Wednesday, July 31, 2013

bulgaria 02/08

Chernomorets - Neftochimic 1 @1.72 (sbobet)

city derby.

Chernomorets make good preparation , they have good squad with 7 foreign players Manozoro,Mrabet and Lundulu from France , Marquinhos and Gomes from Portugal , brazilian Oliveira and macedonian Trajanov.
For this match Chernomorets will be without Vanco Trajanov who is injured.

Nefthomich change coach before start of new season,no money in club. In squad they have only bulgarians , not so good players and some young players who are on loan.

now main reason for this bet.
Chernomorets and Neftochimic are from same city ( Burgas) and they play on same stadium. Neftochimic dont have stadium and they pay to Chernomorets to play on their stadium.There is big possibility Neftochimic to let this 3 points to Chernomorets and than Chernomorets give them to use stadium free for few rounds.

- preview >


Tuesday, July 30, 2013


Argentina B
Talleres Cordoba - Sarmiento Junin , Talleres +0ah @1.85 (pinnacle;sbobet)

great odds here,bookies make a mistake.

Odds are high for hosts because they are new promoted team in Argentina B League but they are strong team!! They keep all best players from last season which is big plus for them + they signed some extra players like Shaffer , Avendano , Barrionuevo , Vega , Sotelo and some others less quality players. Talleres are celebrating 100 year anniversary , lot of fans on stadium , high motivation for win today.

Sarmiento last season finished on 5th place but this season they cant repeat that because they lost best players. key defender Tucker(df 34/6 ,2nd scorer),key midifler Oviedo(mf 34/6,2nd scorer),attacking trio Vilchez(att 23/2),Cerruti(att 32/4) and Cuevas(att 30/8 top scorer) LEFT TEAM.

Sarmiento probable line up;  Lucas Ischuk; Pablo Aguilar, Daniel Delgado, Marcelo Mosset y Fernando González; Ramiro López, Yamil Garnier, Silvio Iuvalé y Matías Díaz; Jorge Córdoba y Luis Quiroga.
if i understood good Ferradas and Tamburelli are unavailable for this match because of injury.

value odds, GL

France Super Cup
PSG - Bordeaux
pick: PSG @1.55 (188bet)

PSG make amazing team,they have rich owner and he invest lot of money in club. This summer PSG bring Edinson Cavani(from Napoli),Lucas Digne(from Lille) and Marquinhos(from Roma) , no important leaves... They are again main candidate for title in league, of course they want this trofey too.

Bordeaux last season finished on 7th place with 55 points (28 points less than 1st placed PSG) , For this match Bordeaux with lot of absences. Bréchet(df 24/2 , new player from Troyes), Planus(df 28/0), Henrique(df 24/1), Rolan(att 7/0), Diabaté(att 23/8 top scorer), Faubert(mf 13/0), A.Traoré(att 9/0), Bellion(att 13/1) are injured, also best player Gouffran(mf 20/8 top scorer)

quality is on PSG side,they are much better team with amazing individuals and I expect them to win.

Sweden Allsvenskan
Kalmar - Syrianska 1 @1.57

quality and form on home side, home ground is also advantage for Kalmar because they are using natural grass while Syrianska is using artificall grass.

Kalmar on home ground is still without lose 2w-6d-0l . They are in good form , last 6 matches 3w-3d (they draw with strong Helsingborg).

Syrianska is weak and poor team,last on table with only 10 points in 17 matches .. in very bad form 11 matches without a win (3d-8l) !! And the worst thing is that they have lot of absences for this match , Elia(df 13/0),Sleyman(df 12/0),Demirtas(df 11/0),Chanko(mf 14/1),Sjoblom(mf 13/0) and most experienced player Touma(mf 12/3 top scorer) are UNAVAILABLE. strikers Sow(att 7/2) and Felic(att 16/2) are doubtful.

first match Syrianska 0-3 Kalmar ... so Kalmar destroy them on away ground , now they should have easy job, i expect similar results , something like 3-0 , 4-1

1 @1.57 (bet365)
Kalmar -1ah @1.99 (188bet)

1st august. europe league & basket

31 july.
Manchester City - Milan 1 @1.91 (188bet)
FT 5-3 pick WON
Milan have problems with absences on this match. Zapata , Mexes , Abate , De Sciglio , Saponara , Bonera , Montolivo , Robinho , Pazzini and Balotelli are unavailable.

Manchester City have much better team.

In normal case this odds would be OK but Milan is much weakned now so this odds are value.


Jordan - Chinese Taipei 
Chinese Taipei @1.7 (bwin)

FT 87-91 pick WON
Odds drop a lot and I miss the value.

Jordan is without two best players Osama Daghles and Zaid Abbas.
Chinese Taipei dont have injuries , they are with full roster. Also they have two naturilazed american guys.

before 2 weeks Chinese Taipei 91-61 Jordan.

there is still some value, GL

Europe League
Sevilla - Mladost Podgorica
Sevilla -2,75ah @1.69  
FT 3-0 , half pick won

HUGE diference between this two clubs in everything.

Sevilla is better club than Mladost on all fields. I dont have to write anything about Sevilla because you all know that they are strong team from Spain with good squad etc.

Mladost is one average team from Montenegro who finished on 6th place in league (so they are not even in top teams!) , ok somehow they pass 1st and 2nd qualification round but this is the end for them. They cant do more in this qualifications, for one semi professional club like them from Montenegro where everything is fixed and everything is for money this is big succses.

some key players like  Scepanovic(mf 26/14 top scorer),Ishihara(mf 14/1),Bozovic(df 19/2) and Tomic(df 22/2) left Mladost.

+ Mladost have problems with trip for this match ...

Sevilla will want to finish the job in first match so they will attack and will play for goal more.

Sunday, July 28, 2013

sunday pick(s)

Young Boys - Thun 1  @1.75   FT 3-2 pick WON

quality is on home side.

YB start this season good with 2 easy wins (vs Sion 2-0 , and vs Laussane 1-3). This season YB have new coach U.Forte (ex Grasshoperr's coach , really good coach!) , this season YB have ambitions for top 4 places and that is their target!

Thun have important match in Europe Leauge for 3 days. Players can be little tired because of this fast tempo at the start of season. Also Thun have problems with absences , Schindelholtzxh(df 17/0) , Bigler , Battig(df 20/0) , Krstic(mf 20/0) , Siegerfried(mf 19/1) , Zuffi(mf 25/1) and Ferreira(mf 26/2) are out.


Paraguay Olimpia Asuncion - Carpegua
Olimpia with reserves because of Copa Libertadores final,key players will be rested they are not in squad for this match.
no bet because Carpegua is bad team.

Wednesday, July 24, 2013

26/07 bg & 27/07 germany

Germany 3 Liga
Burghausen - Duisburg , burghausen -0,25ah @2.00 (sbobet)  FT 0-2 pick lost

i wrote about Duisburg before one week and pick was won. best defender Bajic and Wolze are suspended , Wassing and Ozturk are injured - all 4 first team players.

Lok.Sofia - Litex Lovech dnb2 @1.73 (sportingbet)  FT 0-2 pick WON

quality on Litex side.

last season Loko stay in league thanks to Litex and CSKA Sofia who gaved them 3 points in last two rounds. Top scorer Pavlov left Loko's team.

in last round CSKA gave 3 points to Loko.
one round before that , Litex gave 3 points to Loko.

this season is time for "pay back".

Litex will attack on title , > Chances for them to win league are 0.1% but they will be for sure in top 5 teams. They start season good with 4-1 win vs newcomer in league Neftchomik.


. 24/07

Polish Cup
Rozwoj Katowice - Stomil

info on:

Pelister - Pobeda Junior 1 @1.57 (bet365)  FT 4-0 pick WON

I already wrote once about Pelister and their new sponsor.

Pelister won 2nd league team Novaci 1-2 with mixed teams (most of them reserves and youngsters). Today I talk with one player from Pelister and he told me that they will play with full squad today. So all new players Mojsov,brazilian Junior,new bulgarians will be IN. this season Pelister have best defence!!

Pobeda Junior is new formed team. Pobeda was famous and quality team in Macedonian Football before 7-8 years but because of fixing scandal in europe they were relegated and after that club dissapeared .. before 3-4 season they make new club , now they are not strong anymore like before ... decent team for 2 league.

match will be played in Bitola (pelister is from bitola) , quality + home field + home fans .. i expect home win here.


Bayern Munich - Barcelona , bayern @1.7 (bwin)

I gave this picks before 2 days when odds were pretty good.
read analyse here >

Monday, July 22, 2013


Frendly match
Pogon - H.Beer Sheva 
pick: H.Beer Sheva DNB @2.60 (Betvictor) ; 2.25 (bet365)  FT 1-2 pick WON

I expect odds to drop.

Pogon will play this match with reserves and some new signings.,Pogon_rozegra_we_wtorek_sparing.html

Hammarby - PSG
Hammarby's league is in playing,on 29/07 they have league match.

PSG squad - , very strong team , lot of quality players. even if PSG rest main stars Ibra , Pastore , Lavezzi ... they still have much stronger starting line up than Hammarby who will play this match relaxed because they dont want to risky injuries.

Che is back!

Hello guys,bettors,friends,visitors,followers .. I am back from holiday, CheGuevara is in his home :D Now I will have more time to post informations.

Everybody who is interested for VIP service can contact me on mail starting from now. This month was little bad but till end of July I promise GREEN (positive numbers)!

update: No more new vip subscribers for this month!!! Sorry guys but simply I have lot of subscribers so .... (I hope you will understand me)

Lukas Rosol - Marcel Granollers   2 @ 1.35;2
FT 0-2 ( 2-6 ; 4-6 ) pick WON

odds for Granollers are dropping.

Lukas Rosol have some injury problem and after this tournament he will go on operation.
Rosol interview:  I have arthritis and I do not know how much longer I'll be able to play with him. I'll probably because after the Davis Cup for surgery. Recovery should not be long because the surgery is routine and takes only 20 minutes. Australian Open should not be compromised (google translate used)

+ tomorrow Rosol have match in doubles.

Finland Ykkonen
PK 35 - Haka

PK 35 is average team,3rd from bottom ,in bad form (7 matches without win) + they have some absences for today.
Xhaferi(mf 8/0),Raimi(df 12/0),Matrone(mf 6/0),Oravainen(mf 10/2) and Zarabi(df 11/0) are unavailbale.
Haka strong team,fighting for promotion. No important absences.

Bayern Munich - Barcelona , bayern @1.7 (bwin)  FT 2-0 pick WON

odds for Bayern 1.70 , value.

Bayern with strong team,already played few frendly matches.

Barcelona in problems. Tito Vilanova isnt coach anymore because his health problems .. they are searching for new coach ( maybe they already have new coach but i wasnt on internet 2-3 days so i dont know too much informations :D ). I only know that Barcelona will be without players who played on Confederation Cup. gk Valdes , defenders Alba , D. Alves , Pique , midiflers Iniesta,Fabregas,Busquets,Xavi , strikers Neymar and Pedro are not in team for this match.

on soccerway I saw that match will be played in Munchen (on Alianz Arena) ....

Saturday, July 20, 2013


I already gave one pick for weekend (Duisburg - Heidenheim ,i post that in monday you can find it down in other posts) + I gave free vip pick .. here are few more picks for weekend.

Real Salt Lake - Kansas City

Kansas +0ah @2.55 (pinnacle) ; 2.45 (betvictor)  FT 1-2 pick WON

Real Salt Lake have problems with absences for this match,they have some players injured and some are on international duty. Nik Rimando(first gk 17/0),Josh Saunders(second gk 3/0),Sterzer(mf 2/0),Rich(df 0/0),Siriboe(df 7/0),Beckemanov(mf 16/2),Toni Beltran(df 16/0),Salcedo(df 7/0) and Saboria(att 8/4) are unavailable.

Kansas best team in Easter Conference,they are also best away team in their conference,no important missings in their squad.
value odds ... dont see reason why Salt Lake is so big favourite I expect odds to drop.

Kalju - Tammeka
Kalju is resting first team players because of Europe League match!!!!

JK Kalju: 1-Teleš, 2-Bianchi, 6-Rodrigues, 4-Maehara, 77-Jefferson, 14-Kallaste, 18-Terehhov, 19-Toomet, 20-Dupikov, 17-Kirss, 99-Neemelo.
Varus: 69 -Aland, 23-Voskoboinikov, 11-Kimbaloula, 3-Mägi, 21-Kaldma, 8-Ainsalu, 10-Usami.
(by suspecious)

no bet for me here. (gl to those who will decide to go with away team but they are simply too weak)

Eskilstuna City - V.Syrianska , v.syrianska +0,5ah @1.7 (bet365)   FT 1-2 pick WON
(x2 also 1.7 in bet365)

before 3 days Eskilstuna play match in cup. They lost 3-1 after extra time. In that match they use strong team with all best players in starting line up ,they play 120minutes so for this match they will have problem with tiredness.

V.Syrianska is one decent team in middle of table,no problems with absences.

last their match
V.Syrianska 2-1 Eskistuna (in whole match V.Syrianska have control on the match,almost whole match they were leading with 2-0 )

Shelbourne - Aberdeen , aberdeene -1,5ah  FT 1-2 pick lost (ht 1-0 , ft 1-2 , funny aberdeen cant win shelbourne reserves with 2 goals difference ...)
odds: 1.82 (sbobet)
stake: 6/10;2

Last match for Aberdeen in preparations,coach today will use best line up and wont make many changes during the match because he want to see what performance will give his starting line up.

Shelbourne yesterday play match vs Limerick with all best players (which is logical :D ). Today Shelbourne will play with B team (players from Shelbourne II will play.). Also they will be lead by assistant coach.

short but strong info.
quality is also on Aberdeen side ,they are team from Scotland Premier League,while Shelbourne is team from Ireland 2 League .... 
Aberdeen won UCD with 4-0 !! (UCD is team from 1 Ireland League) .. what will they make now on weak 2nd league team who will play with reserves???

value odds definitely.

Friday, July 19, 2013

21th july , vip pick FREE

Japan - China
pick China +0,5ah
odds: 1.95 (188bet)

FT 3-3 pick WON

(odds now drop,i sent this pick to susbcriebrs before 2 hours)

value odds definitely.

Japan is here with (i would call that) C team!

All national teams are on this tournament with weak squad , only China use strong squad for this tournament.

Monday, July 15, 2013

early bets

strong info posted on fb page click to see

19/07 Frendly
Telstar - Dordecht 
pick: over 3,25 goals
odds: 1.81 (sbobet)  FT 1-1 pick lost
This is tournament for 50 years of Telstar`s football club exsisting. there is special rule on this tournament. Because of this rule I expect teams to go with attacking line ups and attacking style of playing.

On this match there will be lot of Telstar fans, Telstar will play open and there will be many goals on this match I strongly believe in that.

over 5,5 goals , odds 6.00 (betvictor) is also good bet.

Achilles29 - Mallorca
Achilles is amateur team + in this match they will use mixed team because some of (their) best players are still on vacation.

Mallorca strong team from Spain,good known in world football. they should won this pretty easy.
pick: Mallorca -1,25ah @1.55 (188bet)
pick: over 3 goals @1.62 (sbobet)
FT 1-3 both picks WON

20/07 Germany 3 Liga
Duisburg - Heidenheim
Heidenheim +0ah @1.86 (sbobet)
FT 0-1 pick WON;2

Duisburg in big big big problems. Situation is getting worse and worse. They have only 10 profesional players in squad at this moment.

Almost all players from last season left team . because of financial problems Duisburg didnt bring any new players.

PLAYERS WHO LEFT CLUB: Wiedwald(first gk 27/0),Muller(second gk 7/0),Bomheuser(df 25/2),Kern(mf 19/2),Exslager(att 27/4 , 3rd scorer),brazilian Da Silva(mf 10/0),Domovchiyski(att 13/1),Baljak(att 23/2),key player Brandy(mf 32/6 top scorer),Berberovic(df 14/0),Sukalo(mf 27/0),Lachleb(df 17/0),Perthel(df 17/4),Hennen(df 1/0),JOvanovic(att 26/4),Gjasula(mf 8/0),Abdula(df 0/0) and Brosinski(mf 32/3)

the only quality player who stay in Duisburg is captain Bajic(df 30/5 ,2nd scorer) but he is suspended for this match.

Heidenheim is solid team,they sold some players but bring 2 really good.

Heidenheim -1ah @ 4.15 (bet365) is also good bet with value odds.

Frendly match

18:00h start.
GOSK Gabela - Leotar
1X @1.72 (bet365)
1 @3.00 (bet365)

FT 2-0 both picks WON

like first teams are in good relationships. 
Last season they played once 2/1
In last rounds when GOSK need points to stay in league Leotar let them the 3 points

GOSK relegate in lower league but they have decent squad. They were pretty good in preparations 1w-1d-1l (vs much better teams than Leotar).

Leotar is in huge problems,especially with money. Club have lot of debts and big financial problems.

info by croton: Trebinje are in big trouble, and the club down the debt does not want anyone to accept. It is incomprehensible to almost half a year did nothing to the club to be a little easier operation. The club has no government, no president, coach or squad. What Leotar has? Debts, and most are water, electricity and transport, as well as debts to the Tax Administration, and represent a major stumbling block to someone dares to take care of LEOTAR.

value bet definitely.

18/07 Frendly Match

Hannover (Ger) - West Brom (Eng)
pick: West Brom DNB
odds: 2.10 (bet365)
ft 2-1 lost

Hannover have lot of problems with squad,many absences .. for this match only 15 players available + 3 goalkeepers.

Steven Cherundolo(df 20/0) , Leon Andreasen(mf 5/2) , Manuel Schmiedebach(mf 21/2) , Franca(new signed player) , Bittencourt(new signed player),Ya Konan(att 28/7),Felipe(df 4/1),Teichgräber, Gökdemir, Sobiech(att 25/5), Schulz(df 19/1) and Haggui(df 22/1) are INJURED

Abdellaoue(att 26/8),Pinto(mf 30/2),Eggiman(df 22/1),Rausch(mf 30/3),Chaded(df 13/0) and few others left team. Djorou(df 14/0) is back in Arsenal.

West Brom is good known team from Premier League, they dont have problems with absences. This summer they bring Nicolas Anelka , he probably will start tomorrow match.

18/07 Europe League
Hajduk Split - Turnovo
, Turnovo +2ah @2.1 (bet365) FT 2-1 pick WON

value odds.

Hajduk is favourite in this match but not so big. Before 2 seasons Hajduk was in deep financial crisis , all key players left club then. Now situation is little better, Hajduk is playing with young players from their young system (which is really strong and quality).

Turnovo. Team from village near Strumica , their boss is Orce Todorov he invest money in this club long time and now after 10 years he get succses. They have good team for our league. Two great strikers Baldovaliev(16 goals last season) and best player in our league Blazevski. I believe in Turnovo´s players , experience is on their side and they should use that. Turnovo dont have problems with absences , players are fresh and well rested, they are ready for suprise.

Match will be played on empty stadium without fans because of Hajduk`s fans penalty (+ for Turnovo). Hajduk always have around 20k fans on stadium and now without them young players can have problems ...


Shamrock - Dundalk 1  
FT 4-0
odds for home win drop a lot reason is ...
Dundalk with youngsters.


Tallinna Kalev - Flora 
flora -2,25ah
odds: 1.92 (12bet , dafabet) 

Flora is much better team than Tallinna Kalev.

Flora is 2nd on table with 4 points less than 1st placed Kalju (but Flora have 1 match less ,so if they won today they will be just 1 point behind Kalju). Flora have best attack in league with 45 scored goals , they should score minimum 3 goals today. They have full squad available today.

Tallinna Kalev in huge problems.

Liivamagi(df 15/1),Karu(mf 5/0) are not in squad. Koca(df 11/0),Yapici(mf 8/0) and Tomson(mf 16/0) left team. Evuy(df 15/0) and Alundag(mf 16/0) are suspended. Stepanjan(mf 13/0) is doubtful
(info by suspicious , expert for estonian league)

h2h,quality and form on Flora`s side.

Metalist Kharkov - Metalist Donetsk

Donetsk left some key players, Volovik(df 26/5),Ghayaryan(mf 21/3) and best striker Traore(att 25/9 top scorer).

M.Donetsk`s coach: 
We now have 18 players , In Kharkov we go with 14 players , 2 reserve goalkeepers and two juniors. Truly , We are now in very bad situation.

Kharkov is better team with better players and big bench but i wont bet on this match because hosts are missing playmaker Cleiton Xavier.

Sunday, July 14, 2013

friendly matches

Estudiantes - Boca JuniorsEstudiantes with solid squad..

Boca with mixed squad , many reserves and youngsters are in squad.
Agustín Orion, Sebastián D'Angelo, Leandro Marín, Claudio Pérez, Matías Caruzzo, Guillermo Burdisso, Alan Aguirre, Ribair Rodríguez, Pablo Ledesma, Guillermo Fernández, Juan Sánchez Miño, Juan Román Riquelme, Leandro Paredes, Juan Manuel Martínez y Nicolás Blandi.

Supersport - Manchester City

Mdledle, Diouf , Fransman, Nkausa
Mathebula, Maluleka, Mulenga, Chenene
Erasmus, Niang


Zabaleta, Kompany, Nastasic, Clichy
Silva, Fernandihno, Toure, Navas
Dzeko, Aguero

This will be first challenge for Manchester`s new coach Pellegrini.
9 substitutions are allowed.

Friday, July 12, 2013

free picks today and weekend.

FC Astana - Akyajyk Uralsk
pick: FC Astana -1,5ah   FT 3-1 pick WON
odds: 1.92 (sbobet)

huuge quality difference on home side.

FC Astana is 2nd placed with 34pts , they are sure on 2nd place and cant go down or up ...  They are strong team who play in Europe Qualifications this season , quality players , big stadium , high ambitions ....

Akzajzk is in financial problems I wrote about that before few weeks (Akzajyk - Kairat but pick was lost)... Situation is getting worse and worse .. few players left team , unpaid wages , 4 rounds till end of season they will probably relegate so players are trying to find some new club for next season ...

FC Astana is in bad form and players are little tired because of Europe League Qualifications but I believe thez can win Akzajyk`s team.

Brazil Serie A
Corinthians -Atletico MG
Corinthians -1ah
odds: 2.06 (sbobet , 12bet , 188bet , dafabet)

Corinthians have amazing roster with players like Alexandre Pato(ex Milan player) , Renato Augusto (ex B.Leverkusen player) , Paolo Guerrero(ex Hamburger player) , Gil (ex Valenciennes player) .... they start this season little bad but they should improve in next matches.
Before few weeks they get 17 milions £ for Paulinho`s transfer in Tottenham

Atletico MG start bad this season also but that is expected because they play in Copa Libertadores and many times coach rest players in league matches. for this match coach will do the same , because Atletico MG play extra important match in Copa Libertadores (final match) coach decide to send reserves vs Corinthians. Key players and regular players will be rested !!

in this case Corinthians is big favourite in this match.

Ukraine Tavirya - Zarya , zarya +0ah
odds 1.96 (pinnacle)
FT 0-1 pick WON
odds are dropping for away win I will tell you why.

Tavirya cant bring new players because of bad financial situation and transfer embargo! Tavriya have only 18 players in squad (small number) 3 of them are goalkeepers ,while Svensson(mf 11/0) and Feschuk(att 27/3) are injured.
few first team players left team ...

last season
Zarya finished on 10th place with 37pts
Tavirya finished on 11th place with 32pts.

last season in last round Zarya destroy Tavirya with 3-0.

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

11th july , europe league qualifications

Pyunik - Teteks
Teteks +1ah    FT 1-0 pick void (goal in 93min)
odds: 2.20 (ladbrokes) , 2.16 (pinnacle)  

bookies make Pyunik big favourite in this match ... but how? why? i cant understand.
I watch first match and Teteks was much better,they have control of the match and create chances. Teteks should won that match but they can`t score ....

For this match Teteks coach said that they will attack for a win and goal more. Quality is on their side , experience also  (they brough few quality players for this qualifications)

-- read more about teteks here -

Pyunik have very young team,they didnt show something special in first match, most of the time they attack from counter attacks .... no good passes,cant control ball ....

value odds,GL

Mariehamn - Inter Baku  
pick DNB 2
odds: 2.00 (bet365) ; 2.15 (sportingbet)   FT 0-2 pick WON

value odds.

first match Inter 1-1 Mariehamn.

Mariehamn have good result from first match , if tomorrow they play 0-0 they are in next stage , but I dont think that Inter will allow that. Inter will attack a lot like in first match where they were better team, Inter create chances , have shoots on goals and iniciative but at the end just 1-1.

stats from first match
corners: Inter 3 - 3 Mariehamn
shoots: Inter 15 - 6 Mariehamn
shoots on target: Inter 4 - 2 Mariehamn
ball possesion: 58% - 42%

Tomorrow Mariehamn will be without best striker Orgill(att 13/8 top scorer) and key midifler Assis(mf 15/4 , playmaker , 3rd scorer) are injured - both of them played in first match vs I.Baku , Rezgar Amani och Mattias Wiklöf are doubtful if i understood good from text.

Inter Baku is team from Azerbeijan , quality team with few great foreign players who lead this team. They have ambitions in this qualifications but everything is possible. I know that they will attack,they will have ball possesion and they will have to score minimum one goal.

bulgarian cup , today 19:30h

Ludogorets - Beroe
pick: 1 (ludogorets)
odds: 1.7 (bet365)

imo Ludogorets is best team in Bulgarian football , they have strong,powerfull and rich boss. This season again they will play Champions League Qualifications (last season they were really close to qulify but nothing at the end.).
For new season Ludogorets bring some quality players because owner want double crown (league + cup).

Beroe didnt make some good signings so I dont expect something special from them this season,they are average team without high ambitions and without some star players.
key defender Pedro Eugenio(df 21/3) is OUT , while Elio Martins(mf 19/2 , playmaker) is questionable.

quality is on home side,Ludogorets is much better and should win this match.

here is analyse for this match from my bulgarian friend (analyse is on bulgarian) :

-Лудогорец поне на теория следва справедливо да бъде определен за огромен фаворит в този мач. Ако можем да говорим избощо за мотивация в този финал за суперкупата, то тя определно следва да е на страната на разградчани. Орлите са млад клуб, който както всички знаем в момента кове своята история и всеки трофей, дори този за суперкупата има значение за него. Тимът направи повече от добра селекция за родните стандарти и поне на хартия е огромен фаворит за нова трета шампионска титла. В последната си контрола Лудогорец надигра тотално и пропусна да победи Металург Донецк като до ключовите мачове със Слован в квалификациите на Шампионската лига остават броени дни и е ясно, че днес зелените от Разград ще подходят с необходимата концентрация, ще се търси силна постоянна игра и отработване и на детайлите за гостуването в Братислава. Берое смело може да се каже, че не направи селекция като взе само един вратар (Макенджиев) за резерва на титуляра Караджов. Треньорът на селекцията от Стара Загора заяви, че този мач ще бъде изцяло за престиж като той по-скоро подсказа, че се надява тимът му да бъде на ниво в мачовете в Лига Европа и първенството, а днешният ще бъде приет като заключителен елемент от подготовката. За Берое на 100% мача пропуска ключовият опорен халф Лузейро, а вероятно и един от най-креативните им играчи Мартинс, който беше герой в мача на финала за Купата на България. Налгасата и обстоятелства са изцяло на страната на Лудоцорец и той вероятно ще спечели трофея в редовното време без сериозни затруднения.

Tuesday, July 9, 2013

09 june

Copa do Brasil
Cruzeiro - Atletico GO
CRUZEIRO: Fábio, Mayke, Bruno Rodrigo, Dedé e Egídio. Nilton e Souza. Everton Ribeiro, Diego Souza, Luan e Vinícius Araújo.
Técnico: Marcelo Oliveira.

ATLÉTICO-GO: Márcio; John Lennon, Artur, Diego Giaretta e Ernandes; Marino, Dodó, Robston e João Paulo; Juninho e Ricardo Jesus.
 Técnico: Rene Simoes

Brazil Serie B
Paysandu - Sao Caetano 

Paysandu without Alvim(df 0-0),Ramos(mf 7-2 , key midifler) and Heliton(att 2-0).
Sao Caetano without Xavier(df 7-0),Luiz Eduardo(df 3-0),Rivaldo(mf),Carvalho(mf 7-0) and Danielzinho(att 5-0)

Sunday, July 7, 2013


Hello guys I want to inform you that I came in Slovenia and here I found free weirless (internet) so sometimes when I have time I will write some infos on site.

Brazil Serie A
Botafogo - Fluminense

old good friends.

they played 2 times 2/1 and 2 times 1/2.

in 2011 ht 2-1 ; ft 2-3 (1/2)

in 2010 ht 1-2 ; ft 3-2 (2/1)

in 2010 ht 0-1 ; ft 2-1 (2/1)

in 2007 ht 1-0 ; ft 1-2 (1/2)

last season in Serie A Botafogo played 6 times 2/1 ; 1/2 (that is huge number) , Fluminense played just 2 times.

+ many free transfers between them -

Saturday, July 6, 2013

FRENDLY matches

I go on vacation in Slovenia today at 4pm. I will be there tomorrow around 9am. If I find some good internet weirless I will give some infos on site from my pc (laptop).
I wish to all my followers and subscription nice day and nice vacation.

I came back home on 22th july.

Dalkurd - Forward 
pick: Forward +0ah @2.10 (bet365)    FT 1-2 pick WON

Dalkurd played very bad match vs Sirius before 1 week (they lost 4-1) , today they met 4th placed Forward. For today's match Dalkurd will miss 3 key players, key defender Sulaka(df 11/0),best midifler Nouri(mf 10/6 ,2nd scorer,playmaker) and best striker Omeje(att 7/7 top scorer). Dalkurd in squad have 12 players who are under 21 years old ,now when they miss 3 key players some youngsters will get chance.
Forward have good team with experienced players. True they are still without win on away ground (0w-4d-2l) but I think that today they have good chances vs weakned Dalkurd

Alfreton Town - Birmingham
pick: Birmingham -1ah @1.98 (bet365)  FT 1-3 pick WON;2

Blue square's premiership team (5th league) and Championship team (2nd league). 

Alfreton boss declared

“We have to get out of it what we want to. We are looking at a new group of players, how they get on together, find formations, and trial, but for the best part of this first game, it is looking for fitness levels.
“It is going to be tough for some of our lads because they are not going to have the match fitness and some of them will only get 45 or 60 minutes under their belts but we will ease them in like that. (they have only 4 workout sesions)
We have only 14 players signed so far, but will have four or five trialists as well which will help us get our way through the game” ended Law.

Blues squad to travel to the Republic of Ireland: Colin Doyle, Darren Randolph, Neal Eardley, Jonathan Spector, Kyle Bartley, Hayden Mullins, Dan Burn, Paul Robinson, Mitch Hancox, Liam Davis, Chris Burke, Koby Arthur, Tom Adeyemi, Olly Lee, Wade Elliott, Callum Reilly, Darren Ambrose, Nikola Zigic, Matt Green, Lee Novak, Andrew Shinnie.

Strong squad of 21 players. But some won't play.

Austria Vienna - Fluminense 1

@ 3.20 in balkanbet [bookie] this for balkan followers
this is semi final match of one friendly tournament in Poland.

Austria Vienna's coach Bjelica said that this is most important time of their preparations because for six days they have match in OFB Cup ,while on 20th July Austria Bundesliga starts so they will go with strong line up today from the start.

Fluminense came in Poland with juniors because main team have matches in Brazil Serie A which are more important than this frendly tournament. True Fluminense have good youngsters but Austria Vienna is also good ,experienced team.


Friday, July 5, 2013

05/07 free pick

Turkey - Belaraus

turkey +1,5ah @1.87 (pinnacle ; sbobet) ; 1.8 (bet365)

here are last 3 matches between them which were played before 1 month, in those matches Turkey use B team and they played pretty good.
Head-to-head: Turkey - Belarus
European League 2013    

Now Turkey will play with best team,all key players are in squad. Reason because Turkey came in Mogilev with strongest squad is preparations for Final Four (who will be played next weekend)

odds are definitely wrong. expert for volleyball stevie send me info in the morning with big value odds but now odds drop..

anyway there is still some value


Thursday, July 4, 2013


Arema - Pekanbaru
arema -4ah @1.8 (bet365)  
FT 7-1 pick won

Arema is 2nd placed team in league with 53pts. Arema is very strong at home 12w-1d-1l (goal difference 40:11) , they have many fans and on every their home match they have almost full stadium,i expect same today.

I wrote few times about Pekanbaru , bad financial situation. 15 important players left club ,now Pekanbaru is using local guys and some youngsters. Their defence is very weak because they use youngsters with weak abilities (small weight,no big jump ...)

expect easy home win here.

04/07 qualifications

FK Sarajevo - Libertas 
FK Sarajevo is good team from BiH. best player from last season Hodzic(20 goals,top scorer) left team.
Libertas is amateur team from San Marino,in this match without experienced strikers Fantini(att 21/7 top scorer) and De Luigi(att 20/5 ,3rd scorer).

Teteks - Pyunik

about Teteks; Teteks relegate in 2nd division but won cup so they will play in Europe League (something like Wigan in england :D ). They had two suspecious boss who had local bookie in Switzerland and make lot of money from that. One of them was in one fixing scandal in Italy. Very powerfull bosses but they dont care about club they just want money. Fans were happy when Teteks relegate in 2 Division because they thought that now owners will left club but that didnt happen. Owners stay in club and promise "come back" in 1 Division. 

I strongly believe that Teteks will make some fixing in Europe League , that is why owners stay in club ,if they fix here they can get more money from bookies.

They are almost same team like last season,they bring lot of quality players (only to win the cup and they did it). 
Teteks bring some quality players who sign a contact to play in Teteks only in Europe League qualifications, Kurtim Balazhi(df ,from Napredok) - great player ,he is in top 5 defenders in our league , young talented striker Angelov(att ,from Rabotnicki) -he was in Schalke on test but nothing from that and few others.
I dont know anything about Pyunik .. They are famous club in Macedonia because in 2004 they fix match with Pobeda Prilep (macedonian team) in europe qualifications and Pobeda was punished (while Pyunik nothing,no sanction). Now I read that they have some financial problems and club is brining young players.

Tuesday, July 2, 2013

03/07 strong info.

Persiwa Wamena - Persisam 2 @2.20 (bet365)
Persiwa have financial problems and many players left club because of unpaid wages. all foreign players are refusing to play and didnt go on trainings because of unpaid wages.

info from indonesian expert megapoxy; 

Persiram is in really good condition, they are also from Papua which means they don't have to travel that much to get ther,  they should also win against the .... remainings of Persiwa (many players have already left the club long ago, check their latest matches, no win for ages and even the point they got against Pelita was because the guests then chose to rest many starters).

value odds,i expect huge dropping. fair odds 1.75




Australia u19 - USA u19USA -35ah @1.82 (sbobet)
FT 51-94 pick WON


USA yesterday didnt force too much vs Russia , some of players were rested in that match so for this match vs Australia they have full power.

Everybody in USA's team is giving 100% because everybody want to be in starting five,big motivation.

Australia is too weak team for USA who is main candidate for medals. Australia's coach know that they dont have chances for win in this match so he decide to give a rest to key players because next day they have most important match vs Russia (to be or not match) if they win match vs Russia they are in next stages,if not they are going back to australia.

USA should destroy them.


03/07 free pick


Harimau Muda B - Tampines 2 @1.83 (bwin) ; 1.73 (bet365) ; 1.85 (marathonbet)

FT 0-1 pick WON
value odds definitely.

I already wrote about Harimau Muda B ,in that team are playing only u19 players!!!

Tampines is best team in league. 1st on table 12w-1d-2l (34pts) , 2points more than 2nd placed Albirex Niigata (but Tampines have 1 match less [this today]) If Tampines win today they will be more comfortable on 1st place.

Tampines have great squad with many quality foreign players like Dreven(first gk,croatia),Yamashita(df , japan),Kaneko(df , japan),Wagner(midifler ,argentina) and Hadzubulic(striker , bih).
+ before few weeks Tampines bring 3 foreign players, goalkeeper Andre Martins, midfielder Vitor Ladeiras and striker Diogo Caramelo from the lower rungs of the Portuguese league.

Tampines will attack whole match,while Harimau Muda B like always will wait for their fast counter attacks.

experience,form and quality is on Tampines side.


Champions League Qualifications
Shirak - Tre Penne over 4,5 goals @1.8 (bet365) ; 1.85 (sportingbet) ; 1.87 (betvictor)
FT 3-0 lost;2

huuuge quality difference on home side.
i remember last season Dudelange (team from Luxembourg) destroy Tre Penne 7-0 on home ground in first match. Now Tre Penne have stronger opponent than Dudelange so we should expect more goals.

Tre Penne qualify in Champions League's Qualifications after penalties (that show that they are not so good team even from San Marino where people dont invest in football!). In league they lost 9 from 27 matches ....
-update; key defender Mikhalovskiy(df 25/3) is doubtful. Valentini(first gk 26/0) is injured. On goal will be young unexperienced Pazzini(0/0 , 22 years old)

Shirak is good team with some young talents + some quality african players. Shirak won title pretty easy in 42 rounds they had 26 wins with goal difference 70:38 . Shirak's coach said; Because we dont know anything for Tre Penne we must give 100% on this match
I expect something like 4-1 , 5-1

Europa League Qualifications
Metalurg Skopje - Qarabag
Qarabag -0,25ah @1.85 (188bet) ; 1.89 (Betvictor)
FT 0-1 pick WON

Metalurg played 8 matches till now in Europe Qualifications and they never win a match!!! They have very bad style of playing,whole match they are playing in defence and playing on counter attacks. If there is livestream for this match you will see how bad they are. They sign just one good player that is Sedat Berisha(from Shkendija) good defender but he is unavailable for this match!
Metalurg is team without real fans ... this match will be played on Filip II Arena but i am 99% sure that there wont be many people on stadium everyone is waiting for match Vardar - Steaua.

about Qarabag; they are team from Azerbeijan , they invest a lot of money in club so now they want results.
This team is leaded by Richardo and Reynaldo , this summer they bring Nicolos Gelashvili (from Bochum) and Leroy George(from NEC Nijmegen) for 2 milions (Metalurg's total value is 2 milions :D). Qarbag's coach is Gurban Gurbanov , he is best coach in Azerbeijan at this moment (that is writing media).

in 2010/11 they met in Europe League Qualifications and Qarabag was better.

my other pick is;
under 2,5 goals @1.8 (12bet;dafabet)
FT 0-1 pick WON

-because Metalurg will play in defence whole time. In attack they are weak so I dont expect goal from action,maybe they will score some goal from free-kick or penalty kick because Ignjatov(mf) is good shooter.

small stakes on both bets.

Monday, July 1, 2013

china & norway2

Wuhan Zall - Guangzhou Evergrande 
guangzhou -1,5ah @1.52 (bet365)  
FT 1-4 pick WON

Wuhan Zall is worst team in league,last on table with only 6 points (1w-3d-10l) without suspended Ke Zhao(df 10/0) and Xin Feng(df 6/0). attacking duo Tan Si(att 4/0) and best player Dembele(att 10/2) are injured.

Guanzhou is definitely best team in league! first on table with amazing stats. 12w-2d-0l (38pts).Best home and best away team in league. no missings in team, Elkeson,Muriqui and Dario Conca should not have problems to score minimum 2-3 goals vs Wuhan Zall's weakned defence.

Wuhan Zall will play in defence whole time,they will be very happy with draw in this match but they cant do that vs so strong team.


Moss - Forde

Forde -1ah @1.8 (bet365)  FT 0-5 pick WON;2
imo fair odds 1.65

Moss have problems with absences,out are; Adam Pytel, Fabian Stensrud Ness, Andreas Eikum, Kenan Yldiz, Tommy Larsen, Tor Erik Moen og Tim Reinback (all injured)
sources;! &

Forde is currently on 2nd position with 27 points (2 points less than 1st palced Asker), if Forde win today they will go on 1st position!! Quality,motivation and form is on their side. I expect easy away win in this case, GL