Friday, December 28, 2012

friday 28th december

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Basketball FranceChalon - Strasbourg
Chalon -6,5ah @1.8 (sportingbet)

1st placed Chalon will met with 3rd placed Strasbourg.
Chalon is best team in league,they have great team with many quality players but they have injury problems in last few months and that effect on their results ... but now situation is ok,all players are fit.
Strasbourg is also team with high ambitions but they have many injured players for this match,out are long term injured Zianneveni(PF 6,1ppg) and De Jong(C), + two best players Greer(PF 13,3ppg 7,8rpg 5apg) and american Fitch(SG 17,6ppg top scorer)
so i decide
 bet on Chalon with hendikep.


Orleans - Nancy
after 4 wins in a row Orleans stop,they lost last match (Limoges 75-64 Orleans). Orleans is doing good job this season,on home ground 4w-2l. No injuries in team,they have full squad available
Nancy is worst away team in league 1w-5l,before start of season they change almost whole team. Before 2 days Nancy play hard match and won Paris (Nancy 89-84 Paris),but that will effect a lot of Nancy's players because they lost too much energie and now almost all players are tired.
Till now they have many problems with injuries (i wrote about that few times..) today they have some new players injured and problems are bigger! Injured are: american Shuler(PG), Toure(PF 5,9ppg), american Linehan(SG 4,6ppg),and two centers King(C 15,1 ppg) and Sylla(C 3,0 ppg).

expect easy home win.
pick: Orleans -5,5ah @1.88 (sportingbet)



Hockey Sweden
Lulea - MoDo

Lulea have one of best defences in league,MoDo today without 2 key strikers,out are Kempe(fw 32/9) and Steen(fw 20/8)


Hockey Slovakia
Kosice - Banska Bystrica 1 @1.6 (bet365,sportingbet)

Kosice have great coach Milan Stas (in slovakia peoples called him "hockey Ferguson"). When Milan Stas came on Kosice's bench Kosice have 5 wins in a row on home ice (they beat few strong teams like Zvolen who is 1st on table).
Banska lost last 3 matches on away ground with hendikep(-1,5).. For this match Banska miss best player Handzus(NHL player),without him Bansa is other team they are 50% weaker without him and that will effect a lot on this match , Jankovic is suspended ,while other NHL player Tyrell and Durkech are doubtful.
first match when Kosice was host . Kosice 4-0 Banska.


Hockey KHL
St.Petersburg - Slovan Bratislava
quality on home side. St Petersburg have very strong team with few great NHL players. After 5 wins in a row they lost from CSKA in last match .. but that wont effect on them. No important missings in home team
Slovan Bratislava playing bad on away ground in last time (5 lost of 6 matches). + for this match Slovan have many injured players,out are Satan(fw 21/7 ,2nd scorer),two key defenders Tabacek(df 31/1),Stajnoch(df 33/2) and Stasny(fw 36/1). doubtful is Dravecky(fw 24/1).

Thursday, December 27, 2012

thursday bets (27/12/12)

Hockey
Kladno - Trinec
Trinec's players are pretty tired,they play one hard match yesterday ( http://www.betexplorer.com/hockey/czech-republic/extraliga/matchdetails.php?matchid=134083  ) won after penalties .. very hard match,players lost too much energie on that match.
Kladno have strong team with few quality players from NHL.



Belgium Jupiler League
Standard - Beerschot

Standrad is great at home 7w-0d-3l (2nd best home team). After 4 wins in a row they lost in last match from Club Brugge (ht 1-0 , ft 1-3 ,i think they fix that match) ... Atmosfhere in home team is good and they want to finish this year with win (that said their coach Rednic)
Beerschot is 2nd worst team in league. In very bad form , in last 13 matches just 1 win,2 draws and 10 lost matches ... atmosfhere in team is bad + they have problem with missing players.
Suspended are Decker(mf 21/1) and Ozturk(mf 18/1) ,Injured are Wuytens(df 1/0),Abeel(mf 0/0),main player Losada(mf 15/4 top scorer),Wuytens(mf 12/2 ,3rd scorer),and attacking duo Munuga(att 17/2),Veselinovic(att 10/3 ,2nd scorer). Important striker Coulibaly(att 12/3 ,2nd scorer) left team. Stijnen(first gk 14/0) have litle injury and he is doubtful for this match.
So today Beershot without 4 top scorers who total scored 16 goals(whole team have 23) + without few other important first team players.

huge quality diference.. Standard is 3 times better team
Beerschot lost from Mechelen in last round (0:2) ,while Standard won Mechelen before 2 rounds (2:0) ..

last match Standard 6-1 Beerschot

quality,h2h,motivation,home field,fans,form .. everything on home side
expect easy home win

Standard prefer attacking football so i go with hendikep.
pick : Standard -1,25ah @1.63 (pinnacle)



Australia A-League
Wellington - Melbourne Heart


suspecious h2h,lasto two seasons they play 4for4.
In this season(2012/2013) first match was draw (1:1) so now its time for home win (if they plan to play again 4for4)

Head-to-head: Wellington - Melbourne Heart
A-League 2012/2013
Melbourne HeartWellington1:11.563.715.5414.10.2012
A-League 2011/2012
Melbourne HeartWellington1:12.163.223.1410.03.2012
WellingtonMelbourne Heart3:12.023.273.4229.01.2012
Melbourne HeartWellington1:02.013.203.5104.12.2011
A-League 2010/2011
WellingtonMelbourne Heart2:02.253.202.9224.11.2010
WellingtonMelbourne Heart2:21.933.303.6117.10.2010
Melbourne HeartWellington2:12.193.203.0619.09.2010

Melbourne is bad on away ground 1w-1d-4l (2nd worst away team), Wellington is soldi on home ground 2w-2d-2l

Wellington miss long term injured Moss(gk 0/0),Pantelis(mf 0/0) and new added to injury list Ifil(mf 12/2).
Melbourne miss injured Dugadzic(mf 7/0) ,Garuccio(mf 3/0) and suspended Colosimo(df 11/0) and Nyema(df 12/1).

pick: 1 @1.97 just because of h2h,small stakes



Hockey Lukko - Karpat
Karpat is sure in play off and for this match they have problems with missing players,out are Backlund(first gk 16/0), Karhunen(second 17/0), Eminger(df 22/0), Eklund(df 6/0), Pokka(df 25/4), NHL player Demers(df 30/4), Viuhkola(fw 1/0), Donskoi(fw 10/1), Norman(fw 9/2). They have to use 3rd goalkeeper ...
i tought to bet on home win but Lukko have just one training in last few days so it can be bad for pick so i decide no bet. (small stakes to home win for those who think that info about Lukko wont effect on them)

Tuesday, December 25, 2012

Wednesday 26/12 betting infos

tomorrow or later i will add more infos..

http://cheguevarapicks.blogspot.com/p/strong-insiders.html NEW INSIDER IS POSTED!!
AWAY TEAM WITH third goalkeeper on goal ... expect easy home win!! check,bet and won


England League One
MK Dons - Walsall 1 @1.63 (pinnacle)

MK Dons is candidate for promotion,they are fighting for promotional play off (top 6 places),currently MK Dons are 6th on table,they need to win this match if they want to stay there. MK Dons is best home team in league 8w-2d-1l (17:5)
Walsall in bad form won just 1 in last 14 matches.
Walsall today with full squad,while MK Dons have problems with injuries
MK Dons without

MISSING PLAYERS
Gleeson  Midfielder183 0
MacKenzie  Defense60 15
Otsemobor  Defense191 1
Chadwick  Midfielder226 0
(from leaguespy,really good site,you must visit them!)
quality and motivation is on home side so i expect home win

+ they have very very suspecious h2h for me.
2006/2007 they play 2for2
2008/2009 they play 3for3 (clasical 3for3 ,away team won in both matches)
2009/2010 again 3for3 (now home team won)
2010/2011 MK Dons won 4 points ,while Walsall just 1 point ..
2011/2012 continue 3for3 (away team won ,high odds)
And in this season (2012/2013) Walsall won first match (really suprisly ,odds were around 3.70 in that match) ... so now its time for MK Dons.

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/england/league-one-2009-2010/matchdetails.php?matchid=83140 2/1 clear fixed

Head-to-head: Milton Keynes Dons - Walsall
League One 2012/2013     
WalsallMilton Keynes Dons1:03.423.252.0808.09.2012
League One 2011/2012     
Milton Keynes DonsWalsall0:11.553.865.6305.05.2012
WalsallMilton Keynes Dons0:23.263.302.1229.10.2011
League One 2010/2011     
Milton Keynes DonsWalsall1:11.823.404.1925.03.2011
WalsallMilton Keynes Dons1:22.513.202.6707.08.2010
League One 2009/2010     
WalsallMilton Keynes Dons2:11.943.383.7108.05.2010
Milton Keynes DonsWalsall1:01.593.605.7310.10.2009
League One 2008/2009     
Milton Keynes DonsWalsall0:11.324.598.6325.04.2009
WalsallMilton Keynes Dons0:32.633.252.5222.11.2008
League Two 2006/2007     
Milton Keynes DonsWalsall1:1   25.03.2007
WalsallMilton Keynes Dons0:0   28.10.2006


Hockey
Medvescak - Vienna Capitals

Vienna Capitals with big injurie problems - they are missing: Benoit Gratton (best players),Francois Fortier (11asists,17 goals),Tony Romano (10goals,17asists,Jonathan Ferland (6goals,6asists),Mario Seidi (1goal,1asist) and Mario Ficsher (no goals). So they are without 4 very important players while Medvescak is in full squad.One another fact that this game is being played at St.Stephen on which Medvescak has never lost the game and the arena will be FULL of fans because it's un-working day.
by Adriatic1x2.


Belgim Jupiler League
Lokeren - Cercle Brugge
Lokeren today miss few very important players,5 first team players. Out are De Bock(df 21/0),Taravel(df 16/2),Persoons(mf 21/3 ,5th scorer),Pauw(att 9/2) and Patosi(att 21/6 top scorer).
my bet is x2 for some crazy risky combo.


Club Brugge - Kortrijk

quality and form on home side
Brugge have 3 wins in a row,Kortrijk 4 lost matches in a row.
Club Brugge was in very bad form but they bring new coach and now everything in club is fine. Larsen(df 8/0) and Blondel(mf 16/1) are injured,main player Bacca(att 19/20 top scorer) is suspended.
Kortrijk without Ragolle(df 0/0),best defender Zukanovic(df 21/5,2nd scorer),Matton(mf 5/1),Dejagehere(mf 21/2) and For(att 21/3 ,3rd scorer).

suspecious h2h
Head-to-head: Club Brugge - Kortrijk
Jupiler League 2012/2013     
KortrijkClub Brugge1:13.513.371.9914.09.2012
Club Friendly 2012     
KortrijkClub Brugge1:23.213.392.0407.07.2012
Jupiler League 2011/2012     
Club BruggeKortrijk3:21.503.985.9513.05.2012
KortrijkClub Brugge3:13.363.252.0908.04.2012
Club BruggeKortrijk2:11.434.097.0619.02.2012
KortrijkClub Brugge2:13.773.321.9223.10.2011
Jupiler League 2010/2011     
Club BruggeKortrijk4:11.354.448.0112.03.2011
KortrijkClub Brugge1:03.663.331.9431.07.2010

maybe time for draw??



England Championship
Barnsley - Birmingham
Birmingham have injury crisis.
http://www.teamtalk.com/match/preview/978/8354602/Barnsley-v-Birmingham-team-news In last match because of many injuries coach call 7 teenagers in team .. For this match Birmingha will be without Carr(df 0/0),Murphy(df 13/0),Caddis(df 7/0),Ambrose(mf 5/0),Diop(mf 2/1),Fahey(mf 7/0),Asante(att 0/0),Lovenkrads(att 14/2) and King(att 21/12 top scorer). Spector(df 19/0) and Robinson(df 14/0) are doubtful
Barnsley without important offensive player Buszaky(mf 5/0),Foster(df 19/1),Sinclair(att 3/1) and Lazarus(att 6/1). two important offensive players Mellis(mf 19/3 ,2nd scorer) and Davis(att 17/8 top scorer) are doubtful
I dont like betting on over/under but in this match when both teams are without top scorers logical bet is under.
pick: under 2,5 goals @1.91 (ladbrokes)



England Premier League
Manchester United - Newcastle

Manchester United currently 1st on table with 42 points,they draw in last match vs Swansea and now City is just 4 points behind them,they cant do two mistakes in a row,they must win this match. Rafael(df 15/2) and Kagawa(mf 6/2) are doubtful for this match but probably both will be back in team. Nani,Anderson and Powell are injured.
Newcastle is playing bad on away ground,still without win in this season (on away) 0w-4d-4l ...
They have big problems in team Cisse(att 16/2) is totaly out of form,while 6 players are injured + 1 suspended. Injured are: R.Taylor(df 1/0),S.Taylor(df 11/0 key defender),best midifler Ben Arfa(mf 11/3 ,2nd scorer),playmaker Cabaye(mf 10/2 ,one of 3rd top scorers),Gosling(mf 0/0) and Vuckic(mf 0/0). another important defencive midifler Tiote(mf 12/0) is suspended.
Man Utd have 5 wins in a row on home ground,Newcastle have 3 lost matches in a row on away ground (and that was vs weaker teams than Man Utd like Southampton 2:0 ,Stoke 2:1 and Fulham 2:1)
expect home win
pick: Man Utd @1.3

Everton - Wigan
Everton isnt some great team with star players,but they are 5th on table thanks to great start of season and thanks to good playing on home ground (4w-4d-0l) ... but i dont think they can stay on 5th table till end of season they will fall for sure. Today Everton miss best player Fellaini(mf 15/8 top scorer),HIbbert(df 5/0) and Mirallas(att 11/1). Colleman(mf 12/0) is doubtful.
Wigan have some injury problems in last few weeks, but now situation is little better. Out are just long term injured Watson(mf 8/1),Piscu(df 5/0),Alcaraz(df 2/0),Crusat(att 0/0) and Miyachi(att 4/0).

Northern Ireland
Linfield - Glentoran
Glentoran without Jason Hill(df 16/0), Mark Clarke(att 18/3 ,2nd scorer) and William Garrett(df 1/0)

Lisburn - Donegal
Donegal today without attacking duo Mark Miskimmin(att 20/6 top scorer) and Shane Dolan(att 14/3 ,2nd scorer)

Ballymena - Coleraine
Ballymena miss key defender Tony Kane(df 18/0) and Alan Davidson(mf 11/2).

Portadown - Glenavon
Portadown miss two best players in team. best defender Gary Breen(df 15/2) and best striker Darren Murray(att 19/11 top scorer) are unavailable today.


27/11 NBA
Charlotte Bobcats - Miami Heat 2 @1.15 (bah)
-still no asian hendikep in offer so we should wait..
huge quality and form diference!
Charlotte have 15 lost matches in a row,very bad serie. They are playing bad and have problems with injuries,for this match out is Tyrus Thomas(PF 7ppg,3rpg,1apg), 3 other important players are doubtful for this match , best center Byron Mullens(C 12ppg,8rpg,2apg),Ben Gordon(SG 13 ppg,2rpg,2apg) and Gerald Henderson(SG/PG 14ppg,4rpg,2apg) are questionable for this match. Charlotte is 3rd worst team in league..
Miami in great form 4 wins in a row,curretnly 1st on table in Eastern Conference. Miami have amazing roster with some star players like LeBron James,Dwayne Wade,Ray Allen and Chris Bosh.
Chris Bosh is doubtful for this match but probably will play.

h2h also on Miami's side
Head-to-head: Charlotte Bobcats - Miami Heat
NBA 2012/2013
Charlotte BobcatsMiami Heat92:984.071.2324.10.2012
NBA 2011/2012
Miami HeatCharlotte Bobcats105:821.0216.0814.04.2012
Miami HeatCharlotte Bobcats129:901.0412.3102.01.2012