Sunday, October 20, 2013

free picks sunday

Macedonia 
Makedonija GP - Pelister
pick: Pelister +0ah
odds: 1.88 (sbobet) ; 1.75 (188bet)
FT 0-0 pick VOID!

big quality difference on away side.
Pelister in last match lost vs Vardar in biggest derby in our country but they lost on bad way , Pelister score goal in 90min but coach dissallowed the goal because it was offside (but it was clear goal ..) , fans , players , board and president are very angry on FFM and now referee will have to be on Pelister side in next matches (tipical thing in our league).

I have friend in Makedonija GP and he told me; "Pelister is much better team , this will be hard match for us.. we will wait our chances on counter attacks"so this tell you everything , Makedonija GP is young team no experience they get help from referees in some matches because FFM's president Ilco is ex Makedonija GP coach (all persons who work with Ilco in Makednija GP are now in federation!!) but today they wont have help from referee because referee will be Stevce Sulevski for me one of best referees in league.

Pelister will control the match whole the time but problem for this pick is missing of Dragarski(df 10/1) in Pelister , best young defender in league. that is the reason why I take safer option.

GL



Finland Veikausliiga
VPS - Jaro
pick: 1
odds: 1.5 (sportingbet)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/finland/veikkausliiga/vps-jaro/2imvSbHe/
FT 3-0 pick WON
quality,form,home field,fans and motivation on home side.
VPS is doing good in last 6 matches they have 3 wins and 3 draws (they draw vs champion HJK!), they have to win this match if they want to stay on 3rd place and play Europe League qualifications next year!
VPS without Smith(df 16/0) and Parikka(att 18/4)

Jaro in very bad form , 7 lost matches in a row , 11 matches without a win (4d-7l)!! for this match they will be little weakned becuase Kujala(df 0/0),Skrabb(m 9/2),Jovanovic(df 17/1) and Wichester(att 23/8 top scorer) are unavailable, plus important midifler Emet(mf 24/8 top scorer) is questionable but I dont think that coach will risk him.


Ukraine 2 Division
Zirka - Nyva

pick: 1
odds: 1.75 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/ukraine/division-2/zirka-kirovograd-nyva-ternopil/ni1IKGfb/
FT 1-0 pick WOn

Nyva have problems with absences. Romanyuk(df 13/0),Yanevich(df 13/1)B.Baranets(mf 13/2),G.Baranets(mf 11/1) and Melnik(att 13/6 top scorer) are out. Malysh(mf 11/1) is questionable
so without 6 important players this will be very hard match for Nyva.
Zirka is one solid team , on home ground they always have support from fans (1000 fans average on match).


Russia Division 2 - South
Alania 2 - Novocherkassk 

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/russia/division-2-south/alania-2-novocherkassk/8rkKFWvD/
Alania's first team have big financial problems , main sponsor left team and now players are without salary ...same situation in Alania 2 of course , good news is that they are sure on table and wont relegate.

if they want quick money the best option is to fix something .. last season this two teams played 1/2 so I expect the same today..
last season Alania played 3 times HT/FT , Novocherkassk also played 3 times! this season Alania once but that was long time ago , Novocherkassk this season 0 !!

also interesting is that from all matches in this league only 2 matches will be for live betting (one of those match is Alania 2 - Novocherkassk ) - that is another reason to fix something

2/1 @26.00 (bet365)
1/2 @23.00 (bet365)
for minimal stakes.
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/russia/division-2-south-2013-2014/alania-novocherkassk-8rkKFWvD/#ht-ft;2

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