Sunday, October 6, 2013

06/10 sunday

Metalurg Skopje - Turnovo
pick: Turnovo +0,25ah
odds: 1.90 (bet365) ; 1.88 (sbobet , 10bet)
FT 1-0 pick lost

haha odds going up I like it. after my post they will drop for sure.

I already wrote many times on my site about Met.Skopje and their young team this season but after 9 rounds they are still without lost ... I really dont understand how when they are playing boring football , this season they are one average team but their boss Mincho is very strong person (he is owner of Metalurg Handball Club and he get lot of money from there...)
Metalurg draw with relegation teams like Napredok (0-0 on home ground) , Makedonija GP (0-0 on away ground) .... they show very bad performances but in some matches they scored goals in last minutes and get points ....
key defender Berisha(df 5/1) is suspended in Metalurg.

Turnovo is last season 3rd placed team. They played in Europe League Qualifications and they get some good money from there , players regulary get their wages,atmosfhere in team is good..
Turnovo have killing attacking duo Blazhevski(att 8/7) and Ejupi(att 6/4) .. also they have here Sasko Pandev(good ofensive player) and young Stoilov who show good performances in last match.
with strikers like Ejupi and Blazhevski (best attacking duo in league) Turnovo should score easily + with missing of Berisha (Metalurg) in defence the job will be easier.

I think it is final time Metalurg to lost!
experience and quality on away side, GL
DNB2 @2.30 (betvictor) ; 2.00 (bet365) is also good bet.

Shkendija - Euromilk 1 @1.45   FT 0-3 pick lost (shkendija get early red card ...)
good odds for combo bet.
Euromilk is one of main candidate for relegation, they have powerfull boss but he didnt invest in team this season ,he thought that they will stay in league with team who promote from 2nd league ... now they see that it is not possible so they promise new players in winter transfer period but till than they will be very weak ... They sold best striker Bujcevski(2 seasons in a row top scorer!!) to Vardar ...

I wrote few times about Shkendija , they got new sponsor,experienced coach and many quality players!! They qualify in 1/4 of cup , they won last season champion 3-1 ... they draw with Makedonija GP last round but they dominate in whole match (they hit the post 2 times and had 3 one on one chances ...) .. no missings for this match. Balistite (shkendija's fans) always make great atmosfhere, it is like in hell. They are ethnical albanian team and they dont respect anyone ... Quality is on home side.

Spain Segunda Division B

Conquense - Puerta Bonita x2 @1.75  FT 2-2 pick WON
two new promoted sides ...

Conquense is good on home ground 3w-0d-0l but for this match simply they are too much weakned ,they have only 2 goalkeepers in squad ,  Manolo(first gk 6/0) is injured so on goal will be unexperienced Sergio Lara(20 years old). Cristian(att 4/1), Arencibia(df 0/0) y Vega(mf 5/1) are also unavailable ,while Borja Lázaro(att 5/2 top scorer) and Curro Vacas(mf 6/0) are doubtful (both probably OUT)

I think that this will be one equal match here and I expect Puerta to stay unbeaten.

Estoril - Benfica 2 @1.74 (188bet)  
FT 1-2 pick WON

I like odds on benfica
estoril without Carlitos(mf 3/1)
Benfica without Salvio(mf 2/0), Fejsa(mf 3/0), Ruben Amorim(mf 3/0). take a look at their squad lot of young perspective players .. all of them are highly motivated and want to show good performances,they draw in last round and now they want win! they dont have permission for another mistake.

Slavija - Siroki Brijeg DNB1 @1.73 (paddypower)
FT 4-2 pick WON

Slavija in bad form , 3 lost matches in a row .. It is final time for them to win. This is league where hosts in most of matches get wins (teams are playing much better on home field).

Siroki Brijeg start season with high ambitions,they attack on title but for unknown reasons president left club so all that ambitions are gone now .. They will top 3 places , their target now is europe league. For this match they have big problems in defence because two central defenders Džidić(df 4/0) and Ćorić(df 8/2) are injured , another regular defender Jese(df 9/1) is also injured. Best player Wagner(mf 9/7 top scorer) is unavailable. without Wagner Siroki is not the same team! Wagner is the brain of the team , if he is not playing good Siroki cant win ...

Slavija will have home field advantage,Siroki with problems inside the team and problems with missings of important players cant do anything here.

Atletico Mineiro - Corinthians

probably most of you remember their last match Corinthians 0-1 Atletico MG , Atletico was with reserves and everyone was betting on home win and lost ...
today situation is similar , Atletico MG miss 10 players , out are Victor(first gk 22/0), best striker Jô(att 15/5 top scorer), Ronaldinho Gaúcho(mf 13/5 top scorer), Réver(df 18/0), Richarlyson(mf 12/0), Júnior César(df 18/0), Guilherme(att 10/0), Dátolo(mf 8/1), Gilberto Silva(mf 6/0 ,ex Arsenal), Michel(df 10/0)

Corinthians was in very bad form, without a win long time but in last round they finally win and now situation is little better. UNAVAILABLE are; Pato(att 22/7 top scorer), Émerson(att 20/2), Renato Augusto(mf 8/1 ex Leverkusen), Fábio Santos(Df 17/0), Danilo(mf 20/0)

River Plate - Boca Juniors

big derby superclasico.
atmosfhere in River in front of big derby is amazing..
Boca have some problems with sick players last days but now seems everything is ok , out is only Rodriguez.
if you want good football i reccomend you to watch this match 

Ajax - Utrecht
Ajax miss Krkic and Duarte.
Utrecht without Duplan(att 0/0), Sarota(mf), Takagi(mf 6/0), Bulthuis(df 8/1), Janssen(mf 5/1), Teijsse(df 0/0)

Zeljeznicar - Olimpik Sarajevo 

Zeljo without Hodžić(att 9/4 top scorer), Kvesić(df 0/0), E. Čolić(att 5/1), B. Čolić(df 0/0)
Olimpik without I.Smajic(Att 6/0) and S.Smajic(mf 9/2)

Radnik - Celik

Radnik is full.
Celik without Dedić(AM 10/4), Kajkut(att 8/2), Gojković(df 3/0), Alispahić(att 5/2)
[AM = attacking midifler]

Finland Veikkausliiga

hosts today will celebrate the title , they need only draw today and they are champions but I believe that they will win for their fans.
quality is on home side,motivation also.
my bet here is: 1&over2,5 goals @1.65 (in local balkan bookies  1&3+)  FT 3-0 pick WON


  1. and why did you delete tromso bet? loool

  2. it was posted late.. first someone commented why I post it late and I deleted it ... + it was for minimal stakes so not important ...