Sunday, October 28, 2012

Petrolero de Yacuiba – Real Potosi
 Odds for this game are WRONG ! Still bookies don’t know who is hosting this game . Hosts are Petrolero and no way Potosi to be favorites in Yacuiba (http://www.soccerway.com/matches/2012/10/28/bolivia/lfpb/club-petrolero-de-tarija/club-real-potosi/1307061/ ,VenueEstadio Defensores del Chaco (Villamontes) ).They traveled today to Yacuiba ,so they have only one day to prepare there.Quite different are conditions between the lower parts in Bolivia(very high temperatures) and in one of the highest cities in the world ,Potosi (over 4000 m. altitude,where is pretty coldly) .Real Potosi also have problems with squad .Regular players like defenders Alvaro Ricaldi 8/0 and Ronny Jimenez 11/1 are injured .Another two important players will miss this game (defensive midfielder Diego Cardozo 5/1 received injury in last game) .Midfielder Arie Aragon 8/1 is still injured and will be ready on 100 % next week.
Petrolero are in bad streak with three consecutive  losses .Last one was against Blooming (2-0 with two late goals) in a game that was decided by referee who give unreal red card for Petrolero in 5 minutes .Petrolero even had chances to lead but missed .For this game coach can’t count on three key players .Defenders Bladimir Compas 10/1 and Fernando Montenegro 6/0 are suspended from last game .Their best stiker Martin.Palavcini 11/4 have injury and will miss.
And as I said earlier ,odds are  wrong ..favorities in the game is Petrolero and odds in South America are 2.10 for home win ,3.10 for draw and 2.80 for away win (odds from peruvian bookie,”intralot.com.pe”) .This are real odds and I expect to tomorrow to have big change in Euro bookies .Bet365 also blocked the game( maybe they understood the situation,hahah).
Real Potosi are the worst away team with record of 1-0-5 and now I define their chances for win to very small(In first game Petrolero won 0-2 in Potosi with second squad) .Petrolero certainly will seek the three points ,they rely  big on games at home .Medium stake here with double chance around @2.00 and small stakes with straight home win @4.75 .GL!
Published Oct-27-2012, 19:06 CET

by Bobic

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