Monday, September 23, 2013

tuesday picks

 http://thebest22.blogabet.com/ check here my combo bets for today (info for all matches you have here on site)



Colombia Liga Postobon
Millonarios - Atl.Nacional

pick: 1
odds: 2.05 (betvictor , sportingbet , bet at home)
postponed,pick void!

hosts will have advantage because of home field, they have good support from their fans.
Atl.Nacional will use alternate team because of Copa Sudamericana. imo Millonarios is better than Atletico's reserves.


Basketball Rixos Cup
Fenerbahce - Besiktas
pick: Besiktas +3,5ah
odds: 1.85 (bet365)

pick WON!
this is something like frendly match ..

Fener in this match without very important players who played on eurobasket this month.
OUT ARE: McCalebb(13,4ppg),Onan(10,1ppg) , Bogdanovic(13,1ppg) + new players Zoric(11,5ppg from Unicaja),Kleiza(7,4ppg from Toronto [nba]) and Nemanja Bjelica(9,8ppg from Baskonia).
few others are questionable!


___
some usefull infos

France
Marseille - Saint Etienne

Marseille without Morel(df 4/0) and Gignac(att 6/3).
S-E without Perrin(df 5/1),Brison(df 3/0),BGradel(att 0/0) and Brandao(att 2/1).


Germany DFB Pokal
Wolfsburg - Aalen 1 @1.25 good for combo
FT 2-0 pick WON

bundesliga team vs 2 bundesliga team.
Wolfsburg with strongest possible line up!! very strong team called up today by coach!

Aalen without Buballa(df 8/2),Hainault(df 3/0) and Junglas(mf 8/0). also there is big possibility Fejzic(first gk 8/0) to be rested.




1860 Munchen - Dortmund

Dormund without Piszczek,Gundogan and Kehl


England Capital One Cup
Manchester City - Wigan 1 @1.25 good for some combo
FT 4-0 pick WON

Wigan relegate and lost some good players , also they lost great coach Martinez.  today Wigan without Ramis(df 0/0),Caldwell(df 0/0 captain),Holt(att 4/2),Malloney(att 5/3 top scorer),McManaman(mf 4/0) and few other.
Manchester City want revenge because of lose final cup match last season!!


Sunderland - Peterborough
quality on home side , peterborough is 2 leagues lower than sunderland (who is premier league side).

Sunderland still without new coach,di canio was sacked because of bad results. Sunderland have very good team but they are last on table in league now. On this cup match they will use pretty strong team.

Peterborough without Knight-Percival(mf 3/0) and Little(df 6/1), Grant McCann, Gabriel Zaukani and Kgosi Ntlhe are questionable
http://www.teamtalk.com/match/preview/978/8937864


Swindon - Chelsea 2 @1.35 good for combo
FT 0-2 pick WON

chelsea will use reserves but those reserves are 5 times better than swindon's first team. http://www.teamtalk.com/match/preview/978/8937909

Swindon team from 3rd league, before start of season lost some players because of financial crisis who hit the club. today Swindon miss Ryan Mason(mf 5/4 top scorer) and Ryan Harley(mf 6/0) , Aaron Oakley(df 0/0) (foot) and Tijane Reis(att 2/0) (knee) also out.

monday

Norway
Odd II - Pors Grenland 1 @1.50 (bwin) 
FT 0-2 pick lost

Odd II with BIG help from first team , few experienced and regular first team players will play for B team today!! Shala(mf 24/6),Andersson(att 4/0),Krogsgard(att 12/0),Eriksen(mf 6/0),Jonassen(df 21/0) and Fevang(mf 16/1) are all called up for B team.

Pors Grenland is one average team ...
first match 2/1 Pors 3-2 Odd (ht 1-2) ...
good relationships,teams from same region. now Odd need points + they will have help from first team. I expect easy home win.


Viking II - Egersund
Viking II with help from first team. Lunde(first gk),Ekunde(df),Haugen(mf),Landu Landu(df),Chikere(mf),Nisja(mf),SChulze(mf) and Edmundson(att) are training and playing for first team but today will help to their B team because they desperate need points.

Sunday, September 22, 2013

COOPERATION! Romania

CFR Cluj - Pandurii 1 @2.30
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/romania/liga-i/mutual-matches/?home=4KfIhq7B&away=xvpyvF04&where=0

late post I thought match start in 19:30 (when i post match it was already started,sorry)


h2h great!! your question is why last season Pandurii won both matches?? - last season Pandurii won both matches because CFR didnt want to go in europe.
I wrote about that match http://cheguevarapicks.blogspot.com/2013/04/weekend-suspecious-matches.html here , Popcalin also gave us info which was very usefull.

this season CFR will attack on european places so Pandurii will have to give back points to CFR.




sunday picks and infos

Macedonia
Napredok - Pelister
Pelister +0ah @1.93 (bet365) ; 1.90 (sbobet)
FT 1-1 pick void 

last season Napredok was in very bad form whole spring ,they were without win long time and than "whop" they won Pelister ON AWAY GROUND! (it was fixed match , Pelister gave points to Napredok and Napredok stay in league) after that something interesting happen. 
 Dragan Bochevski(ex Napredok coach) is now Pelister's coach,while Gordan Zdravkov(ex Pelister coach) is now Napredok's coach, accident or no!?Pelister play match in relegation play-off vs FK Skopje (and won 1-0) , match was played on neutral ground exactly in Kicevo (Napredok is from Kicevo). Something strange happen…


Together with Goran Zdravkov(new Napredok coach) in Napredok came Pece Korunovski(gk from Pelister) and Toni Veljanovski(mf  from Pelister), while Dragan Bocevski(new Pelister coach) with him bring Goran Pashovski(gk from Napredok)


Pelister now have big ambitions,strong sponsor , lot of money in club , regular salaries , things are going on good way, in last round they win rich Shkendija and now they are on 4th place with 12pts (2 points less than 1st placed Bregalnica).
before 4 days they met Miravci in cup and they won 2-0 , they used mixed team in that match. good news Hristov(mf 5/0 best midifler) and Mojsov(mf 4/0) are back in team!!

the newest signings Vodenicharov(striker) and Kovachev played very good in first two matches,they showed good performances (they even scored goals)!! two very good players for this league.


Napredok in deep shit. it was expected because in their city Kicevo for first time on politic votes mayor is albanian!! and now Napredok (who is ethnical macedonian club) wont have support from city and major..

now it is time for pay back. Napredok should gave back this points to Pelister. I talk with one Napredok's player and he said we are going on draw ... so probably there wont be letting points so I go with safer option.

I expect odds to drop very fast because quality between this two clubs is huuuge!!


Croatia
Osijek - Din.Zagreb 2 @1.4 (bet365)
FT 0-1 pick WON

Dinamo have 2 lost matches in a row so today it is must win match for them! Osijek is Dinamo's team , they are in very good relationships.
Dinamo buy young talents from Osijek, Mamic is in good relationships with Osijek's boss and they always help each other.. Osijek now have big finacnial problems , players are without wages long time, coach left club because of bad atmosfhere and unpaid wages ...
usually Dinamo gave points to Osijek when Osijek needs points but now Dinamo need points and win for their morale.

Osijek without Mikulic(first gk 9/0) , Novakovic(mf 7/1) , Babic , Vitaic(df 5/1) and Skoric(mf 6/0)
expect easy away win.


Greece
Levadiakos - PAS Giannina 1 @2.95 (pinnacle)
FT 2-1 pick WON

good relationships between this two clubs. Levadiakos have very powerfull and suspecious boss who is in very good relationships with federation. Levadiakos wont relegate for sure because of their owner and their big connections. plus they are like brothers clubs with Olympiakos.
today Levadiakos is in must win situation because after 4 rounds they have only 2 points and they are 17th placed (2nd from bottom).
PAS Giannina is not so strong on away ground , last season they score only 14 goals in 15 matches on away ground. ..

Saturday, September 21, 2013

saturday free infos and picks

Bosnia
Olimpik Sarajevo - Gradacac

Olimpik today without some important players like Muharemovic(df 4/0),Regoje(df 7/0),Duric(mf 1/0),Smajic(att 6/0),Vidovic(mf 7/0) and Kapic(att 6/1)

Bulgaria
Chernomorets - Levski 2 @1.85 (sportingbet)
FT 1-3 pick WON

in bulgarian local bookies odds for away win are just 1.20 !!

Slavia - Lyubimets

quality on home side. Slavia have very powerfull owner (Ventsislav!)
Lybimets is new promoted team,they start season very good but their place is in low part of table ... now with 3 lost matches in a row they are going down. two regular players Tawiah(mf 7/1) and Koparanov(df 7/0) are out

Friday, September 20, 2013

weekend (early) bets

21/09 Austria Regionalliga
Neumarkt - Altach(Am)  DNB2 @1.74 (paf)
FT 0-3 pick WON

i was waiting for odds in bet365 and other good bookies like pinnacle,sbo but nothing and odds in bookies who give this match drop a lot ...

Neumarkt have problems with team!!! Coach have big head ache because many players are doubtfull for this match because of flu ... Patrick Mayer(att 9/5 2nd top scorer) und Florian Leitner(att 8/0) are suspended , Christoph Hübl(att 8/6 top scorer) is out for other reasons.
so two top scorers are out for sure , their replacement Leitner also out ... there could be problems in attack ...

altach II is playing pretty good , after 9 matches they have 18pts (just 1 point less than Neumarkt) , no important missings , tomorrow i will try to find will they have help from first team.
https://www.regionalliga.com/at/rl/liga/regionalliga-west/news/neumarkt-gehen-spieler-aus-96016





22/09 Holland
PSV - Ajax  ,  ajax +0,5ah @1.85 (dafabet , 12bet)
PSV lost 5-6 very important players from last season. captain van Bommel(mf 28/6) and Wilfred Bouma(df 23/0) retired. best striker Lens(att 30/15 ,2nd scorer) , Pieters , best player Mertens(winger 29/16 top scorer) , best midifler Strootman(mf 32/5) and best defender Marcelo(df 32/1) left team. Waterman(first gk 29/0) also left club.
now they are in bad form 6 matches without win,
psv without Rekik(df 4/0),Narsingh(att 0/0 ,18/6 ls) and Wijnaldum(mf 6/4 top scorer , 33/14 ls)

Ajax also sold some good players but still they have very good team , they have same defencive line , de Jong and Poulsen stay in club they will control midfield and attack is almost same with Sigjurdsson and Fischer + now they have Bojan Krkic(new signed striker) . good news for them is that de Jong(mf 3/2) is back after injury!

small stakes because it is derby match

20/09 infos and picks

Austria
First Vienna - Hartberg
pick: h
artberg +0ah @2.06 (188bet)  ft 3-0 lost
problems in First Vienna's club!  First Vienna's players and staff didnt get last 2 salaries , some of staff members decide to left club because this is very unprofessional from their side... because of financial problems before start of season First Vienna lost all best players ..

for this match hosts will miss 3 first team players + one bench player , out are: Strapajević(mf 2/0), Ismaili(df 9/0), Rotter(att 8/0) and Miesenböck(mf 8/0)

Hartberg start season pretty good , they are 3rd placed with 15 points after 3 matches. In first match this season vs First Vienna they won easily 4-1
value odds definitely.


Czech
Sparta Praga - Slovacko 1 @1.25 for some combo  
another pick; Sparta -1,5ah @1.80 (dafabet)
FT 4-1 both picks WON
Sparta in amazing form , they are 1st on table with 7w-1d-0l . 21 scored goal in 8 matches .. they are playing open attacking football. no importatn missings today.

Slovacko play pretty bad , maybe problems are the missings. They are without few important players Došek(att 0/0 , last season top scorer 27/13), Hlupík(mf 0/0 , 24/2 last season), Fujerik(mf 1/0), Kuncl(df 5/0), Kuban(df 6/0) and Trousil(df 8/0).

h2h
Head-to-head: Sparta Prague - Slovacko
Gambrinus liga 2012/2013
Sparta PragueSlovacko4:01.434.117.3324.02.2013
SlovackoSparta Prague1:44.663.271.7612.08.2012
Gambrinus liga 2011/2012
Sparta PragueSlovacko1:01.274.9510.5218.02.2012
SlovackoSparta Prague0:25.433.551.6014.08.2011
Gambrinus liga 2010/2011
SlovackoSparta Prague0:24.553.371.7313.11.2010
Sparta PragueSlovacko2:11.264.8910.5024.07.2010
Gambrinus liga 2009/2010
Sparta PragueSlovacko4:01.166.0713.8405.05.2010
SlovackoSparta Prague0:14.503.301.7609.11.2009
like u can see Sparta dont have problems vs Slovacko ... easy home win expected.



Ireland Division 2
Waterford - Wexford 1 @1.55 (188bet)  FT 4-0 pick WON
Waterford have good sponsor and owner and they want promotion. 4 rounds till end of season Waterford must win matches like this vs weaker opponents if they want to play promotion play off.
Wexford is average team,in their squad they have only domestic players (no foreigners) , for this match regular midifler Corke(mf 19/0) is out.
motivation and quality on home side


Czech 2 Division
Zlin - Trinec 
this is one very good cooperation but we have to wait for 2nd match

h2h
Head-to-head: Zlin - Trinec
Division 2 2011/2012
TrinecZlin4:12.513.072.5626.05.2012
ZlinTrinec2:02.053.113.2706.08.2011
Division 2 2010/2011
TrinecZlin2:12.013.113.3407.05.2011
ZlinTrinec1:01.653.404.6102.10.2010
Division 2 2009/2010
ZlinTrinec3:11.334.317.7425.05.2010
TrinecZlin3:12.652.872.5917.10.2009
long time they wasnt in same league (from 2001)

In 2010/11 they made one 2/1 (ht/ft) link
In 2011/12 they met in last round when Trinec was already relegated and they made that match for money 2/1 (ht/fT) link

this year they played one frendly match before start of season link

we should wait for 2nd match here, i would play 1 @1.83 for small stakes or in some combo bet but only for small stakes! FT 3-0 won!