Saturday, November 30, 2013

saturday infos and few picks

(in post down you can find picks for weekend)

Sarajevo - Leotar over 3,5 goals @2.75 (bet365)

bad weather but pitch is cleaned yesterday so there should be better conditions than in other fields in BiH league. Sarajevo is 2 class better team than Leotar ... Leotar will relegate surely , they didnt get points from their best friends Velez that means that Leotar dont have in mind avoiding relegation... Saraba(df 15/2) and Andric(mf 13/0) are unavailable.. young and unexperienced squad , bad form , cold weather ... this young boys will be destroyed today by strong Sarajevo who will have fan support.

Prijedor - Siroki 
this will be hard match,weather is bad,pitch conditions also.
stadium is not whole cleaned,there is still snow on some places ...  Siroki miss Zakaric(Mf 17/3)
maybe under ?

Mogren - Lovcen

last season Mogren gave points to Lovcen to stay in league,maybe now is time for payback!?

OFK Petrovac - Rudar
Petrovac have new stadium and big ambitions this season.. they should won this.
odds in local bookie for home win only 1.45

Zakrapattia - Tavriya

Tavriya in big problems with money before start of season I wrote about that few times ... now Tavriya without CeliO(df 1/0),Ljubici(mf 15/1),Kalichenko(mf 10/0),Nazarenko(mf 15/1) and Prychynenko(mf 9/0). Svensson(mf 9/0) is doubtfull.

Germany 3 Liga
Stuttgarter Kickers - Burghausen

hosts without two top strikers Alvarez(att 16/4,2nd scorer),Soriano(att 14/5 top scorer). also out are Maletic(Df 2/0,Svaranioglu(mf 4/0),Rouani(att 0/0) and Engelbrecht(Att 2/0)

Basketball France
Antibes - Chalon

Antibes without 4 players Sene(8,7ppg), Huffman(1,8ppg), Hillard(9,5ppg), Bah(3,4ppg) , all of them important in rotaition!!

Croatia 2
Segesta - Solin

solin without Kovačić(mf 11/0), Vukušić(mf 15/2), Poredski(att 13/3), Kušeta(mf 9/0), Kovač(mf 5/1), Vučković, Peričić(df 9/1), Barač(mf 3/0), Svalina(0/0), Sablić(mf 11/2).

Parana - Icasa
parana play for nothing,icasa must win if they want promotion.
parana without Carlos(first gk 34/0,Paulinho(df 30/0),Anderson(df 21/1),Cambara(mf 15/1),Amorim(mf 18/1),Conceicao(mf 29/3),Brno(df 2/0) and Reinaldo(att 21/8top scorer)

Friday, November 29, 2013

weekend free picks

30/11 Peru
Alianza Lima - Cesar Vallejo 

pick: DNB 2
odds: 2.50 (bet365)

here is info (i post before few days)

30/11 Brazil Serie B
Bragantino - Figueirense
pick: 2
odds: 1.46 (sbobet)

I was planning this for vip pick but odds unfortunately dropped ...
last round Bragantino in middle of table , playing for nothing. Figueirense on 4th position,must win this match to promote in Serie A !
they need minimum win and they are in Serie A.

Bragantino without Alvaro(df 25/3) ,Andrade(df 29/1), Serginho(mf 25/1), Cruz(mf 28/2) , Cesinha(att 14/2) , Lincom(att 31/12 top scorer)  - 5 of them key players. also few others are doubtfull.

now best part , info by brazilian expert;
Political interests in Santa Catarina starting to look good. The state of Santa Catarina would have 3 teams (Figuerense, Chapecoense, Criciuma) in the Serie A and all entitled to vote in the elections of CBF in March 2014. The current president of CBF is in good relantionship with Delfim Peixoto.
Delfim Peixoto (Santa Catarina Football Federation president) already visited Sao Paolo to talk with Bragantino's 

with all this informations I expect easy away win, also lot of Figueriense's fans will came to support the team, if they win they will celebrate together.
Figueirense -1ah @1.81 (188bet) is also good bet because they are much better team!!!

01/12 Brazil Serie A
Ponte Preta - Portuguesa 

pick: 2
oddS: 1.8 (bet365)
Ponte Preta already relegated in serie b, they are not interested for this match. Their main focus is for next match on 04/12 in Copa Sudamericana FINAL match!!! coach decide here he will send reserves to keep fresh his players for final and most important match this season.

Portuguesa must win to secure their place in Serie A because they still didnt avoid relegation!!

(tomorrow morning few more picks,be ready!!!)

29/11 free basketball pick

Okapi Aalstar - Spirou Charleroi
pick: Spirou
odds: 2.20 (bet365)

Okapi in problems. experienced center Yonng(5ppg) is doubtfull. best player Raivio(SG 17,3ppg) is unavailable , without him Okapi lost vs worst team in league Kangeroes Boom (who has 0w-8l before that match ....)
coach also said without Raivio will be very hard... he was their main power,all attack goes through him.

Spirou one of best teams in Belgium basketball.
value odds definitely GL

Thursday, November 28, 2013

peru 30/11 free pick

Alianza Lima - Cesar Vallejo
pick: DNB 2
odds: 2.50 (bet365)

Alianza Lima will go on this match with mixed team,lot of youngsters and reserves will get chances.. coach said that in the interview..
players like Álvaro Bouroncle(third gk 0/0) , César Mayurí(mf 0/0) y Fernando Fuentes(3/0) will be in starting line up.

Cesar Vallejo 1st on table,quality on their side, value odds.
there is no home advantage because Alianza is not on high (they are on low altitude).


europe league infos

Ferreira - Fiorentina
worst team in group vs best team in group.
fiorentina have already qualified for next stage so coach decide to rest key players in this match..
Rodriguez(df 12/1),Pasqual(df 12/0),Valero(mf 13/2),JOaquin(mf 10/1),Vargas(mf 6/2),Vecino(mf 5/0),Rossi(att 13/11 top scorer),Rebic(att 2/0) and few others will be rested. Mario Gomez(att 3/2) is injured.
but still Fiorentina is much better.

Elfsborg - Salzburg
same situation like first match (fer-fio).
salzburg is best in group but they are without key players Ramalho(df 16/3),Kampl(mf 14/5),HIerlander(mf 10/1) and SOriano(att 13/12 top scorer).

Tromso - Tottenham
tromso relegate in 2nd league,terrible season for them. in europa league they are last in group and dont have chances for next stage... but for this match coach will use strong line up.
tottenham came on cold north norway with mixed team but still they are much better team, out are; Walker(df 12/0), Lloris(first gk 11/0), Paulinho(mf 12/1), Defoe(att 8/0), Lennon(mf 5/0), Sandro(mf 8/0), Kaboul(df 3/0), Adebayor(att 1/0), Eriksen(mf 7/0), Kane(att 1/0)

Lyon - Betis 1 @1.95 (betcris)
FT 1-0 pick WON
[if u dont have account in betcris , make it because they are really good,juicy limits..]

lyon in previous round with reserves played 1-1 on away ground in rijeka. betis with strong squad played just 1-1 on away ground in Rijeka.
now Lyon will play with strong team,in front of their fans, great atmosfhere, they want a win because they are not qualified yet.
Betis is not interested too much for this competition because they have problems in league (they are last on table), for this match Betis is without Juan Carlos(mf 7/0), Matilla(mf 12/0), best striker R. Castro(att 2/1 ,long term injured), Amaya(df 10/0), Molina(att 14/5 top scorer), B. Rodriguez(att 3/0), Perquis(df 5/0), Vadillo(mf 10/0) .. with all this missings I expect Lyon to win easily.
first match Betis 0-0 Lyon
(but becareful because for weekend lyon play vs strongest team in league psg)

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

27/11 free picks

Euromilk - Turnovo
pick: Turnovo DNB
odds: 2.00 (bet365)
FT 0-2 easy WON

Euromilk was one of main candidates for relegation this season (together with Makedonija GP,Napredok and Gostivar) , but somehow now they have 21pts ... reason for that is Braco (their sponsor) who is buying matches and have strong connections.

for this match Euromilk will have big problems on goalkeeper's position! Madjarovski(first gk 14/0) is injured,his replacement D.Kosturanov(second gk 1/0) is doubtfull (had easy hand injury). So if Kosturanov isnt ready on goal probably will be 43 years old goalkeeper's coach !

Turnovo have best attack in league with Ejupi,Blazhevski and S.Pandev. no important missings in their squad.

value bet Turnovo is better team, if this match is clear than this pick is sure.

Napredok - Shkendija
pick: under 2,5 goals
odds: 1.85 (bwin)
FT 0-0 pick easy WON

shkendija must win this match,they have new coach!!
weather in whole macedonia is very bad,cold and snow!
i suggest here under , Shkendija dont have good strikers...

info is coming

tonight at 9:15pm I will post one good value bet (with strong info) from macedonian football league.

be ready because odds will drop.

champions league

Zenit - Atletico Madrid 1 @2.17 (188bet;12bet;dafabet)
FT 0-0 lost

Zenit simply must win this match ...
Danny(mf 15/0) and Ansaldi(df 5/0) are out for Zenit..

you all know missings in Atletico , they will be without Suarez(mf 7/0) injured, Rodriguez(mf 9/1) is doubtfull. Felipe Luis(df 11/0),Godin(df 12/0),Arda Turan(mf 10/1),Tiago(mf 8/2),Diego Costa(att 13/13 top scorer) and VIlla(att 13/6 ,2nd scorer) are not called for this match/will be rested.

Zenit's main sponsor is Gazprom , officialy in 2012 Gazprom became sponsor on UEFA Champions League.

also it is very cold in Russia at this moment so Atletico's players who are not adapted on that will problems...

Sunday, November 24, 2013

macedonian league

Met.Skopje - Pelister
pelister +0,75ah @1.95 (bet365) ; 1.94 (sbobet)
FT 2-4 easy WON
value odds.
Pelister have back their last season captain who have very bad injury,now he is back. Hristov,Dragarski,Demic and Glavevski are out.
Metalurg is very young team and I expect them to start losing points, weather is bad,rain is expected , pitch condition is bad. even if Metalurg win I dont expect to win with more than 1 goal difference.
Pelister came in Skopje yesterday which is very positive,they were in quarantine another very positive thing!!
first match Pelister 2-2 Metalurg , but pelister killed them in that match..

Bregalnica - Vardar DNB1 @2.40 (betvictor)
FT 1-1 pick void (bregalnica missed so many good chances,they received stupid goal by gk mistake,no luck here...)
small stakes becuase of bad weather in our country
derby of the round for me. there will be livestream on tv program for this match.
Atmosfhere in Stip is amazing,Bregalnica is in semi final of cup,they are very motivated and they are attacking on win today. I.Stojanov is back after suspension. no important missing now (finally!)
Vardar without striker!!!  Bujchevski(att 1/1) is suspended,D.Georgiev(att 4/0) and Ademovic(att 9/7 top scorer) are injured. (they have only Petrov but he is bad ...)

first match Vardar 1-0 Bregalnica , but bregalnica was much better in this match with 3 clear chances and once they hit the post.
4000 fans are expected to came on stadium and support bregalnica,while Vardar's fans are striking!


yesterday wasnt good day 1w-2l  , i hope today i will be better.

Vozdovac - Partizan
match will be played on empty stadium.
Partizan in problems,no real striker for this match.Kojic(att 11/3 ,2nd scorer),Fofana(att 9/3 ,2nd scorer),Djemba Djemba(mf 9/0) are out , while Volkov(df 11/1),Gulan(df 7/0),Grbic(mf 4/0) and Stokovic(first gk 11/0) are doubtfull.
Vozdovac is missing Babovic(mf 8/2)... maybe vozdovac +1 is good bet but partizan must win so NO BET.

Spain Segunda Division Group __
Santander - Noja 1 @1.3 (good for some combo)
FT 3-0 won
two teams with totally different ambitions. Santander want promotion,Noja want to stay in league.
Noja wanted to postpone this match but federation didnt allow them that, so Noja will have to play this match .. in squad they have only 12 players (2 of them goalkeepers) .. bad situation, I expect easy home win.

Germany Oberliga Bayern Nord
Ammerthal - Wurzburger 2 @2.25 (wiliamhil)
FT 1-1 lost

quality is on away side..
hosts have problems with absences , they are missing 9 players (3 suspended + 6 injured) , most of them very important players!!!
Wurzburger in last round won leader Bayreuth (2-0) !!!

Hajduk - Osijek

h2h on home side,quality also.
Osijek without some important players, out are Misic(mf 14/0),Kurtovic(mf 7/0),Babic(df 9/0),Perosevic(att 1/0),Smoje(df 0/0),Lulic(mf 12/4 top scorer) and Mikulic(first gk 12/0)

Hamburg - Lubbecke

Lubbecke before 4 days lost vs last placed Emsdetten (27-24) !! today without 3 important backs!! Vuković(back 13/44), Schöngarth(back 12/51), Niemeyer(back 11/30) are unavailable.
but imo hendikep line is too high , so no bet.

Saturday, November 23, 2013


Macedonia Basketball
Karpos - Feni Industri 1 @1.45 (bet365) - lost
nice odds
Karpos is much better and experienced team than Feni ... Feni is in big troubles this season because main sponsor is not anymore giving money to club so now they are playing with some local youngsters ...

Brazil Serie B
Boa - Sport Recife 2 @1.81 (188bet)
FT 2-3 won

2 rounds till end of season.. Boa playing for nothing,they are in middle of table without any chances for promotion or relegation. They already sold 4 important players - Petros(mf 31/0),Souza(mf 25/1),Marcelinho(mf 33/5) and Caranga(att 33/5). while Silva(df 4/0) is injured,Betinho(mf 30/2) is suspended. so now Boa is without 5 first team players ... two of them main players Marcelinhop and Caranga , without them team is 40% weaker ..
Sport Recife must win this match if they want promotion, they are missing Magrao(first gk 35/0) and Pedgra(mf 29/0)
in 2011 they played one 2/1 match (ht 0-1 ; ft 4-1)

Guarantigueta - Parana

hosts need points to stay in league,Parana in middle of table playing for nothing.
guests with some important absences. Luiz Carlos(first gk 34/0),Anderson(df 21/1),Paulinho(df 30/0),Cambara(mf 15/1),Amorim(mf 18/1),Conceicao(mf 29/3),Kayke(att 16/3) and best striker Reinaldo(att 21/8 top scorer)

Slovacka - Slavia Prague
very interesting h2h between them
i think now will be away win because Slavia need points more.

Handball Austria
Ferlach - Krems
krems -3,5ah @1.75 (bet365) -
pick lost
Ferlach have some problems with injuries
3 key players are unavailable .. Posch(12/68) broke his nose , Kovac(12/29) is injured and if i understood good Pomorisac(11/42) is suspended.

first match Krems 29-26 Ferlach
[ but in that match for Ferlach 3 players who are missing score total 17 goals (kovac-3 , pomorisac-6 and posch-8)  ]

Gotse Delchev - Lyubimets
Lyubimets is in front of bankrupt.
players without wages, some of them cant stand and they left team [ Илия Мунин(df 13/0), Янко Ангелов(mf 7/0), Дончо Атанасов(mf 9/0) и Танко Дяков(df 6/0) left team ]

Leotar - Velez
leotar last on table , big financial problem in club i wrote about that in start of this season.... for this match two important players are out - Prebiračević(df 10/0) i Milović(mf 15/3).
good relations between teams so maybe there will be some agreement, no bet for me.

Germany 3 Liga
Elversburg - Jahn Regensburg

Elversburg have some problems with absences, Wolf(df 0/0),Wezel(df 16/0),Itoua(df 12/0),C.Wolf(df 11/0),Tear(mf 4/0) and Luz(att 13/4 top scorer) are missing
no important missings in Jahn.

Panthrakikos - Olympiakos

Olympiakos will rest some key players because of CHampions League match on Tuesday, Maniatis(mf 11/3),Hoelbas(df 8/1) and Mitrglou(att 10/14 top scorer) will be rested,Siovas(df 8/0) is injured
Panthrakikos have problems with absences Markydimitridis(df 2/0) is long term injured,now Romeu(mf 11/2) also join to injury list. Seremet(gk 9/0),Ladakis(mf 11/0) and Bow(df 9/0) are suspended. Merino(mf 0/0) is not fully fit after long injury.. Mikulic(df 7/0) and Josse(df 6/0) are doubtful 

Thursday, November 21, 2013

voleyball 21/11

Walfer W - Famagusta W
pick: 1
odds: 2.56 (pinnacle)
FT 3-0 pick WON
this is first match,there will be also re-match (2nd leg)

Anorthosis(guests) on this match without foreign key players and without head coach.στο-λουξεμβούργο-η-αποστολή/
take a look at their results in previous seasons they were always losing easily.

small stakes because i am not expert for this sport and i dont know this teams and their qualities.

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

macedonian cup 20/11 (wednesday)

Napredok - Teteks x2 @1.8 (bet365)
FT 1-2 WON!

first match Teteks 0-0 Napredok

In first match Teteks had the initiative and create the chances but couldn't score... Napredok is very bad this season, last on table in league for me they are already relegated,they dont have support from the city major and it was good known even from last season (after political choices) that Napredok this season will relegate.

Napredok's coach is Gorazd Mihajlov (ex Teteks coach). Bad news for Napredok is that both central defenders are out Balazhi(df 12/1) and M.Stepanovski(df 8/0) -both injured.

Teteks is playing in 2nd league but they are best team there,they have very good squad with which they can easy play in 1st league. They have rich and powerfull boss and good coach, Teteks played two times 2-2 with strong Renova,while Napredok lost 2-0 vs Renova...
I talk with some players from Teteks and they are predicting their victory ;)

this will be 45/55 match so odds are value.

(one other interesting info is that Vladimir Neloski [teteks player] before few days became president of UMS VMRO [leading politic party in country] , that is very powerfull function , strange things happen in my wonderfull country :D ]

Shkendija - Bregalnica

first match Bregalncia 2-1 Shkendija
both teams want to play in Europe next season through the cup. Shkendija is very rich now but they still arent playing on top level,they have little problems with injuries.. best player,playmaker Неџипи(mf 7/1), Селмани(mf 15/4 top scorer), Мазнов(att 11/2) и Алију(df 7/0) are out.
Bregalnica wanted to postpone this match but Shkendija didnt accept that , Bregalnica dont have problems with missing players ,they are missing only defender I.Stojanov.

19/11 infos (tuesday)

England FA Cup
Gateshad - Oxford Utd
Oxford with only 9 proffesional players,others will be youngsters from their young team...
injury crisis for guests; Jake Wright(df 11/0), Alfie Potter(att 11/3) and Jon Meades(df 0/0),Deane Smalley(att 11/5 top scorer),Andy Whing(df 14/0),James Constable(att 14/5 top scorer) and Dave Kitson(att 13/1) are injured.
so without 4 best strikers and without some other important players Oxford will have hard job today...

in first match Oxford 2-2 Gateshad , gateshad was leading whole match and oxford score in 90min...

U21 qualifications
Sweden - Malta
hosts have to win this match , they are big favourite in this match but also they have problems with injuries ...
out are half of team; Carlgren(first gk 7/0), Silverholt(df 4/0),key player Ishak(att 15/9 from Crotone), key midifler Lewicki(mf 13/0), captain Hiljemark(mf 27/2) and Helander(df 8/0).
vice-captain Milosevic(df 17/2) is questionable.

World Cup Qualification
France - Ukarine 

over 2,5 goals @2.04 (188bet)
FT 3-0 pick WON

ukraine won first match 2-0 ... very interesting match.
france now must attack from the start of the match because they need to score 2 goals and not concede!! Ukraine will wait their chances on counter attacks and I believe that they will be able to score ...
France miss regular defender Koscielny , Ukraine is missing two standard defenders Kucher and Fedetskij.

this match will be also very interesting so I recomend you to watch it

my other bet here is; 
penalty kick? -yes @3.30 (188bet)

i think that Blatter and Platini will do everything their country to go on World Cup , it will be big shame if they do not qualify ...

Handball SEHA LIGA
Metalurg - Lovcen

for weekend Metalurg play very important match vs big rival Vardar so coach Lino will use today mixed team.

Monday, November 18, 2013

tuesday free pick

Moldova u21 - Lithania u21
moldava -0,5ah @2.01 (sbobet;pinnacle)
FT 3-0 easy WON

Lithuania's coach decide to make some changes in squad and he called some new faces , some u19 players are in squad for this match...

11 players are missings , two first goalkeepers , top scorer and key midiflers are include them...

OUT ARE: Lidakevicius(first gk 3/0), Svedkauskas(second gk 3/0), Snapkauskas(df 1/0), Girdvainis (df 7/0), Pilotas (df 5/0), Isoda (df 2/0), Veliulis(mf 10/0), Ribokas (mf 8/0), Dapkus (mf 11/0), Birškys(mf 3/0) and Spalvis (att 6/3 top score on this generation)
here u can check Lithuania's squad

quality is on Moldavian side , most of players in Moldavian squad are standard players in their clubs which is big advantage ...

vip subscription

For all those who write me on mail for VIP subscription I am really sorry but there is not free place in VIP section right now so please wait untill the next month ...

now enjoy in my free picks :)

Sunday, November 17, 2013

brazil sunday

Fluminense - Sao Paulo 1 @1.73 (bet365)
FT 2-1 pick WON

4 rounds till end of season , Flu must win this match to escape from relegation zone!
no important missings , Fred(att 9/3) and Carlinhos(df 23/3) are long term injured , others are not important. good news is that Edinho(mf 30/0) is back in team

Sao Paulo with reserves!! they are in middle of table with just a minimal chance for top 4 places (copa libertaodres)... now without injured Carleto(df 3/1) and Aloisio(att 30/10 top scorer), Luis Fabiano(att 21/6 ,2nd scorer) is suspended. Rogerio Ceni(first gk 32/2),Rodrigo Caio(mf 33/3),Mirando(df 25/0),MaicoN(mf 23/0),Ganso(mf 27/1),Douglas(df 23/1),Denilson(mf 16/),Carlos(df 13/3) and Ademilson(att 17/2) will be rested

Gremio - Flamengo 1 @1.51 (pinnacle)
FT 2-1 pick WON

if Gremio win today they can go on 2nd position (directly in Copa Libertadores) , they really want it and they must win this match!! they are missing Vargas(att 15/5) who is on international duty but they have good replacement for him here are Kleber(5 goals) and Borges(8 goals)..

Flamengo have important cup match for few days so coach decide today to use reserves,key players not in squad...
Moura(df 25/2),Chicao(df 13/1),Santos(df 19/2),Amaral(mf 12/0),Eduardo(mf 22/0),best midifer Elias(mf 29/4) and best striker Hernane(att 28/14 top scorer) will be rested. important defender Gonzales(df 18/0) is with his national team , while Caceres(mf 13/1) and Felipe(first gk 24/0) are injured

in starting line up they will have only 2 regular players all others are reserves who have not played any match or have only 3-4 matches ....


Holland Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax - Sparta 
sparta -1ah @2.14 (sbobet,pinnacle)
big quality difference on away side..

Jong Ajax again without big number of players, 18 players are missing!
UNAVAILABLE ARE: Martina(df 9/0),Hoorn(df 3/0),Hart(first gk 8/0),Cilessen(second gk 3/0),Moisander(df 1/0),Lobotka(mf 11/3 top scorer),Enoh(mf 7/0),Bazoer(Df 9/0),Riedwald(Df 2/0),Veltman(df 3/1),Ligeon(df 6/0),Sporkslede(df 9/1),L;aassen(mf 6/1),Blind9df 1/0),Honer(att 4/0),Denswil(df 4/0),Boilesen(df 1/0) and Andersen(att 2/3 top scorer)
+ they are in very bad form 7 lost matches in a row , NO HELP from first team ...

Sparta is 2nd on table,much better than Jong Ajax and more experienced,for this match they dont have important absences.

Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta

Cruzeiro won league so now coach will give chance to players who didnt play much.. VictorinO(df 0/0),Rodrigo(df 29/2),NIlton(mf 29/7) and Martinuccio(att 7/0) are injured. Dede(df 30/2),Egidio(df 33/0),Dagoberto(Att 21/4) and Borges(att 23/10 top scorer) will be rested

Libertad - Guarani

Libertad with mixed team because of Copa Sudamericana's match for few days ...
possible line up; Armando Vera(secodn gk 6/0); Alan Benítez(df 1/0), César Coronel(DF 8/0), Gustavo Gómez(df 19/1) y Miguel Samudio(df 20/1); Nelson Romero(att 34/0), Sergio Aquino(mf 27/3), Osmar Molinas(mf 23/0) y Jorge González(mf 24/3); Jorge Recalde(att 17/4) y Brian Montenegro(att 13/5).

Saturday, November 16, 2013

saturday infos

Krim W - Leipzig W
Krim -6,5ah @1.85 (bet365)
Krim need to win if tehy want to finish like 1st in this group , on home ground 2w-0d-0l , quality is on their side.

Leipzig travelled on this match with only 10 players , they lost all chances to go in next stage also they have huge problems with injuries so coach said that this will be something like preparation match for them,they wont go with full power because he dont want to risk new injuries...
out are: Schülke, Schulze, A. Müller, Hubinger, Visser, Plöger and S. Müller

first match Leipzig 23-27 Krim
I expect easy home win

Brazil  Serie B
Sport Recife - Parana
Sport Recife without Pedra(mf 29/0) and Mauricio(att 5/0)
Parana without Luiz Carlos(First gk 34/0),Conceicao(mf 29/3),Anderson(df 21/1),Paulinho(df 30/0),Cambara(mf 15/1) and Amorim(mf 18/1)
sport recife must win this match if they want promotion! 3 rounds till end of season.

America Mineiro - Atletico GO

hosts play for nothing,Atletico GO must win if they want to stay in league.
Mineiro without Silva(df 23/1),China(mf 1/0),Doriva(mf 12/1),Magrao(mf 0/0),Kaio(att 7/0) and Willians(Att 28/6 ,2nd scorer).

Italy Serie B
Padova - Brescia

padova bring one very experienced player , Tomasso Rochi(ex Lazio!)... padova without Cuffa(mf 9/0),Osuji(mf 10/0),Modesto(mf 6/0),Jelenic(att 9/0)Perna(df 7/0) and Trevisan(df 4/1)
brescia have a lot of absences for this match, out are Cragno(first gk 11/0),Lasik(df 4/0),Freddi(df 7/0),Scaglia(mf 12/1),Benali(mf 8/1),Diof(mf 0/0),Mitrovic(att 7/1),Corvia(att 0/0 key striker,long term injured),Oduamandi(att 8/0) and Caracciolo(att 12/6 top scorer)

Portugal 2
Farense - Oliveirense

Farense is missing 4 midiflers Ibukuin(mf 13/0),Livramento(mf 8/0),Neca(mf 7/0) and Zugic(mf 7/0), Joshua(df 3/1),DIop(att 1/0) and Matias(att 11/0) are also OUT!

Croatia 2 NHL
Gorica - Inter Zapresic dnb2 @1.73 (bet365)

3rd team from bottom Gorica vs 3rd best team Inter
Gorica 3 matches cant score a goal .. today without 8 players ,Mandarić(mf 3/0), Hadžić(mf 9/2), Babić(df 12/0), Koledić(att 8/0), Panadić(mf 9/0), Sabljak(df 13/0), Kćira(df 9/1), Berišić(mf 8/1).
Inter have big ambitions,good squad,stadium and want promotion!

Cibalia - Segesta 1 @1.4 (bwin)
cibalia on home ground still without lost match!! they are doing amazing,they are one of main candidates for promotion! no important missings today.
Segesta is sure in middle of table,they dont have ambitions for promotion so they are pleased with middle positions ... today Segesta will miss Mrmić(first gk 11/0),Arsenić(df 5/0), Kiš(mf 7/1), Dumbović(att 13/4 ,2nd scorer), Križe(df 14/0), Tabaković(mf 12/0) are out player Hrnčević(att 14/8 top scorer) is questionable!! 3 key players are missing this can be big blow for guests ...

Zvijezda - Radnik 

Zvijezda miss Pandza(att 12/1) and brazilian Adam(mf 10/0)
Radnik without Nikić(att 16/6 ,2nd scorer), Ristić(att 11/1), Katanec(df 16/3)

Olimpik - Celik 1 @1.6 (tipico)
Celik miss first two goalkeepers and on goal will be 3rd gk !!!!
OUT ARE: Popović(mf 13/0), Grahovac(mf 5/0), Bureković(mf 3/), Nestorović(mf 6/0), Adilović(first gk 11/0), Nurković(second gk 6/0).
Olimpik is much better team , motivation is on home side , situation in Olimpik is much better...

Thursday, November 14, 2013

brazil basket

Basketball Brasil NBB
Bauru - Palmeiras
palmeiras +6,5ah @1.85 (bet365);1

if i understand good , there was some mistake in basketball federation and now some teams will have to play 2 matches in same day ...

teams who will have to play 2 matches in 1 day are; Bauru , Franca and Pinheiros (pinheiros is my vip pick,odds dropped a lot).

Bauru decide to go with reserves because for them (logicaly) more important is semi final championship match vs Franca who will be played 1 hour later.

last match
Palmeiras 89-83 Bauru

14/11 infos

poor offer today,no good picks ....

Frendly spain
Cordoba - Atl.Madrid

Atl.Madrid will use mixed team ... key players are missing , some of them are injured and some of them are on international duties..
Courtois(first gk 13/0),Alderweireld(df 2/0),Juanfran(df 12/0), Koke(mf 13/1),Diego Villa(att 13/6 ,2nd scorer),Godin(df 12/0), Gimenez(df 1/0), Cristian Rodriguez(mf 9/1),Arda Turan(mf 10/1),Javi Manquillo(df 1/0) and Óliver Torres(mf 4/1) are with NT. Mario Suarez(mf 7/0) and Diego Costa(att 13/13 top scorer) are injured
11 youngsters are called from B and C team ..

Atl.Mineiro - Internacional
Atletico without Victor(first gk 26/0),Michel(df 10/0),Richarlyson(df 12/0),Ronaldinho(mf 13/5),DOnizet(mf 13/0) and Jo(att 19/6 top scorer)
Internacional without Kleber(df 19/1),Indio(df 12/1),Gabriel(df 24/1),Juan(df 29/3),Alves(df 10/0),Ygor(mf 11/0),Bolatti(mf 0/0) and 3 important strikers Damiao(att 23/5),Forlan(att 14/5),Scocco(att 17/3).
maybe good pick here is internacional to score under 1 goal , odds 2.6 in bwin but i dont see value ...

Metalurg Skopje - Vardar

big city derby in champions league , there is big hattnes between their fan groups (Komiti and Pirates) ... tickets were sold out for just 2 hours... this will be very good match for watching and everyone in our country is waiting for this match.
Vardar this season is much stronger because they have new sponsor and that is Samsonenko , he bring lot of new players... Vardar now have amazing wings but weak 'back line' .. also they dont have real coach, Andon is leading the trainings while Samsonenko(who is owner and sponsor) is leading the team in matches ... that is pretty stupid but ok ...
Metalurg have amazing coach Lino Cervar who have very disciplined and good team , for this match there is one very good news for him , Mirkulovski is back after injury and he can play.

the best for both clubs will be if they play 2for2 and both will go in next stage but there is big hattnes and i am sure that they wont do that ...
anyway my pick here is; 1x (metalurg +0,5ah)

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

free pick 12/11

Brazil Serie B
Paysandu PA - Palmerias
pick: Paysandu +0ah @2.45 (pinnacle) ; 2.38 (bet365)

ok i understand Palmerias is 1st on table , they are best team in league , if they want they can easy won this match but will they want that !? that is the question ...

4 rounds till end of season Palmerias is sure on 1st place they wont lose it i am 100% sure about that .. while hosts Paysandu are in dangerous zone and they desperate need win today!

here is the table
3.Sport Recife341821458:5256
9.America MG341313845:3852
15.America RN3410111341:5041
17.Paysandu PA34991638:5336
18.Atletico GO34981734:4535
19.Sao Caetano34881840:5332

(last 4 teams relegate , top 4 teams promote)

main reason for this bet are missings in away team and their previous meetings

last their match was 2/1 with goal in 95min link
highlights: video click to see , 1st Paysandu goal was clearly defencive mistake and bad position on defence players (they could easy make offside trap ..)
take a look at Palmerias goal for 1:2 , what was gk doing? defencive player didnt jump..
goal for 3:2 , goalkeeper was flying in space :D

-- in 2005 they also have played 2/1

for this match Palmerias is without some very important players , important striker Kleber(att 2/1) and Dybal(mf 0/0) are long term injured .. Leandro(att 28/11 ,2nd scorer) is suspended , key offencive midifler Valdivia(mf 17/3) is with NT , Wesley(mf 28/7 ,3rd scorer),Vinicius(att 23/5 ,4th scorer),Luis Felipe(df 23/1),VIlson(df 9/2),Mendieta(mf 17/4) and Charles(mf 23/2) are also injred!!

so totally they miss 10 players.

Paysandu with only 1 important missing , Eduardo Ramos(mf 31/4) suspended... long term injured are Ze Carlos(first gk 7/0),Tallys(mf 3/0),Capanema(mf 9/0) and Billy(mf 4/0) ....