Friday, November 2, 2012

friday betting infos #1

http://cheguevarapicks.blogspot.com/p/strong-insiders.html  two free insiders are posted!!



Norway Tippeligaen

Fredrikstad - Odd Grenland 1
Fredrikstad without Dure(Df 6/1) and holm(mf 13/1).
Odd Grenaldn have full squad available

3 rounds till the end of season,there are still some chance for Fredrikstad to avoid relegation! Odd Grenland is playing for nothing,coach make some rotations in last few matches,so today there also can be some rotations.
This two teams are in good relationships,they play lot of frendly matches,share points,help each other,have transfers between them etc..


Hungary NB I
Kecskemeti - Diogsyor

Kecskemeti finally find their form,now they have 4 wins in a row! They are team with high ambitions,bring lot of good players ...
Diogsyor still without win on away ground 0w-2d-3l. Very bad atmphsfere in team,there was some conflict between players and coach...  4 players who were in that conflict are moved in B team.
Rudolf(att 0/0),Rakovic(df 6/0) and best striker Seydi(att 11/2 top scorer) are injured.


Singapore
Brunei DPMM - Balestier Khalsa 1 @1.5 (sportingbet)
I was planing this for vip pick but i wake up very late so now i will post it here...
last round in Singaporean league. Brunei DPMM is fighting to won the title!!

Balestier is playing for nothing,without motivation. maybe coach will rotate squad!
1.Tampines23154448:2449
2.Brunei DPMM23153549:2548
3.Harimau Muda23133737:2242
4.Albirex Niigata23126537:2642
5.Home United24117643:2940
6.Balestier Khalsa23106721:2036


quality,form,motivation and everything is on home side!
Brunei DPMM is from Malaysia,Balestier Khalsa is from Singapore so there will be pretty long trip for Khalsa..

Teams are in good relationships!! Before 1 year this two teams play 1/2  http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/singapore/s-league/matchdetails.php?matchid=979213  clear fixed match.. So today i think Khalsa will help Brunei to win the title!
GL

Tampines - Harimau Muda
last round in league
1.Tampines23154448:2449
2.Brunei DPMM23153549:2548
3.Harimau Muda23133737:2242
4.Albirex Niigata23126537:2642
5.Home United24117643:2940
6.Balestier Khalsa23106721:2036

Tampines need win if they want to won the title!
Harimau Muda is 3rd on table,playing for nothing.. + today without Faisal(df 21/4),Shas(Df 16/0),Jasuli(df 12/1 ,captain),Stevens(mf 16/4),Haikal(mf 12/2) and Othman(mf 12/0)



France League 2
Niort - Monaco

odds for Monaco 2.40  Are you fucking kidding me?
for me fair odds here should be 1.70 maximum! Monaco is one of strongest teams in France League 2 ,they have lot of quality players,powerfull boss and lot of money!
who is Niort??? Newcomer in league,they promote in league 2 this season. Team without potential,they didnt bring any quality players for new season so this will be hard season for them and they will fight to avoid relegation!
Niort without Durand(mf 0/0),Courtot(df 0/0),Bacheiler(Df 0/0),Delecroix(first gk 1/0) and Lahaye(df 7/0).
Yes on home ground Niort is still without lost 2w-4d-0l but now they play with strong Monaco and i see big value here.
pick: Monaco -0,25ah
odds: 2.11 (betvictor)
stake: 3/10



Holland Eerste Divisie
Oss - Veendam

Oss is much weaker than last season,i wrote much about them before start of this season. They sold all regular first team players and now team is full of youngsters!
Today Oss is without first defencive line!! injured van Muyten(df 8/0),Dunden(df 7/1) and suspsended Gorgun(df 8/1) + Nielsen(df 4/0) left team before 1 week.
Veendam is solid team,today they have full squad available.
expect easy away win.

Telstar - Almere
Almere is worst team in league,they have very weak squad and this season they will have hard fight to avoid relegation. Now they have new coach but i dont think it will change something..
Telstar is playing good at home. Today miss only Sheotaul(att 5/0).
quality,home field,form,experience on home side.

Helmond - Cammbur
big chance for rain on this match.
Helmond is strong team ,their target this season is promotion. They have some problem in last matches they are 5 matches without a win but that bad serie should stop.. no important missings in home team!
Cammbur is also team with high ambitions!
Today Cammbur miss few important players! Out are Laan(df 1/0),best midifler Heide(mf 8/3 ,2nd scorer) and best striker Hemmen(att 10/9 top scorer!). doubtful are Droste(df 10/0) and Bakens(Df 8/0).




Wanderers - Bella Vista


Last game for Wanderers was more than crazy .They played at home vs Juventud and everything was normal ..match ended with a spectacular 3-3 but after the final whistle on the pitch began big fight .All players from both teams fought each other and the result is 17 red cards (9 of them for Wanderers,regular important players) .So now for this game against Bella Vista ,Wanderers have only 14 players ..these are first and second goalkeepers Diego Perez 9/0 and Martin Rodriguez 0/0 ,defenders are German Duarte 0/0 , Hernan Menosse 9/0 ,Alejandro Lago 9/0 ,Marcelo Mendez 9/0 ..in midfield are Gagnebin 3/0 ,Matias Santos 2/1 , ,Martin Riva ,Lucas Hernandez ,Adrian Colombino 3/0 ,Lucas Lencina 4/1  and strikers Ghillerme 2/0 and Albarracin 5/0 ..as whole ,most of them are young players with less playing time ..all other players are suspended(two defenders Diogo Malaquias 2/0 and  Maximiliano Oliveiral 9/2 .Four key midfielders Diego de Souza 6/0 ,Guzman Pereira 9/0 ,Santiago Martinez 9/1 and Maximiliano Rodriguez 9/6 who is their best player and topscorer. Other three players are key strikers ,Marcelo Cabrera 9/0 ,Gaston Rodriguez 8/1 and Richard Mercado 9/2 .
On the other side Bella Vista this year are involved in the fight for survival and need points to attached eariler his position .So far they perform very well ,solid defense with only 8 goals allowed, have 14 points and 4-2-3 (two of losses was against giants Penarol and Nacional).Last round made good game against Fenix as missed the three points ,but also the referee made a lot big mistakes in their favor .For this game coach have only one missing as defender gaston Pagano 9/0 is suspended because of his 5 yellow card in last game . Back in the game one regular player Gabriel Costa 6/0 .
Under these circumstances I see only one favorite in the game and that is Bella Vista .Fair odds here are between 1.6=1.7 .And last ,but also very important for me is  odds in uruguayan local who give only @1.56 for Bella Vista (3.22 for draw and 4.03 for Wanderers) .I don't expect Wanderers with almost destroyed squad to win even point .H2H in last four games here ,Bella Vista won 3 times .Medium stake .GL!

Published Nov-01-2012, 22:06 CET
Betting option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Pick: Bella Vista

by Bobic

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