Saturday, April 13, 2013

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Italy Serie B

Crotone - Pro Vercelli 1 @1.8 (expekt)
Pro Vercelli is 2nd worst away team in league 2w-4d-10l .. really bad performances.
7 rounds till the end of season,Pro Vercelli have very small chances to avoid relegation but all in club knows that it is "mission impossible" so board and staff are preparing team for next season in lower division.
missings in away team: Vinci(df 3/0),Sini(df 16/0),Modolo(df 18/2),Greco(att 7/0),Innocenti(mf 0/0),Erpen(mf 7/1),Modolo(mf 18/2),Fabiano(mf 14/2),Grossi(mf 6/1) and De Paula(att 3/0)
Crotone is fighting to avoid relegation,they are just 3 points over the relegation zone so they have to win this match. they also have some missings but not important
first match Pro Vercelli 0-2 Crotone

Serbia Jelen Liga
Vojvodina - Sloboda , Sloboda +1ah @1.78 (betvictor)

it is good known even before start of season which 3 teams will be on leading 3 positions (that are Partizan , C.Zvezda and Vojvodina).
so Vojvodina is sure in europe,they have important match in Semi Final match in CUP (they have great chance to won the cup because C.Zvezda and Partizan are out of that competition!).. for this match Vojvodina will be without Supic(first gk 21/0),captain and key defender Vulicevic(df 20/1), Jokić(df 18/0), Ajuru(mf 17/0), Vranješ(mf 7/2) and Oumarou(att 22/8 top scorer) -6 first team players

Sloboda is solid team 5th on table with 31pts. True they are in bad form 5 matches without a win but i think it is time that bad serie to stop.

value odds.

Novi Pazar - Jagodina

Jagodina dont want in Europe ,they will stay on 4th position! For few days they have important match in CUP Semi Final so today they will play with mixed line up!
situation in home team is terrible!

Croatia NHL
Istra - NK Zagreb   r zagreb +0ah @3.35 (bet365) - now odds are little higher but that not mean anything for me!

NK Zagreb is big team with tradition in cro football. When they bring Ciro Blazevic on coach position it was good known that team wont relegate! Also NK Zagreb is in very good relationships with Zdravko Mamic (Dinamo zagreb's boss) who control everything in Cro Football (Ciro Blazevic also told that in one interview.)

so NK Zagreb have 4 lost matches in a row and they are last on table,they must start with winning and i think it is a final time to stop that bad serie.
Istra without Cagalj(df 20/0),Susic(df 24/0) and Pamic(mf 14/1)
Zagreb without Dzolan(df 1/0),Stork(mf 21/1),Mitrovic(mf 21/1) and Dedic(att 9/0). good news is that Abdurahimi(att 23/9 top scorer) is back in team!

odds are too good,referees will be on NK Zagreb's side..

Shkendija - Renova x2 @2.00 (bwin)

or DNB 2 @3.00 (paddypower)

i reccomend higher stakes here.
this match can be fixed very easy but i hope it wont be. (even if it is fixed it will be for away win because Renova need points).

Shkendija dont have ambitions for Europe,before start of 2nd half of season Shkendija have big problems with money ...
players are without wages long time,atmoshfere in team isnt good!

Aliu(mf 19/1),important midifler Demiri(mf 20/3),Nikov(first gk 19/0),key defender Berisha(df 22/0) and best striker Ejupi(att 24/14 top scorer) left team before few days!!  two best midiflers Emini(mf 14/5) and Nedzhipi(he was alfa and omega for this team) also left Shkendija but they did that earlier.

Shkendija should be removed from 1MFL and play in 4th local league because new owners who came in club in winter made new club with new name but same players and want to play in 1 MFL ... that is not allowed , Football Federation of Macedonia was disscusing about that 2 weeks and at the end they decide "Shekndija will stay in league"
what do you think who helped them? Renova's owner who have strong position in FFM!

all in all this odds are value.

Napredok - Teteks 
Teteks have very good team(in winter transfer period they bring great players),but still they are last on table .. reason are their owners,they have suspecious owners(two owners) who love to fix matches ... one of them was catched in match fixing scandal in italy .... they have power but they are in club just for money.
Teteks miss first gk Manevski -suspended,while second gk Jorde left team. On goal will be young talented gk Sisjanovski...
Napredok miss 3 first team players (all of them get red card in last match) + 3 other first team players are out due to injury.... i must told you that Napredok dont have ambitions for europe.
UNAVAILABLE ARE: Simjanoski(mf 22/2),Petreski(mf 20/1),Vasilev(df 15/0),Najdovski(df 14/0),Kostencoski(mf 21/0) i Mihajlovski(df 16/0) - all of them first team players.

they are near each other and often helps each other! Napredok dont have ambitions for Europe so I think that they will help Teteks who is club with big tradition in macedonian football.

in macedonian local bookies odds for away win 3.00.
X2 @1.87

rumours that match is fixed for 2 but that are just rumours..

Coming with reserves

Sao Paulo - Piracicaba 

Sao Paulo with reserves:
Denis ,Caio ,Rhodolfo ,Silva ,Cortez ; Denilson, Fabricio , Jadson ,Canete ,Ademilson y Wallyson

Rogerio Ceni(first gk 11/1),Lucio(df 10/1),Carleto(df 10/0),Douglas(df 12/00,Toloi(df 12/1),Miranda(mdf 7/)0,Ganso(mf 14/2),Wellington(mf 13/0),Osvaldo(att 9/2),Aloisio(att 15/4) and Luis Fabiano(att 11/8) will be rested!

San Martin - Boca Juniors

Boca with reserves because of Copa Libertadores match!

Millonarios - Santa Fe

Santa Fe is playing on 3 fronts , copa postobon (cup) , copa libertadores and liga postobon .. so players are little tired and coach must rest and rotate team in some of matches ...
this is their 3rd match in just 4 days!

Millonarios with mixed line up: Róbinson Zapata; Lewis Ochoa(df 8/0), Román Torres(df 7/1), Ignacio Ithurralde(df 2/0), Járol Martínez(df 7/0); Elkin Blanco(mf 6/0), Johnny Ramírez(mf 3/0), Harrison Otálvaro(mf 9/0), Mayer Candelo(mf 5/1); Fredy Montero(att 8/3) y Wason Rentería(att 8/3)

Santa Fe with strong line up: Camilo Vargas(first gk 9/0); Juan Daniel Roa, Carlos Valdés, Francisco Meza, Marino García; Yulián Anchico, Daniel Torres, Gerardo Bedoya; Omar Pérez; Jefferson Cuero y Cristian Martínez Borja.
best striker Medina(att 8/8) will be rested

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