Friday, February 21, 2014

saturday free picks and infos (22/02)

Indonesia
Persebaya - Bantul
over 2,75 goals @1.74 (dafabet;12bet)

stake: 6/10http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/indonesia/super-liga-2014/persebaya-persiba-bantul-0hO1wVft/#eh;2
Persebaya is new promoted team but they make lot of good transfers so it is expected to be high on table this season. Players who came in club: cameroon Kenmogne(att 16/14 from Persija , ex Ethnikos,Anwerp), nigerian Kughebe(mf 25/1 from Persiwa), Nwokolo(att 24/15 from Arema) , experienced Ilham(mf 17/4 from Persija) , Nzekou(mf 32/10 from Balikpapan) , Salampessy(df 26/2 from Persipura),experienced defender Ambrizal(df 16/1 from Gresik), Kipwu(mf 28/1 from Arema),Rasyid(mf 31/0 from Samarinda) and some other less quality players. .. VERY GOOD PLAYERS...

Bantul is worst team in league,last on table.
Bantul coach Sajuri said: " We will have trouble in the match" (if i translate it well :D ) http://www.tribunnews.com/superball/2014/02/21/persiba-bantul-bakal-bikin-kejutan-persebaya
SOME PLAYERS ARE ILL + BIG PROBLEMS IN DEFENCE!
Bantul have some players ill because of volcan eruption ... they have problems with injuries too Yohan Ibo(df 1/0), Eduardo Bizarro(df 1/0) and Hery Prasetyo(df 0/0) are injured. another defender Lestaluhu(df 3/0) have injury problems but will be forced to play.
coach Sajuri also say: Players are in poor condition , as a result of volcanic eruption they can train only 3 days. Sajuri expect poor result
http://www.merdeka.com/sepakbola/kalah-telak-dari-psm-ini-alasan-persiba-bantul.html

last match Persebaya 2-0 Bantul (on 12/01/2014)
now Bantul weakned a lot so i expect bigger win!


Israel
Yehuda - H.Arce

Arce +0,5ah @1.85 (bet365)
stake: 2/10

quality is imo on away side and this odds are unrealistic.

Yehuda is last on table with only 15pts,worst team in league. they start playing good in last few rounds 1w-4d but still they are too weak. attacking midifler Agaiev(mf 22/7 top scorer), key defensive midifler Zhairi(mf 18/2) and new signing from Elfsborg- Keene(att 5/1) are unavailable.

Hapoel Arce have some brazilians in squad and they should gain at least 1 point in this match. Now they bring Hamdi Salihi , good albanian striker who score 2 goals in first two matches!

I would play here with higher stakes but i am scared because of their relationships and history matches (they often fix 2/1 ; 1/2)
if match is clear this pick should be won without problems


England League One

Leyton Orient - Swindon 1 @1.91 (bet365 ; pinnacle)
stake: 5/10

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/england/league-one/leyton-orient-swindon/Qopzi9S1/
Leyton is one of the best teams in league , they are 2nd on table and must win matches like this if they want to get direct promotion. They have killing attacking duo Lisbie and Mooney (together 27g scored). They had problems with goalkeepers position but now everything is ok.
On home ground Leyton have 9w-2d-4l , i expect another win today.

Swindon have one of the youngest teams in league , very young and talented players who are in Swindon on loan. Club have financial problems from last year and they cant bring good players because lack of money.
big problems with absences. important central defender Grant Hall(df 26/0), best striker Nile Ranger(att 23/8 top scorer),key midifler Ryan Mason(mf 18/5),very important Alex Pritchard(mf 28/5) and Louis Thompson(mf 18/0) are all INJURED. very important winger N'Guessan(mf 20/8 top scorer) is doubtfull (he will make late fitness test). other two important defenders Nathan Thompson(df 29/1) and Jay McEveley(df 19/0) are suspended. also dont forget that top scorer in 1st half of season Nicky Ajose(att 16/6 ,2nd scorer) left club! http://www.teamtalk.com/match/preview/978/9177336
Swindon is tipical home team, on away ground they won only 13points (from total 45)

last match Swindon 1-3 Leyton ... now Swindon much weaker I expect home win. higher stakes.


Bulgaria
Loko Sofia - Neftokhimik
pick: loko -1eh @1.91 (paddypower)

stake: 3/10
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/bulgaria/a-pfg/lok-sofia-neftochimic-burgas/zZA90MvC/
Loko have some new signings Daniel Genov , Baseya and Taider

Nefto in financial problems,no money,no salaries,no home stadium... club left: Yuri Ivanov(mf 11/0),Deyan Hristov(att 17/2),Zhivko Petkov(att 21/1),Denchev(first gk 11/0),Patev(df 12/0),Yoshev(df 10/0),Chipev(mf 11/3 key midifler),Tsonkov(mf 12/1),Sechkov(df 7/0),Dimitrov(mf 17/4 best player)
in last match Nefto had only 16 players in squad ...

last match Nefto 0-2 Loko
(now Nefto much weaker)


Spain Segunda Division
Las Palmas - Girona 2 @4.45 (pinnacle)
stake: 1/10

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/spain/segunda-division/las-palmas-girona/fis52lDL/
h2h , time for away win?
Head-to-head: Las Palmas - Girona
Segunda Division 2013/2014
GironaLas Palmas0:22.053.303.4122.09.2013
Segunda Division 2012/2013
Las PalmasGirona5:21.843.463.9717.02.2013
GironaLas Palmas5:02.083.253.3316.09.2012
Segunda Division 2011/2012
Las PalmasGirona3:22.003.133.7503.03.2012
GironaLas Palmas4:22.063.163.5024.09.2011
Segunda Division 2010/2011
GironaLas Palmas1:12.023.133.5810.04.2011
Las PalmasGirona1:11.623.505.1913.11.2010
Segunda Division 2009/2010
Las PalmasGirona0:11.713.264.9905.06.2010
GironaLas Palmas0:22.233.013.1810.01.2010
Segunda Division 2008/2009
GironaLas Palmas2:22.192.903.3428.03.2009
Las PalmasGirona2:21.992.993.7225.10.2008
They also have three suspecious matches
Las Palmar 5-2 Girona  (over 6,5 goals)
Girona 4-2 Las Palmar (ht 1-2 ; ft 4-2) clear fixed 2/1 , guests with two red cards. link
Las Palmas 3-2 Girona (ht 0-1; ft 3-2) another imo fixed match 2/1.Hosts get red card in 72min and with player less they score 2 goals and won! link , video,goals.

only 2 transfers between them http://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/en/ud-las-palmas-girona-fc/vergleich/basics_2350734.html
last one was this season Tato(from Las Palmas to Girona for FREE!)

referee will be Pedro Sureda > http://int.soccerway.com/referees/pedro-sureda-cuenca/95621/ , very suspecious referee,he want to give red cards and penalty kicks.


_______________
Turkey
Galatasaray - Besiktas

big derby,full stadium , all tickets are sold.
Galata without Yilmaz(mf 6/0).
Besiktas without Sivok(df 12/2),Escude(df 10/2) and Gulum(df 15/0) - all three central defenders. Ozyakup(mf 13/3) and new signing Jones are doubtfull.


England Premier League
Arsenal - Sunderland

Arsenal without Diaby(mf 0/0),Kallstrom(mf 0/0),Ramsey(mf 19/8),Vermalen(df 7/0),Gibbs(df 22/0) and Walcott(att 13/5).
Sunderland without Westwood(first gk 10/0) and Brown(df 13/0)

Chelsea - Everton
Chelsea without Luiz(df 14/0).
Everton without Gibson(mf 1/0),Kone(att 5/0),Oviedo(mf 8/0) and Lukaku(att 18/8)

Cardiff - Hull
Cardiff without Hudson(df 2/0),Bellamy(att 14/1) and Medel(mf 25/0).
Hull without Dudgeon(df 0/0),McShane(df 9/0) and Brady(att 16/3).

Cristal Palace - Manchester United
Crystal Palace is full.
Man utd without Nani(att 8/0) and Welbeck(att 16/8). doubtfull are Evans and Jones both central defenders


Greece SuperLeague
OFI - Olympiakos

OFI without Bourbous(df 24/0),Milhazes(df 25/0),Fragoulakis(mf 8/1) and Lampropoulos(mf 13/1).
Olympiakos without Siovas(df 11/0),Torres(df 5/0) and new signing Valdez(att 2/1) all injured. while Dominguez(mf 19/5),Maniatis(mf 19/4),Marcano(df 3/1),N Dinga(mf 15/0) and Olaitan(att 15/8) will be rested,also Saviola(att 22/11) will be probably on bench, dont forget that they sell top scorer Mitroglou.

Levadiakos - Asteras
Levadiakos without Vukcevic(mf 0/0) and Lampropoulos(mf 16/1).
Asteras without Hernandez(first gk 18/0),Bartolini(df 0/0),Lisgaras(df 3/0),Sankare(df 6/1),Goian(df 23/1),Lluy(df 14/1),Navarro(att 15/1) and Delgado(att 17/4) are all unavailable.


Germany 3 Liga
Heidenheim - Saarbrucken
best team vs worst team.
heidenheim without imp missings.
Saarbrucken without Maek(mf 9/1),Eggert(mf 13/0),Kreuels(mf 8/0),Marque(df 7/0),Fa;lkenberg(df 19/),Korte(mf 22/3 ,4th top scorer),Hoffmann(mf 21/5 ,2nd top scorer) and Rathgeber(att 18/4 ,3rd top scorer)


Dortmund II - Duisburg

local derby
Dortmund II without Sarr(df 14/0),AminI(mf 15/1),BandowskI(df 17/1),Bajner(Att 23/3 ,3rd top scorer) and Ducksh(att 18/12 top scorer)
Duisburg without Gardawski(mf 17/1),Dum(mf 20/0) and Wolze(mf 22/4)


Portugal Liga de Hondra
Santa Clara - Portimonense

Santa Clara without important absences.
Portimonense without Mica(mf 26/3),best player Kanazaki(mf 23/6),new signing brazilian Diogo(mf 3/0), first gk and few other players.

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