02/07

Champions League Qualifications
Shirak - Tre Penne over 4,5 goals @1.8 (bet365) ; 1.85 (sportingbet) ; 1.87 (betvictor)FT 3-0 lost
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/europe/champions-league-2013-2014/shirak-gyumri-tre-penne-8YTbqtc7/#over-under;2

huuuge quality difference on home side.
i remember last season Dudelange (team from Luxembourg) destroy Tre Penne 7-0 on home ground in first match. Now Tre Penne have stronger opponent than Dudelange so we should expect more goals.

Tre Penne qualify in Champions League's Qualifications after penalties (that show that they are not so good team even from San Marino where people dont invest in football!). In league they lost 9 from 27 matches ....
-update; key defender Mikhalovskiy(df 25/3) is doubtful. Valentini(first gk 26/0) is injured. On goal will be young unexperienced Pazzini(0/0 , 22 years old)

Shirak is good team with some young talents + some quality african players. Shirak won title pretty easy in 42 rounds they had 26 wins with goal difference 70:38 . Shirak's coach said; Because we dont know anything for Tre Penne we must give 100% on this match
I expect something like 4-1 , 5-1



Europa League Qualifications
Metalurg Skopje - Qarabag
Qarabag -0,25ah @1.85 (188bet) ; 1.89 (Betvictor)
FT 0-1 pick WON
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/europe/europa-league/nextmatch.php?matchid=vcrck9iH&section=ah-odds

Metalurg played 8 matches till now in Europe Qualifications and they never win a match!!! They have very bad style of playing,whole match they are playing in defence and playing on counter attacks. If there is livestream for this match you will see how bad they are. They sign just one good player that is Sedat Berisha(from Shkendija) good defender but he is unavailable for this match!
Metalurg is team without real fans ... this match will be played on Filip II Arena but i am 99% sure that there wont be many people on stadium everyone is waiting for match Vardar - Steaua.

about Qarabag; they are team from Azerbeijan , they invest a lot of money in club so now they want results.
This team is leaded by Richardo and Reynaldo , this summer they bring Nicolos Gelashvili (from Bochum) and Leroy George(from NEC Nijmegen) for 2 milions (Metalurg's total value is 2 milions :D). Qarbag's coach is Gurban Gurbanov , he is best coach in Azerbeijan at this moment (that is writing media).

in 2010/11 they met in Europe League Qualifications and Qarabag was better.


my other pick is;
under 2,5 goals @1.8 (12bet;dafabet)
FT 0-1 pick WON
-because Metalurg will play in defence whole time. In attack they are weak so I dont expect goal from action,maybe they will score some goal from free-kick or penalty kick because Ignjatov(mf) is good shooter.

small stakes on both bets.