28/02

Greece CUP
PAOK - Levadiakos
http://www.inews.gr/101/kypellopaok-levadeiakos.htm here u can check their squads.


France Coupe de France
Lens - Epinal
quality in home side,Epinal is team from National (3rd league in france)
Bergdich(df 13/1) is injured in home team.Ducasse(mf 12/0) and Demont(df 24/0) will be rested.
Epinal without Do(att 11/1),Zakpa(att 11/1),Diomande(att 11/1),Dembele(df 16/0) and Maati(gk 0/0).


hockey, Snezhynye Barsy - Bars 2
http://www.oddsportal.com/hockey/russia/mhl/snezhnye-barsy-mhl-bars-mhl-1480915/
quality on away side,home team have financial problems,quick bet

free pick & usefull infos

Copa MX
Toros Neza - Club America
Club America is sure on 1st place in their group so coach decide to make some rotations in team today.
Club America: Hugo González, 13. Diego Reyes, 93. Jonathan Sánchez, 6. Juan Carlos Valenzuela, 4. Efraín Juárez, 29. A. Ademar, 26. Juan Carlos Medina, 18. Christian Bermúdez, 14. Rubens Sambueza, 7. Narciso Mina y 17. Antonio López.
http://www.clubamerica.com.mx/alineacion-americanista-del-partido-neza-vs-america-copa-mx

key players Jimenez(att 24/9 ,2nd scorer),Benitez(att 28/16 top scorer),Medina(mf 27/2),Molina(mf 26/3),Munoz(first gk 15/0),Aguilar(df 27/2),Aldrete(df 23/0) will be rested!



27/02 Serbia
Radnicki 1923 - Rad dnb1 @2.00 in bet365 

Radnicki is in relegation zone and they desperate need points to escape from that bad position,they are tipical home team because they get 8 of their total 12 points on home ground. they dont have important leavings in this transfer period.
Radnicki bring Slavko Maric(df 13/0 from Sloboda),Bojan Beljic(mf 14/1 from Sloboda),Dragan Milovanovic(att 15/2 from Javor) and Marko Miric(mf 2/0 from Crvena Zvezda,on loan) ..

Rad Beograd isnt good on away ground. They won just 8 points on away ground (from total 25pts),that show us that they dont play good on away ground. + key players left team in winter transfer period

players who left team: best midifler Predrag Luka(mf 15/4), best striker Kojic(att 15/5), important midifler Ljubinkovic(mf 8/0),Danilovic(gk 5/0),Branislav Jovanovic(mf 6/0),Causic(mf 15/2),Mrkela(mf 11/0),Mitrovic(df 14/1) and Nenad Lukic.

imo Radnicki on home ground in front of their fans have good chances to win this match
value bet for me.

odds will drop for sure.
or 1 @3.00 (titanbet)
http://cheguevarapicks.blogspot.com/2013/02/early-bet.html
http://www.betrush.com/pick,Radnicki_1923___Rad_Beograd,48949.html


GL

i hope with this bet we will back our money from yesterday where we dont have luck
Sutjska - Grbalj x2 ft 1-0 ,red card for away team and sutjeska won :(
Paphos - Apollon ,apollon -1eh ft 0-1 ,apollo n control the match,have possesion (35% - 65%) ,shoots on goal 4 - 20 , 1 - 12 ,but in goals just 0-1 ... unbelivible.



few usefull infos for today (27/02)

Coppa Italia Lega Pro
Latina - Lecce  , Latina +0,5ah @1.86 (188bet) or 1X @1.85 (bwin)
this is cup match.
Lecce is currently best team in Lega Pro C1/A ,while Latina is best team in Lega Pro C1/B ,so here we have two teams with same quality ...
but Lecce today will be much weaker than usual because many players are unavailable or will be rested for this match.. so Lecce with mixed team!
Injured/rested/suspended are: Petrachi(second gk 1/0),Ambrosio(df 3/0),Di Maio(df 16/0),Esposito(df 19/1), best midifler Bogliciano(mf 18/7,2nd scorer),best striker Foti(att 13/8 top scorer),Chirico(att 20/3),Chevanton(att 8/2),Pia(mf 17/2),Memushaj(mf 20/3) and Goacomazzi(mf 15/4).
here u can chekc Lecce's squad http://www.uslecce.it/news/273113583110

Latina will miss just injured Giallombardo(df 3/0),coach said that they will rotate team but i dont know how much ... http://www.uslatinacalcio.it/notizie/988/domani-l-andata-di-coppa-italia
i see value at this bet ,Latina on home ground,they will have fan support,Lecce without all key players,many juniors will get chance ,i think Latina can do something here.


Greece CUP
Veria - Panthrakikos
Veria have big problems in league,they are near to relegation zone so for them this cup is not imporntat, league is priority for them!!
so coach decide to rest some key players in this match. if i understood good Lopez(first gk 20/0),Kali(df 17/0),Sznaucer(df 11/0),Orestes(df 19/1),Kalogeris(mf 22/0) and Bargan(att 22/2) will be rested for this match (are not in squad.) http://www.veriafc.gr/index.php/2012-10-10-16-37-41/292-i-apostoli-gia-tin-anametrisi-me-panthrakiko-gia-to-kypello
Panthrakikos also have problems in league they are just 5 points over the relegation zone. but key players are IN squad for this match.
dnb2 ,odds 2.3 (wiliam hil)


Turkey CUP
Fenerbahce - Trabzon 1461 , trabzon +2ah
Fenerbahce with mixed team for this match,they have secured 1st place and they dont need to risk any injuries and suspensions in this match because they have 2 important matches in next days vs Besiktas and vs Plzen in Europe League.
Fenerbahce probably line up: Serkan Orhan(third gk 0/0), Bekir(df 18/1), Serdar(df 4/0), Hasan Ali(df 19/1), Krasic(mf 10/0), Selcuk(mf 10/1), Salih(mf 5/0), Caner(mf 20/0), Beykan(att 0/0) and Semih(att 13/1)
Trabzon 1461 is young team with lot of talents. They are 2nd Trabzonspor's team,they have high ambitions 1 Liga (2nd best turkish league) but even if they are on some of promotion places they can not promote because of the rules. They will be highly motivated to win this match but that is "mission impossible" for them

stip and strumica

yesterday and today heavy rains in Macedonian cities..

stadiums on few football clubs in my country are destroyed.

Bregalnica Stip

yesterday whole day raining in Stip,today also.

river Bregalnica poured from riverbad and now streets and whole city is in water.

here are few pictures from their stadium and their city.

.

FK Turnovo
3 days in a row heavy rains in Strumica and stadium is full of water.. players cant train 3 days,weather is very bad

picture from their stadium

players in strike

Montenegro

Sutjeska - Grbalj x2 @1.83 (bwin)

true Sutjeska is 1st on table and best home team in league but home team have huge financial problems. players are without wages 1 or 2 months and they said that they wont play this match.

few important players like Susnjar(att 16/9 top scorer),Nikolic(mf 17/1) and Jakovljevic left team.

Grbalj is tipical home team,they won most of points on home ground,on away ground Grbalj play very closed in 8 away matches 3 scored goals and 3 conceded. Like you can see Grbalj is good defencive team they can hold a draw in this match ,they will defence most of time and attack from counters.

value odds for me

(but everything is possible,boss can lie them again that they will get wages after this match,they decide to play, so small stakes)
http://www.vijesti.me/sport/sta-ce-donijeti-dan-jos-neizvjesno-odigravanje-meca-sutjeska-grbalj-clanak-115569


Cyprus
Paphos - Apollon Limassol , Apollon -1eh @2.00 (paddypower) ;  Apollon -1,75ah @1.78 (188bet)
Apollon is good team with quality players,after 7 matches without win they finally won in last match 2-1 vs Alki ,that was good win for team becuse now their motivation will grow up! Their target is top four .. for this match they have some missings if i understood good. 500 fans will came to support Apollon
http://www.shootandgoal.com/page.php?bid=8&id=69382

Paphos is worst team in league and they are already relegated,team dont have ambitions,no money,players without wages long time ... players in strike because of bad situation in club and for this match they will play with JUNIORS!
http://www.24sports.com.cy/index.php?pageaction=kat&modid=1&artid=57856

25/02 cup matches and few good infos

Poland Cup
Legia - Olimpia
huge quality diference. Legia is main candidate for title in Polish Ekstraklasa (best polish league),while Olimpia is average team in I Liga (2nd best polish league).

Legia without Jakub Kosecki(att 15/8 ,2nd scorer),Dicksona Choto(df 1/0), Marko Sulera, Michała Kopczyńskiego(att 14/0), Michała Żyry(mf 8/2), Jakuba Rzeźniczaka(df 10/1) i Michała Efira.


France Coupe de France
Evian - Le Havre
Evian without Djedje(df 20/0),Andersen(gk 9/0),Bugnet(att 0/0),sagbo(att 25/3),Mensah(df 6/0),Govou(att 15/0).
Le Havre miss suspended Francois(mf 23/1).

Sochaux - Troyes
Sochaux without injured Cros(df 4/0),Doubai(mf 8/2),Peybernes(df 16/0) and Contout(att 18/0). Roussilon(df 17/0),Pujol(mf 17/2) and Sio(att 2/2) will be rested.
Troyes without Monoserau(df),Drouin(df),Yamissi(mf 12/0) and Grax(att 6/0). few important players will be rested Jarjet(df 18/0),Brechet(df 13/0),Ndoyi(mf 24/1) and Darbion(mf 21/4).

03/03 Italy Serie A

Torino - Palermo
picks: DNB 2 @2.7 (unibet) ; Palermo +0ah @2.60 (bet365) ; Palermo -0,25ah @3.1 (bet365)

first of all Palermo is in very bad situation.. they are last on table with 20 points after 26 matches,situation in team isnt good ..
Palermo is long time without win (13 matches) but i think it is time to stop that bad serie and start with winning. True they are worst away team,still without win 0w-5d-8l but i strongly believe that on 03/03 they will have their first away win in  this season.

Torino is sure on table 12th on table with 31 points (-1 point) ,they are playing for nothing,they dont have ambitions for europe or something like that,also they are away from relegation zone so they can be relaxed.

dont know about relationships between this two teams but i think that Palermo wont relegate this season,they are big club in Italy + they are from Sicilia ,biggest mafia in the world is there,when Maurizio Zamparini came on president function in 2002 (in that time Palermo was in Serie B) they promote for just 2 seasons and after that they stay in Serie A ,10 years so i dont think that Palermo will relegate in Serie B. After draw with Genoa in last round Palermo have new/ex coach.


i think it is time after 13 rounds Palermo to get first victory with new coach.

still i dont have info about missing players ...
Torino (probably) without Bakic(mf 0/0),Jonathas(att 2/0) and Santana(mf 18/2).
Palermo (probably) without Mantovani(df 5/0) and Hernandez(att 7/0) -long term injured.


GL

monday

Czech Gambrinus Liga
Brno - Plzen 2
http://cheguevaram.blogabet.com/index.php?betID=3382095 read analyse here.

Argentina Primera B
Gimnasia LP - Banfield
Gimnasia: Fernando Monetti; Facundo Oreja, Osvaldo Barsottini, Juan Carlos Blengio y Lucas Licht; Franco Mussis, Dardo Miloc, Ignacio Fernández y Matías García; Franco Niell y Facundo Pereyra.
Banfield: Pablo Santillo; Gustavo Toledo, Marcos Galarza, Fabián Noguera y Marcelo Bustamante; Carlos Rearte, Roberto Brum, Iván Pérez y Lihué Prichoda; Andrés Silvera y Andrés Chávez.
whole squads here http://www.gimnasia.org.ar/futbol.php?id=7111&sec=2&fecha=2013-02-24

Huracan - Rosario Central
Huracan miss injured Lucas Villarruel(mf 17/1) and suspnded Hugo Barrientos(mf 14/0), Alexis Danelón(df 18/1)
Rosario is main candidate for promotion,they have money,high ambitions,quality players ...
Rosariq squad: Arqueros: Mauricio Caranta y Gastón Pezzuti
Defensores: Paulo Ferrari, Lucas Lazo, Carlos Casteglione, Franco Peppino, Nahuel Valentini, Rafael Delgado
Mediocampistas: Alejandro Gagliardi, Jesús Méndez, Pablo Becker, Nery Domínguez, Nicolás Freitas, Hernán Encina, Diego Lagos, Federico Carrizo
Delanteros: Fernando Coniglio, Antonio Medina, Néstor Bareiro y Javier Toledo.
http://www.rosariocentral.com/prensa/noticia/id/1307/lista-de-concentrados-para-el-lunes

25/02 monday
Romania
Universitaria Cluj - Steaua      

pick: Steaua -1,25ah @1.99 (pinnacle) ; 1.96 (sbobet)

one of worst teams in league vs one of main candidates for title.

U.Cluj is one of weakest teams in league,they have financial problems like most of teams in Romania,their target is to avoid relegation but they cant do that. No money,no players,no motivation ...

at the start of season i wrote about their problems with financial >> http://www.betrush.com/pick,Pandurii___U_Cluj,35184.html  like u can see in one of my old picks U Cluj left all key players from last season.. now situation is even worse,this season first team players (who are lot weaker than those before) left team!!

players who left U.Cluj: Toba(mf 4/0),Cucui(df 1/0),Patrascu(mf 14/1),Iancu(mf 7/0),Krumov(df 13/0),important defender Chrstiou(df 17/0),key midifler Paulinho(mf 18/3),Cleiton(mf 15/2),Dragichi(att 13/1),Erico(df 14/0),Ambaris(third gk 0/0),Matache(gk 0/0) and Gafita(0/0),while Lupu(att 9/0),Nastasie(df 10/0),Alex(att 18/1),Roman(att 1/0) and Balauru(first gk 17/0)  are back in their parents clubs (after loan).

Steaua is best team in Romania at this moment,1st on table with 47 points (10 points more than 2nd placed team) .. they have 3 times better team than U Cluj and if they play clear match Steaua should won this easily.

(now odds are lower but i post this bet in saturday)b