Monday, November 11, 2013

monday banker

monday , offer is terrible i see one banker today and that is:

Cyprus
Paralimni - Apollon 2 @1.28

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/cyprus/first-division/paralimni-apollon-limassol/AcKWAYHk/
2nd worst team in league vs best team in league ..

Paralimni have some important missings , 3 players are suspended... Cantero(df 4/0), Tofas(att 8/0), Catchana(mf 6/0) and Koumasis(mf 3/0) are injured, Gal(df 8/0), Gavric(mf 8/1) and Tolimir(mf 2/0) are suspended
no important missings in Apollon's team who is doing great this season!!

Sunday, November 10, 2013

sunday

Norway Tippeligaen
Lillestorm - Rosenborg 2 @1.70 (pinnacle)

good relationships between clubs , I read that Lillestorm's supporters are writing on twitter,forums and facebook that Lillestorm should let this win to Rosenborg because Lillestorm's fans hate Stromsgodset ...
Lillestorm without Moen(mf 27/8 top scorer) and Riise(mf 29/5 ,2nd scorer) - both suspended. Udjus(first gk 22/0) is doubtful.
quality and motivation on away side...

Macedonia
Pelister - Bregalnica Stip 1 @1.75 (bet365)

Bregalnica have lot of problems with injuries from start of the season , now they are missing Gjoreski(df 5/0), Bozhinov(df 12/1) and Nikovski(mf 5/0)- all injured. D.Stojanov(df 9/2) and I.Stojanov(df 12/0) have small injuries but they travelled to Bitola , Bozhinovski(first gk 13/0) is very doubtful!!
Pelister have also some injuries but all of them are long term , Demic , Glavevski ...
last match Bregalnica 3-0 Pelister (but imo that was fixed , bregalnica with red card scored  3 goals .. pelister's defenders look very funny in that match ...)
also there are rumours about 3for3 between this two teams but that are just rumours ...
quality is on home side...
GL

Vardar - Turnovo
pick: 
turnovo +0,75ah @1.83 (bet365) ; 1.8 (sbobet)

i see value in this odds and this line ...
match will be played on neutral venue in Ohrid (Turnovo is more like host there because it is nearest to them..)
Vardar is not same team like last season , they lost best players , situation in club is not the best ... Fans are in boycott because they hate actual board and staff in Vardar club ... they are not going to support their club till this persons are in the club.
biggest problems for Vardar now is attack , they dont have real classic striker because Bujcevski(att 1/1),Georgiev(att 4/0) and Ademovic(att 9/7 top scorer) are out .. Gimenez(mf 13/1) is doubtfull ...

Turnovo have very good squad and good coach (ex national team player Goce Sedlovski) , no important missings today one player is suspended but main players are in squad.



_____________
TRIPLE BET:
total odds: 2.09 (in sbobet)
>>>
Spain Primera
Betis - Barcelona 2 @1.3

last placed vs 1st placed.
Barcelona must win this match because Atletico Madrid is behind them , point difference is just 1 point .. they dont have place for mistake!

Betis have problems with absences .. central defenders Perquis(df 5/0) and Paulao(df 8/0) , Reyes(mf 5/0),Janfran(mf 11/0),Sevilla(mf 4/2),Igiebor(mf 7/1),Vilarchao(mf 0/0) and best striker Castro(att 1/1) are all injured. Chica(df 10/0) is suspended

because of all this missings Betis coach will have to put mixed team on field , in defence they will have some unexperienced players and I think that Barca's attack with Messi and Neymar should easy score goals ...
for Barca Pique(df 10/0),Busquest(mf 10/1) and Alba(df 3/0) are out|

Croatia 1 NHL
Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven 1 @1.23
in last 4 mutual matches Dinamo didnt have problems to win Slaven so i think today will be the same. Dinamo have to win this match if they want to back on 1st place .. Sammi(mf 8/0),Husejinovic(mf 7/0),Pamic(mf 9/0) and Sandomierski(first gk 5/0) are unavailable for Dinamo but they have enough good players to replace them.
Slaven without Melnjak(df 8/0),Glavica(mf 9/1),PLazanic(df 4/0) and attacking duo Novinic(att 8/3 top scorer) and Delic(att 13/3 top scorer)

Norway Tippeligaen
Stromsgodset - Haugesund 1 @1.31

big match for Godset , after 40 years they have big chance to win league title .. lot of fans will came on stadium to give support to Godset to win the title...
Haugesund have secured the 3rd place and now they can be relaxed and can let this 3 points to their friends Stromsodset ...
Strosmgodset withot Boateng(mf 17/7).
Haugesund without Anyora(mf 20/0),Fevang(mf 6/0) and Maelund(mf 21/0).

they played many times ht/ft (2/1) , in 2011 i have insider info about that match .... i strongly believe here that Haugesund who dont like Rosenborg will give points to Stromsgodset.

Saturday, November 9, 2013

saturday

yesterday was terrible day ... I hope today we will make some good money ...

Greece
Giannina - OFI 
pick: Giannina
odds: 1.88 (188bet)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/greece/super-league/giannina-ofi-crete/KbnP03fR/
last season Giannina gave 3 points to OFI to stay in league now it is time for pay back
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/greece/super-league-2012-2013/
situation in lower part of table before that match was: 16th Kerkyra (20pts) , 15th Aris (25pts), 14th OFI (28pts) , 13th AEK (29pts)
thanks to this 3 points OFI stay in league!!!

now Giannina have new coach , they relegate in cup so their only chance for Europe is league ... they have to win this match. Giannina with full squad available, Chavez(mf 7/2) is back in team, now they will be much stronger.
OFI miss two important midiflers Veron(mf 6/0) and Galletti(mf 5/0)


Germany JuniorWest
Theesen u19 - Duisburg u19
Duisburg -1,5ah
oddS: 1.85 
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/germany/junioren-bundesliga-west/theesen-u19-duisburg-u19/WEZnFqPg/
I wont write here too much. Theesen u19 dont belong here , they are too weak for this league. They dont have good players for this league,their school is poor. In their squad most of players are u18 , one year difference in this category means a lot !!!! in last round Theesen lost vs 2nd worst team in league Bonner 4-1 .. they are in very bad form
Theesen U19:  last results
Bonner U19Theesen U194:11.305.246.5603.11.2013
Theesen U19B. Moenchengladb...0:511.107.001.1426.10.2013
Leverkusen U19Theesen U194:11.079.0015.0019.10.2013
Theesen U19Dusseldorf U190:505.10.2013
Bochum U19Theesen U193:01.166.7910.4322.09.2013
Theesen U19Oberhausen U190:23.904.081.6515.09.2013
Köln U19Theesen U198:01.245.767.6701.09.2013
Theesen 0-5 Dusseldorf (u19)
Duisburg 3-0 Dusseldorf (u19)

big quality difference , expect easy away win.



Bosnia
Leotar - Olimpik Sarajevo 
pick: Olimpik
oddS: 2.10 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/bosnia-and-herzegovina/premier-league/leotar-olimpik-sarajevo/bHLpMHfG/
i talk about Leotar and their big problems at start of this season! Like I wrote then now all that is coming true , Leotar is last on table with only 9 points after 15 matches ... they won 2 matches (one of them was clearly fixed , 2-0 win vs Slavija ...) They have very weak,young and unexperienced team! Club also have big problems with money and now they have to pay some debts to federation if they dont pay club can be taken some points ....
imo Leotar will surely relegate and now vs strong Olimpik they dont have chance .. only positive thing for them is home ground ..
Leotar miss two defenders Prebiracevic(df 9/0) and Djajic(df 9/0) - both regulars.

Olimpik fighting for europe but here things are strange and club from 8th position can play in europe ... Olimpik is in good form they are 7 matches without a lost (3w-4d). no important missings in Olimpik

this season Olimpik already beat Leotar twice. once in league Olimpik 4-0 Leotar , and once in cup Leotar 0-2 Olimpik... in both matches Olimpik won pretty easy.
this should be easy away win because there is big quality difference on Olimpik's side , but Leotar is very suspecious club so we have to becareful here ..
safer option dnb2 , odds 1.57

Croatia 
Hajduk - Istra
Hajduk without Caktas(mf 3/1),Andjelkovic(mf 10/0),Bukva(mf 5/0) and Bencun(att 9/5).
Istra without Havojic(mf 8/1),Horvat(df 6/0),Batarelo(df 14/0) and Milicevic(att 7/0)

Osijek - RNK Split
pick: Spit -0,25ah
odds: 1.80 (dafabet)

Osijek in big financial problems!! There are some rumours that club is in front of bankrupt!!
http://www.jutarnji.hr/nk-osijek-pred-gasenjem-/1138216/
they have some good and talented guys but they will have to sell them because club need money, players were without wages around 2 months ... in cup match on 30/10 vs 4th league team Medjimurje , Osijek played just 0-0 .....

Split this season made very good team , they bought some very quality players and they have big ambitions. They started season bad but now in last 10 matches they are doing very good (6w-3d-1l) .. they won two strongest teams in league Split 1-0 Rijeka , Split 1-0 Dinamo , with Hajduk Split (2nd placed) they played 0-0 on away ground ....
OSijek without Mikulic(first gk 12/0),Smoje(df 0/0),Simunec(df 8/0),Vitaic(mf 8/1),Babic(df 9/0),Lulic(mf 12/4 top scorer) and Perosevic(att 1/0).
Split without Vrgic(df 7/1),Krizanac(df 9/0),Vitaic(mf 0/0),Mrsic(mf 10/1) and Baraban(att 0/0)
if this match is clear this should be easy away win but i strongly believe that match will be fixed for something because Osijek desperate need money ...

before start of this season RNK Split get 3 players for free from Osijek (Vrgoc , Ibriks and Zulim)
Josip Baricic (from RNK Split in Osijek for free) - 2013/14

Split's coach is Stanko Mrsic (Mrsic was coach in Osijek whole last season!!)
Osijek's coach is Ivica Kulesevic (big friend with Stanko Mrsic , they were together in RNK Split's staff last season!!)

so there are good relationships between clubs, i would go with higher stakes for away win but i am little bit scared because of this connections between coaches ...


Greece
Aris - Panathinaikos

Aris without 4 important midiflers , Ikonomopolos(mf 5/0),Iraklis(mf 7/0),Elsner(mf 8/0) and Triantafyllakos(mf 7/0).
Panathinaikos without Pranjic(mf 6/0),Bajrami(att 5/0) and Apostplopoulos(att 1/0)

Platanias - Smyrnis

PLatanias without Dimitris(Df 3/0),Cerra(df 2/0),NAzlidis(Mf 7/4) and Moral(mf 6/0)
Smyrnis without Kanakoudis(df 0/0) and Petropoulos(att 7/2)


Holland Eredivisie
Roda - Go Ahead Eagles

no important missings in both teams.

Heracles - Groningen
Heracles without Koenders(df 9/0),Wierik(df 9/1),Vujicevic(Mf 2/0) and Kangaskolkka(att 3/0).
Groningen without Bakker(df 0/0),Letschert(df 7/0),Velden(att 10/3),TEixeira(att 3/1) and Zeefuik(att 4/3)

ADO Den Haag - Twente
ADO without Zwinkels(gk),Kanon(df),Wormogoor(Df 6/0),SChet(Att 3/0) and Jansen(mf 3/0).
Cambuur miss Hemmen(att 11/4)


Italy Serie B
Bari - Varese

Bari without Masi(df 0/0),Albadoro(att 2/0) and Caputo(att 0/0)
Varese without Bressan(first gk 8/0),Fiamozzi(df 9/1),Lupoli(att 3/0) and Pavoletti(att 10/7 top scorer).

Brescia - Avellino

Brescia without Freddi(df 7/0),Zambelli(df 7/),Lasik(df 4/0),Diouf(mf 0/0),Sodinha(mf 7/0),Mitrovic(att 7/1) and Caracciolo(att 12/6 top scorer)
Avellino without Terracciano(gk 9/0),Bittante(df 12/0),AberO(df 1/0),Togni(mf 3/0) and DIa(att 3/0)

Brazil
Flamengo - Goias

goias in amazing run , they now have big chances for top 4 places (copa libertadores/sudamericana)
Flamengo in middle of table , playing just for honour , today without Felipe(first gk 24/0),Paulo(df 26/1),Caceres(mf 13/1) and Samir(df 9/0). rested will be Moura(df 24/2),Paulinho(mf 29/3),CHicao(df 12/1) and best midifler Elias(mf 28/4).
I was planning to bet on Goias today but when i saw that they miss Walter(att 12 goals , top scorer) i decide to stay away from this match because they dont have other good classic striker .

France
PSG - Nice 1 @1.2 (betvictor)

i expect here an easy home win becuase PSG have amazing team with amazing strikers while Nice will miss Genevois(df 8/0) and Ospina(first gk 11/0) .. they dont have good 2nd gk choice ..

Bosnia
Borac - Celik

both teams have financial problems but Borac is doing very well ...
Celik without Jusić(df 10/0), Barač(mf 15/1), Stajić(att 13/0), Lakičević(df 9/0), Bureković(mf 3/0), Grahovac(mf 5/0)


Handball Croatia
Umag - Bjelovar 1 @1.3 (betvictor)

http://www.betexplorer.com/handball/croatia/dukat-premijer-liga/umag-bjelovar/rH7M4sBL/
Bjelovar will have to travel around 5 hours with van (not with buss but with van!!)
players said; "this is very long trip and we dont have comfort in the van , It will be very hard to recover from long trip"
+ Bjelovar will go on this match with only 10 players + 2 gks ...
Taras and Gasparovic (two important players) are injured and wont play for Bjelovar today , Ezget also have injury but he will probably play ...

Handball SEHA Liga
Vojvodina - Metalurg

Vojvodina without Kocic(First gk)
Metalurg play important match vs Vardar next week so this match is unimportant for them ... coach Lino will rest key players N.Mojsovski(B 6/25) , Z. Mojsovski(W 6/0),  Atman(B 6/21), Mirkulovski(B 3/6 , injured), and 4 key players in defendce Kedžo(B 6/0),Markoski(B 6/0), Jonoski(B 6/0) and best player Stanić(gk 6/0)

Friday, November 8, 2013

friday

Israel 2 league
Netanya - Maccabi Umm

pick: over 4,5 goals
odds: 5.00 (bet365)

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/israel/leumit-league-2013-2014/netanya-maccabi-umm-al-fahm-ranDaHI0/#over-under;2
i wrote about Netanya and their powerfull squad and boss in first rounds .. now after 9 rounds they are first on table with 20pts but i am not pleased because they dont score too much goals ... but still they have best squad in league , high ambitions , rich and powerfull boss , big budget , big stadium -- everything what they need for 1st league. promotion is their target!!

Maccabi Umm in big financial problems!!!
new coach Haim Levy who is in team just 2 weeks decide to leave club after this match because situation in club is terrible.  players didnt get their salaries for around 3 months and some of them refuse to play ... in last match before 3 days vs Hapoel Bnei they lost 7-0 (while Netanya won Hapoel Bnei Lod 1-0 ) ...

safer bet is over 3,5 goals @2.75 (bet365)


Moldavia
Dacia - CSCA Rapid 1 @1.36 (betvictor)

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/moldova/divizia-nationala-2013-2014/dacia-chisinau-csca-rapid-fPO7JmzQ/#1X2;2

Dacia is much better team than CSCA and should win this match easily because they have 3 draws in a row and now they are in must win situation

CSCA in bad form (5 lost matches in a row) , that was expected because financial situation in team is terrible!
players dont go on trainings regullary , big financial crisis , players and staff members without wages around 2 months ...

usually Dacia dont have problems with CSCA
Head-to-head: Dacia Chisinau - CSCA-Rapid
Divizia Nationala 2013/2014     
CSCA-RapidDacia Chisinau2:45.003.501.6018.08.2013
Divizia Nationala 2012/2013     
Dacia ChisinauCSCA-Rapid1:01.304.647.7627.04.2013
Dacia ChisinauCSCA-Rapid1:01.294.688.2027.10.2012
CSCA-RapidDacia Chisinau0:112.545.241.2029.07.2012
Divizia Nationala 2011/2012     
Dacia ChisinauCSCA-Rapid2:01.098.1313.7418.05.2012
Dacia ChisinauCSCA-Rapid3:01.195.4210.9222.10.2011
CSCA-RapidDacia Chisinau1:26.703.941.3930.07.2011

Thursday, November 7, 2013

thursday picks

Europa League
Dnipro - Ferreira 1 @1.25 (bet365)
FT 2-0

dnipro is much better team , they won Ferreira on away ground 0-2 so now on home ground they should win again easyily
Ferreira without Bebé(att 6/1), Caetano(att 7/1), Carlão(att 3/0), Hurtado(mf 5/0)
Dnipro in full squad.


Az Alkmaar - Shakhtar Kargandy 1 @1.22 (bet365)
FT 1-0

it now became public bet that Shakhtar will be without 7 first team players , but i must tell you that we had that info in closed forum on 3rd november ...

AZ is better team they show that in 1st match but they couldnt score.
Shakhtar will go almost with B team because they have very important CUP final match ...


Russia Division 2 South
Novocherkassk - Astrakhan 1 @1.67 (wiliam hil)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/russia/division-2-south/novocherkassk-astrakhan/CxmAQ8AS/
3for3 match.
http://www.futbol24.com/teamCompare/Russia/MITOS-Novocherkassk/vs/Russia/FK-Astrakhan/#statTLR-Page=0 take a look at their previous meetings , two 2/1 matches.. lot of strange things happened in their matches ,red cards , penalty kicks ...

my bets here are;
both teams to score - yes @1.68 (bwin)
over 2,5 goals @1.72



Wednesday, November 6, 2013

wednesday

Portugal 2 league
Beira Mar - Academico Viseu

Beira Mar have  big stadium and big budget but they are without ambitions for promotion and without Rego(first gk 11/0) who is injured.
Academico Viseu is new promoted team in league , on this match have problems with injuries , both central defenders Pereira(df 5/0) and Claudio(df 8/1) are injured , important midifler Joao Alves(mf 9/1) and best striker Cafu(att 8/2 top scorer) are also injured.

Benfica B - Unia Madeira
Benfica without Ivan Cavaleiro(att 10/7 top scorer) - he missed last 3 matches also.
Unia MAdeira without Trigueira(first gk 9/0),Christpher(second gk 3/0),Thiago Costa(mf 5/0),Toni(mf 8/0) and Steve(att 6/0)

Handball Germany
Leipzig W - Metzingen  W

http://www.betexplorer.com/handball/germany/1-bundesliga-women/leipzig-w-metzingen-w/ra2TLseU/
I will just tell you the reason why odds dropped from 11.00 to 2.25 for away win.
Leipzig miss 6 players for this match ,all of them important players ..
http://www.hc-leipzig.de/news/pressemitteilungen-2013-2014/pm-37-13-14-jedes-spiel-ist-jetzt-eine-unfassbare-herausforderung they played important CL match before 2-3 days so they are also little tired.
i miss value odds so no bet.

Romania
Rapid Suceava - Rapid Buchurest

pick: 2
odds: 1.90 (188bet)
FT 2-2 pick lost (Buchurest had red card :@)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/romania/division-2-serie-1/cfr-suceava-rapid-bucuresti/dE09QtNg/
Rapid Suceava is small team from small city , city is not interested in football club. Club dont have money , players without wages , they dont go on trainings regulary ...

Rapid Buchurest is much better team , they relegated from best league because of financial problems.. Club this season in celebrating 90 years anniversary ... they have a lot of fans who make great atmosfhere, their target is promotion and they have ambitions for that.
Rapid miss Pancu(att 7/4 top scorer) but that wont be big problem , players are promised bonus money if they win today.
I expect away win.

Tuesday, November 5, 2013

free strong info

Asia
Shanghai SIPG - South China FC

pick: South China +1,75ah
odds: 1.80 (bet365)

FT 2-1 pick WON!
bet quick odds will drop for sure!!

today will met Shanghai SIPG who finished on 9th place in China Super League and South China FC who is currently on 2nd place in Hong Kong league...

http://int.soccerway.com/teams/hong-kong/south-china-aa/ is solid team , they have some good foreigners and all of them will play today.


for Shanghai SIPG this match isnt too much important so on this match they will use youngsters!! also if i understand good from their official site head coach Gao Hangbo also wont be with team on this match!!
http://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&hl=en&ie=UTF8&prev=_t&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=zh-CN&tl=en&u=http://eafc.online.sh.cn/sports/gb/content/2013-11/05/content_6490521.htm&usg=ALkJrhhLTuyhY0SoqqJZE6CcL7_ckf0maw

-http://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&hl=en&ie=UTF8&prev=_t&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=zh-CN&tl=en&u=http://eafc.online.sh.cn/sports/gb/content/2013-11/05/content_6489191.htm&usg=ALkJrhj4jukM4umlbKNU8citrnciBBHPGA


South China with strongest possible squad - http://www.southchinafc.com/template?series=1&article=12278

this line is value , GL