Thursday, December 27, 2012

thursday bets (27/12/12)

Kladno - Trinec
Trinec's players are pretty tired,they play one hard match yesterday (  ) won after penalties .. very hard match,players lost too much energie on that match.
Kladno have strong team with few quality players from NHL.

Belgium Jupiler League
Standard - Beerschot

Standrad is great at home 7w-0d-3l (2nd best home team). After 4 wins in a row they lost in last match from Club Brugge (ht 1-0 , ft 1-3 ,i think they fix that match) ... Atmosfhere in home team is good and they want to finish this year with win (that said their coach Rednic)
Beerschot is 2nd worst team in league. In very bad form , in last 13 matches just 1 win,2 draws and 10 lost matches ... atmosfhere in team is bad + they have problem with missing players.
Suspended are Decker(mf 21/1) and Ozturk(mf 18/1) ,Injured are Wuytens(df 1/0),Abeel(mf 0/0),main player Losada(mf 15/4 top scorer),Wuytens(mf 12/2 ,3rd scorer),and attacking duo Munuga(att 17/2),Veselinovic(att 10/3 ,2nd scorer). Important striker Coulibaly(att 12/3 ,2nd scorer) left team. Stijnen(first gk 14/0) have litle injury and he is doubtful for this match.
So today Beershot without 4 top scorers who total scored 16 goals(whole team have 23) + without few other important first team players.

huge quality diference.. Standard is 3 times better team
Beerschot lost from Mechelen in last round (0:2) ,while Standard won Mechelen before 2 rounds (2:0) ..

last match Standard 6-1 Beerschot

quality,h2h,motivation,home field,fans,form .. everything on home side
expect easy home win

Standard prefer attacking football so i go with hendikep.
pick : Standard -1,25ah @1.63 (pinnacle)

Australia A-League
Wellington - Melbourne Heart

suspecious h2h,lasto two seasons they play 4for4.
In this season(2012/2013) first match was draw (1:1) so now its time for home win (if they plan to play again 4for4)

Head-to-head: Wellington - Melbourne Heart
A-League 2012/2013
Melbourne HeartWellington1:11.563.715.5414.10.2012
A-League 2011/2012
Melbourne HeartWellington1:
WellingtonMelbourne Heart3:
Melbourne HeartWellington1:
A-League 2010/2011
WellingtonMelbourne Heart2:
WellingtonMelbourne Heart2:21.933.303.6117.10.2010
Melbourne HeartWellington2:

Melbourne is bad on away ground 1w-1d-4l (2nd worst away team), Wellington is soldi on home ground 2w-2d-2l

Wellington miss long term injured Moss(gk 0/0),Pantelis(mf 0/0) and new added to injury list Ifil(mf 12/2).
Melbourne miss injured Dugadzic(mf 7/0) ,Garuccio(mf 3/0) and suspended Colosimo(df 11/0) and Nyema(df 12/1).

pick: 1 @1.97 just because of h2h,small stakes

Hockey Lukko - Karpat
Karpat is sure in play off and for this match they have problems with missing players,out are Backlund(first gk 16/0), Karhunen(second 17/0), Eminger(df 22/0), Eklund(df 6/0), Pokka(df 25/4), NHL player Demers(df 30/4), Viuhkola(fw 1/0), Donskoi(fw 10/1), Norman(fw 9/2). They have to use 3rd goalkeeper ...
i tought to bet on home win but Lukko have just one training in last few days so it can be bad for pick so i decide no bet. (small stakes to home win for those who think that info about Lukko wont effect on them)

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