Sunday, March 31, 2013


Macedonia League
Turnovo - Pelister , Pelister +1ah @2.04 (marathonbet)
X2 @2.8  
FT 2-2 both picks WON 
huuuge value on away side. odds are based on statistic.
true Turnovo is 2nd on table,second best home team in league 8w-2d-0l. BUT they are not so strong team,especially not today when they will miss 2 best players.

Mojsov(mf 19/0) and maybe best player in league Blazhevski(att 21/9 top scorer) are suspended for this match! that will be big hendikep for them,Mojsov is main player in midfield,while Blazhevski is alfa and omega in Turnovo.

Pelister's players are in quarantines 2 days, they are big club in our country with loyal fans,i dont belive that they will relegate again in 2 Division. Their top scorer/best striker Glavevski is back in team,so they wont have problems with scoring goals anymore.
true Pelister is one of worst away teams in league 0w-2d-8l ,but i talk with their fans and they are really optimistic,they belive that today they will get first away win in this season.

value bet gl

Teteks - Napredok

dont know why odds on teteks's are going down ,maybe match is fixed or something like that,i send sms to 2 teteks players and waiting for answer.
Teteks have new coach and best striker Iseni is back after hard injury,i expect goal from him.
Napredok solid team.
value on x2 but still no bet for me.

Drita - Metalurg

pitch is in really bad conditions. in macedonia weather is disaster,raining all the time.
stadium is full of water .. under 2,5 goals best option.

Manta - Dep.Quevedo

Manta without Raúl Rivas(att 2/0), Kléver Andrade(mf 6/0) y Bolívar Gómez(df 4/0).
D. Quevedo line up: Camacho, J. Cortez, Rivera, Hurtado, Chérrez, Corozo, García, Godoy, Ricketts, Espínola, J.J. Cortez. DT: R. Duarte

Panionios - Asteras Tripolis
Panionios miss only Tasmourlidis(mf 1/0).
Asteras miss Fulop(first gk 24/0),Pipinis(df 16/1),Hurtado(mf 0/0),Hegon(mf 7/0) and Trasbouris(mf 25/0)

Olympiakos - PAOK

Olympiakos have full squad available.
PAOK without Sanz(first gk 10/0),Khumalo(df 18/0),Stafylidis(df 18/1),Pelkas(mf 9/0),Lazar(mf 22/2) and Georgiadis(att 5/0).

Levadiakos - AEK

Levadiakos have full squad available,they have new coach now.
AEK have financial problems i wrote about that long time ago,this season their main target is to stay in league,team is full of youngsters,out are Arkoudas(df 12/0),Roger(mf 24/3) and Pavlis(at 13/2)

Brazil Paulista
Guarani - Sorocaba

Guarani with financial problems,before start of season all key players left team,(write on google cheguevarapicks guarani and you will find it),today without Monyoya(df 4/0),Diogo(df 13/0) and Boiadeiro(df 6/0)
Sorocaba is full.

Sao Paulo - Corinthians

both teams rest key players in last match because of this derby match!
Sao Paulo: Rogerio Ceni ; Carleto , Rafael Toloi , Edson Silva , Caio ; Denilson , Ganso , Maicon , Jadson ; Osvaldo y Luis Fabiano
Corinthians: Cassio ; Alessandro , Paulo Andre , Gil , Fabio Santos ;  Ralf , Paulinho , Emerson , Danilo , Romarinho ; Pato

Saturday, March 30, 2013


Brussels - Woluwe 1 @2.38 (paddypower) ; 2.3 (bet365)  FT 3-0 plus;2

odds dropping very fast for home win! Reason is good known Woluwe will play with juniors!

Celje - Aluminij X2  @2.00 (bet365)  FT 0-0 plus
i think that Celje will let Aluminij to win this match .. why?
Celje is sure in middle of table,they have ambitions for Europe League but i think they will go in Europe through the Cup.

on 10/04 this two teams play in Slovenia Cup semi final
for Aluminij main target is to avoid relegation! So cup isnt important for them and i think that Celje today will let Aluminij to win because they need points to stay in league while Celje will win cup match and go in final of cup.

good relationships,they play frendly matches .. also they have one 1/2 match

there are free transfers between this two clubs

Houston - San Jose 2 @4.00 (bet365)

really good  h2h
Major League Soccer 2012
San JoseHouston0:12.363.182.8517.03.2012
Major League Soccer 2011
HoustonSan Jose2:11.813.354.2618.09.2011
San JoseHouston2:02.453.092.7905.06.2011
Major League Soccer 2010
San JoseHouston0:11.883.283.9117.10.2010
HoustonSan Jose1:21.883.343.8506.09.2010
Major League Soccer 2009
HoustonSan Jose3:11.503.756.3524.05.2009
San JoseHouston3:22.303.232.8529.03.2009
Major League Soccer 2008
HoustonSan Jose2:11.633.475.0416.10.2008
San JoseHouston1:12.483.182.6314.09.2008
San JoseHouston2:13.063.384.7023.05.2008

in 2008 they play 4for4
in 2009 classic 3for3 ,two home wins
in 2010 again 3for3 ,but now two away wins with higher odds
in 2011 3for3 ,two home wins
this season (2012) first match won Houston on away ground,so now it is time for away win.

one (for me) fixed match
ht 0-1 ; than penalty kick 1-1 and at the end 2-1 ,classic 2/1

transfersthere are more than 15 transfers between this two teams,most of them are "free" or " 0$ "
only problems are missings in away team,San Jose without: Lenhart, Gordon, Beitashour, Chavez, Ballouchy and Fucito


Palmerias - Linense
quality on home side but Palmerias today will rest key players for CL match!
best midifler Valdivia(mf 7/1),Kleber(att 4/0),Amaro(df 0/0) and Leite(att 7/0) are injured,Henrique(df 13/3),Juninho(df 11/0),Araujo(mf 15/3),Weldinho(mf 12/0),Charles(mf 5/0) and Wesley(mf 14/0) will be rested!

Spain Segunda
Lugo - Xerez 1 @1.78 (5dimes;pinnacle)  FT 3-0 
Xerez have all kind of problems.
first: financial problems,no money in club,players without wages>
second: problems with form,they are 15 matches without a win.
and third: problems with absences,out are 9 players: Ruz(df 7/0),Bouzon(df 22/0),MEndoza(df 26/0),Prieto(df 19/1),Rueda(mf 19/2),Ogbeche(att 8/1),Mari(att 11/2),Velez(att 7/1) and Redondo(mf 14/1)

Xerez will relegate for sure,Lugo playing for nothing,no real motivation but i think they will win this match.

Germany Bundesliga
Stuttgart - Dortmund

Stuttgart without Weis(gk 0/0),Molinaro(df 18/0),Audel(mf 0/0),Bah(mf 1/0),Didavi,Kvist(mf 21/0),Cacau(att 5/1),Okazaki(mf 18/1) and Torun(mf 9/0)
Dortmund without Hummels(df 23/1),Owomoyela(df 0/0),Blaszcykowski(mf 21/9) and Amini(mf 0/0)

Central Coast - Melbourne Hearts
before few days Central Coast's coach in one interview told that he will use juniors in this match becuase on 03/04 Central Coast have very important match in AFC Chapmions League... but now i check squads and nothing from that.
squads,missing, preview for match here >>

Central Coast Mariners squad: 1. Mathew Ryan (Gk), 2. Daniel McBreen, 3. Joshua Rose, 4. Pedj Bojic, 5. Zachary Anderson, 6. Patrick Zwaanswijk, 7. John Hutchinson, 8. Adriano Pellegrino, 9. Bernie Ibini, 11. Oliver Bozanic, 13. Brent Griffiths, 14. Michael McGlinchey, 15. Brad McDonald, 16. Trent Sainsbury, 17. Anthony Caceres, 18. Nick Montgomery, 19. Mitchell Duke, 20. Justin Pasfield (Gk), 21. Mile Sterjovski, 29. Nick Fitzgerald

Melbourne Heart squad: 1. Clint Bolton, 4. Simon Colosimo, 6. Patrick Gerhardt, 8. Matt Thompson, 9. Dylan Macallister, 10. Josip Tadic, 11. Richard Garcia, 14. Golgol Mebrahtu, 15. David Williams, 16. Marcel Meeuwis, 17. Jason Hoffman, 18. David Vrankovic, 19. Ben Garuccio, 20. Andrew Redmayne, 21. Jamie Coyne, 22. Nick Kalmar, 24. Sam Mitchinson, 25. Jeremy Walker, 36. Eli Babalj

England Premier League
Arsenal - Reading

Arsenal without Wilsher(mf 18/0),Diaby(mf 11/0) and Walcott(att 25/11).
Reading without Frederici(first gk 20/0),Guthrie(mf 13/1) and Roberts(att 11/0)

Manchester City - Newcastle

M.City without Maicon(df 7/0),Rodwell(mf 8/0) and Richards(df 3/0). good news for Mancinni ,3 key players Yaya Toure,Kompany and top scorer Aguero are back in team!
Newcastle again in problems with absences,out are Krul(first gk 22/0),Harper(second gk 4/0),Santon(df 30/1),Debuchy(df 9/0),Haidara(df 2/0),R.Taylor(df 1/0),Vuckic(mf 0/0),Tiote(mf 19/0),Ben Arfa(mf 13/3) and Coloccini(df 19/0)

Wigan - Norwich

Wigan without Pollit(gk 0/0),Ramis(Df 16/2),Watson(mf 8/1),Crusat(att 0/0) and Miyachi(att 4/0).
Norwich without Ruddy(first gk 13/0),Bunn(second gk 18/0),Surman(mf 4/0) and key midifler Pilkington(mf 25/4) .. Norwich with problems on goalkeeper's position, young Steer(0/0) and Camp(1/0) will be on goal for this match (both of them are weak gks)
Wigan to score @1.45   FT 1-0 pick won plus

England Championship
Wolves - Middlesborough

Wolves miss first gk choice Hennesey -long term injured,Ikeme(second gk 38/0) is also unavailable ...

Scotland Division 1
Livingston - Dunfermline 

odds for home win dropping fast ,reason is good known
Dunfermline have financial problems and 8 players from first team + 3 players from u20 team were released.

Dunfermline coach said: "Making players redundant is never easy but, unfortunately, it needs to be done immediately. The finances of the club and the limited cash flow mean that there is insufficient funds to keep the team going with the current player numbers."

Arsenal Kiev - Tavirya  DNB2 @2.2 (tipico) or Tavirya +0ah @2.25 (bet365)  FT 1-1 void
i wrote about this match before 3-4 days,when i post pick odds were 2.25 but my site is very popular and after just 2 days odds dropped a lot
read analyse here >>

also i want to add that Arsenal Kiev miss Lampi(df 0/0) and Khomyn(df 2/0) who are injured and Sarbavskiy(gk 2/0) -suspended.
match will be played on Tavirya's stadium !!!!

France Ligue 2
Nantes - Monaco
, Monaco +0ah @2.14 (188bet;dafabet;sbobet)  FT 1-1 void
2nd placed Nantes vs 1st placed Monaco
why this bet?
Monaco is main candidate for title,i wrote about that in last season when they were in bad situation (in relegation zone) but rich and powerfull boss from Russia bought club and bring some very quality players. Last season they avoid relegation and it was good known that this season Monaco will want promotion,now Monaco is on 1st place with 58pts (4pts more than today opponent Nantes who is 2nd).

imo this season Nantes wont promote!! why?
true Nantes have good team with high ambitions but they have transfer embargo,they cant sign any new player in next 2 years ,so what if they promote? They will have to use same team like this season,with that team it is almost 99% sure that they will relegate ...

Nantes's coach interview:
here is what he said about Monaco .. 
What do you think of the Monaco team? 
Michel Der Zakarian:
 This is a highly realistic, as it has to be us too. It defends well and is very effective in the areas of truth. They have players who can score at any moment. 

Bessat(mf 29//3),Chichero(df 25/2),Trabelsi(mf 1/0) and Madouni(df 18/1) are unavailable for Nantes.
no important missings for Monaco. out are only long term injured Ribas(att 0/0),Dumont(mf 6/0) and suspended Appiah(df 6/0)

value odds. GL

Greece Super League
OFI - PAS Giannina 1 @2.71 (5dimes)  FT 2-1 
i read on some forum that Giannina dont want in Europe,question is why? Because if they go in Europe League than president will have to spend money for transfers and he dont want that! that are just rumours and speculations!
OFI is near to relegation zone and they need points to secure their status in league. today without Zacharakis(df 20/0) and Banousis(mf 19/0)
Giannina without Vila(mf 25/0),Avgenikou(mf 5/0),Ioannou(mf 0/0)

Panathinaikos - Platanias

Panathinaikos without Seitaridis(df 20/0),Pinto(df 15/0),Sow(mf 13/1). also team have financial problems,players are without wages long time.
Platanias without Castells(df 4/0),Argyr(df 20/0),Labarthe(mf 1/0). Maragoudakis(att 20/2) is doubtful

Italy Serie A
Lazio - Catania

good news for Lazio, two best players: playmaker Hernanes(mf 26/8 ,2nd scorer) and best striker Klose(att 20/10 top scorer) are back in team!! but Konko(df 21/1),Dias(df 21/0),Ciani(df 14/0),Brocch(mf 8/0) and Floccari(att 16/4) are still unavailable.
Catania without Capuano(df 10/0),Potenza(df 1/0),Spolli(df 22/1) and Almiron(mf 24/3)

Parma - Pesacara

Parma without Coda(df 5/0),Mesbah(df 5/0),McEchen(df 0/0),Valdes(mf 23/3),Mariga(mf 2/0) and Palladino(mf 6/1)
Pescara without Capuano(df 18/0),Balzano(df 21/0),Cosic(df 14/0),Rizzo(mf 5/0),Weiss(mf 22/4) and Vuksic(att 19/1),Perin(first gk 24/0) is doubtful

Chievo - Milan

Chievo without Sardo(df 17/0),Spyropoulos(df 2/0),Samassa(att 7/0) and Bentivoglio(att 0/0)
Milan without Zapata(df 17/0),Boateng(mf 23/2),De Jong(mf 12/1) and Pazzini(att 22/13 ,2nd scorer)

Torino - Napoli

Torino without Birsa(mf 15/2) and Brighi(mf 19/2).
Napoli without De Sanctis(first gk 29/0) and Campagnaro(df 25/1), Behrami(mf 26/0) is doubtful

Inter - Juventus

big derby match.
Inter without Caselazzi(gk 2/0),Juan(df 23/0),Obi(mf 2/0),Mudingay(mf 9/0) and Milito(att 20/9). NAgatomo(df 22/0) and Stankovic(mf 3/0) are doubtful. good news for team Handanovic(first gk 25/0) and 3 other players are back in team
Juve without four strikers,out are Caceres(df 14/7),long term injured Bendtner(att 8/0),Pepe(att 1/0),Isla(att 7/0) and Vucinic(att 25/7).