Monday, October 14, 2013

monday free info

Czech U21 league
Mas Taborsko U21 - Pribram U21

pick: 2
odds: 2.05 (188bet) ; 2.00 (bet365)
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/czech-republic/youth-league-2013-2014/mas-taborsko-pribram- GhrQXfvN/#1X2;2
FT 1-4 pick WON

I expect odds to drop quickly!

reason is clear, Mas Taborsko U21 is very weak team , when they are playing without help from first team they are playing very very bad .. now Mas Taborsko's first team have match today vs Zlin so U21 team wont have help from first team!!!!!

Pribram is solid team, 11th on table with 20 points.. My friend from czech told me that guests probably will have help from 3-4 players from first team but it is not verified till now.

last their mutual match Pribran U21   7-1   Mas Taborsko U21

GL

Sunday, October 13, 2013

sunday free picks

some usefull infos on facebook page.


Hockey 
Klagenfurt - Salzburg
pick: Salzburg -0,5ah
odds: 1.81 (pinnacle) ; 1.70 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/hockey/austria/ebel/klagenfurt-salzburg/4zjang5p/?section=ah-odds
FT 0-3 pick WON

how and why 1.80 for Salzburg now? I cant understand.

before 2 days they met each other , only difference is that Salzburg was host..
Salzburg 7-0 Klagenfurt , in such situation odds for Salzburg should be around 1.40 today.

I wrote about previous match that Klagenfurt is in big problems with absences , for this match nothing changed. Situation is the same KAC without 7 players. out are: key player Lundmark(FW 0/0), Spurgeon(FW 1/1), Geier(FW 10/3), Harand(FW 6/0), key player Lammers(FW 9/4), Schellander(FW 10/2) and Scofield(FW 8/2) - all foreign players are out...

quality is on away side,they showed their power in previous match I expect something like 1-3 , 2-4 today..

Basketball Macedonia
Lirija - Pelister

pick: Lirija -5,5ah
odds: 1.85 (bet365)
FT 100-68 easy WON

when i saw this i was positive suprised. well done bet365 the only bookie who gave odds for Macedonian Basketballl ...
and of course at the start big mistake ... odds here should be 1.15 maximum.
Lirija last season finished 2nd in regular phase of league!! On home ground they played very good 6w-1l ... Pelister was worst team in league last season , they have only 1w in 14 matches (in regular phase) ... they got 4 americans but nothing from them and they left team ...

h2h
Superleague 2012/2013
PelisterLirija68:8209.03.2013
LirijaPelister100:6608.12.2012
Lirija easily destroy Pelister when Pelister got americans now without americans I expect another easy home win.
GL



World Cup
Ethiopia - Nigeria

pick: 2
odds: 1.91 (paddypower)
FT 1-2 pick WON (lucky in 90min)
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/world/world-cup-2014/ethiopia-nigeria-AJyRi1Sb/#ah;2
In Ethiopia's squad players are mostly from domestic league! They have only 4 players who are playing out from domestic league ... one of them is Kebede(att 17/7 Bidvets Wits , young talent) he is doubtfull for this match!
Nigeria has much better team! They have star players like Moses(mf , Liverpool),Musa(att ,CSKA),Emenike(att , Fenerbahce),Mikel(mf , Chelsea) ... they have good goalkeeper Enyeama(from Lille), also here is Victor Obinna(mf ,  ex Inter) , Onazi(mf , Lazio), in defence they have Oboabona(Rizespor),Ambrose(Celtic) and Echiejile(Braga)

this Nigeria's squad is simply too strong for Ethiopia ...

___________________________________
Brasil
Sao Paulo - Corinthians
city derby between two big rivals!!
Sao Paulo without Antonio Carlos(df 10/3),Toloi(df 11/0),Carleto(df 3/1),Denilson(mf 10/0),Ganso(mf 21/0),Wellingon(mf 20/0) and Luis fabiano(att 20/6 top scorer)
Corinthians miss Renato Augusto(mf 8/1),Pato(att 22/8 top scorer) and Guerrero(att 17/5 ,2nd scorer)


Macedonian Cup
Drita - Metalurg Skopje
drita is 2nd league team , they are 11th on table in 2nd league ... Metalurg will use strongest team! they dont have important absences. value odds on away side.
last season
Drita 1-2 Metalurg , Drita 0-2 Metalurg ... now drita's squad is much weaker than then (they lost 7 first team players)
difference between 1st and 2nd league is big.

Spain Segunda B
Sant Andreu - Elche B

Elche B is 1st on table , playing really good.
Sant Andreu in middle of table , today without Victor(mf 0/0),Guzman(mf 2/0) and Xavi Jimenez(mf 5/1)http://uesantandreu.cat/web/?p=14952

Leganes - Conquense

Conquense without Vega(mf 5/1) and Tajamata(mf 0/0) are injured,Manzano(mf 7/1) is suspended.Arencibia(df 0/0) and Churre(mf 0/0) are also out
https://twitter.com/UBConquense
http://www.vavel.com/es/futbol/segunda-division-b/270520-cd-leganes-ub-conquense-duelo-de-rachas.html
good news for Conquense is that first gk and best player are back after injury/suspension.


Handball
Aalborg - Hamburg

Aalborg will host last season champion! on this match Aalborg is without important players!! out are Mork, Aren(B 0/0), Jakobsson(B 1/4), Larsen(B 2/15 top scorer). Bugge(W 0/0) is questionable.
On backs position they have now only 3 players (all of them shoot with right hand) and they callled 1 junior player!
I miss value odds so I publish this just like info

USA MLS
Portland - Seattle

situation in Portland: Silvestre(df 8/0 ex Man utd),Miller(df 7/0),Richards,Powell(df 4/0),Ganges(df 1/0),Johnsson(mf 25/8) and Wallace(att 25/6) are out , while Nagbe(att 31/9 top scorer) and Piquionne(att 19/1 ex West Ham) are doubtfull , Valeri(mf 29/8) also have small injury.
Seattle without Ford(gk 0/0) , Scott(df 21/0) , Evans(mf 22/4) and Johnsson(att 20/9 top scorer).

Italy Serie B
Bari - Crotone

Bari without Sabelli(df 7/0),Fossati(mf 5/0) and Fedato(att 5/0) - with national team . Massi(df 0/0) is injured.
Crotone without Galardo(mf6/0),Cremonensi(df 6/0),Matute(mf 6/3),Abruzzese(df 2/0),saric(mf 0/0) and Suagher(df 0/0) are injured,Ishak(att 4/2) is on international duty

Palermo - Pescara

Palermo without Hernandez(att 7/5 top scorer),Belotti(att 2/1),Andjelkovic(df 4/1),Ujkani(df 0/0) and Verre(mf 2/0) all on international duty.
Pescara without Pelizzoli(first gk 6/0),Zuparic(df 0/0),Cosic(df 4/0),Viviani(mf 4/2),Ragusa(att 8/1),Sforzini(att 0/0) and Piscitella(att 4/0)

Siena - Avellino
becarefull with Siena because Milos(df 4/0),Matheu(df 1/00,Agostino(mf 5/3) and Giannetti(att 8/4) are out ;)
Avellino miss Zappacosta(df 7/1),Abero(df 1/0) and key midifler Togni(mf 3/0)

Saturday, October 12, 2013

saturday infos and picks

Norway 3 League
Halden - Molde II
pick: 2 
odds: 2.60 (bet365) ; 2.40 (sbobet)
FT 1-3 pick WON

2 rounds till end of season!
Halden in middle of table playing for nothing!! today without couple of players , coach will make some rotations also.
Molde II in relegation zone they must win if they want to stay in league, today they will have help from first team Vatshaug(df 8/1), Flo(df 6/0), Høyland(att 7/1) og Chima(att 24/8) and few others will be in Molde II starting line up!!!
http://www.ha-halden.no/sport/article6913064.ece


Spain Segunda
Real Madrid B - Recreativo Huelva
pick: Recreativo DNB
odds: 2.10 (bet365)
FT 1-2 pick WON

last placed vs first placed and odds for away win 3.00 !? what is happening? I know that Real Madrid B wont relegate but I dont believe that they will win 1st placed Huelva who is in great form with 5 won matches in a row.
situation in Real B:  Derik(df 5/0) and Quini(mf 2/0) are injured. (derik is back on training but coach dont want to risk with him), while Pacheco(first gk 7/0),Benavente(mf 3/0) and Rozzi(att 5/0) are on international duties with their young national teams.
http://www.marca.com/2013/10/11/futbol/2adivision/1381494998.html
Recreativo without Valle(att 0/0), Zambrano(mf 0/0), Vega(df 8/1) and Araujo.

I see big value on DNB2 and I will take it.



starting from today all usefull infos will go on facebook page! here on site I will psot just picks :)


Friday, October 11, 2013

world cup qualification picks

Armenia - Bulgaria 
pick: Bulgaria +0ah
odds: 1.70 (dafabet)
FT 2-1 pick lost , Bulgaria had 2 red cards :-(

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/world/world-cup/armenia-bulgaria/YsNSUoqg/?section=ah-odds

Armenia on home ground 0w-0d-4l , they lost even from Malta (0-1) who is weakest team in league!!

Bulgaria's football federation president is Borislav Mihailov , he will probably lost on next votes .. the only way to stay on that position is Bulgaria to qualify on World Cup, so he search for help from his friends Boiko Borisov and Oresharski (two powerfull persons!).. all of them are in Armenia (which is pretty suspecious ...)

on this match Bulgaria is with strongest possible squad!

take a look what happened when Bulgaria came in Armenia -- http://www.novinite.com/articles/154455/Smoky+Welcome+for+Bulgaria's+National+Team+in+Yerevan
http://www.sportal.bg/news.php?news=451885
Bulgarian players will have big motivation for revenge , they will revenge on the pitch! They have to win this match if they want to qualify for World Cup!

Bulgarian coach said; If they wanted to scary us with such a behaviour that wasnt succsesful , that wont effect on our play.

first match Bulgaria 1-0 Armenia
http://sport.news.am/eng/news/30728/defeating-armenia-will-be-tantamount-to-flyingsportalbg.html

quality is on Bulgarian side!




Iceland - Cyprus 

pick: Iceland -1ah
odds: 1.80 (188bet ; dafabet)  
FT 2-0 pick WON

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/world/world-cup/iceland-cyprus/jmslQALH/?section=ah-odds

I like Iceland's squad , they have good players who are playing in many different european leagues and most of players are regular in their clubs! Defence is not so strong but midfield and attack is very strong. In midfield they have Sigurdsson(from Tottenham),Gudmunsson(from AZ),Gunnarsson(captain from Cardiff),experienced Skulason(from Zulte Waregem) ... in attack they have 3 very good strikers Gudjohnsen(att 73/24 , ex Barcelona,Chelsea ..) , Finnbogason(from Heerenveen , very good striker !!) and Sigthorsson(top scorer in Ajax 2 seasons in a row!) ..
no missings!

Cyprus will be without 4 players who were in starting line up in last match vs Slovenia!  Thephilou , key midifler Makrides , Dobrasinovic and Eleftheriou are out.

Thursday, October 10, 2013

10/10 and 11/10 free picks

11/10/2013Hockey
Salzburg - EC KAC 1 @1.70
FT 7-0 pick easy WON
http://www.betexplorer.com/hockey/austria/ebel/salzburg-klagenfurt/4CBGfHc4/
Salzburg have back Brophey and Hofer from injury, which is very good news. On last theri match on home ground they won Graz with 5-0 !!

KAC without 7 players. out are: key player Lundmark(FW 0/0), Spurgeon(FW 1/1), Geier(FW 10/3), Harand(FW 6/0), key player Lammers(FW 9/4), Schellander(FW 10/2) and Scofield(FW 8/2) ..Schuller(FW 10/1) is questionable
coach said; it is very hard to play with so many absences.



Bulgaria u21 - Russia u21
pick: 2
odds: 2.06 (pinnacle)
FT 3-3 pick lost , russia was leading but nothing ..

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/europe/euro-u21-2015/bulgaria-russia-0KUr76He/
Bulgaria have 2w-1d-1l (they won two times weakest team Andorra) ... on home ground Bulgaria play just 1-1 vs weak Estonia ..
for this match bulgaria will miss some good players.. Anton Nedelkov(df 5/0 Litex) and Angel Grncharov(df 5/0 CSKA) are suspended , captain Georgi Terziev(df 17/1 Ludogorets) and Dimitar Evtimov(gk 5/0 Notthingam) are injured. key players in midfield Todor Nedelev(mf 4/3) and Simeon Slavchev(mf 3/0) are with A team. LINK

Bulgaria squad: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bulgaria_national_under-21_football_team#Current_squad
coach said; becuase we have problems in squad I will give chance to new players who should gain experience and prove themselfs.
Russia u21 after 3 matches is 1st on table with 9pts (3w-0d-0l)
Russia squad:  http://www.rfs.ru/main/news/ct131/77625.html

before 1 month they met and russia was better
U21: Russia 3-1 Bulgaria


Cyprus u21 - Serbia u21
pick: Serbia -1ah
odds: 1.80 (sbobet)
FT 2-1 pick lost

http://www.betexplorer.com /soccer/europe/euro-u21/cyprus-u21-serbia-u21/E5NBa6d3/?section=ah-odds
Cyprus u21 squad is mostly from players from domestic league ... (most of players are from Anorthosis,Apollon,Olympiakos Nicosia , APOEL ...) , this generation is weak ...

Serbia's coach said that they want 2 wins in next 2 matches (vs Cyprus and N.Ireland)  , they are much better team and they should won this matches easily

this Serbia's generation is very good!! + they have some players from those who won Euro Cup before 1 year!!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serbia_national_under-21_football_team#Current_squad this is squad for this match!!
-- Nastasic(df 9/0 from Man City , regular player there) , Aleksandar Pantic (df 8/1 from Villareal),Cosic(df 3/0 from Pesacara) , Uros Vitas (very good defender from Rad),Milunovic(player with big experience with youth national team),Djuricic(mf 12/3 from Benfica , very good midifler!) , and attacking duo Mitrovic and Djurdjevic - two big talents!

update; Nastasic wont be in squad , he will have to play for A national team ... last decision.
Cyprus miss four players A. Kyriakou(df 0/0 from AEL), A. Kristis, C. Kyriakou and Moulazimis(df 1/0 from Paralimni).

first match Serbia 2-1 Cyprus (u21)

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

09/10 free picks and infos

Germany HandballMagdeburg - Kiel
pick: kiel -3,5ah @1.85 (bet365)  
FT 34-31 lost

http://www.betexplorer.com/handball/germany/bundesliga/sc-magdeburg-kiel/rJjfZjDD/?section=ah-odds
Magdeburg in problems with absences. Rojewski(B 8/15), Haaß(B 7/3), Oneto, Grafenhorst(W 3/0) are out.  Natek(B 8/25), Bezjak(B 7/21) and Landsberg(0/0) are doubtful.
Kiel is 1st on table 8w-0d-0l. best team in league,great players,big bench ....
It will be big suprise if weakned Magdeburg make problems to champion Kiel. I expect easy away win.
last match Magdeburg 23-32 Kiel


Germany Regionalliga Bayern
Rosenheim - Heimstetten 1 @1.91 (10bet) ; 1.80 (188bet)  
FT 2-1 pick WON

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/germany/regionalliga-bayern/tsv-1860-rosenheim-heimstetten/61y5ED4S/
quality is on home side, h2h also.

Rosenheim is better team , they are playing good on home ground 2w-2d-3l. In last two home matches Rosenheim score 7 goals (3:1 , 4:1)

For Heimstetten this will be hard season ,they will fight to stay in league , that is their target.
two best players from last season playmaker Hugo Lopes(mf 32/6) and best striker Neumeyer(att 37/23 top scorer) left team. last season 2nd scorer is now out because of injury ...
now they are in bad run ,6 matches without a win.
Heimstetten without important players like Bläser(att 2/1 , last season 13 goals ,2nd scorer),Karg(att 4/4 top scorer!!!),key midifler Knießl(mf 13/3 ,2nd scorer),Siedlitzki(mf 5/0) and Hafele(mf 9/1)
they will be weakned a lot in offense

take a look at this , Rosenheim beat weak Aschaffenburg's team who is equal with Heimsteten , while Heimstetten get just draw vs them.
Rosenheim 3:1 Aschaffenburg
Aschaffenburg 2:2 Heimstetten (hosts lead with 2:0 but heimstetten get draw in last minutes)

[not so important fact but ... ]

GL


_______________________________
Frendly
Ath Bilbao - Mirandes

1st league team vs 2nd league team.
Athletic without Ibai Gómez y Kike Sola(att 1/0) , Muniain(mf 8/1) y Laporte(df 8/0)
Mirandes have problems with injuries , out are ; Juán Muñiz(mf 5/1), Manuel Lucena(df 5/0), Igor Martínez(mf 3/0), Javi Flaño(df 5/0), Borja Docal(mf 4/0) o Francisco Javier Prieto(first gk 5/0)
check line ups and whole preview here; http://www.vavel.com/es/futbol/athletic-de-bilbao/269874-athletic-mirandes-una-fiesta-para-tomarse-en-serio.html


Brazil Serie A
Gremio - Criciuma

gremio withou few important players,out are Alex Telles(df 25/1), Bressan(df 25/0), Ramiro(mf 19/1), Kleber(att 24/5), Riveros(mf 14/3), Vargas(att 12/4).

Cruzeiro - Sao Paulo

Cruzeiro is 1st on table. They have very strong squad, they have players like Julio Baptista(mf 5/4),Nilton(mf 23/7),Wilian(att 16/5) , experienced strikers Borges(att 15/6) and Dagoberto(att 13/1) .. here are also Goulart(att 23/8) and Araujo(att 12/5) , in defence they have Ceara(ex PSG) and Rodrigo(df 28/0) ..

today Cruzeiro will miss Dede(df 26/2).
Sao paulo without Rogério Ceni(first gk 40/1), Luis Fabiano(att 20/6 top scorer), Denilson(mf 6/0 ,ex Arsenal) and two central defenders Rafael Toloi(df 11/0) and Antonio Carlos(df 10/3).

Nautico - Botafogo

lot of suspeciosu matches between them in the past.
nautico last on table , botafogo 4th on table. this odds are imo value on away side ..


Germany Handball
Rhein Necklar - Lemgo

Lemgo without some important players. Hermann(B 7/44 top scorer) is on operation ,while Kehrmann(W 8/26), Lemke(B 7/17) and Zieker(w 8/4) have a flu.
hosts are 2nd placed on table 5w-3d-0l

Monday, October 7, 2013

colombia

Millonarios - Atl.Nacional 
pick: Millonarios DNB
odds: 1.67
bookie: bet365

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/colombia/liga-postobon/millonarios-atl-nacional/zBduNfDL/?section=ha-odds
FT 0-2 lost


Millonarios is playing very good this season, on home ground they are unstopable 4w-2d-0l (14:4 goal difference) .. I think they will stay unbeaten after this match also.

Atletico Nacional is in amazing form, they are 1st on table after 12 rounds with amazing record 9w-3d-0l ... mathematically Nacional is sure in Final stage (play offs after league ends ... strange system)
On 10/09 (just one day after this match) they have important match in Copa Postobon (semi final match!!) coach said that Cup match is more important than this league match so he here coach will use alternative line up!http://www.elcolombiano.com/BancoConocimiento/T/tras_clasificar_nacional_mostrara_caras_nuevas/tras_clasificar_nacional_mostrara_caras_nuevas.asp

I expect odds to drop.



__
update:
of course odds already drop and value is gone I just want to confirm you now that Nacional will rest key players with new links..

link 1: http://noticiadelverde.blogspot.com/ ,
link 2: http://www.elpais.com.co/elpais/deportes/noticias/millonarios-y-atletico-nacional-ponen-dia-liga-postobon-ii?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss-pais&utm_campaign=
link 3: http://www.futbolred.com/public_html/index.php/liga-postobon/noticias/fecha14finalizacin2013/millonarios-y-nacional-juegan-el-clasico-apartado/13107135

Martinez(first gk 15/0),Armani(second gk 12/0),Bernal(df 27/1),Medina(df 27/2),Cardenas(mf 25/6),Valoy(mf 29/2),Mejia(mf 30/0),Angel(att 26/7 top scorer) will be rested