Monday, November 18, 2013

vip subscription

For all those who write me on mail for VIP subscription I am really sorry but there is not free place in VIP section right now so please wait untill the next month ...

now enjoy in my free picks :)

Sunday, November 17, 2013

brazil sunday

Fluminense - Sao Paulo 1 @1.73 (bet365)http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/brazil/serie-a/fluminense-sao-paulo/0GjwFbnA/
FT 2-1 pick WON

4 rounds till end of season , Flu must win this match to escape from relegation zone!
no important missings , Fred(att 9/3) and Carlinhos(df 23/3) are long term injured , others are not important. good news is that Edinho(mf 30/0) is back in team

Sao Paulo with reserves!! they are in middle of table with just a minimal chance for top 4 places (copa libertaodres)... now without injured Carleto(df 3/1) and Aloisio(att 30/10 top scorer), Luis Fabiano(att 21/6 ,2nd scorer) is suspended. Rogerio Ceni(first gk 32/2),Rodrigo Caio(mf 33/3),Mirando(df 25/0),MaicoN(mf 23/0),Ganso(mf 27/1),Douglas(df 23/1),Denilson(mf 16/),Carlos(df 13/3) and Ademilson(att 17/2) will be restedhttp://www.spfc1935.com.br/2013/11/relacionados-para-fluminense-x-sao-paulo.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter



Gremio - Flamengo 1 @1.51 (pinnacle)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/brazil/serie-a/gremio-flamengo-rj/j5qjCdWS/
FT 2-1 pick WON

if Gremio win today they can go on 2nd position (directly in Copa Libertadores) , they really want it and they must win this match!! they are missing Vargas(att 15/5) who is on international duty but they have good replacement for him here are Kleber(5 goals) and Borges(8 goals)..

Flamengo have important cup match for few days so coach decide today to use reserves,key players not in squad...
Moura(df 25/2),Chicao(df 13/1),Santos(df 19/2),Amaral(mf 12/0),Eduardo(mf 22/0),best midifer Elias(mf 29/4) and best striker Hernane(att 28/14 top scorer) will be rested. important defender Gonzales(df 18/0) is with his national team , while Caceres(mf 13/1) and Felipe(first gk 24/0) are injured

in starting line up they will have only 2 regular players all others are reserves who have not played any match or have only 3-4 matches ....

SUNDAY INFOS

Holland Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax - Sparta 
sparta -1ah @2.14 (sbobet,pinnacle)
big quality difference on away side..

Jong Ajax again without big number of players, 18 players are missing!
UNAVAILABLE ARE: Martina(df 9/0),Hoorn(df 3/0),Hart(first gk 8/0),Cilessen(second gk 3/0),Moisander(df 1/0),Lobotka(mf 11/3 top scorer),Enoh(mf 7/0),Bazoer(Df 9/0),Riedwald(Df 2/0),Veltman(df 3/1),Ligeon(df 6/0),Sporkslede(df 9/1),L;aassen(mf 6/1),Blind9df 1/0),Honer(att 4/0),Denswil(df 4/0),Boilesen(df 1/0) and Andersen(att 2/3 top scorer)
+ they are in very bad form 7 lost matches in a row , NO HELP from first team ...

Sparta is 2nd on table,much better than Jong Ajax and more experienced,for this match they dont have important absences.


Brazil
Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta

Cruzeiro won league so now coach will give chance to players who didnt play much.. VictorinO(df 0/0),Rodrigo(df 29/2),NIlton(mf 29/7) and Martinuccio(att 7/0) are injured. Dede(df 30/2),Egidio(df 33/0),Dagoberto(Att 21/4) and Borges(att 23/10 top scorer) will be rested

Paraguay
Libertad - Guarani

Libertad with mixed team because of Copa Sudamericana's match for few days ...
possible line up; Armando Vera(secodn gk 6/0); Alan Benítez(df 1/0), César Coronel(DF 8/0), Gustavo Gómez(df 19/1) y Miguel Samudio(df 20/1); Nelson Romero(att 34/0), Sergio Aquino(mf 27/3), Osmar Molinas(mf 23/0) y Jorge González(mf 24/3); Jorge Recalde(att 17/4) y Brian Montenegro(att 13/5).
http://www.d10.com.py/futbol/primera-division/club/libertad/37605-libertad-pondra-un-onceno-equilibrado-contra-guarani

Saturday, November 16, 2013

saturday infos

Handball
Krim W - Leipzig W
Krim -6,5ah @1.85 (bet365)http://www.betexplorer.com/handball/europe/champions-league-women/krim-w-leipzig-w/AoGbQZhM/
Krim need to win if tehy want to finish like 1st in this group , on home ground 2w-0d-0l , quality is on their side.

Leipzig travelled on this match with only 10 players , they lost all chances to go in next stage also they have huge problems with injuries so coach said that this will be something like preparation match for them,they wont go with full power because he dont want to risk new injuries...
out are: Schülke, Schulze, A. Müller, Hubinger, Visser, Plöger and S. Müller

first match Leipzig 23-27 Krim
I expect easy home win


Brazil  Serie B
Sport Recife - Parana
Sport Recife without Pedra(mf 29/0) and Mauricio(att 5/0)
Parana without Luiz Carlos(First gk 34/0),Conceicao(mf 29/3),Anderson(df 21/1),Paulinho(df 30/0),Cambara(mf 15/1) and Amorim(mf 18/1)
sport recife must win this match if they want promotion! 3 rounds till end of season.

America Mineiro - Atletico GO

hosts play for nothing,Atletico GO must win if they want to stay in league.
Mineiro without Silva(df 23/1),China(mf 1/0),Doriva(mf 12/1),Magrao(mf 0/0),Kaio(att 7/0) and Willians(Att 28/6 ,2nd scorer).


Italy Serie B
Padova - Brescia

padova bring one very experienced player , Tomasso Rochi(ex Lazio!)... padova without Cuffa(mf 9/0),Osuji(mf 10/0),Modesto(mf 6/0),Jelenic(att 9/0)Perna(df 7/0) and Trevisan(df 4/1)
brescia have a lot of absences for this match, out are Cragno(first gk 11/0),Lasik(df 4/0),Freddi(df 7/0),Scaglia(mf 12/1),Benali(mf 8/1),Diof(mf 0/0),Mitrovic(att 7/1),Corvia(att 0/0 key striker,long term injured),Oduamandi(att 8/0) and Caracciolo(att 12/6 top scorer)


Portugal 2
Farense - Oliveirense

Farense is missing 4 midiflers Ibukuin(mf 13/0),Livramento(mf 8/0),Neca(mf 7/0) and Zugic(mf 7/0), Joshua(df 3/1),DIop(att 1/0) and Matias(att 11/0) are also OUT!


Croatia 2 NHL
Gorica - Inter Zapresic dnb2 @1.73 (bet365)

3rd team from bottom Gorica vs 3rd best team Inter
Gorica 3 matches cant score a goal .. today without 8 players ,Mandarić(mf 3/0), Hadžić(mf 9/2), Babić(df 12/0), Koledić(att 8/0), Panadić(mf 9/0), Sabljak(df 13/0), Kćira(df 9/1), Berišić(mf 8/1).
Inter have big ambitions,good squad,stadium and want promotion!

Cibalia - Segesta 1 @1.4 (bwin)
cibalia on home ground still without lost match!! they are doing amazing,they are one of main candidates for promotion! no important missings today.
Segesta is sure in middle of table,they dont have ambitions for promotion so they are pleased with middle positions ... today Segesta will miss Mrmić(first gk 11/0),Arsenić(df 5/0), Kiš(mf 7/1), Dumbović(att 13/4 ,2nd scorer), Križe(df 14/0), Tabaković(mf 12/0) are out ..best player Hrnčević(att 14/8 top scorer) is questionable!! 3 key players are missing this can be big blow for guests ...


Bosnia
Zvijezda - Radnik 

Zvijezda miss Pandza(att 12/1) and brazilian Adam(mf 10/0)
Radnik without Nikić(att 16/6 ,2nd scorer), Ristić(att 11/1), Katanec(df 16/3)

Olimpik - Celik 1 @1.6 (tipico)
Celik miss first two goalkeepers and on goal will be 3rd gk !!!!
OUT ARE: Popović(mf 13/0), Grahovac(mf 5/0), Bureković(mf 3/), Nestorović(mf 6/0), Adilović(first gk 11/0), Nurković(second gk 6/0).
Olimpik is much better team , motivation is on home side , situation in Olimpik is much better...

Thursday, November 14, 2013

brazil basket

Basketball Brasil NBB
Bauru - Palmeiras
palmeiras +6,5ah @1.85 (bet365)

http://www.oddsportal.com/basketball/brazil/nbb-2013-2014/bauru-palmeiras-fVBO1aK4/#ah;1

if i understand good , there was some mistake in basketball federation and now some teams will have to play 2 matches in same day ...

teams who will have to play 2 matches in 1 day are; Bauru , Franca and Pinheiros (pinheiros is my vip pick,odds dropped a lot).

Bauru decide to go with reserves because for them (logicaly) more important is semi final championship match vs Franca who will be played 1 hour later.

last match
Palmeiras 89-83 Bauru


14/11 infos

poor offer today,no good picks ....


Frendly spain
Cordoba - Atl.Madrid

Atl.Madrid will use mixed team ... key players are missing , some of them are injured and some of them are on international duties..
Courtois(first gk 13/0),Alderweireld(df 2/0),Juanfran(df 12/0), Koke(mf 13/1),Diego Villa(att 13/6 ,2nd scorer),Godin(df 12/0), Gimenez(df 1/0), Cristian Rodriguez(mf 9/1),Arda Turan(mf 10/1),Javi Manquillo(df 1/0) and Óliver Torres(mf 4/1) are with NT. Mario Suarez(mf 7/0) and Diego Costa(att 13/13 top scorer) are injuredhttp://www.clubatleticodemadrid.com/convocatorias/once-canteranos-completan-la-lista-para-cordoba
11 youngsters are called from B and C team ..


Brasil
Atl.Mineiro - Internacional
Atletico without Victor(first gk 26/0),Michel(df 10/0),Richarlyson(df 12/0),Ronaldinho(mf 13/5),DOnizet(mf 13/0) and Jo(att 19/6 top scorer)
Internacional without Kleber(df 19/1),Indio(df 12/1),Gabriel(df 24/1),Juan(df 29/3),Alves(df 10/0),Ygor(mf 11/0),Bolatti(mf 0/0) and 3 important strikers Damiao(att 23/5),Forlan(att 14/5),Scocco(att 17/3).
maybe good pick here is internacional to score under 1 goal , odds 2.6 in bwin but i dont see value ...

Handball
Metalurg Skopje - Vardar

big city derby in champions league , there is big hattnes between their fan groups (Komiti and Pirates) ... tickets were sold out for just 2 hours... this will be very good match for watching and everyone in our country is waiting for this match.
Vardar this season is much stronger because they have new sponsor and that is Samsonenko , he bring lot of new players... Vardar now have amazing wings but weak 'back line' .. also they dont have real coach, Andon is leading the trainings while Samsonenko(who is owner and sponsor) is leading the team in matches ... that is pretty stupid but ok ...
Metalurg have amazing coach Lino Cervar who have very disciplined and good team , for this match there is one very good news for him , Mirkulovski is back after injury and he can play.

the best for both clubs will be if they play 2for2 and both will go in next stage but there is big hattnes and i am sure that they wont do that ...
anyway my pick here is; 1x (metalurg +0,5ah)

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

free pick 12/11

Brazil Serie B
Paysandu PA - Palmerias
pick: Paysandu +0ah @2.45 (pinnacle) ; 2.38 (bet365)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/brazil/serie-b/paysandu-pa-palmeiras/6upBdCnR/

ok i understand Palmerias is 1st on table , they are best team in league , if they want they can easy won this match but will they want that !? that is the question ...

4 rounds till end of season Palmerias is sure on 1st place they wont lose it i am 100% sure about that .. while hosts Paysandu are in dangerous zone and they desperate need win today!

here is the table
OverallMPWDLGoalsPts
1.Palmeiras34227564:2573
2.Chapecoense-SC341711655:2962
3.Sport Recife341821458:5256
4.Icasa341651345:4853
5.Avai341581147:4253
6.Ceará341411956:4253
7.Figueirense341641456:4952
8.Joinville341571250:3952
9.America MG341313845:3852
10.Parana341491149:3351
11.Boa3412111130:3947
12.Oeste3411101337:4943
13.Bragantino341261633:3942
14.Guaratingueta341181538:4541
15.America RN3410111341:5041
16.ABC341161740:5539
17.Paysandu PA34991638:5336
18.Atletico GO34981734:4535
19.Sao Caetano34881840:5332
20.ASA34922337:6829

(last 4 teams relegate , top 4 teams promote)

main reason for this bet are missings in away team and their previous meetings

last their match was 2/1 with goal in 95min link
highlights: video click to see , 1st Paysandu goal was clearly defencive mistake and bad position on defence players (they could easy make offside trap ..)
take a look at Palmerias goal for 1:2 , what was gk doing? defencive player didnt jump..
goal for 3:2 , goalkeeper was flying in space :D

-- in 2005 they also have played 2/1 http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/brazil/serie-a-2005/matchdetails.php?matchid=jyScA4lF


for this match Palmerias is without some very important players , important striker Kleber(att 2/1) and Dybal(mf 0/0) are long term injured .. Leandro(att 28/11 ,2nd scorer) is suspended , key offencive midifler Valdivia(mf 17/3) is with NT , Wesley(mf 28/7 ,3rd scorer),Vinicius(att 23/5 ,4th scorer),Luis Felipe(df 23/1),VIlson(df 9/2),Mendieta(mf 17/4) and Charles(mf 23/2) are also injred!!

so totally they miss 10 players.


Paysandu with only 1 important missing , Eduardo Ramos(mf 31/4) suspended... long term injured are Ze Carlos(first gk 7/0),Tallys(mf 3/0),Capanema(mf 9/0) and Billy(mf 4/0) ....


GL