe league place and they won easy.)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MOCnYKpG3dY watch highlights here.

SEASON 2011/12
second match in season Zadar 2-1 Split (ht 0-1)
zadar need points to stay in league and they make 2/1 - really suspecios!

SEASON 2012/13
last match in last season Zadar 2-2 Split 
obiviosly fixed for Zadar to stay in league because they needed just one point. with that draw teams continue cooperation 4for4.


this season start with an away win for Zadar with really high odds! pretty suspecios. Now it is time for RNK Split's win. also quality is on their side!!

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

infos 23/10 wednesday

Basketball
MZT Skopje - Maccabi Haifa
pick: Maccabi +4ah
odds: 1.80 (pinnacle , sbobet)

http://www.betexplorer.com/basketball/europe/eurocup/skopje-maccabi-haifa/QJyVKG8E/?section=ah-odds
FT 83-86 pick WON


MZT favourite in this match? I cant understand why... in this season MZT for first time will play in EuroCup , we have one average team who is nothing special , there isnt real leader in this team someone who can lead this team to glory ... someone say it is Stojanovski but he is just 25 years old and he is unavailable for today , big blow for MZT.
true MZT have big fan support , home field means a lot for them but they have two important missings..
Damjan Stojanovski(SG 15,0ppg) is injured and cant play , while Davis(SG/SF 8,5ppg) is also injured but he is questionable there are minimum chances for him to play tonight. Kiril Nikolovski(C 3,7ppg last season) important in rotation is also out.

Maccabi Haifa have good team , before few days they play vs strong Maccabi Tel Aviv , they lost 75-73 but in one moment Haifa was leading with 17pts !!!! Maccabi Haifa played vs some NBA teams in preparation matches which is big plus for them. Maccabi is still without win in new season but they strongly believe that first win will be tonight

big minus for MZT is fast tempo , team isnt prepared for so fast tempo , this will be their 4th match in 10 days.. you will see tiredness will start to effect in last 1/4 ;)



Croatia 2 NHL
Inter Zapresic - NK Solin 1 @1.40 (bet365)
Inter last season relegate from 1st league and now they want fast come back. after 11 rounds they are 3rd on table with 19pts (just 2 points less than 1st placed Radnik)..

NK Solin is 2nd from bottom with 11pts in 11matches .. nk solin have problems with absences , out are Kotromanović(df 10/0), Kovač(mf 5/1), Ercegovac(mf 2/0), Balić(att 6/0), Obilinović(att 4/0), Vučković, Bilonić(mf 2/0), Svalina(0/0)


Cibalia - Dugopolje
Dugopolje without Kovač(att 2/0), Klarica, Mikuličić, Caktaš(mf 8/0), Tešija(mf 0/0), Vladislavić(mf 5/0).

Gorica - Radnik Sesvete

radnik is dinamo's team .. currently they are 1st on table they have money for 1st league but i dont know their ambitions..
gorica without Mandarić(mf 3/0), Šare(df 6/0), Težak(mf 7/2), Hadžić(mf 9/2)
Sesvete without Mamić(df 4/0), Mihaljević(att 10/3), Bekić(mf 10/1), Kwedi, Kolar(att 3/1)

Rudes - Zagreb

rudes miss Vincek(first gk 2/0), Džolan(df 6/1), Valentić(df 4/0), Baltić(mf 2/0), Gudelj(att 0/0), Krezo, Živko.
Zagreb miss Livaković(first gk 8/0), Kovačić, Jurić, Dedić(mf 9/2)

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

free pick 22/10 tuesday

England League One
MK Dons - Carlisle 

pick: Carlisle +1ah
odds: 1.92 (188bet ; pinnacle)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/england/league-one/milton-keynes-dons-carlisle/rFzDMHPF/?section=ah-odds
FT 0-1 pick easy WON


MK Dons in problems with absences.

Martin(first gk 11/0), Ali(mf 8/1),Kay(mf 9/1),Gleeson(mf 12/0), Williams(mf 12/4 , 2nd scorer),Banton(mf 7/1) and Bowditch(att 0/0) are unavailable. while Chadwick(mf 11/1) is doubtful.

so big problems for MK Dons in midfield , key players in midfield Williams , Gleeson , Chadwick are missing , another options in midfield Banton , Kay and Ali are also missings....
http://www.teamtalk.com/match/preview/978/8984227/MK-Dons-v-Carlisle-preview

Carlisle on last 4 matches on away ground have 1w-2d-1l (those lsot match was minimum lost with 1-0) ...
guests will miss Miller(att 7/1) and Berret(mf 11/0) , but they will find replacement for them.

good odds which i must take.

Monday, October 21, 2013

free pick monday 21/10

Romania Basketball
Timbra Timisioara - Energia

pick; Energia -8ah
odds: 1.85 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/basketball/romania/divizia-a/timba-timisoara-energia-rovinari/xIHd7V8I/?section=ah-odds
FT 70-87 pick WON


Timbra in financial problems. because of that reason two key players Brown(C 10,5ppg -captain) and Glynn(SF 11,5ppg) left team.

Energia have very good roster with 4 american guys in starting five ... they start bad but now I expect from them an easy win

Sunday, October 20, 2013

free picks sunday

Macedonia 
Makedonija GP - Pelister
pick: Pelister +0ah
odds: 1.88 (sbobet) ; 1.75 (188bet)
FT 0-0 pick VOID!

big quality difference on away side.
Pelister in last match lost vs Vardar in biggest derby in our country but they lost on bad way , Pelister score goal in 90min but coach dissallowed the goal because it was offside (but it was clear goal ..) , fans , players , board and president are very angry on FFM and now referee will have to be on Pelister side in next matches (tipical thing in our league).

I have friend in Makedonija GP and he told me; "Pelister is much better team , this will be hard match for us.. we will wait our chances on counter attacks"so this tell you everything , Makedonija GP is young team no experience they get help from referees in some matches because FFM's president Ilco is ex Makedonija GP coach (all persons who work with Ilco in Makednija GP are now in federation!!) but today they wont have help from referee because referee will be Stevce Sulevski for me one of best referees in league.

Pelister will control the match whole the time but problem for this pick is missing of Dragarski(df 10/1) in Pelister , best young defender in league. that is the reason why I take safer option.

GL



Finland Veikausliiga
VPS - Jaro
pick: 1
odds: 1.5 (sportingbet)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/finland/veikkausliiga/vps-jaro/2imvSbHe/
FT 3-0 pick WON
quality,form,home field,fans and motivation on home side.
VPS is doing good in last 6 matches they have 3 wins and 3 draws (they draw vs champion HJK!), they have to win this match if they want to stay on 3rd place and play Europe League qualifications next year!
VPS without Smith(df 16/0) and Parikka(att 18/4)

Jaro in very bad form , 7 lost matches in a row , 11 matches without a win (4d-7l)!! for this match they will be little weakned becuase Kujala(df 0/0),Skrabb(m 9/2),Jovanovic(df 17/1) and Wichester(att 23/8 top scorer) are unavailable, plus important midifler Emet(mf 24/8 top scorer) is questionable but I dont think that coach will risk him.


Ukraine 2 Division
Zirka - Nyva

pick: 1
odds: 1.75 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/ukraine/division-2/zirka-kirovograd-nyva-ternopil/ni1IKGfb/
FT 1-0 pick WOn

Nyva have problems with absences. Romanyuk(df 13/0),Yanevich(df 13/1)B.Baranets(mf 13/2),G.Baranets(mf 11/1) and Melnik(att 13/6 top scorer) are out. Malysh(mf 11/1) is questionable
so without 6 important players this will be very hard match for Nyva.
Zirka is one solid team , on home ground they always have support from fans (1000 fans average on match).


Russia Division 2 - South
Alania 2 - Novocherkassk 

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/russia/division-2-south/alania-2-novocherkassk/8rkKFWvD/
Alania's first team have big financial problems , main sponsor left team and now players are without salary ...same situation in Alania 2 of course , good news is that they are sure on table and wont relegate.

if they want quick money the best option is to fix something .. last season this two teams played 1/2 so I expect the same today..
last season Alania played 3 times HT/FT , Novocherkassk also played 3 times! this season Alania once but that was long time ago , Novocherkassk this season 0 !!

also interesting is that from all matches in this league only 2 matches will be for live betting (one of those match is Alania 2 - Novocherkassk ) - that is another reason to fix something

2/1 @26.00 (bet365)
1/2 @23.00 (bet365)
for minimal stakes.
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/russia/division-2-south-2013-2014/alania-novocherkassk-8rkKFWvD/#ht-ft;2

Friday, October 18, 2013

saturday bets

odds will drop fast so bet quickly , down you can find usefull infos about missing players

Kazahstan
I.Pavlodar - FC Astana 
pick: 2
odds: 2.30 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/kazakhstan/premier-league/i-pavlodar-fc-astana/SGumAIp8/
FT 0-1 pick WON

I.Pavlodar in problems! Financial crisis in club , players are without wages and after 15 days league ends and players contracts will end , players are unpleased with situation in club and they want to leave club!
they will probably boycott this match because of unpaid wages!!!!!
http://vesti.kz/kazfutbol/180679/
one player said; We are a year without salary , we are without motivation
http://vk.com/irtysh_fc?w=wall-28692219_33992


Situation is terrible ... Motivation is definitely on away side and I expect away win here.

Astana is one of best teams in Kazahstan , they have big stadium , rich owner , lot of money , good players and big ambitions .. they played qualifications in Europe and they get some bonus money from UEFA , now they again want Europe and if they continue with good results they will qualify.

this is must win match for Astana if they want to fight for title (next match they play vs 1st placed Aktobe)
dnb2 @1.81 (marathonbet) is safer bet


Lithuania
Ekranas - Zalgiris

pick: 2
odds: 1.73 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/lithuania/a-lyga/ekranas-zalgiris/zaYGNVop/
FT 1-1 pick lost (ekranas score in 92min from penalty kick !)


big derby match

Zalgiris is best team in league , amazing form , playing good football , have good players and situation in club is amazing..

on other side hosts are in problems , they have problems inside the team + problems with absences
Ekranas without 6 first team players + 3 more are doubtful Kucys(mf 5/0),Kavaliauskas(mf 18/6),Varnas(att 19/5),Tomkevicius(mf 21/6) and Slavickas(mf 27/0) are out. Umeh(att 16/4),Denic(att 7/1) and Timofejevas(who was first gk on last two matches) are doubtfull , all of them have injuries and I dont know about situation now ....

quality and experience on away side .. expect away win!



___________
China
Dalian Aerbin - Shangai Shenhua

Dalian without Xuepeng(df 22/1) and Tao(mf 22/1).
Shangai without Jiajun(df 23/0) and Liang(mf 14/3)

Renhe - Liaoning

Renhe in full squad and need win to secure their position in top 4 !!
Liaoning's coach decide to rotate team , today without Zhang Lu(first gk 15/0),Jie(mf 8/0),Jingyang(mf 11/0),Junzhe(mf 24/1),Zhang Ye(mf 20/0),Yusong(mf 4/1),Bo(df 14/0),Gaojun(df 18/0) and best player Edu(att 23/14 top scorer)

Jiangsu - Shandong

Shandong without Geng Xiafoeng(first gk 20/0),Lu Zheng(att 25/2),Leonardo(att 7/1) and Yang Xu(att 25/4)

Italy Serie A
Milan - Udinese

Milan without Mexes(df 7/1), De Jong(mf 6/0), Bonera(df 0/0), De Sciglio(df 0/0), Pazzini(att 0/0 ,last season top scorer), El Shaarawy(att 2/0 , last season 2nd scorer), Balotelli(att 4/3)
Udinese without Brkić(gk 0/0) and Domizzi(df 2/0)

Spain Primea
Real Madrid - Malaga

Real without Xabi Alonso(mf 0/0) and Varane(df 1/0). Benzema(att 8/2) is doubtfull.
Malaga miss Ferreira(df 0/0) and Angeleri(df 8/0)

Osasuna - Barcelona
Osasuna wihout armenteros(att 8/1),Loe(mf 3/0) and Nino(att 0/0).
Barca without Alba(df 3/0),Alves(df 7/2),Pique(df 8/0) and Sanchez(att 6/4). good news Messi(att 6/8) is back in team!

Germany Bundesliga
Braunschwig - Schalke
braunschwig without Petkovic(gk 4/0), Correia(df 3/0), Hochscheidt(mf 4/0), Theuerkauf(mf 7/0)
schalke without Hildebrand(first gk 8/0), K. Papadopoulos(df 0/0), Annan(mf 0/0), K.-P. Boateng(mf 5/3), J. Jones(mf 7/0), Farfan(mf 6/1), Huntelaar(att 2/2), Obasi(att 0/0)


Slovakia
Nitra - Kosice

Nitra without Kasprak(df 11/0), Ivančik(mf 3/0), Barroso(df 6/1), Vestenicky(att 3/0), Hala.
Koscie without Korijkov(df 6/0), Viazenko(mf 12/2) is doubtful


Italy Serie B
Brescia - Cittadella 

Brescia without Di CEsare(df 4/2),Lasik(df 4/0),Freddi(df 7/0),Diouf(mf 0/0),Mitrovic(att 7/1) and long term injured Corvia(att 0/0)
Cittadela without Paolucci(mf 4/0),Lora(mf 3/0),Donnarumma(att 6/2),Montini(att 4/0) and Di Roberto(att 9/1)

Modena - Reggina

Modena without Zoboli(df 7/0),Rizzo(mf 7/0),Burrai(mf 1/0),Bruno(at 5/0)
Riggina without Contessa(df 1/0),Maicon(df 9/0),Sbaffo(mf 0/0),Cocco(att 8/1) and Di Michele(att 9/1)

Padova - Juve Stabia

good news for Padova Ampuero(mf 6/0),Iori(mf 5/0),Vantaggiato(Att 2/0),Voltan(att 1/0) and jelenic(att 5/0) are back after injury.

Pescara - Latina

Pescara without Pelizzoli(first gk 6/0),Capuano(df 6/0),Nielsen(mf 8/0),Piscitella(att 4/0) and long term injured Sforzini(att 0/0 , key striker).
Latina with no important missings.

Empoli - Varese

Empoli without Barba(df 2/0) and Shekiladze(Att 1/0). BACK ARE: Hysay(df 6/0),Accardi(df 2/0) and rugani(df 8/0)
Varese without Blasi(mf 0/0),Rea(df 9/1) and Forte(att 3/0)

friday 18/10 picks & infos

Holland
Almere - Eindhoven

Almere is full , no injuries or suspensions.
Eindhoven with some important missings,3 top scorers are missings!! out are: N'Toko(df 10/3 key defender),Gunst(df 9/0),Driest(mf 5/0),Deschilder(mf 12/1),Makiavala(att 6/4 top scorer) and van den Hurk(att 12/4 top scorer).

Den Bosch - Excelsior

pick: Excelsior +0ah
odds: 2.22 (12bet;dafabet) ; 2.19 (sbobet)
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/netherlands/eerste-divisie-2013-2014/den-bosch-excelsior-2oKgXndi/#ah;2
FT 3-2 pick lost

form and quality is on away side.
Den Bosch without long term injured Appels(first gk 1/0),Stam(key defender 1/0) and van Weert(att 0/0 ,last season top scorer). also out are; Vicente(df 8/0),Bakx(att 7/0),Vogel(mf 7/1),de Bock(df 11/1) and Hofstede(df 11/0) !!!
real problem for Den Bosch is in defence because 3 central defenders are missing (Stam,Bock and Hofstede) !!!! so probably Casper(df 3/0) and Vitenheuis(df 2/0) will play on CD positions ... they are reserve players who are 3rd choice for coach but in this situation coach must use them ....

Excelsior usually play with 3 strikers , they have two amazing strikers Hutten and Veldwijk! interesting is that Hutten is playing like RWF (right side) and Den bosch is missing LB Vicente (left back) ....

imo this odds are mistake .. den bosch is in bad form , have important missings in defence , playing bad in last rounds .. Excelsior start good this period (probably you know that league is on periods they have 2w-0d-1l this period if they win this match they will go in top 3 places of this period!!!)

GL


Steaua - V.Costanca 1 @1.19
FT 4-0 pick WON

last season Steaua gave 3 points to Vitorul (owners are friends) , for that match Steaua's boss go in prison because it was fixed match (FT 2-5 ...) everybody was betting on away win ....
now I think it is time for pay back , steaua need win for their morale before CL match so home win is banker.

Thursday, October 17, 2013

free pick

Belgium u17 - Bulgaria u17
belgium -1ah
odds: 1.67 (188bet)
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/europe/euro-u17-2014/belgium-bulgaria-4UbZuANh/#ah;2
FT 2-0 pick WON

I know that i miss the real value but still worth to bet.

match will be played in Macedonia , i will watch this match live ...

writing from my mobile I found out that Bulgaria u17 on this match will be without 3 important players Vutov (levski) , Despotov(litex) and Velkov(slavia) !!!

Belgium u17 have very good young team , they have players who play in Manchester City and Anderlecht , also they have great striker Bakali who is playing in PSV!!

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

16/10 infos

Ireland Premier League
Limerick - Shelbourne

http://cheguevarapicks.blogspot.com/2013/09/monday_30.html  after this lost bet on Shelbourne I will never bet on them anymore ... (they have leading 2-0 and at the end 2-2 ...)

2 rounds till end of season , Limerick in middle of table ,they are playing for nothing just for their fans and that is the problem for Shelbourne ... this is last match on home ground for Limerick so probably they will want to finish season with win ...

few suspecious matches between them
-- http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/ireland/fai-cup-2011/matchdetails.php?matchid=SUkLJckk 7+
-- http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/ireland/division-1-2011/matchdetails.php?matchid=jeJxMaBt 1/2
-- http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/ireland/premier-league/matchdetails.php?matchid=4AQrX0OF 2/1

Limerick without Oji(df 6/00,Folan(mf 30/1),Purcell(df 2/0),McGann(att 3/0),Tracy(mf 22/6) and Galbraith(mf 28/0).
Shelbourne without Memery(df 16/0),Shortall(df 20/1),Cronin(mf 12/0),Bayly(mf 17/0),Brennan(mf 27/2) and Leech(att 17/1)
no bet for me.


Brazil Serie A
Atletico PR - Atletico MG

same names but this is not derby , they are not rival teams. distance is huge.
Atletico Pr without Rocha(df 3/0),Alberto(df 23/1) and Dellatorre(Att 16/3)
lot of missings for guests , out are; Victor(first gk 23/0),Silva(df 22/1),Richarlyson(df 12/0),Rever(df 18/0),Gilberto Silva(df 6/0),Michael(df 10/0),Guilherme(mf 10/0),RONALDINHO(mf 13/5),Pierre(mf 22/0),Datolo(mf 8/1) and best striker Jo(att 15/5)

Gremio - Corinthians

http://leaguespy.com/preview.php?id=24362&mylang=en free preview!!!!



Tuesday, October 15, 2013

free picks 15/10

FA CUP 
West Auckland - Hednesford
pick: Hednesford
odds: 1.85 (betvictor) 

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/england/fa-cup/west-auckland-town-hednesford/63tp1Wo3/?section=ah-odds
FT 2-2 pick lost (Hednesford have 2 red cards what should we expect)


quality difference is huge , away team is much better,they showed that in first match!
Hednesford is 1st on table in Conference league , they have few quality players like Durell(mf 10/13) and Harvey(att 10/3) who make difference on field! also here is Francis in defence who have premier league experience!!!

West Auckland is weak and young team from 7th league ...

take a look what was happening in first match http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvDwFlS8r5k
Hednesford have so many good chances but at the end result was just 2-2 !!!
Hednesford probably miss 5 clear chances just in 1st half!! In 2nd half they have also 5-6 good chances (and they score 2 goals)

West Auckland score 1 goal from counter attack , shoot from 25metres .. (I would say lucky goal) and the 2nd goal was in last minutes from a lucky situation ......

today I expect Hednesford to create their chances in goals and to win this without problems!
GL



Hockey
Klagenfurt - Vienna Capitals

pick: Vienna -1ah
odds: 1.83 (5dimes) ; 1.78 (pinnacle) 

http://www.oddsportal.com/hockey/austria/ebel-2013-2014/klagenfurt-vienna-capitals-Iwf3oDKj/#ah;2
FT 3-7 pick WON easy!
again Klagenfurt and again against them!

problems for team are not even bigger , 7 players are still out but now they have 2 more important players who are questionable!

Lundmark(key player), Spurgeon(FW 1/1), Geier(FW 5/0), Harand(FW 6/0), Lammers(FW 9/4), Schellander(FW 10/2) and Scofield(FW 8/2) are OUT.
key player Fretter(FW 8/4) and Schuller(FW 11/1) are questionable!!

Klagenfurt in last two matches have goal difference 0:10 (kac 0:3 salzburg , salzburg 7:0 kac) ... while Vienna won salzburg big 9-1 !!!

first match Vienna 4:1 Klagenfurt (in that match Klagenfurt most of this players are lost , what will happen now without them !?!? )
also good bet is Vienna -1,5ah @ 2.10 (paddypower) but limits are low.

Monday, October 14, 2013

monday free info

Czech U21 league
Mas Taborsko U21 - Pribram U21

pick: 2
odds: 2.05 (188bet) ; 2.00 (bet365)
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/czech-republic/youth-league-2013-2014/mas-taborsko-pribram- GhrQXfvN/#1X2;2
FT 1-4 pick WON

I expect odds to drop quickly!

reason is clear, Mas Taborsko U21 is very weak team , when they are playing without help from first team they are playing very very bad .. now Mas Taborsko's first team have match today vs Zlin so U21 team wont have help from first team!!!!!

Pribram is solid team, 11th on table with 20 points.. My friend from czech told me that guests probably will have help from 3-4 players from first team but it is not verified till now.

last their mutual match Pribran U21   7-1   Mas Taborsko U21

GL

Sunday, October 13, 2013

sunday free picks

some usefull infos on facebook page.


Hockey 
Klagenfurt - Salzburg
pick: Salzburg -0,5ah
odds: 1.81 (pinnacle) ; 1.70 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/hockey/austria/ebel/klagenfurt-salzburg/4zjang5p/?section=ah-odds
FT 0-3 pick WON

how and why 1.80 for Salzburg now? I cant understand.

before 2 days they met each other , only difference is that Salzburg was host..
Salzburg 7-0 Klagenfurt , in such situation odds for Salzburg should be around 1.40 today.

I wrote about previous match that Klagenfurt is in big problems with absences , for this match nothing changed. Situation is the same KAC without 7 players. out are: key player Lundmark(FW 0/0), Spurgeon(FW 1/1), Geier(FW 10/3), Harand(FW 6/0), key player Lammers(FW 9/4), Schellander(FW 10/2) and Scofield(FW 8/2) - all foreign players are out...

quality is on away side,they showed their power in previous match I expect something like 1-3 , 2-4 today..

Basketball Macedonia
Lirija - Pelister

pick: Lirija -5,5ah
odds: 1.85 (bet365)
FT 100-68 easy WON

when i saw this i was positive suprised. well done bet365 the only bookie who gave odds for Macedonian Basketballl ...
and of course at the start big mistake ... odds here should be 1.15 maximum.
Lirija last season finished 2nd in regular phase of league!! On home ground they played very good 6w-1l ... Pelister was worst team in league last season , they have only 1w in 14 matches (in regular phase) ... they got 4 americans but nothing from them and they left team ...

h2h
Superleague 2012/2013
PelisterLirija68:8209.03.2013
LirijaPelister100:6608.12.2012
Lirija easily destroy Pelister when Pelister got americans now without americans I expect another easy home win.
GL



World Cup
Ethiopia - Nigeria

pick: 2
odds: 1.91 (paddypower)
FT 1-2 pick WON (lucky in 90min)
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/world/world-cup-2014/ethiopia-nigeria-AJyRi1Sb/#ah;2
In Ethiopia's squad players are mostly from domestic league! They have only 4 players who are playing out from domestic league ... one of them is Kebede(att 17/7 Bidvets Wits , young talent) he is doubtfull for this match!
Nigeria has much better team! They have star players like Moses(mf , Liverpool),Musa(att ,CSKA),Emenike(att , Fenerbahce),Mikel(mf , Chelsea) ... they have good goalkeeper Enyeama(from Lille), also here is Victor Obinna(mf ,  ex Inter) , Onazi(mf , Lazio), in defence they have Oboabona(Rizespor),Ambrose(Celtic) and Echiejile(Braga)

this Nigeria's squad is simply too strong for Ethiopia ...

___________________________________
Brasil
Sao Paulo - Corinthians
city derby between two big rivals!!
Sao Paulo without Antonio Carlos(df 10/3),Toloi(df 11/0),Carleto(df 3/1),Denilson(mf 10/0),Ganso(mf 21/0),Wellingon(mf 20/0) and Luis fabiano(att 20/6 top scorer)
Corinthians miss Renato Augusto(mf 8/1),Pato(att 22/8 top scorer) and Guerrero(att 17/5 ,2nd scorer)


Macedonian Cup
Drita - Metalurg Skopje
drita is 2nd league team , they are 11th on table in 2nd league ... Metalurg will use strongest team! they dont have important absences. value odds on away side.
last season
Drita 1-2 Metalurg , Drita 0-2 Metalurg ... now drita's squad is much weaker than then (they lost 7 first team players)
difference between 1st and 2nd league is big.

Spain Segunda B
Sant Andreu - Elche B

Elche B is 1st on table , playing really good.
Sant Andreu in middle of table , today without Victor(mf 0/0),Guzman(mf 2/0) and Xavi Jimenez(mf 5/1)http://uesantandreu.cat/web/?p=14952

Leganes - Conquense

Conquense without Vega(mf 5/1) and Tajamata(mf 0/0) are injured,Manzano(mf 7/1) is suspended.Arencibia(df 0/0) and Churre(mf 0/0) are also out
https://twitter.com/UBConquense
http://www.vavel.com/es/futbol/segunda-division-b/270520-cd-leganes-ub-conquense-duelo-de-rachas.html
good news for Conquense is that first gk and best player are back after injury/suspension.


Handball
Aalborg - Hamburg

Aalborg will host last season champion! on this match Aalborg is without important players!! out are Mork, Aren(B 0/0), Jakobsson(B 1/4), Larsen(B 2/15 top scorer). Bugge(W 0/0) is questionable.
On backs position they have now only 3 players (all of them shoot with right hand) and they callled 1 junior player!
I miss value odds so I publish this just like info

USA MLS
Portland - Seattle

situation in Portland: Silvestre(df 8/0 ex Man utd),Miller(df 7/0),Richards,Powell(df 4/0),Ganges(df 1/0),Johnsson(mf 25/8) and Wallace(att 25/6) are out , while Nagbe(att 31/9 top scorer) and Piquionne(att 19/1 ex West Ham) are doubtfull , Valeri(mf 29/8) also have small injury.
Seattle without Ford(gk 0/0) , Scott(df 21/0) , Evans(mf 22/4) and Johnsson(att 20/9 top scorer).

Italy Serie B
Bari - Crotone

Bari without Sabelli(df 7/0),Fossati(mf 5/0) and Fedato(att 5/0) - with national team . Massi(df 0/0) is injured.
Crotone without Galardo(mf6/0),Cremonensi(df 6/0),Matute(mf 6/3),Abruzzese(df 2/0),saric(mf 0/0) and Suagher(df 0/0) are injured,Ishak(att 4/2) is on international duty

Palermo - Pescara

Palermo without Hernandez(att 7/5 top scorer),Belotti(att 2/1),Andjelkovic(df 4/1),Ujkani(df 0/0) and Verre(mf 2/0) all on international duty.
Pescara without Pelizzoli(first gk 6/0),Zuparic(df 0/0),Cosic(df 4/0),Viviani(mf 4/2),Ragusa(att 8/1),Sforzini(att 0/0) and Piscitella(att 4/0)

Siena - Avellino
becarefull with Siena because Milos(df 4/0),Matheu(df 1/00,Agostino(mf 5/3) and Giannetti(att 8/4) are out ;)
Avellino miss Zappacosta(df 7/1),Abero(df 1/0) and key midifler Togni(mf 3/0)

Saturday, October 12, 2013

saturday infos and picks

Norway 3 League
Halden - Molde II
pick: 2 
odds: 2.60 (bet365) ; 2.40 (sbobet)
FT 1-3 pick WON

2 rounds till end of season!
Halden in middle of table playing for nothing!! today without couple of players , coach will make some rotations also.
Molde II in relegation zone they must win if they want to stay in league, today they will have help from first team Vatshaug(df 8/1), Flo(df 6/0), Høyland(att 7/1) og Chima(att 24/8) and few others will be in Molde II starting line up!!!
http://www.ha-halden.no/sport/article6913064.ece


Spain Segunda
Real Madrid B - Recreativo Huelva
pick: Recreativo DNB
odds: 2.10 (bet365)
FT 1-2 pick WON

last placed vs first placed and odds for away win 3.00 !? what is happening? I know that Real Madrid B wont relegate but I dont believe that they will win 1st placed Huelva who is in great form with 5 won matches in a row.
situation in Real B:  Derik(df 5/0) and Quini(mf 2/0) are injured. (derik is back on training but coach dont want to risk with him), while Pacheco(first gk 7/0),Benavente(mf 3/0) and Rozzi(att 5/0) are on international duties with their young national teams.
http://www.marca.com/2013/10/11/futbol/2adivision/1381494998.html
Recreativo without Valle(att 0/0), Zambrano(mf 0/0), Vega(df 8/1) and Araujo.

I see big value on DNB2 and I will take it.



starting from today all usefull infos will go on facebook page! here on site I will psot just picks :)


Friday, October 11, 2013

world cup qualification picks

Armenia - Bulgaria 
pick: Bulgaria +0ah
odds: 1.70 (dafabet)
FT 2-1 pick lost , Bulgaria had 2 red cards :-(

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/world/world-cup/armenia-bulgaria/YsNSUoqg/?section=ah-odds

Armenia on home ground 0w-0d-4l , they lost even from Malta (0-1) who is weakest team in league!!

Bulgaria's football federation president is Borislav Mihailov , he will probably lost on next votes .. the only way to stay on that position is Bulgaria to qualify on World Cup, so he search for help from his friends Boiko Borisov and Oresharski (two powerfull persons!).. all of them are in Armenia (which is pretty suspecious ...)

on this match Bulgaria is with strongest possible squad!

take a look what happened when Bulgaria came in Armenia -- http://www.novinite.com/articles/154455/Smoky+Welcome+for+Bulgaria's+National+Team+in+Yerevan
http://www.sportal.bg/news.php?news=451885
Bulgarian players will have big motivation for revenge , they will revenge on the pitch! They have to win this match if they want to qualify for World Cup!

Bulgarian coach said; If they wanted to scary us with such a behaviour that wasnt succsesful , that wont effect on our play.

first match Bulgaria 1-0 Armenia
http://sport.news.am/eng/news/30728/defeating-armenia-will-be-tantamount-to-flyingsportalbg.html

quality is on Bulgarian side!




Iceland - Cyprus 

pick: Iceland -1ah
odds: 1.80 (188bet ; dafabet)  
FT 2-0 pick WON

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/world/world-cup/iceland-cyprus/jmslQALH/?section=ah-odds

I like Iceland's squad , they have good players who are playing in many different european leagues and most of players are regular in their clubs! Defence is not so strong but midfield and attack is very strong. In midfield they have Sigurdsson(from Tottenham),Gudmunsson(from AZ),Gunnarsson(captain from Cardiff),experienced Skulason(from Zulte Waregem) ... in attack they have 3 very good strikers Gudjohnsen(att 73/24 , ex Barcelona,Chelsea ..) , Finnbogason(from Heerenveen , very good striker !!) and Sigthorsson(top scorer in Ajax 2 seasons in a row!) ..
no missings!

Cyprus will be without 4 players who were in starting line up in last match vs Slovenia!  Thephilou , key midifler Makrides , Dobrasinovic and Eleftheriou are out.

Thursday, October 10, 2013

10/10 and 11/10 free picks

11/10/2013Hockey
Salzburg - EC KAC 1 @1.70
FT 7-0 pick easy WON
http://www.betexplorer.com/hockey/austria/ebel/salzburg-klagenfurt/4CBGfHc4/
Salzburg have back Brophey and Hofer from injury, which is very good news. On last theri match on home ground they won Graz with 5-0 !!

KAC without 7 players. out are: key player Lundmark(FW 0/0), Spurgeon(FW 1/1), Geier(FW 10/3), Harand(FW 6/0), key player Lammers(FW 9/4), Schellander(FW 10/2) and Scofield(FW 8/2) ..Schuller(FW 10/1) is questionable
coach said; it is very hard to play with so many absences.



Bulgaria u21 - Russia u21
pick: 2
odds: 2.06 (pinnacle)
FT 3-3 pick lost , russia was leading but nothing ..

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/europe/euro-u21-2015/bulgaria-russia-0KUr76He/
Bulgaria have 2w-1d-1l (they won two times weakest team Andorra) ... on home ground Bulgaria play just 1-1 vs weak Estonia ..
for this match bulgaria will miss some good players.. Anton Nedelkov(df 5/0 Litex) and Angel Grncharov(df 5/0 CSKA) are suspended , captain Georgi Terziev(df 17/1 Ludogorets) and Dimitar Evtimov(gk 5/0 Notthingam) are injured. key players in midfield Todor Nedelev(mf 4/3) and Simeon Slavchev(mf 3/0) are with A team. LINK

Bulgaria squad: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bulgaria_national_under-21_football_team#Current_squad
coach said; becuase we have problems in squad I will give chance to new players who should gain experience and prove themselfs.
Russia u21 after 3 matches is 1st on table with 9pts (3w-0d-0l)
Russia squad:  http://www.rfs.ru/main/news/ct131/77625.html

before 1 month they met and russia was better
U21: Russia 3-1 Bulgaria


Cyprus u21 - Serbia u21
pick: Serbia -1ah
odds: 1.80 (sbobet)
FT 2-1 pick lost

http://www.betexplorer.com /soccer/europe/euro-u21/cyprus-u21-serbia-u21/E5NBa6d3/?section=ah-odds
Cyprus u21 squad is mostly from players from domestic league ... (most of players are from Anorthosis,Apollon,Olympiakos Nicosia , APOEL ...) , this generation is weak ...

Serbia's coach said that they want 2 wins in next 2 matches (vs Cyprus and N.Ireland)  , they are much better team and they should won this matches easily

this Serbia's generation is very good!! + they have some players from those who won Euro Cup before 1 year!!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serbia_national_under-21_football_team#Current_squad this is squad for this match!!
-- Nastasic(df 9/0 from Man City , regular player there) , Aleksandar Pantic (df 8/1 from Villareal),Cosic(df 3/0 from Pesacara) , Uros Vitas (very good defender from Rad),Milunovic(player with big experience with youth national team),Djuricic(mf 12/3 from Benfica , very good midifler!) , and attacking duo Mitrovic and Djurdjevic - two big talents!

update; Nastasic wont be in squad , he will have to play for A national team ... last decision.
Cyprus miss four players A. Kyriakou(df 0/0 from AEL), A. Kristis, C. Kyriakou and Moulazimis(df 1/0 from Paralimni).

first match Serbia 2-1 Cyprus (u21)

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

09/10 free picks and infos

Germany HandballMagdeburg - Kiel
pick: kiel -3,5ah @1.85 (bet365)  
FT 34-31 lost

http://www.betexplorer.com/handball/germany/bundesliga/sc-magdeburg-kiel/rJjfZjDD/?section=ah-odds
Magdeburg in problems with absences. Rojewski(B 8/15), Haaß(B 7/3), Oneto, Grafenhorst(W 3/0) are out.  Natek(B 8/25), Bezjak(B 7/21) and Landsberg(0/0) are doubtful.
Kiel is 1st on table 8w-0d-0l. best team in league,great players,big bench ....
It will be big suprise if weakned Magdeburg make problems to champion Kiel. I expect easy away win.
last match Magdeburg 23-32 Kiel


Germany Regionalliga Bayern
Rosenheim - Heimstetten 1 @1.91 (10bet) ; 1.80 (188bet)  
FT 2-1 pick WON

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/germany/regionalliga-bayern/tsv-1860-rosenheim-heimstetten/61y5ED4S/
quality is on home side, h2h also.

Rosenheim is better team , they are playing good on home ground 2w-2d-3l. In last two home matches Rosenheim score 7 goals (3:1 , 4:1)

For Heimstetten this will be hard season ,they will fight to stay in league , that is their target.
two best players from last season playmaker Hugo Lopes(mf 32/6) and best striker Neumeyer(att 37/23 top scorer) left team. last season 2nd scorer is now out because of injury ...
now they are in bad run ,6 matches without a win.
Heimstetten without important players like Bläser(att 2/1 , last season 13 goals ,2nd scorer),Karg(att 4/4 top scorer!!!),key midifler Knießl(mf 13/3 ,2nd scorer),Siedlitzki(mf 5/0) and Hafele(mf 9/1)
they will be weakned a lot in offense

take a look at this , Rosenheim beat weak Aschaffenburg's team who is equal with Heimsteten , while Heimstetten get just draw vs them.
Rosenheim 3:1 Aschaffenburg
Aschaffenburg 2:2 Heimstetten (hosts lead with 2:0 but heimstetten get draw in last minutes)

[not so important fact but ... ]

GL


_______________________________
Frendly
Ath Bilbao - Mirandes

1st league team vs 2nd league team.
Athletic without Ibai Gómez y Kike Sola(att 1/0) , Muniain(mf 8/1) y Laporte(df 8/0)
Mirandes have problems with injuries , out are ; Juán Muñiz(mf 5/1), Manuel Lucena(df 5/0), Igor Martínez(mf 3/0), Javi Flaño(df 5/0), Borja Docal(mf 4/0) o Francisco Javier Prieto(first gk 5/0)
check line ups and whole preview here; http://www.vavel.com/es/futbol/athletic-de-bilbao/269874-athletic-mirandes-una-fiesta-para-tomarse-en-serio.html


Brazil Serie A
Gremio - Criciuma

gremio withou few important players,out are Alex Telles(df 25/1), Bressan(df 25/0), Ramiro(mf 19/1), Kleber(att 24/5), Riveros(mf 14/3), Vargas(att 12/4).

Cruzeiro - Sao Paulo

Cruzeiro is 1st on table. They have very strong squad, they have players like Julio Baptista(mf 5/4),Nilton(mf 23/7),Wilian(att 16/5) , experienced strikers Borges(att 15/6) and Dagoberto(att 13/1) .. here are also Goulart(att 23/8) and Araujo(att 12/5) , in defence they have Ceara(ex PSG) and Rodrigo(df 28/0) ..

today Cruzeiro will miss Dede(df 26/2).
Sao paulo without Rogério Ceni(first gk 40/1), Luis Fabiano(att 20/6 top scorer), Denilson(mf 6/0 ,ex Arsenal) and two central defenders Rafael Toloi(df 11/0) and Antonio Carlos(df 10/3).

Nautico - Botafogo

lot of suspeciosu matches between them in the past.
nautico last on table , botafogo 4th on table. this odds are imo value on away side ..


Germany Handball
Rhein Necklar - Lemgo

Lemgo without some important players. Hermann(B 7/44 top scorer) is on operation ,while Kehrmann(W 8/26), Lemke(B 7/17) and Zieker(w 8/4) have a flu.
hosts are 2nd placed on table 5w-3d-0l

Monday, October 7, 2013

colombia

Millonarios - Atl.Nacional 
pick: Millonarios DNB
odds: 1.67
bookie: bet365

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/colombia/liga-postobon/millonarios-atl-nacional/zBduNfDL/?section=ha-odds
FT 0-2 lost


Millonarios is playing very good this season, on home ground they are unstopable 4w-2d-0l (14:4 goal difference) .. I think they will stay unbeaten after this match also.

Atletico Nacional is in amazing form, they are 1st on table after 12 rounds with amazing record 9w-3d-0l ... mathematically Nacional is sure in Final stage (play offs after league ends ... strange system)
On 10/09 (just one day after this match) they have important match in Copa Postobon (semi final match!!) coach said that Cup match is more important than this league match so he here coach will use alternative line up!http://www.elcolombiano.com/BancoConocimiento/T/tras_clasificar_nacional_mostrara_caras_nuevas/tras_clasificar_nacional_mostrara_caras_nuevas.asp

I expect odds to drop.



__
update:
of course odds already drop and value is gone I just want to confirm you now that Nacional will rest key players with new links..

link 1: http://noticiadelverde.blogspot.com/ ,
link 2: http://www.elpais.com.co/elpais/deportes/noticias/millonarios-y-atletico-nacional-ponen-dia-liga-postobon-ii?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss-pais&utm_campaign=
link 3: http://www.futbolred.com/public_html/index.php/liga-postobon/noticias/fecha14finalizacin2013/millonarios-y-nacional-juegan-el-clasico-apartado/13107135

Martinez(first gk 15/0),Armani(second gk 12/0),Bernal(df 27/1),Medina(df 27/2),Cardenas(mf 25/6),Valoy(mf 29/2),Mejia(mf 30/0),Angel(att 26/7 top scorer) will be rested