Thursday, July 4, 2013

04/07 qualifications

FK Sarajevo - Libertas 
FK Sarajevo is good team from BiH. best player from last season Hodzic(20 goals,top scorer) left team.
Libertas is amateur team from San Marino,in this match without experienced strikers Fantini(att 21/7 top scorer) and De Luigi(att 20/5 ,3rd scorer).
http://www.polisportivalibertas.com/


Teteks - Pyunik

about Teteks; Teteks relegate in 2nd division but won cup so they will play in Europe League (something like Wigan in england :D ). They had two suspecious boss who had local bookie in Switzerland and make lot of money from that. One of them was in one fixing scandal in Italy. Very powerfull bosses but they dont care about club they just want money. Fans were happy when Teteks relegate in 2 Division because they thought that now owners will left club but that didnt happen. Owners stay in club and promise "come back" in 1 Division. 

I strongly believe that Teteks will make some fixing in Europe League , that is why owners stay in club ,if they fix here they can get more money from bookies.

They are almost same team like last season,they bring lot of quality players (only to win the cup and they did it). 
Teteks bring some quality players who sign a contact to play in Teteks only in Europe League qualifications, Kurtim Balazhi(df ,from Napredok) - great player ,he is in top 5 defenders in our league , young talented striker Angelov(att ,from Rabotnicki) -he was in Schalke on test but nothing from that and few others.
I dont know anything about Pyunik .. They are famous club in Macedonia because in 2004 they fix match with Pobeda Prilep (macedonian team) in europe qualifications and Pobeda was punished (while Pyunik nothing,no sanction). Now I read that they have some financial problems and club is brining young players.


Tuesday, July 2, 2013

03/07 strong info.

Persiwa Wamena - Persisam 2 @2.20 (bet365)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/indonesia/super-liga/nextmatch.php?matchid=bNOrUuvf&section=dc-odds
Persiwa have financial problems and many players left club because of unpaid wages. all foreign players are refusing to play and didnt go on trainings because of unpaid wages.


info from indonesian expert megapoxy; 

Persiram is in really good condition, they are also from Papua which means they don't have to travel that much to get ther,  they should also win against the .... remainings of Persiwa (many players have already left the club long ago, check their latest matches, no win for ages and even the point they got against Pelita was because the guests then chose to rest many starters).

value odds,i expect huge dropping. fair odds 1.75

PLEASE DONT COPY INFO.

- MATCH IS POSTPONED!!

tonight

Australia u19 - USA u19USA -35ah @1.82 (sbobet)
http://www.betexplorer.com/basketball/world/world-championship-u19/nextmatch.php?matchid=6Nf5KO23&section=ah-odds
FT 51-94 pick WON

-BASKETBALL


USA yesterday didnt force too much vs Russia , some of players were rested in that match so for this match vs Australia they have full power.

Everybody in USA's team is giving 100% because everybody want to be in starting five,big motivation.

Australia is too weak team for USA who is main candidate for medals. Australia's coach know that they dont have chances for win in this match so he decide to give a rest to key players because next day they have most important match vs Russia (to be or not match) if they win match vs Russia they are in next stages,if not they are going back to australia.


USA should destroy them.

GL

03/07 free pick

- STRONG TENIS INFO POSTED ON FB PAGE, CHECK IT ; https://www.facebook.com/Cheguevarapicks


Singapore
Harimau Muda B - Tampines 2 @1.83 (bwin) ; 1.73 (bet365) ; 1.85 (marathonbet)

FT 0-1 pick WON
value odds definitely.

I already wrote about Harimau Muda B ,in that team are playing only u19 players!!!
http://int.soccerway.com/teams/malaysia/harimau-muda-ii-malaysia-u19/17577/
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harimau_Muda_B


Tampines is best team in league. 1st on table 12w-1d-2l (34pts) , 2points more than 2nd placed Albirex Niigata (but Tampines have 1 match less [this today]) If Tampines win today they will be more comfortable on 1st place.

Tampines have great squad with many quality foreign players like Dreven(first gk,croatia),Yamashita(df , japan),Kaneko(df , japan),Wagner(midifler ,argentina) and Hadzubulic(striker , bih).
+ before few weeks Tampines bring 3 foreign players, goalkeeper Andre Martins, midfielder Vitor Ladeiras and striker Diogo Caramelo from the lower rungs of the Portuguese league.


Tampines will attack whole match,while Harimau Muda B like always will wait for their fast counter attacks.

experience,form and quality is on Tampines side.

02/07

Champions League Qualifications
Shirak - Tre Penne over 4,5 goals @1.8 (bet365) ; 1.85 (sportingbet) ; 1.87 (betvictor)
FT 3-0 lost
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/europe/champions-league-2013-2014/shirak-gyumri-tre-penne-8YTbqtc7/#over-under;2

huuuge quality difference on home side.
i remember last season Dudelange (team from Luxembourg) destroy Tre Penne 7-0 on home ground in first match. Now Tre Penne have stronger opponent than Dudelange so we should expect more goals.

Tre Penne qualify in Champions League's Qualifications after penalties (that show that they are not so good team even from San Marino where people dont invest in football!). In league they lost 9 from 27 matches ....
-update; key defender Mikhalovskiy(df 25/3) is doubtful. Valentini(first gk 26/0) is injured. On goal will be young unexperienced Pazzini(0/0 , 22 years old)

Shirak is good team with some young talents + some quality african players. Shirak won title pretty easy in 42 rounds they had 26 wins with goal difference 70:38 . Shirak's coach said; Because we dont know anything for Tre Penne we must give 100% on this match
I expect something like 4-1 , 5-1



Europa League Qualifications
Metalurg Skopje - Qarabag
Qarabag -0,25ah @1.85 (188bet) ; 1.89 (Betvictor)
FT 0-1 pick WON

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/europe/europa-league/nextmatch.php?matchid=vcrck9iH&section=ah-odds

Metalurg played 8 matches till now in Europe Qualifications and they never win a match!!! They have very bad style of playing,whole match they are playing in defence and playing on counter attacks. If there is livestream for this match you will see how bad they are. They sign just one good player that is Sedat Berisha(from Shkendija) good defender but he is unavailable for this match!
Metalurg is team without real fans ... this match will be played on Filip II Arena but i am 99% sure that there wont be many people on stadium everyone is waiting for match Vardar - Steaua.

about Qarabag; they are team from Azerbeijan , they invest a lot of money in club so now they want results.
This team is leaded by Richardo and Reynaldo , this summer they bring Nicolos Gelashvili (from Bochum) and Leroy George(from NEC Nijmegen) for 2 milions (Metalurg's total value is 2 milions :D). Qarbag's coach is Gurban Gurbanov , he is best coach in Azerbeijan at this moment (that is writing media).

in 2010/11 they met in Europe League Qualifications and Qarabag was better.


my other pick is;
under 2,5 goals @1.8 (12bet;dafabet)
FT 0-1 pick WON

-because Metalurg will play in defence whole time. In attack they are weak so I dont expect goal from action,maybe they will score some goal from free-kick or penalty kick because Ignjatov(mf) is good shooter.

small stakes on both bets.

Monday, July 1, 2013

china & norway2

Wuhan Zall - Guangzhou Evergrande 
guangzhou -1,5ah @1.52 (bet365)  
FT 1-4 pick WON


Wuhan Zall is worst team in league,last on table with only 6 points (1w-3d-10l) without suspended Ke Zhao(df 10/0) and Xin Feng(df 6/0). attacking duo Tan Si(att 4/0) and best player Dembele(att 10/2) are injured.


Guanzhou is definitely best team in league! first on table with amazing stats. 12w-2d-0l (38pts).Best home and best away team in league. no missings in team, Elkeson,Muriqui and Dario Conca should not have problems to score minimum 2-3 goals vs Wuhan Zall's weakned defence.

Wuhan Zall will play in defence whole time,they will be very happy with draw in this match but they cant do that vs so strong team.

GL



Moss - Forde

Forde -1ah @1.8 (bet365)  FT 0-5 pick WON
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/norway/division-2-group-1-2013/moss-forde-4QKaeNgf/#ah;2
imo fair odds 1.65

Moss have problems with absences,out are; Adam Pytel, Fabian Stensrud Ness, Andreas Eikum, Kenan Yldiz, Tommy Larsen, Tor Erik Moen og Tim Reinback (all injured)
sources; http://www.mossfk.no/artikkel/6211/Michael-Frank-rett-fra-levra! & http://www.mossfk.no/artikkel/6210/Troppen-mot-F%C3%B8rde-IL

Forde is currently on 2nd position with 27 points (2 points less than 1st palced Asker), if Forde win today they will go on 1st position!! Quality,motivation and form is on their side. I expect easy away win in this case, GL