Friday, January 18, 2013

WEEKEND 19/01 & 20/01

http://cheguevaram.blogabet.com/ check stakes for all free picks here.
20/01 Hockey
Znojmo - Innsburck
Insburck +2,5ah @2.1 (paddypower)

Znojmo never beat Innsburck with more than 2 goals difference
Head-to-head: Znojmo - TWK Innsbruck
EBEL 2012/2013     
TWK InnsbruckZnojmo1:24.494.861.5014.12.2012
TWK InnsbruckZnojmo6:5 pen.3.884.511.6228.10.2012
ZnojmoTWK Innsbruck5:31.345.486.0423.09.2012
this is last round .. Znojmo is 7th on table and cant go up.
Innsburck is last on table,worst team in league but i think that Innsburck can do something here.
Because Znojmo cant go on higher position today coach decide to play with juniors
Znojmo's coach in interview said:  "Today we will give chance to some of our juniors,on match day we will decide who will play,on goal for sure will get chance Landsman (second gk) "

GL


20/01 Greece
Olympiakos - Giannina 
over 2,5 goals @1.65 (expekt) or Olympiakos -1,5ah @1.52(bet365)
main reason for this bets are missings in both teams.
Olympiakos best home team in league 8w-0d-0l (22:2),today without Carrol(first gk 16/0),key defender Siovas(df 12/2) and Fuster(mf 14/2).
Giannina without Fegrouche(first gk 16/0),key defender Pantos(df 16/0),Keita(mf 10/0) and best midifler Vincenti(mf 14/4 top scorer).


20/01 Portugal
Rio Ave - Guimares 1 @2.00 (paddypower)
Rio Ave without best player Tomas(att 11/7 top scorer) but he is out already 3 matches so that wont effect on team. two important defenders Edimar(df 13/2) and Santana(df 12/0) are back in team.
Guimares have lot of absencs today! Injured are: Amorim(df 0/0),Dinis(mf 0/0),Goncalves(df 3/0),Andre(mf 13/1) and Valerio(df 2/0). while Diyae(df 9/1),Adoua(df 12/0) and Soudan(att 8/2) are on AFCON. Defendi(df 10/0),Toscano(att 10/1) and Laskovic(att 8/0) left team.
I think that Rio Ave have good chances for win today,but this is very strange league for betting so small stakes.


20/01 Spain Primera Division
Valencia - Real Madrid 2 @2.08 (pinnacle)
I am Real Madrid's fan and i belive they will win this match.
true Valencia is in good form they have 3 wins in a row,on home ground they are playing great 7w-1d-2l but Real Madrid have huge motivation to win this match!
Barca lost yesterday from Real Sociedad 3-2 ,so now Real have to win this match if they want to be closer to leader Barcelona!
Valencia without Mathieu(df 3/0),Pereira(df 13/0),Feghouli(mf 14/3),Albelda(mf 7/0),Parejo(mf 10/0) and canales(mf 0/0).
Real without Pepe,Ramos and Marcelo ,but Ronaldo is back in team!!



20/01 Italy Serie A 

Genoa - Catania 1 @2.4

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xh7fhRjs904 2/1 ,clear fixed match result ht 0-1 than in second half 2-1 for Catania,Genoa have penalty kick before end of the match and they miss it ...
http://www.footreview.net/home/viewvideo/4907/serie-a-2012-13/catania-3-2-genoa  2/1 ,very suspecious goals .. many amateur mistakes by defence (especialy Catania's goal for 1-1)...

update: Catania without suspended Legrotaglie(df 19/1) and Lodi(mf 19/4,3rd scorer) + injured Sciaca(mf 2/0),Almiron(mf 19/2) and Marchese(df 19/0).
presidents in both teams didnt change long time..
genoa's preisdent Enrico Preziosi (suspecious man few times was in prison)
catania's president Antonio Pulvirenti.

transfers: i found just 2 transfers between this two teams
-Seymour (from Genoa to Catania ,on loan)
-Potenza (from Genoa to Catania)

referee will be Nicola Rizzoli
Nicola Rizzoli was referee on match Genoa - Napoli (fixed 1/2 ,ht 1-0 ; ft 2-4 ,Napoli score 2 goals in 90+ ..) -http://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/en/genoa-cfc-ssc-napoli/index/spielbericht_2251376.html



h2h is beautiful. 3 times they play 2/1 (ht/ft)
Head-to-head: Genoa - Catania
Catania
Genoa
3:2
1.80
3.39
4.58
02.09.2012
Catania
Genoa
4:0
1.94
3.25
4.12
12.02.2012
Genoa
Catania
3:0
1.82
3.31
4.61
21.09.2011
Catania
Genoa
2:1
2.49
2.98
2.99
27.02.2011
Genoa
Catania
1:0
1.81
3.28
4.71
24.10.2010
Catania
Genoa
1:0
1.71
3.54
4.87
16.05.2010
Genoa
Catania
2:0
1.76
3.30
4.95
10.01.2010
Genoa
Catania
1:1
1.57
3.49
6.70
25.01.2009
Catania
Genoa
1:0
2.34
2.95
3.16
31.08.2008
Genoa
Catania
2:1
03.02.2008
Catania
Genoa
0:0
02.09.2007

.
Serie A table
Overall
MP
W
D
L
Goals
Pts
1.
20
14
3
3
41:14
45
2.
20
13
3
4
30:19
42
3.
20
13
3
4
40:18
4.
20
12
2
6
32:22
38
5.
20
10
5
5
37:24
35
6.
20
10
2
8
43:34
32
7.
20
9
4
7
36:27
31
8.
20
7
9
4
32:27
30
9.
20
8
6
6
28:26
30
10.
20
8
5
7
27:27
29
11.
20
7
3
10
21:33
24
12.
20
5
9
6
23:24
13.
20
7
3
10
18:30
14.
20
6
3
11
25:26
21
15.
20
6
4
10
22:28
16.
20
6
2
12
17:37
20
17.
20
5
4
11
19:36
19
18.
20
4
5
11
21:32
17
19.
20
3
6
11
16:32
15
20.
20
4
5
11
19:31


Genoa is in relegation zone,they desperate need win to escape from there! Catanis is sure on 10th place and dont have ambitions for europe


Roma - Inter
two big rivals.
Roma have full squad available for this match. best striker Osvaldo(10 goals,top scorer) and Pjanic(mf 13/2) are back in team.
Inter have little injury crisis. Caselazzi(second gk 2/0),Samuel(df 13/1),Coutinho(mf 10/1),Alvarez(mf 9/0),Stankovic(mf 2/0),Cassano(att 18/5 ,3rd scorer) and Milito(att 19/8 top scorer) are injured,Pereira(df 14/1) is questionable.
____________________________________________________________
19/01 England Championship
Leeds - Bristol City 

pick: under 3 goals @1.79 (ladbrokes)  FT 1-0 WON
lot of snow on Elland Road(leeds stadium)












19/01 Wales Premier League

Afan Lido - Llaneli dnb2 @1.6 (titanbet)  FT 0-1 won

quality on away side.
true Llaneli have financial problems this season but they solve it before few weeks and now situation is stable. Llaneli find new boss and he should solve those problems. Coach said: "Nobody will left team before this match,all players are concentrate for this match"
Afan Lido is last on table,weakest team in league .. For this match 3 best players are suspended Evans(df 20/2),Rawlings(att 20/4 ,2nd score) and Hartland(att 17/7 top scorer).
(good odds for some double or combo)


19/01 Scotland Premier League
Celtic - Hearts

pick: Celtic -1,25ah @1.85 (sbobet)   FT 4-1 won
http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/scotland/premier-league/celtic-hearts-1348146/#ah;2
value bet.

Celtic is best team in Scotland,1st on table with 43points (17 points more than Hearts). Celtic's players are highly motivated and they want to win this match. They are best home team in league 6w-2d-2l ,today stadium will be almost full. No important missings in home team.

Hearts is 2nd worst away team 1w-5d-4l ... Hearts have huge financial problems and they cant sign players older than 21 year! Because of financial problems many players are planning to leave club, McGowan(mf 9/0) already left team. key defender Zaliukas(df 21/2 captain) and key midifler Stevenson(mf 21/3) are suspended,Robinson(mf 11/0) and Taouil(mf 20/0) are injured ..

h2h also on home side
Head-to-head: Celtic - Hearts
Premier League 2012/2013
HeartsCeltic0:45.773.861.5528.11.2012
CelticHearts1:01.295.0510.1407.10.2012
Premier League 2011/2012
CelticHearts5:01.344.628.6713.05.2012
HeartsCeltic0:45.013.431.7108.02.2012

expect easy home win here.
GL


Belgium Jupiler League
Leuven - Lokeren
Leuven dont have important missings
Lokeren without Barry(first gk 19/0),Taravel(df 16/2),Overmeire(mf 22/0),Patossi(att 21/6 ,2nd scorer) and Harbaoui(att 21/7 top scorer).

Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem

Anderlecht without best midifler Biglia(mf 20/3),Cyriac(att 0/0),Reynaldo(mf 1/0) and best striker Mbokani(att 14/15 top scorer)
away team have full squad

England Championship
Milwall - Burnley

Burnley miss Austin(att 24/19 top scorer).

Holland Eredivisie
Twente - Walwijk

Walwijk miss top scorer Chevalier(att 18/8).

AZ - Vitesse
Vitesse miss Bony(att 18/16 top scorer) -my favourite player.



19/01 Brazil Paulista
Linense – Guarani dnb1 @1.75 (bwin) ; Linense +0ah @1.75 (188bet)  
FT 2-1 wonn
two teams with equal quality.
I don’t know much about Linense but they have home field advantage and home fans,I check their squad and they have few experienced quality players ..
Guarani in huge problems! They relegate from Brazil Serie B last season,Guarani have financial problems and almost all first team players left team!
Players who leave club: key defender Rodrigo Arroz(df 26/1),Neto(df 11/0),Leone(df 17/0),Fernando(df 17/2),Bahia(mf 37/0),Kleiton Domingues(mf 19/3), best midifler Sacramento(mf 32/4 ,2nd scorer),Jackson(mf 27/0),Lusmar(mf 6/0),Oliveira(mf 7/0),Thiguainho(att 9/0),and attacking duo Ronaldo(att 21/3 ,3rd scorer) e best player Schwenck(att 25/8 top scorer).

I think Linense have good chances to win this match .. 
GL



http://cheguevarapicks.blogspot.com/2013/01/early-pick.html -- i post this before few days ...

20/01 England League One
Scunthorpe - Portsmouth 1 @1.7 (mybet) 
or Scunthorpe -1ah @2.14 (pinnacle)   match postponed...

both teams have same target - to avoid releagtion.
Scunthorpe is better team than Portsmouth.
true Scunthorpe on home ground have just 1 won match but there is still time for improvment. Scunthorpe dont have important missings,out is only Mozika(mf 11/0 long term injured).

I wrote few times at the beggining of this season about Portsmouth's problems! Now those problems are even bigger,financial situation in club is terrible.
Players who leave club: key defender Michalik(df 18/1),Harley(df 23/1),Dumbuya(df 24/0),best striker McLeod(att 23/10 top scorer),Williamson(mf 23/0),Howard(mf 23/0) and Rodgers(att 10/2),
players who where on loan in Portsmouth Carl Dickinson(df 5/0),Benson(att 9/2),Cisak(gk 1/0) and Laing(mf 8/0) now are back in their parent clubs.

It means Whittingham(Portsmouth's caretaker manager) now has a first-team squad of 13 players to work with ahead of Saturday's trip to Scunthorpe.

expect home win here,odds start to drop now so i decide to take this bet earlier.
GL





19/01/13 Algeria Division 1

ASO Chlef - CR Belouizdad 1 @2.00 (bet365)   FT 1-2 lost ...
they are long time in same league,they help each other when some team is in problems,need money,players or points.
ASO Chlef have ambitions for top 5 places but they start season very bad (just 1 win in 10 matches) that is the reason why they are on so low position.

ASO Chlef miss Nessakh(df 12/2) -injured.
Belouizdad without 3 players (cant understand the names because they are on arabic language)..

distance: 202 km

transfers between this two teams
-Omar Slimi (from Chlef to Belouizdad)
-Mekioui (from Chlef to Belouzidad, on loan)
-Mohamen Messaoud (from Chlef to Belouzidad)
-Hadjauoi (from Chlef to Belouzidad)
- Abbas Aissaoui (from Belouzidad to Chlef)


h2h is good,they share points equally
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/algeria/division-1-2011-2012/matchdetails.php?matchid=850065 2/1.



Head-to-head: ASO Chlef - CR Belouizdad
Division 1 2012/2013
CR BelouizdadASO Chlef1:01.923.183.5918.09.2012
Division 1 2011/2012
CR BelouizdadASO Chlef2:11.863.213.8024.04.2012
ASO ChlefCR Belouizdad3:11.703.194.5919.11.2011
Division 1 2010/2011
ASO ChlefCR Belouizdad2:11.713.304.3427.05.2011
CR BelouizdadASO Chlef2:127.11.2010
Division 1 2009/2010
CR BelouizdadASO Chlef2:006.04.2010
ASO ChlefCR Belouizdad5:023.10.2009
Division 1 2008/2009
CR BelouizdadASO Chlef1:019.03.2009
ASO ChlefCR Belouizdad1:026.09.2008
Division 1 2007/2008
CR BelouizdadASO Chlef0:006.03.2008
ASO ChlefCR Belouizdad0:025.10.2007
Division 1 2006/2007
CR BelouizdadASO Chlef1:012.03.2007
ASO ChlefCR Belouizdad3:112.10.2006

time for home win,odds are good. GL

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