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total stats:
27 won picks - 10 lost picks - 1 void pick


staked units:  138
returned units: 198,71

PROFIT: 88,71 units  ---------- (last update 23/10/2012)
                                                        
                            

                                

                  


                                        
  
                      JANUARY

05/01 England FA Cup
Macclesfield - Cardiff

Macclesfield +1,5ah @1.55(bet365)
stake: 5/10


Cardiff in this match will use youngsters and reserves
http://www.cardiffcityforum.co.uk/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=101079

Likely line-ups
Macclesfield Town: Cronin, Martin, Brown (capt), Diagne, Braham-Barrett, Mackreth, Murtagh, Wedgbury, Kissock, arnes-Homer, Holroyd
Subs: Amari Morgan-Smith, Peter Winn, Pablo Mills, Waide Fairhurst.
-----------------------------
Cardiff City: Lewis(second gk 0/0), Coulson, Nugent(df 3/1 ,19 years old), Oshilaja(df 0/0 ,19 years old), John(mf 0/0 ,21 years old), Harris(mf 0/0 ,19 years old), Kiss(mf 2/0 ,22 years old), McPhail(mf 0/0), Ralls(mf 4/0 ,19years old), Velikonja(att 2/0), Jarvis
Subs: Elliot Parish(thid gk 0/0), Ronnie Hawkins, Anthony Bell, Tommy O'Sullivan(mf 0/0 ,17 years old), Theo Wharton(mf 0/0 ,18 years old), Jaye Bowen, Jesse Darko(mf 0/0).

Read more: Wales Online http://www.walesonline.co.uk/cardiffonline/cardiff-football/2013/01/03/macclesfield-town-v-cardiff-city-bluebirds-set-to-rest-entire-first-team-91466-32540142/#ixzz2GwSqBOcs


Like you can see Cardiff's squad for this match is full of youngsters,key players like Marshall(first gk 26/0),Hudson(df 25/4),Conolly(df 21/4),Whittingham(mf 25/7),Noone(mf 21/5),Gunnarson(mf 25/6),Helguson(att 25/7),Bellamy(att 17/4) and Mason(att 21/4) will be rested,while Maynard(att 3/0) is injured.




                     DECEMBER

stats: 3w-3l
profit: +5,2

__
England League Two
Bradford - Accrington
pick: Bradford -0,75ah @1.78 (pinnacle);1.75 (dafabet)
stake: 4/10

Bradford is currently 6th on table,they are fighting for promotion this season,have money and have quality team. Bradford is 2nd best home team 7w-2d-2l (18:6)
Accrington in bad form 5 matches without a win. For this match they have problems with goalkeepers position!! Dunbavin(first gk 20/0) and Rachbuka(second gk 3/0) are OUT,so on goal will be young unexperienced Dawber(18 years).

expect easy home win here,quality,motivation,form on their side + Bradford have more days for rest.

FT 2-1 half bet won
+1,56 units


______________________

Italy Serie B
Novara - Pro Verceli 1 @1.75 (188bet;expekt)
stake: 5/10
quality on home side. Novara relegate from serie A last season,many important players left team but still they have some quality players in team with seria a experience like Gonzales(att 19/9),Mehmeti(mf 12/6) ... Novara have 2 wins in a row,atmosfhere in team is finally good.

Pro Verceli is very weak team!! They are worst away team in league 0w-2d-7l (5:17), i watch few highlights from their last matches(on youtube) in serie b and i was very dissapointed.. no team work,no passes,no good actions,many mistakes in defence... terrible.
+ today Pro Verceli have lot of absents. out are: Murante(df 0/0),Scaglia(df 16/2 ,one of top scorers),Cosenza(df 10/0),Masi(df 13/1),Bencivenga(df 11/0),best midifler Fabiano(mf 14/2 ,one of top scorers),Appelt(mf 12/1),Marconi(mf 5/0),Carraro(mf 0/0) and Innocenti(mf 0/0)
totaly 11 players are unavailable in away team,expect home win here.

#2pick: Novara -1,25ah @2.78 (pinnacle)
stake: 4/10

FT 2-0
+10,87 u



_____________________
Paraguay Primera Division
Libertad Asuncion - Sp Luqueno

Libertad -1,5ah @1.8 (bet365)
stake: 5/10 - free insider


motivation,quality,form on home side.



If Guarani won their match (which is played in same time like this match) Libertad will be in must win situation.
Libertad is 15 matches without a lost (11w-4d). On home ground still without lost 6w-4d-0l. Today with strongest team no rotations,no resting players.

Sp Luqueno is playing for nothing,they cant do anything. no real motivation.
In this match Sp Luqueno will play with mixed team! Coach decide to rest key players!!
In team wont be: Vargas(first gk 37/0),Bogado(df 35/1),best striker Vanni(att 39/10 top scorer),main midifler C.Vargas(mf 38/8 ,2nd scorer) and brazilian Wilian(mf 17/0). -all of them key players!!



Libertad destroy Sp Luqueno in normal cases
Head-to-head: Libertad Asuncion - Sp. Luqueno
Primera Division 2012
Sp. LuquenoLibertad Asuncion0:23.433.281.9507.10.2012
Sp. LuquenoLibertad Asuncion0:44.123.361.7622.04.2012
Libertad AsuncionSp. Luqueno1:01.573.465.3512.02.2012
here u can see that,what about now when Sp Luqueno will play with mixed team???
expect easy home win!!
GL

FT 2-0 won


___________________
08/12 

Georgia Umaglesi Liga
Baia Zugdidi - Merani Martvili 2 @7.25 (unibet)
stake: 3/10 (free insider)

last season 6 for 6 (in everymatch home team was winner).
First match in new season away win @3.70  http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/georgia/umaglesi-liga/matchdetails.php?matchid=1423033 1/2 @50.00 
Head-to-head: Baia Zugdidi - Merani Martvili
Umaglesi Liga 2012/2013
Merani MartviliBaia Zugdidi1:21.893.223.6530.09.2012
Umaglesi Liga 2011/2012
Merani MartviliBaia Zugdidi2:12.183.183.0006.05.2012
Baia ZugdidiMerani Martvili2:11.843.263.6525.03.2012
Baia ZugdidiMerani Martvili1:01.593.485.0408.03.2012
Merani MartviliBaia Zugdidi1:01.893.213.6526.10.2011
 last season they also play one 2/1 match http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/georgia/umaglesi-liga-2011-2012/matchdetails.php?matchid=1066740 and that was clear fixed. 0-1 ht (goal in 45min) ; 2-1 ft (goal from penalty).

Now Merani need points to escape from relegation zone and if this two teams corporate than this will be for sure away win.
GL

______________________
08/12 Turkey PTT 1 Liga
Ankaragucu - Rizespor 2 @2.00 (bet365)

stake: 3/10 (free insider)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/turkey/ptt-1-lig/nextmatch.php?matchid=1398378

Home team is in huge problems!

Ankaragucu last on table with just 7 points in 14 matches.
Ankaragucu have weakest and youngest team in league. Last season they relegate from 1st league,they have huge financial problems (because of those problems all senior players left team!!!!Now team is full of youngsters
+ Ankaragucu is in bad form 9 matches without a win.
Atmphosfere in team is terrible,there is chaos in team. Players are without wages long time,some of them protest and board punished those players with suspension (so today those players wont play). one of experienced players Cogum(29 years) is injured.

Rizespor is quality team with high ambitions. They are fighting for promotion play off (top 6 places). Their form in last time is not good ,5 matches without a win but i think this is time to stop that bad serie.

_______________________________
Handball
Croatia W - Hungary W
pick: Hungary -3ah @1.66 (bet365)
stake: 5/10 (free insider)
quality on Hungarian side. They are better team and i think they will win this easily even if Croatia have strongest team,but they didnt. They have huge problems in team many important players wont play today Grubesic,Tatari,Arslangic and best player Penezic arent in team and few others important players also wont play.
expect easy Hungary win.
Croatia didnt prepare for this match,they didnt play frendly matches and that could be big problem!
GL
http://dvoznak.com/?show=dogadjaj&id_dogadjaj=634770&id_vrsta_dogadjaja=1


pick lost -5 units
                          
                  NOVEMBER 

15w-2v-9l

profit: +24,43 units




25/11 Guatemala » Liga Nacional »
Municipal - Universidad SC
pick: X2
odds: 3.65 (mybet)
stake: 2/10 (free insider)

huge quality diference
Municipal is 3 times better team than Universidad but today i am with Universidad...

Municipal is on 2nd place and they cant do anything. Coach in this match will use B team!! All first team players wont play today (will be rested).
Universidad need points because they are on bad position and they need win here,but i will go with safer option x2.

short but strong info

FT 4-4 pick WON
+5,3 units

24/11

Montenegro
Buducnost - Lovcen 1 @1.45stake: 5/10
we won some good money when we bet against Lovcen last 2 weeks.. Now i will again go against them,situation in Lovcen is very bad,team dont have money and players are without wages 4 months so they decide to strike till new year.. Today they will use juniors FT 2-1 pick won
+2,25 units

Germany Liga 3
Aachen - Osnabruck 2 @2.1 (betvictor,betway)
stake: 4/10
one of worst teams in league vs currently best team in league.

Aachen is in huge financial problems (last weekend i wrote about them to my subcribers,we bet against them and we won.). Big chaos in home team,they dont have money,probably will relegate in Regionalliga because of financial problems...
They are worst home team 1w-4d-4l. Today again they have problems with missing players ,out are: Krumpen(first gk 11/0),Erb(df 10/0),Stehle(df 10/0), Demai(mf 2/0),important striker Rosler(att 7/1),Murakami(att 0/0) and Pozder(att 9/4 top scorer).
Osnabruck currently 1st on table,main candidate for promotion,have strong team and quality players.

Line ups:





FT 0-1 pick won

+4,4 units


23/11 Holland Eerste Divisie

Eindhoven - Almere x2 @2.00 (bet365)stake: 3/10 this is free insider

teams are corporating you can see that in their h2h ,lot of frendly matches, lot of fixed (1/2 , 2/1)




today i give more chances to Almere because Eindhoven is in big problems. For this match they will have only 17 players available (3 of them goalkeepers) ...

Unavailable are : Thomassen(df 1/0),Durwael(df 3/0),Ospitalieri(df 10/2),Verkoelen(df 11/1),Makiavala(att 0/0),van Kurijssen(att 2/0),Bourdouxhe(att 11/3 ,3rd scorer),Kamara(mf 0/0) and Dadda(att 9/5 ,2nd scorer). I also dont see Vroenhoven in squad so he is also unavailable i think.

Almere have full squad available ,no important missings in their team.

odds here are value for me

GL

FT 1-2 won
+3 units


21/11 Hungary Hungarian Cup
Palhalma - Siofok 1X @2.62 (paddypower)
stake: 4/10 (free insider)


Siofok's main target is NB I(league),in league they are on bad position and they will fight to avoid relegation so this cup match isnt important for them. Coach today will use mixed team (many youngsters will get chance)
Palhalma is strong team from 3rd league ,they have money,good coach and quality players with NB I experience. In last round of Hungarian Cup they won strong Kaposvar 1-0 (also team from NB I league,even stronger than Siofok)

dnb1 @4.33 (bet365) also good bet.

FT 2-1
pick WON  +6,48 units



Norway Tippeligaen
Sogndal - Brann 1 @1.75
stake: 6/10 (free insider)

Sogndal need points today and they must win if they want to stay in league!!!!
Brann is playing for nothing

H2H is very good,clear 3for3 ..
Head-to-head: Sogndal - Brann
Tippeligaen 2012




BrannSogndal5:01.713.684.4216.05.2012
Tippeligaen 2011




SogndalBrann1:02.423.262.7825.09.2011
BrannSogndal2:01.803.364.4110.06.2011
Tippeligaen 2004




BrannSogndal2:1


22.08.2004
SogndalBrann3:1


09.05.2004
Tippeligaen 2003




BrannSogndal6:1


25.08.2003
SogndalBrann2:0


11.05.2003
Tippeligaen 2002




BrannSogndal2:3


25.08.2002
SogndalBrann2:3


12.05.2002
Tippeligaen 2001




SogndalBrann4:3


12.08.2001
BrannSogndal2:1


06.05.2001
Tippeligaen 1998




BrannSogndal4:0


04.10.1998
SogndalBrann2:1


05.07.1998

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/norway/tippeligaen-2003/matchdetails.php?matchid=740545 7+
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/norway/tippeligaen-2002/matchdetails.php?matchid=1204538 1/2
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/norway/tippeligaen-2001/matchdetails.php?matchid=1204433 7+ again
In 2002 same results Brann 2-3 Sogndal. Sogndal 2-3 Brann
last match Brann 5-0 Sogndal (while on ht was 0-0 ,very suspecious!!)

distance between this two teams is just 130km
Brann today will rotate team.
Sogndal will go with strong team.

clear home win.

FT 2-0 pick won
+4,5 units

Italy Hockey
Fassa - Alleghe 2 @1.80 (interwetten;betway) ; 1.75 (bet365)
stake: 5/10
http://www.betexplorer.com/hockey/italy/serie-a/nextmatch.php?matchid=1451855


Alleghe are in great form 9 won matches in a row.
Fassa is weak team in bad form. In last 10 matches just 1 win and 9 lost matches very very bad. They also have problems with injuries.
For today Fassa miss best players Sindel(13/9) and Kalust(16/5),Castlunger(10/1) and Casagranda(16/0). doubtful is Kuznik(11/0)
value bet

FT 0-2 WON
+4 units




England Blue Sqare North
Altrincham - Hinckley 1 @1.4 (betvictor)
stake: 7/10 (free insider)
good for some combo
Hinckley is worst team in league, with just 3 points in 14 matches
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/england/blue-square-north/nextmatch.php?matchid=1381436 check the stats and everything will be clear.
In last 3 matches Hinckley without scored goal while they concede 13 goals .. very very bad! Situation is team is terrible,they have some financial problems,many players left team,those who stay dont want to play they also want to leave club.
Altrincham is enough quality to beat worst team in league who is in huge problems!
GL

FT 8-0 easy WON
+2,4 units

Belaraus
Minsk - Dinamo Brest dnb2 @2.10 (sportingbet ; paddypower)
stake: 5/10
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/belarus/vysshaya-liga/nextmatch.php?matchid=992151&section=ha-odds


2 rounds till the end of season

Minsk is playing for nothing,they are 6th on table with 35pts and cant do anything.. today coach will make some rotations in team because this match isnt important for them.
on goal will be second gk Logvinov. They are in bad form also 6 matches without a win.
Today the also have problems with missing players, Saschivko(df 25/3),Begunov(df 18/0) and Bozga(df 16/0) are suspended,while Levitski(mf 9/1),Makas(Att 14/0) and best player Kovel(att 22/8 top scorer) are injured.
coach said that he will give chance to players who didnt play much this season/

Dinamo Brest need points if they want to stay in league,players are highly motivated
FT 0-0 void.


Czech Gamrbinus Liga
Jihlava - Ceske Budejovice dnb2 @2.15 (bah)
stake: 3/10 (free insider)
Jihlava is in bad form,they have problems with missing players in last matches and that is the reason for bad results.. Today they also have problems with injuries and suspensions ...
Injured are Gabriel(df 0/0),Masopust(mf 14/0),best midifler Kolousek(mf 10/3 ,2nd scorer),Mesanovic(mf 11/0) and best player Tecl(att 11/10 top scorer).  Jungr(mf 13/1) is suspended.
5 first team players are out (3 of them very important - Jungr,Kolousek and Tecl who score 14 goals,while Jihlava have scored total 20 goals ....)
Ceske Budejovice have back 3 important players and today coach have full available squad. They have 2 wins in a row and atmpohsfere in team is better now.

quality and form on away side (also experience is on away side because Jihlava is newcomer in Gambrinus Liga).
FT 1-0 pick lost
-3 units
International Frendly matches
Chile - Serbia 1 @2.20
stake: 4/10
very bad atmposfere in Serbia's team! many players dont want to play because of coach Mihajlovic,he was trying some new formations with 3 defenders and that was bad option

one of best defenders in europe Subotic isnt in team,Vidic is also long time out from Serbia's national team. Zoran Tosic is injured,Matic also. great striker Djurdjic who score goals in almost every match isnt called for this match..

Goalkeepers: Željko Brkić (, Damir Kahriman and Branimir Aleksić
Defenders: Nenad Tomović , Antonio Rukavina , Branislav Ivanović , Nikola Maksimović , Matija Nastasić, Aleksandar Kolarov and Marko Lomić
midiflers: Radosav Petrović , Luka Milivojević, Srđan Mijailović , Aleksandar Ignjoski, Ivan Radovanović and Ljubomir Fejsa
Strikers: Miralem Sulejma, Dušan Tadić , Filip Đuričić , Lazar Marković, Nemanja Tomić, Marko Šćepović  and Filip Đorđević


Chile with strong team. they have many star players in team,Arturo Vidal from Juventus,Matias Fernandez from Fiorentina,Medel from Sevilla,Mark Gonzales from CSKA,Vargas from Napoli and Alexis Sanchez from Barcelona

i see here some value bet..
GL


FT 1-3 pick lost



Poland 2 
Flota - Zawisza 1 @2.26 (betsafe)
stake: 3/10
quality and form on home side. they are 1st on table with 40 points (14 points more than Zawisza). They have best attack and best defence in league. today with full squad!
Zawisza in bad form 5 matches without a win. today Zawisza miss 5 players + 2 top scorers.
expect easy home win.
FT 1-4
pick lost -3 units

Peru
Cobresol - Sport Huancayo 2 @1.97 (marathonbet)
stake: 4/10 (free insider)
Big mess in home team! They have huge financial problems,players are without wages long time...
So Cobresol's players dont want to play and they decide to go on strike (today probably they wont play!!)
FT 4-0
-4 units


Colombia Liga Postobon
Patriotas - Millonarios 1 @2.50 (betway)
stake: 2/10

Millonarios today with mixed team because they have important match in CopaSudamericana for few days!!! key players

Millonarios line up: Luis Delgado; Lewis Ochoa, Ignacio Ithurralde, Oswaldo Henríquez, Luis Mosquera; Elkin Blanco, Rafael Robayo, Omar Vásquez, José Luis Tancredi; Jorge Perlaza, Eric Moreno
key players like Ramos(first gk 24/1),Franco(df 29/2),Martinez(df 22/0),Candelo(mf 29/3),Ortiz(mf 26/1),Cosme(att 25/7 top scorer) and Renteria(att 9/5 ,2nd scorer) will be rested!!!
FT 0-2 pick lost
-2 units

Germany 3 Liga
Erfurt - Chemnitzer 
pick: Chemnitzer +0ah @2.13 (sbobet)
stake: 4/10

Erfurt today miss 10 players,out are: Mario Fillinger(mf 0/0), Tobias Ahrens(att 7/0), Marius Strangl(mf 9/0), Tom Bertram(df 9/0), Marcus Rickert(first gk 12/0), Philipp Klewin(third gk 0/0) (krank), Aykut Özttürk(mf 10/0) (Bänderdehnung), Rafael Czichos(mf 13/0), Jens Möckel(df 8/0) und Dominik Drexler(att 14/3 top scorer).
quality,form,stats,experience and everything is on away side .
GL
FT 3-2 pick lost
-4 units
09/11 Belgium
Westerlo - Antwerp 1 @1.87 (10bet)
stake: 3/10

Westerlo is main candidate for promotion! currently they are 2nd on table with 22 points,they have quality and experienced team!!
Antwerp also team with high ambitions but today they have missing problems! Out are: Jeugt(first gk 0/0),Collin(df 0/0),Roelandts(mf 9/0),Dues(att 5/2) and Tornhoult(att 10/4 top scorer). Dom(mf 10/2) is doutbful.
FT 0-0
-3 units

08/11/2012
Soccer 
» World Friendly » International »
Bahrein - Jordan 1 @2.25 (bet365)
stake: 2/10 (this is free insider also)
dnb1 @1.67 (bet365)

worth to try.

Jordan will play with B team. 7 important players wont be in team. Many youngsters will get chance.
Bahrein have no important missings in team!

This is no important match for both national teams,just one frendly match so i go with small stakes here because everything is possible in this kind of matches.

odds will dropp fast

FT 3-0 pick WON
+2,5 units


08/11/2012 »
Costa Rica 
» Primera Division »
Puntarenas - CS Uruguay dnb2 @2.50 (paddypower)
stake: 3/10 (this is free insider)
two worst teams in league.. but CS Uruguay is better!
Puntarenas have very weak team,they are worst home team in league with only 1 win on home ground.. They are last on table with just 16 points...
Today Puntarenas without Viales(first gk 16/0),Leal(df 11/0),Segura(df 11/0) and Venegas(att 15/2).
CS Uruguat is solid team ,they are 2nd from bottom but that can confuse you,they have good and quality team and i think they can beat very easy weak Puntarenas's team!

h2h and quality on CS uruguay side + lot of missings in Puntarenas's team ...

FT 1-2 pick WON
+4,5 units!



06/11
Brazil Serie B
Criciuma - Sao Caetano X2 @1.88 (marathonbet)
stake: 3/10 (free insider)


two teams with similar quality squads..

quality is on home side,but today they are without their best players so they cant play on same style..

attacking duo Lucca(att 26/11 ,2nd scorer) and Ze Carlos(att 27/26 league top scorer) wont play!! key defender Marlon(df 30/6 ,3rd scorer),Cornelli and best midifler Kleber(mf 31/5 ,4th scorer) are also unavailable!!

without all this players Criciuma will be much weaker!!

Sao Caetano need points if they want to promote! no important missings today!

value bet X2 GL

FT 0-2 pick WON
+2,64 units


04/11 hockey
Kolner - Wolfsburg Grizzly 1 @1.66 (betsafe)
stake: 4/10
I dont understand this odds...
Kolner is 1st on table,best team in league,while Wolfsburg is last on table,worst team in league!
quality,h2h,home ice,form and everything is on home side
Wolfsburg without Kottstofer(df 7/1),Schopper(df 13/1),Fischer(df 0/0),Danner(fw 4/0),Haskins(fw 5/0) and best player Dzieduszycki(fw 11/5 ,2nd scorer).
GL
FT 2-4 pick lost-4 units



 chile

Chile Primera Division
U.De Chile - U.Catolica dnb2 @3.00 (paddy power)
stake: 3/10 (this is free insider!)

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/chile/primera-division-2012/u-de-chile-u-catolica-966198/#dnb;2
both teams play hard matches before 3 days in Copa Sudamericana..
U.De Chile lost 0-2 on home ground vs Sao Paulo and i think they dont have chances to pass the stage..
U Catolica get positive result 2-2 and they have good chances to pass the stage!

I found some interesting infos about U.De Chile. Today U De Chile will play with alternative team because coach want to keep players fresh for their next match!!
http://www.latercera.com/noticia/deportes/2012/10/656-491148-9-la-u-se-disculpa-por-sampaoli-y-dice-que-el-club-no-quiso-menospreciar-a-la-uc.shtml
also they have probelms with injuries!! injured are: Aranguiz(mf 28/4),Rojas(df 23/1),Gutierez(mf 12/7 ,2nd scorer),Herrera(first gk 36/0),Mena(mf 26/3),Civeli(mf 3/1),Ponce(df 0/0) and morante(df 2/0).
still no info about U Catolica but if they play with mixed squad than we have big value on X2 or 2
FT 0-0 pick VOID


 uruguay

Wanderers - Bella Vista 2 @2.05 (tipico)
stake: 3/10


this become public bet but info is too strong to not follow..

Wanderers today without 9 players (7 of them first team regular players)!
Out are: Oliveira(df 9/2),Malaquias(Df 2/0), Pereira(mf 9/0),Martinez(mf 9/1),de Souza(mf 6/0),Cabrera(mf 9/0),Rodriguez(att 9/6 top scorer),G Rodriguez(att 8/1) and Mercado(att 9/2)

FT 0-1 pick WON
+3,25 units


03/11 BIH
Siroki Brijeg - Travnik
pick: Siroki -1 EH
odds: 2.00 (paddy power)
stake: 4/10


quality,h2h and form on home side!
Siroki Brijeg is in great form with 5 wins in a row,situation in team is good. Coach today maybe will make litle rotations in team because Siroki Brijeg play 1/4 final match in BiH Cup for few days.
Travnik in huge problems before this match! Like first on goal they will have young unexperienced Salesevic(17 years)..
Fejzic(first gk 10/0),Delic(second gk 2/0),Lihovac(df 7/1),Kovacevic(df 11/0),Ribic(df 9/2),Zatagic(df 9/2) and Lastro(mf 9/0) are injured/suspended. + Durakovic(mf 7/0) and Pejic(mf 8/0) left team before  few days.

So Travnik today 9 players (8 of them first team players)..
last 2 their matches
Siroki Brijeg 3-1 Travnik
Travnik 3-5 Siroki Brijeg

 expect easy home win here

FT 5-0 WON
+ 4 units



02/11 Brazil Serie BCeara - Avai x2 @2.00 (bet365)
stake: 2/10

Ceara is 10th with 47 points,Avai is 9th with 49 points!
Today Ceara have problems with missing players! Henrique(first gk 23/0),Potiguar(df 1/0),Chaves(mf 9/1),Everton(mf 6/0),Robert(att 12/3 ,4th scorer),Romario(att 9/4 ,3rd scorer) and best striker Mota(att 26/13 top scorer) are out!
Thiego(df 17/1),Luizao(df 25/2) and Itamar(att 27/7 ,2nd scorer) left team!

Like you can see Ceara today miss 4 top scorers who score total 27 goals
+ Ceara is in bad form 4 lost matches in a row
quality and h2h on away side .

FT 0-1 pick WON
+2 units


France League 2
Niort - Monaco
odds for Monaco 2.40  Are you fucking kidding me?
for me fair odds here should be 1.70 maximum! Monaco is one of strongest teams in France League 2 ,they have lot of quality players,powerfull boss and lot of money!
who is Niort??? Newcomer in league,they promote in league 2 this season. Team without potential,they didnt bring any quality players for new season so this will be hard season for them and they will fight to avoid relegation!
Niort without Durand(mf 0/0),Courtot(df 0/0),Bacheiler(Df 0/0),Delecroix(first gk 1/0) and Lahaye(df 7/0).
Yes on home ground Niort is still without lost 2w-4d-0l but now they play with strong Monaco and i see big value here.
pick: Monaco -0,25ah
odds: 2.11 (betvictor)
stake: 3/10

FT 1-1
half pick lost -1,5 units


01/11 romania cup
Otelul - Braila
pick: Otelul -1 EH @2.2 (paddy power)
stake: 2/10
quality on home side,Otelul is solid team from Romania 1 liga
Braila is team from 2nd division. their best player Frunza(mf 6/1) is suspended.
on away ground Braila is really bad
match should be played in Braila but their stadium dont have lighting system ,so match will be played in Galati and Otelul will be host.
expect an easy home win here!

FT 3-0 pick WON
+ 2,4 units!


____________________________________________________________________________
                               OCTOBER MONTH


October stats:
11W - 0V - 5L
October profit: +22,7 units


28/10


Colombia Liga Postobon
Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios 1 @1.9 (188bet)
stake: 3/10 
both teams have really important matches for 4 days.

Deportivo Pasto play semi final match in Copa Postobon for 4 days vs Atl.Nacional. But today coach decide to play with strongest squad, NO ROTATIONS!!
Pasto first eleven: José Fernando Cuadrado; Gilberto García, Wilson Galeano, Juan Carlos Mosquera, John Jairo Montaño; Omar Rodríguez, Carlos Giraldo; Kevin Rendón, Joselito Vaca; Ayron del Valle, Edwards Jiménez.


Millonarios have important match for 4 days in Copa Sudamericana vs Gremio,this is their 4th match in 7 days,players for sure are tired so today Millonarios will mix a lot!!!
Lot of first team players wont play today!
Coach decide to rest: Ramos(first gk 24/1),Franco(df 28/2),Ochoa(df 29/1),Martinez(df 21/0),Candelo(mf 28/3),Ramirez(mf 25/0),Ortiz(mf 25/1),Cosme(att 24/6 top scorer) and Reinteria(att 12/4 ,2nd scorer).

Millonarios first eleven:  Andrés García(3rd gk 1/0); Leonard Vásquez(df 4/0), Ignacio Ithurralde(df 14/1), Oswaldo Henríquez(df 18/1), Luis Mosquera(mf 20/0); Carlos Padilla(mf 6/0), Jefferson Herrera(mf 2/0), Omar Vásquez(mf 26/1), Cristian Alarcón(mf 2/1); Yuber Asprilla(att 3/0) y Matías Urbano(att 16/0).
http://www.ligapostobon.com.co/noticia/torres-queremos-sumar-y-sumar-53846

FT 3-1 WOOONN!!
+2,7 units!

Sweden Superettan
Angelholm - Brage
pick: Brage +0ah @2.25 (12bet)
stake: 4/10


both teams are playing for nothing. both teams are in bad form,but today i am with Brage!

Angelholm in huge problems before the match. Lot of important missings.
Pyzdrowsky(first gk 16/0),Dahlgren(df 25/1),Lindh(mf 17/0),Karlsson(mf 4/2),Dewee(mf 3/0),Juliusson(mf 10/5 ,2nd scorer),Johansson(att 5/1) and Simovic(att 25/16 top scorer) are out. + best defender Lindberg(Df 17/0) and Eiswold(mf 22/1) are very doubtful for this match..

In worst case Angelholm can be without 10 players!!
Angeholm have scored total 39 goals ,27 of them were scored by Simovic,Karlsson,Dahlgreen,Juliusson,Johansson,Eiswold (all of them are out for today...)

FT 0-1 pick WON

+5 units!

27/10
Waterpolo
Sibenik NCP - POSK 2 @1.4 (bwin)
stake: 7/10
or POSK -2ah @1.87 (pinnacle)

Sibenik NCP is now weakest team in league,all key players from last season left team!! Now team have only 3 experienced players,all other are youngsters!
They have 3 lost matches in a row!
Mladost 19-5 Sibenik
Medvescak 15:9 Sibenik
JUG CO 23-6 Sibenik ...

best player Vlahovic have broken nose and he wont play ,Sentica is injured and he also wont play today. So Sibenik without 2 important players ...

quality ,form,,experience .. everything is on away side.

FT 7-12 pick WON
+2,8 units




26/10
Czech Gambrinus League
Dukla Praha - Jihlava 1 @1.75 (betway,marathonbet)
stake: 3/10


Dukla is solid team. today without missing players! On home ground 2w-3d-1l ,solid stats!
Jihlava is newcomer in league,not so experienced and that can be problem...
Today Jihlava have a lot of missing players. Gavric(df 3/0),Gabriel(df 0/0),Mesanovic(att 8/0), best midifler Kolousek(mf 8/3 ,2nd scorer),Rada(df 8/0) and best player Tecl(att 11/10 top scorer) are out for this match!!
Jihlava have scored total 18 goals,while 13 of them were scored by Tecl and Kolousek! two best players are out for newcomer in league .. i expect home win here.
home ground + experience + lot of important missings in away team = home win.

FT 2-2 pick lost
-3 units



25/10
Newcastle - Club Brugge 1 @1.67 (wiliam hil)
stake: 3/10




Club Brugge have problems with missing players
Stenman(df 0/0), Zimling(mf 3/0), Larsen(df 3/0), Meunier(mf 6/4 ,2nd scorer), Donk(df 7/0), Tchite(att 7/2), Dhoest(gk 0/0), Almeback(df 7/0) are out ,while best player Bacca(att 8/9 top scorer) is doubtfull!

Newcastle will play with almost full squad ,only 2 or 3 players from reserves.

i have no time to write more info. i think this is enough.
FT 1-0 pick WON
+2,01 units



24/10
Hockey European Trophy
Lulea - Eisbaren Berlin 2 @2.55 (bwin)
stake: 1/10 (small stake)


This match is not important for Lulea and they will play with reserves and juniors!
brothers Abott(att 15/1),Abott(att 15/3),Vikho(att 15/3),Felski and Olver are out for sure.
Eisbaren bring 2 high quality players and they will play today.

FT 1-3
pick won + 1,55 units


21/10
Germany Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz - Cottbus (Am) 1 @1.85
stake: 5/10


quality,form,h2h,experience on home side.
Meuselwitz is great on home ground 2w-1d-0l

Cottbus's first team have problems with missing players so best players from Cottbus(Am) will play for Cottbus;s first taem today,that mean Cottbus(Am) will be much weaker than before.

last their match Cottbus (Am) 1-3 Meuselwitz

FT 2-1 pick won
+4,25 units



20/10
Hockey European Trophy
HV 71 - Jyp 2 @3.15 (nordicbet)
stake: 3/10


HV 71 today will play with juniors!!!
HV 71's coach said: Med tanke på att vi inte vet om vi kommer ha spelare i landslaget samtidigt som slutspelet spelas, så kommer vi testa väldigt många juniorer imorgon. Use google translate to understand text.

http://www.hv71.se/artikel/29560/
also i ask one my hockey expert and he said that info is right and Jyp have good chances so we should try this!
GL

FT 2-3 pick WON
+6,45 units



Germany 3 Liga
Darmstad - Dortmund (Am) 1 @2.15 (tipico)
stake: 3/10


Dortmund (Am) have problems in team for today match,they miss few important players! Out are: Durm(df 8/0),Teude(mf 4/0),Fring(mf 12/0),Demirbay(mf 11/2 ,2nd scorer),Ducksh(att 3/0) and best player Benatelli(mf 13/4 top scorer)
Dortmund (Am) is main candidate for promotion,they are last on table with only 7 points in 13 matches... On away ground 0w-1d-5l (4:16)...

quality and experience on home side .. expect home win.
GL

FT 1-2 (ht 1-0 /ft 1-2) clear fixed :@:@:@
pick lost -3 units



19/10
Croatia 1 NHL
Lokomotiva Zagreb - NK Zagreb 2 @5.75 (bwin)
stake: 2/10


this two teams are in good relationship and I think that Lokomotiva will let NK Zagreb to win because NK Zagreb is last on table and need win and points to go away from dangerous zone.
Lokomotiva without Lovric(gk 2/0),Babaric(Df 10/0),Mrzljak(mf 9/0) and Skvorc(att 3/0).
GL

FT 1-1 pick lost
-2 units


Ireland Premier League
Cork City - Dundalk
pick: Cork -1eh @ 2.10
stake: 4/10

Dundalk for sure will relegate,they are last on table with only 17 points. They are without a win around 15 matches ....
Cork City have no important missings,today they only miss Buckley(Df 2/1).
Dundalk have huge problems with missing players today,
Out are: Foran(df 24/0),Osobourne(df 15/0),Walsh(mf 20/0),Mountney(mf 26/0) and best striker Shannan(att 20/5 top scorer). Doubtful are: Brady(df 2/0),Burns(df 19/0),Brien(mf 8/0),Woods(mf 4/0),McDonel(mf 24/0),McKenna(att 7/1) and Griffin(att 17/4 ,2nd scorer).
expect easy home win here.
quality,home field,form,motivation ... everything is on home side.
GL

FT 3-0 pick WON
+ 4,4 units



17/10
Italy
Reggiana - Viareggio 1 @2.30 (unibet)
stake: 4/10


away team will play with mixed squad because players are little tired.. Around 7 important first team players will be rested. so Viareggio today with B team.

FT 0-1 pick lost
-4 units



South Korea
Ulsan - Jeonbuk 2 @2.1
stake: 3/10


Ulsan today miss few very important players. Out are Wook Kim(att 32/11 top scorer),Ho Lee(mf 29/8 best midifler),Kwang Kim(first gk 29/0),Kwak(df 28/3 best defender),Sung Lee(df 28/1),Kang(df 29/2) and important brazilian Rafinha(att 12/5)
quality is on away side. expect away win.
GL

FT 1-3 pick WON
+ 3,3 units



14/10
Norway Adeccoligaen
Notodden - Tromsdalen DNB 2 @1.91 (wiliamhil)
stake: 5/10


Nottoden is playing for nothing,they still have chance to avoid releation but it is "impossible mision" they have to won all last 5 matches and other result to be on their benefit... it is impossible.
Today NOtodden without Larsen(first gk 16/0),Ufs(df 10/0),Jahr(df 15/1),Jenssen(df 23/2),Granerud(mf 16/2),best player Velta(mf 24/7 top scorer) and best striker Holmen(att 18/4 ,2nd scorer).
Tromsdalen must win matches like this if they want to stay in league!,they dont have important missing today!

FT 1-5
pick WON + 4,55 units



Spain Segunda Division 
Sabadell - Hercules 1 @1.97 (5dimes)
stake: 6/10



Hercules is 2nd worst team in league,they won only 4 points in 8 matches .. very bad performance. On away ground 0w-1d-3l with 0 scored goals ... very very bad.
+ today Hercules have problems with missing players! Falcon(first gk 8/0),Juanra(df 0/0),Castilla(df 0/0),Sarpong(mf 6/0) and Braulio(att 4/1) are injured ,while Pena(df 8/0),Escassi(mf 7/1) and Merida(mf 8/1) are suspended.
Sabadell is team with high ambitions this season,they brign few good players and now they will fight for promotion places. On home ground Sabadell still without lost 3w-1d-0l


FT 1-2 pick lost
- 6 units

England Blue Square Premier League 13/10
Hereford - Braintree X2 @1.70 (bluesquare)
stake: 6/10












Blue Square (www)1.251.301.70
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/england/blue-square-premier/nextmatch.php?matchid=1380033&section=dc-odds


Hereford in last 10 matches have only 2w-2d-6l . + today miss few very important players! Out are Carruthers(df 13/1 key defender),Townsend(df 6/0),Keefe(mf 2/0),captain Graham(df 13/0 key defender),best midifler Watkins(mf 11/3) and top scorer Jackson(att 6/4).
GL to us in new month.

FT 0-0 pick WON
 +4,2 units


_______________________________________
                         AUGUST MONTH
0w-0v-1l
profit: -4 units (- 14 € profit)


04/08 Poland » Division 1 »
Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznan 2 dnb @2.88 (paddy power)
stake: 4/10

Arka have financial problems,many players lef team,and now they are much weaker than last season

players who left Arka: Juszcyuk(first gk 15/0),Bochenek(df 9/0),Siebert(df 6/0),Kowol,Plutka(df 4/0),Jarun(df 20/0),Wilczynski(df 5/0),Lagiewka(df 10/0),Benat(mf 20/5),Budzinski(mf 5/00,Mazuriewicz(mf 27/5),Niedzela(mf 18/0),Kasperkiewicz(mf 15/0),Flis(att 27/6 2nd scorer),Ivanovski(att 17/4) and Kowalski(att 29/1)

Warta have solid squad and i think they can beat Arka who have lot of problems!



--------------------------------------------------------------

                              JULY MONTH

 (1 unit = 10 € ) 
 4W-1L-1V
profit: +12,7 units (120,7
€  profit)


Date
Game
Pick
Odd
Stake
ResultView pick
04.07 Den Bosch - Leuven2 DNB 2.50 2/10 1-2 WON
06.07 Serbia u19 - England u19 -1ah 2.16 3/10 1-2 Void
09.07 Yenisey - Shinnik 1 2.40 3/10 1-0 WON
10.07 Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima 1 2.103/103-1 WON
11.07
Meppen - Dortmund
h1 +2eh 2.40 3/101-2 WON
27.07
Nantes - Istres
1 1.95 2/10 1-1 lost




                                              JUNE MONTH

 (1 unit = 10 € ) 
 12W-3L
profit: +46,01 units (460,01
€  profit)




Date
Game
Pick
Odd
Stake
ResultView pick
13.06 TP-47 vs HauPa2 DNB 2.00 5/10 0-4 WON
14.06 SantaFe vs Chico  X2 2.20 2/10 1-0 lost
15.06 Johor MBJB vs Muar2 1.62 5/10 0-2 WON
16.06  Liaoning W. vs Shandong L. 1 1.955/101-0 WON
16.06
Dep.Quito vs Emelec
2 3.30 1/102-1 lost
16.06
Falkenberg vs Trelleborgs 
1 1.95 4/10 2-0 WON
17.06
Souths vs Brisbane
2 1.36 4/10 0-7 WON
19.06
Perak vs Felda
11.575/102-1 WON
21.06
Helsingborg vs Silkeborg
2 DNB
2.752/102-0 lost
23.06Guillermo Brown vs Quilmespick
2
1.576/100-2 WON
23.06Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew12.102/100-3 WON
23.06
Argentina vs Germany
Germany
-2,5sets
2.202/100-3 WON
26.06
Slovenia(W) - Slovakia (W)
Slovakia
+10ah
1.904/1061-72 WON
28.06
Sangju - Seoul
21.677/100-1 WON
30.06
Hacken - Sundsvall
28.002/101-2 WON





3 comments:

  1. I didn't saw this :( fuck man

    ReplyDelete
  2. Why have you stopped giving strong insiders for free ??

    ReplyDelete
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    ReplyDelete