07/03

Copa Postobon
Santa Fe - Llaneros , Llaneros +1,25ah @1.76 (188bet)   FT 0-0  

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/colombia/copa-postobon/nextmatch.php?matchid=1571441&section=ah-odds
huge quality difference on home side.
Santa Fe is team from Primera A ,playing on 3 fronts (copa libertadores,primera a and copa postobon) ... really hard for them,coach must rotate team in some matches ... competitions in S.America are crazy i told that many times... today in 21:00 Santa Fe play Copa Postobon match vs Llaneros... later in 23:15 they play Copa Libertadores match with Cerro Porteno on away ground (in paraguay)

of course Santa Fe this match will play with alternative team!
coach,assistant coach and all first team players and reserves are in paraguay
http://independientesantafe.co/node/1364
so for this match Santa Fe will use juniors!!
Santa Fe without: Vargas(first gk 6/0),Sanchez(second gk 0/0),Mendoza(df 2/0),Roa(df 4/0),Valdes(df 4/1),Meza(df 5/0),Garcia(df 4/0),Anchico(mf 4/1),Bedoya(mf 3/0),Perez(mf 4/1),Molina(mf 5/0),Torres(mf 5/0),Valencia(mf 5/0),Arias(att 5/2),Medina(att 5/6),Borja(att 6/0),Cuero(att 5/0) - all of them are in paraguay.

Llaneros is team from Primera B but i think they can do something against Santa Fe's juniors!



Junior - Valledupar
both teams with mixed line ups.

Junior line up: Carlos Rodríguez(second gk 2/0), Ronald Herrera(df 0/0), Harold Macías(df 0/0), Brayner García(mf 3/0), Arol Reyes(df 0/0), Luis Narvaez(mf 2/0), Guillermo Celis, Jhonatan Alvarez, Edwin Cardona(mf 4/1), Edison Toloza(att 5/1) y Diego Álvarez(att 1/0).
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/junior-debuta-en-casa-ante-valledupar-03895
Valledupar line up: William Robledo(second gk 0/0), Rafael Vallest(df 0/0), José Bermúdez(df 1/0), Juan Diego Uribe(df 4/0), Eduardo Simanca(mf 1/0), Janer Suárez(mf 4/0), Saramys Rodríguez, José Muñoz(mf 0/0), Esnaider Salinas(mf 6/2), Erick Reyna(att 0/0) y Walter Franco(att 3/0).
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/valledupar-visita-junior-con-la-suplencia-03896


Barranquila - Uniautonoma
Barranquila line up: Jair Mosquera; Jorge Muñoz, Pablo Maldonado, Jair Blanco y Oidel Pérez; Alex Rambal, Alexis Mendoza, Diego Escorcia, Eduardo Labarrera y José Rivera; Raúl Peñaranda.
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/con-una-novedad-barranquilla-juega-el-clasico-03900
Uniautonoma line up: Ernesto Hernández(gk 4/0), Joel Salas(df 0/0), Gabriel Martínez(df 1/0), Rubén Jaramillo(df 0/0), Lic Meyer Asprilla, Víctor Palacio(df 5/0), Andrés Roa(mf 2/0), John Ulloque(mf 4/1), Sergio Blanco(mf 2/0), Michael Barrios(att 4/0) y Rodrigo Hernández(att 2/0).
both teams from Primera B,Uniautonoma is better team but they will play with mostly reserves in this match,while Barranquila will use many first team players.

Fylkir - Grindavik
very suspecious match for me! match is suspecious for bookies too,bet365 block ht/ft odds!!

Grindavik like to fix matches,especially 2/1 and 1/2 ... they make some little pause 9 matches they didnt play 1/2 and 2/1 so i think now it is time!

Fylkir 15 matches didnt play 1/2 and 2/1 ...
ideal time for fixing.

in past this two teams make some very good 1/2 and 2/1 matches with high odds
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/iceland/landsbankadeild-2012/matchdetails.php?matchid=972504 ht 0-1 ; ft 2-1 (2/1 ,classic goal in 86min from penalty kick for home win)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/iceland/landsbankadeild-2011/matchdetails.php?matchid=452017 ht 1-0 ; ft 1-4 (now 1/2, goal from penalty kick in 51min for 1-1)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/iceland/landsbankadeild-2011/matchdetails.php?matchid=451947 ht 2-1 ; ft 2-3 (odds for 1/2 on this match were around 65.00 ,i remember that because i get some good money on that match! goal in 94min for away win)  watch highlights for that match here!! take a look at goal for 2-2 lol
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/iceland/landsbankadeild-2009/matchdetails.php?matchid=73527 ht 1-0 ; ft 1-2 (another 1/2 ,again mega high odds around 90.00 maybe even more!!!)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/iceland/landsbankadeild-2006/matchdetails.php?matchid=674632 ht 0-1 ; ft 2-1 (in second half red card for guests and goal in 90min for home win).


http://www.futbol24.com/teamCompare/Iceland/Fylkir-FC/vs/Iceland/UMF-Grindavik/#statTLR-Page=0 click on results,you will see that every match is very suspecious,in almost every match there are penalty kicks,red cards or goals in last minutes!

worth a try
(ht/ft)
1/2 (Fylkir/Grindavik) @51.00 (sportingbet)
2/1 (Grindavik/Flykir) @21.00 (sportingbet)
small stakes!
in local bookies you can find better odds!

06/03

Finland
Mariehamn - HJK , HJK -1,75ah @1.89 (dafabet) FT 0-4  
before few days HJK 6-0 Mariehamn
Mariehamn today without Lundberg(df 8/0 ls), Wirtanen(df 12/1 ls), Ostlind(mf 12/1 ls), Lyyski(df 27/1 ls), Nurme(first gk 27/0 ls), Lagerblom, Kukka(new player from MyPa . df 18/1)
..also i must tell that Mariehamn is much weaker than last season because some key players left team. best midifler Forssel(mf 18/9 ,2nd scorer),Gadzo(mf 16/4),best striker Kangaskolkka(att 29/16 top scorer),Sagne(att 25/5 ,3rd scorer),Trafford(df 30/0) and best defender Kojola(df 32/1) left team!

HJK is best team in Finland,they won league 4 times in a row. For this season they bring two (ex) star and very popular players in their team, Teemu Tainio(ex Tottenham player) and Mikael Forssel(experienced but quality striker)

info:
ls = last season.



Cyrpus CUP
Anorthosis - Omonia
first match omonia 4-0 anorthosis
Anorthosis's coach and players know that they dont have chances to make something after result in first match so coach decide to keep best players for league derby match in saturday. Rested will be: Itzhaki(att 16/10 ,3rd scorer),best defender Ilic(df 16/1),Rezek(att 21/12 ,2d scorer),brazilian main player Spadacio(mf 22/14 top scorer) and Laborde(att 18/5 ,5th scorer)
http://www.24sports.com.cy/index.php?pageaction=kat&modid=1&artid=58523
but if i understand good in this http://www.shootandgoal.com/page.php?bid=8&id=69587 link Omonia will also rest some players.


Copa Postobon Colombia
Medellin - Envigado over 2,25 goals @1.92 (sbobet)   FT 2-1 
both teams from Primera A.
both teams with mixed line ups and both teams with very unexperienced and weak defencive players.

Medellin line up: Carlos Bejarano(second gk 0/0); Andrés Mosquera(df 0/0), Rafael Pérez(df 0/0), Hernán Pertuz(df 0/0), Dairon Mosquera(df 1/0); Julián Guillermo(mf 2/0), Cristian Restrepo(mf 4/0), John Edison Hernández(mf 4/0), Ayron del Valle(att 3/0); William Zapata(att 3/0) y Efraín Viáfara(att 4/0).
like u can see in defence 4 unexperienced players + second gk.
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/medellin-va-por-la-revancha-03862

Envigado line up: Jefferson Martínez(third gk 0/0); Yeltsin Caro(Df 0/0), Juan Camilo Saiz(df 0/0), Sergio Mosquera(df 3/0 ,19 years), Jorge Hernández(df 0/0); Daniel Restrepo(mf 2/0 ,19years), Yony González, Alexis Zapata(mf 0/0 ,17years), Ricardo Araujo; Fabio Burbano(att 5/2) y Milton Rodríguez(Att 3/0)
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/un-motivado-envigado-visita-al-poderoso-03860

before 3 days this two teams met in league
Medellin 0-1 Envigado

now situation is different,both teams will use weak defencive line ups and reserve goalkeepers,while attack is good in both teams so we should expect goals here.

Deportivo Pasto - America de Cali

huge quality diference on home side!

Deportivo Pasto is quality team from Primera A,currently on 4th place in league with 10 points (just 1 point less than 1st placed team)..

Pasto line up: Oscar Ramos(second gk 0/0); Fausto Obeso(df 1/0), Omar Mancilla(df 0/0), Nicolás Palacios(df 3/0), Luis Lora(df 0/0); Éder Rúales(mf 3/0), Fabri Castro(mf 0/0); Humberto Marquinez(mf 1/0), Frank Pacheco(mf 2/0), Nelson Coral(att 0/0) y Juan Guillermo Vélez(att 3/0)

http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/pasto-recibe-america-sin-aficion-03875

America de Cali is team with high ambitions in Primera B !! so one league difference between this two teams..

also America de Cali play one match just before 1 day vs Barranquila,in that match they use strong line up,their priority is league and they want promotion. Coach decide to rest key players,for this match they will use alternate line up
America de Cali: Joan Suarez(third gk 0/0 ,19years) ; Yeison Solís, Jean Pierre Rodríguez(df 0/0 ,19years), Luis Felipe Cardoza(df 3/0) y Julio César Ortiz(df 1/0) ; Juan Camilo Hernández(mf 2/0 ,19years), George Saunders(mf 0/0), Arnold Palacios(mf 2/0 ,20 years) y Michael López(mf 0/0) ; Diego Vergara(mf 3/0 ,20 years) y Jarlin Quintero(att 1/0 ,19 years)

6 players are u20 years old.

Pasto with mixed line up,America de Cali with alternative line up...

imo most of Pasto's reserves will be first team players in A.de Cali so home win is good bet. FT 1-0 

Atletico Huila - Tolima
Huila with very weak and young line up: Carlos Abella(gk 0/0); Elacio Córdoba(df 1/0), Camilo Mancilla, Anuar Hurtado(df 0/0), Joe Luis Ragua(df 1/0); Duberley Cayapú(mf 0/0), Jean Carlos Becerra(mf 2/0), Nicolás Torres(mf 4/0), Stiven Prettel(mf 0/0); Didier Viveros9att 1/0) y Cristian Cangá(att 1/0).
Tolima with mixed line up:  Antony Silva; Henry Obando, Jhon Valencia, Frank Lozano, Danovis Banguero; Wílmar Barrios, Mike Campaz; Henry Rojas, Hilton Murillo, Óscar Rodas; Imanol Iriberri.


Cucuta - Bucaramanga
quality on home side .Cucuta is team from Primera A,while Bucaramnga is team from Primera B.
Bucaramnga's coach decide to make some rotations in team for this match.
Bucaramanga: Rogeiro Caicedo; Sergio Manosalva(df 1/0), Yesid Martínez(df 5/1), Eimer Arévalo(df 0/0), Yeison Yepes; Cristian Correa, Elkin Barrera(mf 4/0), Oscar Castillo(mf 1/0); Jorge Guerra, Osvaldo Mendoza(att 5/0) y Jeysen Núñez(att 2/0)
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/bucaramanga-mueve-su-nomina-03867


Itagui - Rionegro
Itagui squad: Julián Mesa(gk 3/0); Gerardo Vallejo, Jhonny Mesa, Ervin Maturana, Elvis Mosquera; James Castro, Geiler Mosquera, Yesid Mena, Mauricio Gómez, Andrés Ricaurte y Mario Giménez, Arled Cadavid, Mauricio Restrepo, Víctor Asprilla, Yonaider Ortega y Juan David Rico.
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/itagui-con-novedades-frente-rionegro-03863
Rionegro line up: Didier Muñoz(gk 0/0), Juan David Atehortúa(df 0/0), José David Moya(df 0/0), David Uribe(df 0/0), Carlos Gallego(df 0/0), Carlos Naranjo(mf 5/1), Yorman Rueda(mf 4/0), Sebastián Botero(mf 4/0), Jonathan Cueto(mf 5/1), Daniel Cataño(mf 3/0) y Carlos Peralta(att 3/0)
on bench: Jefferson Torres, Sebastián Arias, Alex Escobar, Johan Muñoz y Daniel Hoyos
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/con-nomina-mixta-rionegro-visita-itagui-03866



Austria
Wolfsberger - Salzburg
quality on away side
Wolsfberget without Jovanovic(df 15/0),Solano(df 11/2),Paula(mf 21/0) and best striker Falk(att 18/10 top scorer)
Salzburg without Lazaro(mf 5/0) and Berisha(mf 18/5).


Macedonia
Pelister - Vardar
biggest derby in macedonian football.
Pelister last season promote from 2nd division like 1st placed,this season their main target is to avoid relegation,next season with more serious ambitions.
it is good known that Vardar will be champion this season,they have great team,make great results but i dont understand one thing,why they change the coach ??? there wasnt any reason to do that but board decide to bring Dzidzi for new coach and what did he do,in 7 frendly matches 4d-3l ... fans are dissapointed and want new coach,if Dzidzi and Vardar dont win this match than the Komiti (vardar's fan) will make chaos!!
quality on away side,but stadium will be full,big derby,there will be lot of tackles,yellow cards etc.
no bet.

Bregalnica Stip - Napredok
true Napredok is 4th on table with just 1 point less than European places (2nd and 3rd places),but team dont have ambitions for that,they dont have money for Europe so probably they will start to sell matches to get some money and than next season they will fight for top 3 places. main player Marko Simonovski left team. i want to tell you that Napredok is totally different team on away ground!
Bregalnica Stip is solid team with quality players and stable financial situation. The city gave them 300 000 euros (that's a lot of macedonian football),also Bregalnica get licences for Europe so now they must start with winning to get some of top 3 places for Europe.
match will be played in Kochani(near to Stip),because stadiums in Stip are flooded

copa postobon

Real Santander - Chico
quality on Chico's side,they are team from Primera A,while home team is weak team from Primera B
also home team Real Santander will use mixed squad for this match
R.Santander line up: Blademir Gómez(second gk 0/0); Adrián Flórez(df 1/0 ,19 years), Miguel Herrera(df 1/0), Marcos Vesga(df 3/0), Johan Valoyes(df 1/0); Oscar Álvarez(mf 5/0), Freddy Flórez(mf 3/0), Camilo Campo(mf 5/0), Hernán Ramírez(att 5/0 ,19 years); Sebastián Herrera(att 5/1 ,18 years) y Fabio Ovalle(att 4/0)
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/hoy-martes-real-tiene-su-revancha-en-la-copa-03841


Real Cartagena - Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena line up:  Jhon Rincón; William Carrascal, Harold Viafára, Dani Cano, Luis Tipton; Xavier Gonzáles, Eduardo Carrillo; Yesus Cabrera, Jhoni Cano; Diego Echeverri y Yorleys Mena.
http://www.copapostobon.com.co/noticia/un-necesitado-cartagena-recibe-al-union-03839

Hearts - St.Johnstone DNB2 @2.05 (bwin)
Hearts have big problems inside the club! No money,no real coach,no motivation ...
wages are late and players are nervous and demotivated,real coach Ryan McGowan left team last week on his place will be assistant coach Locke. Few important players also left team because of financial problems...
for this match Hearts miss Robinson(mf 13/0), McGowan(mf 14/0), Grainger(df 13/2), captain Zaliukas(df 24/2 key defender), Patterson(mf 22/3 key midifler) and Hamill(df 0/0).. also Hearts is in bad form 5 lost matches in a row.
St Johnstone dont have missings,coach have full squad available Davidson and captain Murray are back in team!
quality,motivation,experience and form on away side.
value bet for me.
GL


Macedonia 2 Division
Babi - Makedonija GP   2  (no odds)   FT 0-1  (looks like fixed,undeserved penalty for away team,i watch the match referee was on away side,good for us)
Babi is weak team,maybe weakest in league. last season they promote from 3rd divison (east),they finish on 2nd place but because 1st placed team Bregalnica Delchevo dont have money to pay fee Babi promote! They didnt bring quality players for 2nd division and that is the reason why they are last on table with just 8 points in 15 matches. In last 4 days they cant train because of heavy rains,stadiums and fields were destroyed ...
Makedonija GP is team with big tradition in Macedonian football,they relegate in 3rd division on dirty way (by FFM's decision). But now they are back on winning tracks,they bring many quality players and now they are 2nd main candidate for promotion! transfers
 They will promote for sure,question is: WHY?
i will explain..
Ilco Gjorgievski (now new FFM's president) is ex Makedonija GP coach,he is in very good relationships with Makedonija GP and he helps them a lot,he delegates them good referees who will be on their side ...

quality,experience,motivation,preparadness on away side.


Croatia NHL 2
Gorica - Primorac
quality on home side,odds dropping.
Primorac left some key players in winter transfer period ,they bring some players but all of them are young and unexperienced. today Primorac without: Gusić, Mić, Čavar, Bartulić, Muslim.

Zelina - Rudes
Zelina left 3 best players Fucek,Brlecic and Mladicek,also for this match out are Šimek, Melnjak, Đurđek
Rudes without Scrbec


England League Two
Oxford - Rotherham
suspecious h2h!
Oxford without Clarke(first gk 24/0),Leven(mf 20/4),PIttman(att 12/1) and Richards(att 4/0)
Rotherham have full squad available.

Cheltenham - Chesterfield
Cheltenham without Hooman(df 5/0)
Chesterfield without Clay(mf 18/0) and Darwika(mf 22/4).


England Championship
Bolton - Blackburn
Bolton miss two important midiflers Andrews(25/4) and Davies(24/6)
Blackburn without Robinson(first gk 21/0),Etuhu(mf 20/1),Olsson(df 28/0),Best(att 0/0),Richards(mf 23/3),Dunn(mf 7/0) and Wiliamnson(mf 1/0).

Crystal Palace - Hull City
Crystal Palace without Ward(df 19/0),McCarthy(df 0/0),Gabbidon(df 5/0),Mortiz(mf 21/5),Garvan(mf 24/4) and Nimely(att 2/0).
Hull without Dudgeon(df 9/0),Cairne(mf 9/0),Fryatt(att 0/0) and Aluko(mf 23/8).

Huddersfield - Middlesbrough
Huddersfield without Ward(mf 22/1),Southern(mf 24/1),great striker Beckford(att 13/3) and Vaughan(att 24/8 top scorer)
Middlesbrough without Hoyte(df 17/0),Parnaby(df 14/0),Arce(mf 1/0) and Jutkiwiecz(8 goals,2nd top scorer).

monday

Argentina Prim B Metro

San Telmo - D. de Belgrano 1 @2.1 (bet365)

two teams from bottom,San Telmo is little better team.
San Telmo(18th) have full squad available,no important missings.
Defensores(21st -last on tabele) is worst team in league, 10 matches without a win (2d-8l),in last 6 matches Defensores score just 1 goal ... atmosfhere in team isnt good,coach is making changes in team to get some points but simply they are too weak.

for this match away team will miss few important players,out are Bangert(first gk 22/0),Lo Bianco(att 23/7 top scorer),Roda(att 23/5),Bustos(mf 25/1) and Lencina(df 19/1)
http://www.soydetelmo.com.ar/index2.htm

home field,home fans,motivation,quality on home side,i think San Telmo can win this match (small stakes)



France Ligue 2
Lens - Nantes
both teams miss best strikers!
Lens without Bonne(df 3/0),Ducasse(mf 12/0),Sow(mf 16/0),Leghait(att 5/0),Coeff(mf 26/1) and best strikerTozghar(att 20/8 ,2nd scorer)
Nantes without Toure(mf 16/1),TrablesI(mf 1/0) and main player Djordjevic(att 24/15 top scorer). without Djordjevic Nantes is totally different team!


Gambrinus Liga Czech
Slovacko - Dukla
Slovacko without Kuban(df 8/0)
Dukla without Hanousek(mf 0/0) and Borek(mf 17/3),Gedeon(mf 16/0) is doubtful



Portugal Primera
Guimares - Academica
Guimares without Addy(df 16/1),Goncalves(df 3/0),Amorim(df 0/0) and Dinis(mf 0/0)
Academica without Flavio(mf 17/1),Saleiro(att 6/0) and N Gal(att 1/0).


Olhanense - Braga
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/portugal/portuguese-liga/nextmatch.php?matchid=1375588§ion=uo-odds
cooperation for sure.


last match FT 4:4 (odds for over 6,5 were around 14.00)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/portugal/portuguese-liga-2011-2012/matchdetails.php?matchid=819092 
FT 1:2 ( ht 1-0 ; ft 1-2 >> odds for away win 12.00 ,odds for 1/2 maybe around 70.00 even more)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/portugal/portuguese-liga-2011-2012/matchdetails.php?matchid=818977 
FT 3-4 (ht 2-0 ; ft 2-4 >> 1/2 + over 6,5 ... again mega high odds) ...
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/portugal/portuguese-liga-2010-2011/matchdetails.php?matchid=359828
FT 3-1 (ht 0-1 ; ft 3-1 >> odds for 2/1 30.00 )

question is what to play today?? for me best option is over 2,5 goals but BRaga miss best strikerr

Olhanense without Filipe(df 10/0),Onofrio(df 6/0),Piloto(mf 9/1),Alexandre(mf 15/1),Yountcha(att 12/1),Abdi(att 14/3),Ivanlido(att 9/2),BRandao(att 12/1) and Djalmir(att 5/0).

Braga without Coelho(df 6/0),Douglao(df 10/2),Hass(df 4/0),Ruben(mf 13/3),Mahamat(mf 6/0) and best striker Eder(att 18/13 top scorer).

sunday.

Olimpia Balti - CSCA Rapid 2 @3.8   FT 1-3  
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/moldova/divizia-nationala/nextmatch.php?matchid=1375206
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/moldova/divizia-nationala/olimpia-balti-csca-rapid-1375206/
Olimpia Balti is on big financial problems, i don't know if federation of football will give them authorization to play in the second half of the season. Coach leaved the team 2 weeks ago, also at least 7 first team players - best players left the team. Really, really bad situation for Olimpia.

But Olimpia has second team Olimpia-2 and they have some nice youngsters and if Olimpia will be allowed to play it will be with second team youngsters. It's first match after pause so i recomend low stakes.
thanks to Dumitru

Olimpia have huge finacnial problems,coach and all players left team! If federation allow them to play 2nd half of season Olimpia probably will play with juniors!

value odds!


Svenska Cup
Djurgarden - Umea , djurgarden -1eh @1.65 (tipico)  FT 3-0 
Djurgarden is favourite in this match,quality and experience on their side. Djurgarden is team from Allsvenskan (best swedish league).
Umea is team from Division 1 (last season they relegate from Superettan),few key players left team because they dont want to play in lower division.
two best players Eek(df 26/2) and Chennoufi(mf 28/8 top scorer) left team!
also for this match unavailable are few other key players like:  best midifler Larsson(mf 27/6,2nd scorer),attacking duo Martensson(att 25/4) and Persson(att 28/8 top scorer),important midifler Lundstrom(df 19/1) and new player A.Larsson.
http://www.ufc.se/nyheter/svenska-cupen-djurgardens-if-umea-fc---trupp
expect easy home win,quality and everything is on home side!



Metalurg - Teteks x2 @3.9 (marathonbet)  FT 0-0  
also worth a try 2 @11.00 (sportingbet)
huuuge value bet!!
yes table can confuse you a lot,Metalurg is 3rd,while Teteks is last on table with just 12 points.

but now situation is different.
Teteks isnt anymore same team from first half season,now team have very strong team (for our league),they bring lot of players because they want to stay in league! Teteks is famous team in Macedonia and they are team with tradition,i dont belive that they will relegate this season.
i talk with many friends who follow MFL and all of them agree with me that Teteks now have team with ambitions for europe (but this season that is impossible)...
like i said Teteks bring many quality players,now their target is clear: to stay in league and won the cup!

players who came in Teteks: Filip Petkovski(att 12/3 from Turnovo),Ganc Iseni(att 16/8 ,3^rd league top scorer from Rabotnicki),Darko Micevski(mf 3/0 from Rabotnicki),Ristov(experienced defender,ex Vardar player),Aleksandar Krstevski and Vancho Manchevski.
also some players left team, but only Mitrevski(df 16/2) and Grbashliev(df 11/0) are important

i watch few of Teteks's friendly matches and they were very good. In last their preparation match they won champion Vardar (strongest team in MFL). Vardar 1-2 Teteks (in one moment Teteks was leading 0-2 ).

yes if we watch in stats odds are "good" because Teteks on away ground have 0w-1d-7l ..but situation is different!!

Metalurg is 2nd best team in Macedonia (after Vardar of course),they didnt make some extra transfers.. almost same team from first half season.
Metalurg is on home ground but that wont effect a lot,no real fans,pitch is in bad conditions because of heavy rains in last few days..

first match this season
Teteks 0-1 Metalurg (teteks was weakest team in league in that time and still they lost just with 1 point different)

fair odds from me
metalurg - 1.70
draw - 3.20
teteks - 4.00 (even 4.0 is too much)

this is big value bet for me,i was waiting this match long time and i was expecting wrong odds.
GL




Granada - Mallorca dnb2 @2.75 (bwin) or mallorca +0ah @2.84 (pinnacle)   FT 1-2  
Mallorca desperate need win if they want to escape from relegation zone. in last match when everyone bet on Mallorca they lost on funny way (Mallorca 1-3 Getafe ,ht 1-0;ft 1-3) ... now i think that Mallorca will win this match..
Granada is nothing special,one average team,no ambitions,no some extra players ... for this match unavailable are: Diakathe(df 10/0),Yedda(mf 2/0),Benitez(mf 9/1),Rico(mf 0/0) and suspended Nyom(df 24/0).
Mallorca also have some missings but not important,they are in bad form 8 matches without a win but i think it is time to stop that bad serie.
odds are good,must give a try.



Torino - Palermo DNB2 @2.75 (ladbrokes) or Palermo +0ah @2.79 (pinnacle)   FT 0-0 void.
first of all Palermo is in very bad situation.. they are last on table with 20 points after 26 matches,situation in team isnt good ..
Palermo is long time without win (13 matches) but i think it is time to stop that bad serie and start with winning. True they are worst away team,still without win 0w-5d-8l but i strongly believe that on 03/03 they will have their first away win in  this season.

Torino is sure on table 12th on table with 31 points (-1 point) ,they are playing for nothing,they dont have ambitions for europe or something like that,also they are away from relegation zone so they can be relaxed.

dont know about relationships between this two teams but i think that Palermo wont relegate this season,they are big club in Italy + they are from Sicilia ,biggest mafia in the world is there,when Maurizio Zamparini came on president function in 2002 (in that time Palermo was in Serie B) they promote for just 2 seasons and after that they stay in Serie A ,10 years so i dont think that Palermo will relegate in Serie B. After draw with Genoa in last round Palermo have new/ex coach.


i think it is time after 13 rounds Palermo to get first victory with new coach.
Torino without Ogbonna(df 13/0),Caceres(df 1/0),Diop(att 3/0),Jonathas(att 3/0) and Bakic(mf 0/0) (all of them are new missings)
palermo without Mantovani(df 5/0 long term injured),Aronica(df 7/0),Brreto(mf 23/0) and Hernandez(att 7/0 long term injured).

Tigre - All Boys

because of CL matches Tigre's coach will make little changes in team!

Tigre: Albil(second gk 5/0) ; Donatti(df 14/3) ,Echeverría(df 19/1) ,Orban(df 18/1) ,Galmarini(mf 18/2) ,Escobar(mf 11/0) ,Peñalba(mf 4/1) , Rusculleda(mf 3/0) ,García(mf 20/2) , Santander(att 10/0) y Leguizamon(att 5/0)

http://www.tycsports.com/notas/77336-un-choque-mucha-historia

coming with reserves/mixed teams/youngsters ... problems with absences

for tomorrow i have one big value bet odds around 11.00 :) be here!


Dnipro - Arsenal ,Dnipro -1eh @1.6  FT 3-0  http://www.betrush.com/pick,Dnipro___Arsenal_Kyev,46747.html
http://cheguevarapicks.blogspot.com/2013/01/0203-dnipro-arsenal-kyev.html


Gorica - Celje dnb2 @2.20 (bet365;ladbrokes)  - VOID!
Gorica in deep financial problems ... players said that they wont play if they didint receive their wages till friday (yesterday),i dont have info did they receive wages but match will be played for sure! main sponsor HIT left Gorica's team,players are demotivated
quality is on away side.Celje is good team,they have stable financial situation,no injury problems.

Piast - Zagleibe
two teams with almost same quality.
Piast have some problems with absences for this match,out are: Cuedra(df 9/1),Oleksy(df 14/0),Izvolt(mf 13/1),Jurado(mf 4/0),Zganiacz(mf 14/2),Sikora9att 8/1),Siwerczok(att 1/0) and Kedziora(att 15/5 one of top scorers)


Gradacac - Borac Banja Luka
Borac have huge financial problems.. because of unpaid wages players decide to strike,they didnt train 6 days and now they arent 100% fit and ready for the match... Borac's director and sports director left team.
quality is on away side. no bet for me.


Porto B - Sporting B , porto +0ah @1.76 (betvictor)  FT 1-0 quality is on Sporting B side,they have very quality team with few good players,currently they are 2nd on table but even if they finish 1st or 2nd they can promote because of the rules (they are Sporting Lisabon 2nd team...)
Porto B is playing good on home ground 7w-6d-2l,no important missigns for this match
first team Sporting Lisabon have some problems in team so many players from B team (sporting b) will be in Sporting first team! Dier(df 7/2),Zezinho(mf 18/0 key midifler),Ilori(df 20/0),Cedric(df 1/0),Etock(att 20/5),Atud(df 8/0),Boeck(gk 2/0),Bruma(att 25/6 ,2nd scorer,key striker) and best player Esagio(mf 20/14). Chaby(mf 5/0) is injured!


PSV - Venlo
both teams miss some important offensive players.
PSV without Matavz(att 19/10 ,3rd scorer),Lens(att 23/9 ,4th scorer),Narsingh(att 18/6 ,5th scorer) and Strootman(mf 24/5 ,6th scorer).
Venlo without best striker Nwofor(att 20/6 top scorer).


Blackburn - Peterborough
home team have a lot of absences for this match,out are Robinson(first gk 21/0),Olsson(df 28/0),Richards(mf 23/3),Wiliamsson(mf 1/0),Dunn(mf 7/0),Etuhu(mf 20/1) and King(att 8/2).
02/03 Cobresal - U.De Chile  1x @2.05 (bwin)
U.De Chile will use reserves in this match because they have important match in Copa Libertadores for 3 days!
U. De Chile: Paulo Garcés(gk 0/0); Paulo Magalhaes(df 4/0), Igor Lichnovsky(df 0/0), Valber Huerta(df 0/0), Eugenio Mena(df 1/0); Michael Contreras(mf 1/0), Sebastián Martínez(mf 3/0), Guillermo Marino(mf 4/0), Nicolás Maturana(mf 2/0); Sebastián Ubilla(att 5/1) y Gustavo Lorenzetti(mf 3/0).
many youngsters and unexperienced players in starting line up.


04/03 Boca Juniors - Union de Santa Fe , santa fe +1 @2.11 (pinnacle)  FT 1-3  
Boca Juniors have hard match on 27/02 in Copa Libertadores on away ground (in Ecuador),for 3 days they have another important match in CL with Nacional,so coach decide to use mixed team in this match
Boca: Ustari(second gk 8/0); Caruzzo(df 10/1), Cellay(df 5/0), Magallán(df 0/0); Pol Fernández, Rivero(mf 5/0), Erviti(mf 20/2), Evangelista(df 2/0); Riquelme(mf 0/0); Blandi(att 10/2) y Silva(att 18/6).


02/03 Millonarios - Boyaca Chico x2  @2.00 (bet365)
before 3 days Millonarios play CL match,for 4 days they have another match in CL,so coach Torres for this match will use mixed team!
Millonarios:Robinson Zapata(second gk 0/0), Leonard Vásquez(df 0/0), Yoiber González(df 0/0), Román Torres(df 0/0), Luis Mosquera(mf 3/0), Anderson Zapata(mf 0/0), Juan Esteban Ortíz(mf 3/0), Dhawlim Leudo(mf 4/0), Harrison Otálvaro(mf 4/0), Jorge Perlaza(att 3/0) y Freddy Montero(att 3/2).


03/03 Universitario - San Jose UPDATE: san jose will use strong line up!
San Jose have 3 long trips in small period,big posibility to play this match with alternate team

Wed	27/02/13	COL	Tijuana	4 - 0	San José	View events
Sun	03/03/13	LFP	Universitario	20 : 30	San José
Wed	06/03/13	COL	Millonarios	01 : 30	San José

reason is clear,they have important match in CL before 4 days ,also for 3 days they have another important match in CL,also players are without wages long time...



Svenska CUP
Sirius - GAIS
Sirius squad: http://www.siriusfotboll.com/web/article/infor-ik-sirius---gais/
sirius with strongest possible squad,all key players are IN! Ogbu(mf 21/8),Bylund(first gk 28/0),Kack(df 26/4),Skoglund(mf 25/7),Sirelius(mf 19/5),Bjorkebaum(15 goals) all are in squad!!

GAIS relegate from Allsvenskan and all key players left team!!!
they bring 7-8 players but just 3 of them are good and quality!

this is GAIS squad
GAIS: Tommy Vaiho(gk 0/0), Mirza Mujcic(df 8/0), Andreas Augustsson, Björn Andersson, Jesper Floren, Kenneth Gustafsson(df 20/0), Adam Eriksson, Hampus Andersson, Malkolm Moenza(df 7/0), Linus Tornblad(att 26/2), Joel Johansson, Oliver Gustafsson, Aleksander Yildirim, Calum Angus(df 19/0), Enis Maljici, Adnan Maric, Richard Spong(att 7/0), Mohammed Absulrahman.
http://www.gais.se/Fotboll/GAIS.nsf/0/B08DCA70B08EC742C1257B21006D3ED5
bold players are those who stay from last season ,other are youngsters or new weak players.
6 of 18 players are youngsters : Moenza(19 years old),Yildirim(19 years old),Mujcic(18 years old),Maric(16 years old),Tornbland(19 years old),Maljici(18 years old) ....


Malmo - Osters
Malmo squad: http://www.mff.se/Aktuellt/Nyheter/2013-03-01_Daniel_Infor_OIF
Osters is new Allsvenskan team,last season they promote. Osters squad: http://www.ostersif.se/a/infor-malmo-ff-osters-if


Southampton - QPR , qpr +0ah @3.6  FT 1-2  
simply qpr must win this match if they want to stay in league! Remy is back in team,odds are value must bet.


02/03 Vasco de Gama - Fluminense
i tought that Flu will play this match with reserves but now i check line ups ... both teams will play with strong teams

VASCO: Alessandro; Nei, Dedé, Renato Silva e Thiago Feltri; Abuda, Wendel, Pedro Ken e Carlos Alberto; Bernardo e Eder Luis.
Técnico:Gaúcho

FLUMINENSE: Diego Cavalieri, Bruno, Gum, Anderson e Carlinhos; Edinho, Jean, Deco e Thiago Neves; Wellington Nem e Fred.
Técnico: Abel Braga

no bet for me.