two early risky bets

I decide to take two early bets for this weekend, on both matches i bet against favourites..

06/01 Spain Primera Division
Mallorca - Atletico Madrid 
Mallorca +0,5ah  @1.77 (pinnacle)

Mallorca after 12 matches without a win,finally won vs Betis 0-2 on away ground. 
Mallorca now on home ground will met 2nd placed Atletico Madrid,Mallorca is solid on home ground 3w-1d-4l 

Atletico Madrid have quality team ,3rd best team in league (after Barca and Real) but currently they are 2nd on table with 40 points  .. They have problem with suspended players for this match, key defender Miranda(df 16/2),playmaker Arda Turan(mf 16/4) and best striker Falcao(att 16/17 top scorer) are suspended.


last match Mallorca 2-1 Atl.Madrid
expect hard match for Atletico Madrid and I think Mallorca can do something



05/01 England FA Cup
Macclesfield - Cardiff
Macclesfield +1,5ah @1.55(bet365)

Cardiff in this match will use youngsters and reserves
http://www.cardiffcityforum.co.uk/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=101079

Likely line-ups

Macclesfield Town: Cronin, Martin, Brown (capt), Diagne, Braham-Barrett, Mackreth, Murtagh, Wedgbury, Kissock, arnes-Homer, Holroyd

Subs: Amari Morgan-Smith, Peter Winn, Pablo Mills, Waide Fairhurst.
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Cardiff City: Lewis(second gk 0/0), Coulson, Nugent(df 3/1 ,19 years old), Oshilaja(df 0/0 ,19 years old), John(mf 0/0 ,21 years old), Harris(mf 0/0 ,19 years old), Kiss(mf 2/0 ,22 years old), McPhail(mf 0/0), Ralls(mf 4/0 ,19years old), Velikonja(att 2/0), Jarvis

Subs: Elliot Parish(thid gk 0/0), Ronnie Hawkins, Anthony Bell, Tommy O'Sullivan(mf 0/0 ,17 years old), Theo Wharton(mf 0/0 ,18 years old), Jaye Bowen, Jesse Darko(mf 0/0).

Read more: Wales Online http://www.walesonline.co.uk/cardiffonline/cardiff-football/2013/01/03/macclesfield-town-v-cardiff-city-bluebirds-set-to-rest-entire-first-team-91466-32540142/#ixzz2GwSqBOcs

Like you can see Cardiff's squad for this match is full of youngsters,key players like Marshall(first gk 26/0),Hudson(df 25/4),Conolly(df 21/4),Whittingham(mf 25/7),Noone(mf 21/5),Gunnarson(mf 25/6),Helguson(att 25/7),Bellamy(att 17/4) and Mason(att 21/4) will be rested,while Maynard(att 3/0) is injured.