Saturday, August 24, 2013

25/08 (sunday)

Sutjeska - Decic 1 @1.35 (good for some combo bet)  FT 4-1
Sutjeska is much better team,3 levels better. Sutjeska should win this without problems,they will have ball possesion and they will create lot of chances so they should score minimum 1 goal.

Decic's players know that they have no chances in this match,one of them said; it will be a miracle if we take a point from there.
Decic is new promoted team,they are muslimans and federation is against them (imo not fair but thats it...), federation wants them in 2nd league! In last match Decic 0-0 Lovcen , lovcen have more than 60% of ball possesion ... on this match Decic will just stay in defence and wait for counter attacks.

LDU Loja - Barcelona

LDU with mixed team; Fernández; Arboleda, Ayala, Ayoví, Arroyo; Requené, Castillo, Gómez, Uchuari; Fabio Renato, Barbosa

Concordia - Pandurii
Panduri without: Predescu(mf 0/0) and Lemnaru(att 2/0) both injured. Matulevicius(att 5/3 top scorer),Breeveld(mf 3/0),Nicoara(mf 4/0),Mamele(df 4/0),Momcilovic(Df 4/0) and Christou(mf 3/2) will be rested,some of them wont go on this trip and others will be on bench.

Odense - Nordsjaelland , odense +0ah @1.9 (ladbrokes)
 FT 1-0

the only team in Denmark league who is still unbeaten is Odense (1w-4d-0l) .. I believe that after this match they will stay unbeaten. No important absences for them.
Nordsjaelland without 5 first team players,also this match is between two europe league qualifications matches so coach will also make some rotations in starting line up.
out are; Mtiliga(df 3/0),Ticinovic(mf 5/0) Christiansen(mf5/0), J.Larsen(mf 5/0) , best striker Nordstrand(att4/3 top scorer)

Millonarios - Dep.Pasto
Pasto will use weak team today because of Copa Sudamericana; David González(second gk 1/0), Jesús Murillo(df 1/0), Wilson Galeano(df 9/1), Arbey Díaz(df 0/0), Fausto Obeso(df 21/1), René Rosero(mf 25/1), Osneider Alvarez(mf 9/0), Mauricio Gómez(mf 8/0), Kevin Rendón(mf 0/0), Juan Guillermo Vélez(att 20/4) y Jorge Ramírez(att 1/0).

Turnovo - Vardar  DNB1 @1.83   FT 2-0;2
derby of the round.

Turnovo make great results in europe league qualifications and they get some money from that. Owner Orce Todorov is pleased with how things are going in club , best player Blazhevski stay in club (he should go in Met.Donetsk but transfer was stopped because Metalist change coach and new coach dont want Blazhevski).Turnovo sold Baldovaliev(last seaosn 2nd scorer) , he will continue his carrier in Kerkyra , but Turnovo find good replacement for him , Turnovo bring Muzafer Ejupi(att 32/19 ,2nd league top scorer!)
so now Turnovo have killing attacking duo!! Blazhevski(18 goals ls 3rd league top scorer) and Ejupi(19 goals ls 2nd league top scorer). + here is Sasko Pandev(from Renova) , young talented offensive player.

champion Vardar in serious problem. They are without real striker for this match,also they have lot of absences and there are arguing and conflict between fans(Komiti) and board(directors and owner) , because of that reason Vardar fans dont support their team in last few matches. and without fans Vardar have terrible results they draw with Renova and one of weakest teams Euromilk.

Mite Cikarski(df 2/0 ,28/1 ls) ,Aleksandar Petrovic(mf 3/0 ,14/0 ls), captain Radenko Bojovic(df 2/1 ,22/0 ls) , Dragan Gjorgiev(att 3/0 , 20/4 ls) and Aco Stojkov(att 2/1 , 11/7 ls) are OUT. best player Jove Kostovski(att 2/4 top scorer , 30/22 ls league top scorer) definitely wont play because he will make a transfer in Leuven(belgium)

so now Vardar without attack (Stojkov,Gjorgiev,Kostovski) and without 2 key defenders (Cikarski,Bojovic).

Turnovo dont have problems with absences,they have all players available and I expect them to get minimum 1 point on this match

Aris - Kalloni 1 @2.12 (pinnacle) ; 2.09 (sbobet)  FT 0-2 lost
on this match Aris will have big advantage because of home field. Lot of fans will came to watch Aris's first match on home ground in new season! Atmosfhere on stadium is always very good because of great fans.
Aris is now much stronger than last season because they bring good players. Players who came in Aris: Bouzanis(gk from Oldham),Papadopoulos(mf 9/0 from Dresden),Manias(att 39/18 from Smyrnis),Udoji(mf 16/2 from Atromitos),Ibeh(mf 19/8 from Pandurii),Elsner(mf 23/2 from Slask) and some others

Kalloni is weak new promoted team who will fight against relegation!

most important info for this match.
referee will be Dimitris Thanos - why is this important?

because Dimitros Thanos is Aris's referee. He is always on their side!

- last season he was referee on only 1 match when Aris played that was match Asteras - Aris which finished with draw. In that match he gave red card to Asteras! LINK

-in 2011/12 he was referee on match Aris - Levadiakos which finished 2/1 (ht 0-1 ; ft 2-1) , on that match he showed 5 yellow cards to Levadiakos. LINK

and Thanos was referee before 1 month on frendly match between Aris and Roma which finished 1/2 (ht 1-0 ; ft 1-2) !!

I expect here home win with help from referee.

RNK Split - Osijek 1 @1.5 (bet365)  FT 3-0
Split make very good team this season,they brought some quality and experienced players like Vrgoc(df 20/1 from Osijek),Dujmovic(mf 25/0 from Mordovia Saransk),Mate Bilic(att 32/11 from Gijon),Mrsic(mf 27/6 from Zadar),Roce(mf 25/11 from Istra) and some others ...
true Split start very bad new season with 1w-2d-3l , but they have high ambitions and i expect them to start with good results starting from this match vs poor and weak Osijek.

Osijek is in deep financial problems,they have young and unexperienced team. Players are without wages long time, coach left team because of bad financial situation ...

quality and motivation on home side.

Merani Martvili - Baia Zugdidi
very suspecious match
last season they played 6for6. relationships between clubs are good. both teams are from same region Samegrelo

suspecious matches between them;
-- 1/2
-- 2/1

only wiliam hil offer odds for this match , pick 1 @1.8  
i expect this season again 6for6 , Baia already won 6 points so now it is time for Merani's two wins.
FT 2-0

Qabala - Karabakh , qabala +0ah @2.10

ft 0-1 pick lost.

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